Starting Pitcher Chart – May 5th, 2026

Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

  • Some pretty tough matchups for the studs. 6 of the 3-x’s are facing Top 10 offenses against their respective handedness. All 6 of those starters are in my Top 30 rankings, too. Ohtani gets a big test in HOU… can one of the best offense in baseball push his 0.60 ERA?
  • Alcantara is putting up solid results, but an 8% K-BB will come back to burn him if he doesn’t improve; good news is that an 11% SwStr can definitely yield better than a 16% K.
  • I have no delusions that Bradley has revolutionized himself despite the sweet 2.85 ERA; his 1.22 WHIP is a sobering reminder that he’s enjoyed some good fortune to get here. Thankfully a lagging WAS offense gives him a great shot to stay hot.
  • Elder is riding a .252 BABIP and 5% HR/FB to results this good, but a new cutter has helped him shave 204 pts off his OPS vL so perhaps a regressed version could still hold some Team Streamer juice. I’m running him in SEA and then very likely for next week’s home 2-step v. CHC/BOS.
  • Cavalli is coming off back-to-back 10-K games, so let’s see where this goes. It’s a 2-step week and I like both individually in daily moves leagues w/a trip to MIA lined up for the weekend.
  • Buehler and Severino are cromulent veterans getting solid setups on the road while Chandler and Sproat are young upstarts who’ve disappointed thus far with just OK matchups, also on the road. ARI is only 26th in wOBA on the season but rising to 17th in the last two weeks and will likely send 6 lefty/switch hitters against Chandler, who has a 230-point platoon split (.854 vL). I’m sure at least 1 of these 4 will have a good start and maybe even 2, but I couldn’t even begin to have confidence in identifying which one(s).
  • This feels like a touch-the-stove moment with Lambert where some of us are going to get too cute here… this is a waiver pickup you’ve already gotten some juice out of, don’t piss it all away hoping he survives LAD coming to visit. I would hold for the SEA/TEX 2-step he’s in line for next week.
  • I think Dana is just the guess for Kikuchi’s spot right now… if you see someone confirmed, let me know in the comments!

SP Chart for May 5th, 2026
Rk PITCHER Tm Opp 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB opp wOBA RK
1 Cristopher Sánchez PHI v. ATH x x x 40.1 2.90 1.51 21% 20
2 Drew Rasmussen TBR v. TOR x x x 30.2 2.64 0.85 22% 18
3 Shohei Ohtani LAD at HOU x x x 30 0.60 0.87 21% 2
4 Jacob deGrom TEX at NYY x x x 31.1 2.01 0.96 27% 3
5 Logan Webb SFG v. SDP x x x 44 4.30 1.36 12% 22
6 Kevin Gausman TOR at TBR x x x 40.2 3.10 0.96 20% 15
7 Gavin Williams CLE at KCR x x x 43.1 2.70 1.02 20% 20
8 Freddy Peralta NYM at COL x x x 38.1 3.52 1.20 16% 8
9 Framber Valdez DET v. BOS x x x 40.1 3.35 1.26 10% 15
10 George Kirby SEA v. ATL x x x 45 3.00 1.13 13% 1
11 Taj Bradley MIN at WSN x x x 41 2.85 1.22 17% 28
12 Sandy Alcantara MIA v. BAL x x x 47.1 3.04 1.16 8% 16
13 Bryce Elder ATL at SEA x x x 43 1.88 1.05 13% 12
14 Cade Cavalli WSN v. MIN x x x 30.2 3.82 1.66 17% 19
15 Walker Buehler SDP at SFG x 25 5.40 1.56 11% 30
16 Bubba Chandler PIT at ARI x 29 4.97 1.48 5% 26
17 Brandon Sproat MIL at STL x 26.2 6.75 1.61 9% 11
18 Luis Severino ATH at PHI x 38.1 4.46 1.43 10% 21
19 Peter Lambert HOU v. LAD 15.1 3.52 1.24 18% 4
20 Noah Cameron KCR v. CLE 31.2 5.40 1.61 12% 8
21 Jameson Taillon CHC v. CIN 34.2 4.41 1.15 13% 24
22 Eduardo Rodriguez ARI v. PIT 32.2 3.03 1.41 4% 16
23 Elmer Rodríguez NYY v. TEX 4 4.50 2.00 -5% 14
24 Andre Pallante STL v. MIL 31.1 3.73 1.31 9% 13
25 Andrew Abbott CIN at CHC 34.2 5.97 1.67 6% 1
26 Michael Lorenzen COL v. NYM 34 6.09 1.76 9% 29
27 Chris Bassitt BAL at MIA 28 5.46 1.86 2% 10
28 Erick Fedde 페디 CHW at LAA 33.1 3.24 1.05 8% 17
29 Brayan Bello BOS at DET 25.2 9.12 2.26 2% 9
30 Caden Dana LAA v. CHW 25
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.




Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

9 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
lordofkahoot
11 days ago

Are you worried about the wind blowing out at Nationals Park for Cavalli?