Starting Pitcher Chart – September 2nd, 2022

September 2, 2022

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Friday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Alek Manoah	TOR	at PIT	R	x	x	x	3.34 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.280 – 27th	Hasn’t allowed >4 ER in any start this yr
Luis Castillo	SEA	at CLE	R	x	x	x	2.84 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 25% K-BB	.279 – 28th	2 tms have gotten 4 ER off him this yr: LAD and…. OAK!
Charlie Morton	ATL	MIA	R	x	x	x	3.26 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 28% K-BB	.277 – 29th	Still has occasional blips, but now at 2.92 ERA & 102 Ks in L80 IP
Sandy Alcantara	MIA	at ATL	R	x	x	x	2.72 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.326 – 7th	Schedule on fire lately: at PHI, SD, at LAD, LAD, at ATL
Jordan Montgomery	STL	CHC	L	x	x	x	1.76 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.264 – 29th	Has 5% HR/FB w/STL aided by 8 pt. jump in GB to 54%
Jeffrey Springs	TBR	NYY	L	x	x	x	2.93 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 23% K-BB	.300 – 21st	1 bad inn. at BOS yielded just his 2nd start >3 ER (3.08 SP ERA)
David Peterson	NYM	WAS	L	x	x	x	2.60 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.303 – 18th	Carrasco returns Sun., but I’d stash in case another spot opens
Yu Darvish	SDP	at LAD	R	x	x	x	4.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.356 – 2nd	Too good to sit even at LAD
Dustin May	LAD	SDP	R	x	x	x	1.64 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 24% K-BB	.322 – 8th	Will have post-TJ hiccups, but an easy start right now
Domingo Germán	NYY	at TBR	R	x	x	x	1.82 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.330 – 4th	Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in 7 starts since 5 ER debut
Sonny Gray	MIN	at CWS	R	x	x	x	2.03 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.305 – 15th	Dominant 2H: 1.91 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 18% K-BB in 37.7 IP
Reid Detmers	LAA	HOU	L	x	x	x	2.51 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.368 – 3rd	No shame in passing v. HOU with non-aces down the stretch
Dean Kremer	BAL	OAK	R	x	x	x	2.25 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.289 – 24th	50% GB in L5 (38% seas.) has fueled 0.3 HR (0.8 seas.)
Kyle Gibson	PHI	at SFG	R	x	x	x	2.30 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.288 – 25th	Had 4.91 ERA, 1.4 HR/9 in F16; 2.80 ERA, 0.7 HR/9 in L9
Alex Cobb	SFG	PHI	R	x	x	x	3.10 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.328 – 5th	5.73 ERA/2.62 FIP in F8 screamed regression & it came: 2.82/3.10 in L13
Daniel Lynch	KCR	at DET	L	x	x	x	4.73 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.267 – 28th	There’s risk even w/the matchup due to hitability (10.1 H9)
Nick Pivetta	BOS	TEX	R		x	x	4.08 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.311 – 12th	Great v. sub-.500 tms: 2.12 ERA, 0.88 WHIP; 5.61, 1.55 v. =>.500 tms
Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU	at LAA	R		x	x	1.69 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 4% K-BB	.290 – 22nd	3+ BB in all 3 starts since returning
Zach Plesac	CLE	SEA	R		x	x	5.46 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.297 – 19th	Solid 3.87 ERA in L15 after 5.40 in F8
JP Sears	OAK	at BAL	L			x	2.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 4% K-BB	.351 – 6th	BB surge in L3 could be exposed by BAL (13% BB vL in L30)
Eric Lauer	MIL	at ARI	L			x	3.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.301 – 20th	F14 starts: 7% BB, 1.9 HR/9; L11: 11% BB, 1.3 HR/9
Josiah Gray	WAS	at NYM	R				5.47 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.344 – 3rd	Has just 3 HR-free outings in 23 starts
Drew Hutchison	DET	KCR	R				3.04 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.292 – 21st	WHIP & K-BB are buckets of cold water on the ERA
Johan Oviedo	PIT	TOR	R				PIT Debut	.299 – 18th	Upside arm who could have some Sept. intrigue, but not v. TOR!
Zach Davies	ARI	MIL	R				2.39 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7% K-BB	.313 – 10th	Abandon him on the waiver wire
Davis Martin	CWS	MIN	R				4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.308 – 14th	Too risky for little upside
Adrian Sampson 샘슨	CHC	at STL	R				4.43 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.373 – 1st	I dare you!
Kyle Freeland	COL	at CIN	L				5.93 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 6%	.317 – 14th	CIN is basically Coors Jr. in terms of park factor
Luis Cessa	CIN	COL	R				4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.290 – 23rd	Has just 2 starts totaling 6 IP
Dallas Keuchel	TEX	at BOS	L				10.13 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.328 – 9th	BOS ripped him for 6 ER in 2 IP when they saw him on 5/26