Starting Pitcher Chart – September 16th, 2021

by
September 15, 2021

With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.

September 16th Starter Chart
PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Kevin Gausman SFG SDP x x x 3.90 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 25% K-BB .266 – 29th Dominant v. SDP in 3 GS this yr (1.42 ERA, .90 WHIP)
Tyler Mahle CIN at PIT x x x 4.40 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 18% K-BB .318 – 14th He’s been a set it & forget it guy all year
Framber Valdez HOU at TEX x x x 3.69 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 14% K-BB .289 – 25th 2 poor Sept. starts won’t deter me here
Ian Anderson ATL COL x x x 4.71 ERA, 1.95 WHIP, 1% K-BB .324 – 11th* Little bumpy since return, but an easy start here
Jordan Montgomery NYY at BAL x x x 3.80 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 10% K-BB .320 – 13th Solid SP v. BAL is an easy start down the stretch
Reynaldo López CWS LAA x x 2.63 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 13% K-BB .285 – 27th Hit 90 pitches last start so IP concern is lessened
Germán Márquez COL at ATL x x 4.78 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 13% K-BB .321 – 12th Worse ratios on road, but still a usable streamer
Daniel Lynch KCR OAK x 4.62 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 8% K-BB .302 – 19th Mostly solid since recall, but BB running high
Dietrich Enns TBR DET x 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 20% K-BB .294 – 23rd 1st start after several extended RP appearances
Tyler Alexander DET at TBR x 2.79 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 16% K-BB .383 – 2nd Matchup & low IP/start make him a tough start
Chris Ellis BAL NYY x 2.08 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 10% K-BB .318 – 14th Skills says be careful buying that sharp ERA
Glenn Otto TEX HOU x 6.92 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 25% K-BB .328 – 8th 5 IP/0 ER v. HOU in MLB debut, but still a risky play
Paul Blackburn OAK at KCR 5.24 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 10% K-BB .312 – 19th No major upside even w/a decent matchup
Kyle Hendricks CHC at PHI 6.43 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7% K-BB .326 – 9th Poor season fueled by HR surge & drop in already small K%
*road vR for COL





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

6 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
TheBabbo
2 years ago

Angels website shows Cobb tomorrow, FWIW. (And as for Mahle being set and forget, the drastic home/road splits might make one think twice about his two starts after this in Great American.)

0