Starting Pitcher Chart – September 13th, 2021
With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | STL | at NYM | x | x | x | 1.77 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .324 – 10th | Considering cost, he’s the fantasy Cy Young |
| Sandy Alcantara | MIA | at WAS | x | x | x | 2.17 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 32% K-BB | .322 – 11th | Ks have exploded in the 2H (30% K% in 64 IP) |
| Alek Manoah | TOR | TBR | x | x | x | 6.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .322 – 12th | Couple bad outings in his L5, but I’m still in |
| Anthony DeSclafani | SFG | SDP | x | x | x | 3.66 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .296 – 26th | 5.12 ERA in 2H, but 2 starts of 4+ ER |
| Jake Odorizzi | HOU | at TEX | x | x | x | 3.46 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .329 – 7th | He’s a 5-&-Dive guy but doing well of late |
| Zac Gallen | ARI | at LAD | x | x | x | 3.03 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .282 – 28th | LAD offense has been soft of late |
| Rich Hill | NYM | STL | x | x | x | 2.81 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .392 – 1st | Hasn’t allowed >4 ER at all this yr |
| Yu Darvish | SDP | at SFG | x | x | 6.29 ERA, 1.24 WHP, 27% K-BB | .320 – 14th | Might pass here given how tough SF can be | |
| Paolo Espino | WAS | MIA | x | x | 6.08 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .277 – 30th | MIA/COL 2-step could pay dividends | |
| A.J. Alexy | TEX | HOU | x | 2.53 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .333 – 4th | 11 shutout IP as an MLBer so far (11 K, 5 BB) | ||
| Luis Gil | NYY | MIN | x | 1.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .327 – 9th | This isn’t locked, but it would be his turn | ||
| Eduardo Rodriguez | BOS | at SEA | x | 4.78 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .308 – 19th | If you’re desperate, but the risk is high | ||
| Clayton Kershaw | LAD | ARI | 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 31% K-BB | .331 – 12th | Not gtd to start & likely <5 IP if he does go | |||
| Logan Gilbert | SEA | BOS | 8.59 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .376 – 1st | Not the matchup to take a risk on | |||
| John Gant | MIN | at NYY | 5.19 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .329 – 5th | The low WHIP isn’t enticing enough here | |||
| Ryan Yarbrough | TBR | at TOR | 6.55 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .351 – 5th | 4 duds in 8 2H app. has yielded a 6.35 ERA |
Thanks, appreciate the head start this time.