Starting Pitcher Chart – May 15th, 2026

David Butler II-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

 

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.
Starting Pitcher Chart May 16th
Rk PITCHER Team Opponent 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K% OPP K% opp wOBA RK
1 Cam Schlittler NYY at NYM x x x 53.1 1.35 0.81 29% 21% 30
2 Emerson Hancock SEA v. SDP x x x 47.2 3.21 1.01 27% 23% 26
3 Joe Ryan MIN v. MIL x x x 44.2 3.43 1.03 25% 20% 11
4 Trey Yesavage TOR at DET x x x 13.1 0.68 1.35 26% 22% 12
5 Braxton Ashcraft PIT v. PHI x x x 48.2 2.77 1.05 27% 21% 20
6 Randy Vásquez SDP at SEA x x x 44.1 3.05 1.17 23% 24% 7
7 Spencer Strider ATL v. BOS x x x 9.1 2.89 1.29 35% 23% 29
8 Edward Cabrera CHC at CHW x x x 46.1 3.88 1.32 22% 25% 22
9 Tanner Bibee CLE v. CIN x x x 45.1 4.17 1.35 23% 24% 24
10 Sean Burke CHW v. CHC x x 44 3.68 1.09 20% 20% 8
11 Blake Snell LAD at LAA x x 3 12.00 2.67 28% 24% 7
12 Spencer Arrighetti HOU v. TEX x x 28.2 1.88 1.33 24% 22% 13
13 Michael Wacha KCR at STL x x 51.1 2.63 0.99 21% 23% 17
14 Janson Junk MIA at TBR x x 44.1 3.25 1.11 18% 19% 10
15 Ty Madden DET v. TOR x 11 2.45 0.73 29% 19% 23
16 Connelly Early BOS at ATL x 42.2 3.16 1.22 22% 20% 5
17 Jack Leiter TEX at HOU x 42.2 4.85 1.43 26% 22% 5
18 Clay Holmes NYM v. NYY x 48.1 1.86 1.01 19% 23% 3
19 Aaron Nola PHI at PIT x 42 5.14 1.48 24% 22% 4
20 Chad Patrick MIL at MIN x 35.1 3.06 1.36 18% 24% 16
21 Tyler Mahle SFG at ATH 41.2 5.18 1.49 23% 21% 6
22 Dustin May STL v. KCR 42.2 4.85 1.43 18% 22% 14
23 Shane Baz BAL at WSN 44.1 5.48 1.56 19% 21% 15
24 Kyle Freeland COL v. ARI 30 6.00 1.47 21% 19% 12
25 Aaron Civale ATH v. SFG 41.2 2.59 1.39 18% 21% 28
26 Jesse Scholtens TBR v. MIA 27.1 3.29 1.17 18% 21% 18
27 Andrew Abbott CIN at CLE 46.1 4.47 1.51 16% 19% 9
28 Jack Kochanowicz LAA v. LAD 45.1 3.97 1.35 15% 21% 2
29 Zack Littell WSN v. BAL 36.1 6.94 1.60 10% 24% 19
30 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI at COL 26 7.62 1.92 16% 25% 9
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Intro

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

11 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Alexander WolffMember since 2025
9 hours ago

I need one start over this weekend, H2H points with QS. Burke vs CHC, Holmes vs NYY, or Soroka at COL. Roll with Burke today or add someone?