Starting Pitcher Chart – September 9th, 2022
by Paul Sporer
September 9, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
Friday’s Starters
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodón | SFG | at CHC | L | x | x | x | 2.79 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 27% K-BB | .309 – 17th | Bounced back brilliantly from SDP hiccup |
| David Peterson | NYM | at MIA | L | x | x | x | 2.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .226 – 30th | Scherzer rest gives DP an opportunity to be a gem down the stretch |
| Charlie Morton | ATL | at SEA | R | x | x | x | 3.68 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 27% K-BB | .311 – 11th | Had a 5.67 ERA in F12 but now is a good start from getting his ERA <4 |
| Robbie Ray | SEA | ATL | L | x | x | x | 1.41 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .399 – 3rd | Was a little dicey when he had a 4.97 ERA thru 12; has a 2.27 since |
| Drew Rasmussen | TBR | at NYY | R | x | x | x | 1.59 ERA, 0.53 WHIP, 28% K-BB | .261 – 29th | 1 of 5 SPs w/sub-2.00 ERA since July 1st; missed last start on PAT list |
| Frankie Montas | NYY | TBR | R | x | x | x | 4.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .322 – 8th | Has stabilized after two 6 ER starts in F3 w/NYY |
| Ross Stripling | TOR | at TEX | R | x | x | x | 2.83 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 25% K-BB | .295 – 20th | Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in L14 since rejoining the rotation |
| Miles Mikolas | STL | at PIT | R | x | x | x | 2.57 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .264 – 28th | Still working off that 10 ER bomb in COL |
| Lucas Giolito | CWS | at OAK | R | x | x | x | 6.41 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .282 – 24th | You have to… you just have to. |
| Nick Lodolo | CIN | at MIL | L | x | x | x | 3.30 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .281 – 27th | There is some downside, but he’s too good to pass up |
| Austin Voth | BAL | BOS | R | x | x | x | 2.05 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .328 – 7th | 2.71 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 14% K-BB in 63 IP w/BAL |
| Cal Quantrill | CLE | at MIN | R | x | x | x | 2.17 ERA. 0.83 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .297 – 18th | Doesn’t have flashy K numbers but he consistently gets it done |
| Dustin May | LAD | at SDP | R | x | x | x | 3.94 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 15% K-BB (3 GS) | .315 – 10th | TJ return hiccup last time out (5 BB, 6 ER); hope he gets to the finish line w/out another |
| Edward Cabrera | MIA | NYM | R | x | x | x | 2.22 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .331 – 6th | Not an easy matchup, but how do you sit him given how well he’s throwing? |
| Dylan Bundy | MIN | CLE | R | x | x | x | 1.80 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .278 – 27th | Hasn’t allowed >3 in his L7 & CLE doesn’t really tear the cover off the ball |
| Brayan Bello | BOS | at BAL | R | x | x | 3.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .296 – 19th | Stats are 3 starts since returning to MLB; high risk/high reward | |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | LAA | R | x | x | 2.08 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .282 – 25th | At least 3 BB in all 4 starts this yr… be careful | |
| Roansy Contreras | PIT | STL | R | x | x | 2.40 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .348 – 1st | Very difficult matchup for the intriguing young arm | |
| Drew Smyly | CHC | SFG | L | x | x | 3.51 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .331 – 11th | You’re just hoping to avoid the landmine: 0, 4, 1, 1, 5, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 7 ER in L11 | |
| Daniel Lynch | KCR | DET | L | x | 4.91 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 2% K-BB | .305 – 20th | Wentz & Lynch: only if you’re trying to catch lightning… bc you might get struck | ||
| Noah Syndergaard | PHI | WAS | R | x | 4.20 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .334 – 5th | Has been similarly “meh” w/PHI; matchup drives interest | ||
| Mike Clevinger | SDP | LAD | R | x | 4.94 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .348 – 2nd | More name valie than anything right now & LAD is terrifying | ||
| James Kaprielian | OAK | CWS | R | x | 6.46 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .308 – 13th | Was rolling a bit in the summer (2.88 ERA/4.19 FIP in 59 IP), could see him as a Hail Mary | ||
| Joey Wentz | DET | at KCR | R | x | 3rd MLB Start | .291 – 21st | 27% K, 10% BB, 15% SwStr in 48 IP at AAA | ||
| Patrick Corbin | WAS | at PHI | L | 5.04 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .339 – 10th | Decent in L4, but do you chance it? (2.96 ERA/4.67 FIP) | |||
| Dane Dunning | TEX | TOR | R | 5.92 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .297 – 16th | Too much downside for very little payoff | |||
| Germán Márquez | COL | ARI | R | 3.66 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .337 – 3rd | Not in Coors | |||
| Jason Alexander | MIL | CIN | R | 3.72 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .316 – 9th | Stats are L2 starts as he spent most of Aug. in the pen | |||
| Zach Davies | ARI | at COL | R | 2.77 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .272 – 23rd | Not in Coors | |||
| Michael Lorenzen | LAA | at HOU | R | IL return (out since 7/1) | .305 – 14th | 3 IP/7 ER at HOU in start before IL |
Is the OPP wOBA L30 days by pitcher handedness? Otherwise seems like some of the numbers are out of order or misranked. Sorry if I missed that and thanks.
Indeed! from the intro: The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness,
Yep! I specifically started Lodolo because the Brewers stink vs LHP.