Starting Pitcher Chart – September 13th, 2021

September 12, 2021

With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.

September 13th Starter Chart

PITCHER	TM	OPP	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Adam Wainwright	STL	at NYM	x	x	x	1.77 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.324 – 10th	Considering cost, he’s the fantasy Cy Young
Sandy Alcantara	MIA	at WAS	x	x	x	2.17 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 32% K-BB	.322 – 11th	Ks have exploded in the 2H (30% K% in 64 IP)
Alek Manoah	TOR	TBR	x	x	x	6.23 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.322 – 12th	Couple bad outings in his L5, but I’m still in
Anthony DeSclafani	SFG	SDP	x	x	x	3.66 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 14% K-BB	.296 – 26th	5.12 ERA in 2H, but 2 starts of 4+ ER
Jake Odorizzi	HOU	at TEX	x	x	x	3.46 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.329 – 7th	He’s a 5-&-Dive guy but doing well of late
Zac Gallen	ARI	at LAD	x	x	x	3.03 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.282 – 28th	LAD offense has been soft of late
Rich Hill	NYM	STL	x	x	x	2.81 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.392 – 1st	Hasn’t allowed >4 ER at all this yr
Yu Darvish	SDP	at SFG		x	x	6.29 ERA, 1.24 WHP, 27% K-BB	.320 – 14th	Might pass here given how tough SF can be
Paolo Espino	WAS	MIA		x	x	6.08 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.277 – 30th	MIA/COL 2-step could pay dividends
A.J. Alexy	TEX	HOU			x	2.53 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.333 – 4th	11 shutout IP as an MLBer so far (11 K, 5 BB)
Luis Gil	NYY	MIN			x	1.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.327 – 9th	This isn’t locked, but it would be his turn
Eduardo Rodriguez	BOS	at SEA			x	4.78 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.308 – 19th	If you’re desperate, but the risk is high
Clayton Kershaw	LAD	ARI				2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 31% K-BB	.331 – 12th	Not gtd to start & likely <5 IP if he does go
Logan Gilbert	SEA	BOS				8.59 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.376 – 1st	Not the matchup to take a risk on
John Gant	MIN	at NYY				5.19 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.329 – 5th	The low WHIP isn’t enticing enough here
Ryan Yarbrough	TBR	at TOR				6.55 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 7% K-BB	.351 – 5th	4 duds in 8 2H app. has yielded a 6.35 ERA

Kershaw and Gil not locked into starts as of Sunday afternoon

ATL	CHC*	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM*	PIT	SDP*
PHI	STL	SFG