Starting Pitcher Chart – September 13th, 2021

With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.

September 13th Starter Chart
Adam Wainwright STL at NYM x x x 1.77 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 15% K-BB .324 – 10th Considering cost, he’s the fantasy Cy Young
Sandy Alcantara MIA at WAS x x x 2.17 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 32% K-BB .322 – 11th Ks have exploded in the 2H (30% K% in 64 IP)
Alek Manoah TOR TBR x x x 6.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10% K-BB .322 – 12th Couple bad outings in his L5, but I’m still in
Anthony DeSclafani SFG SDP x x x 3.66 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 14% K-BB .296 – 26th 5.12 ERA in 2H, but 2 starts of 4+ ER
Jake Odorizzi HOU at TEX x x x 3.46 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 15% K-BB .329 – 7th He’s a 5-&-Dive guy but doing well of late
Zac Gallen ARI at LAD x x x 3.03 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 18% K-BB .282 – 28th LAD offense has been soft of late
Rich Hill NYM STL x x x 2.81 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 21% K-BB .392 – 1st Hasn’t allowed >4 ER at all this yr
Yu Darvish SDP at SFG x x 6.29 ERA, 1.24 WHP, 27% K-BB .320 – 14th Might pass here given how tough SF can be
Paolo Espino WAS MIA x x 6.08 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 21% K-BB .277 – 30th MIA/COL 2-step could pay dividends
A.J. Alexy TEX HOU x 2.53 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, 16% K-BB .333 – 4th 11 shutout IP as an MLBer so far (11 K, 5 BB)
Luis Gil NYY MIN x 1.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 12% K-BB .327 – 9th This isn’t locked, but it would be his turn
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS at SEA x 4.78 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 13% K-BB .308 – 19th If you’re desperate, but the risk is high
Clayton Kershaw LAD ARI 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 31% K-BB .331 – 12th Not gtd to start & likely <5 IP if he does go
Logan Gilbert SEA BOS 8.59 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 18% K-BB .376 – 1st Not the matchup to take a risk on
John Gant MIN at NYY 5.19 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 15% K-BB .329 – 5th The low WHIP isn’t enticing enough here
Ryan Yarbrough TBR at TOR 6.55 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 7% K-BB .351 – 5th 4 duds in 8 2H app. has yielded a 6.35 ERA
Kershaw and Gil not locked into starts as of Sunday afternoon

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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Thanks, appreciate the head start this time.