Starting Pitcher Chart – June 21st

June 21, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Wednesday, June 21st Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Luis Castillo	SEA	at	NYY	x	x	x	82.1	2.73	1.02	23%	26th	The Judge-less Yankees are very exploitable for streamers (not that Castillo is a streamer, just pointing it out here bc Castillo is an auto start)
2	Zac Gallen	ARI	at	MIL	x	x	x	91.1	2.96	1.13	22%	29th	Trips to DET and PIT are his only bumps over his L13 starts (2.34 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 23% K-BB in those 81 IP)
3	Shohei Ohtani	LAA		LAD	x	x	x	82	3.29	1.05	21%	11th	It’s still kind of a bummer that we aren’t in a spot where all of his greatness counts for his fantasy teams
4	Cristian Javier	HOU		NYM	x	x	x	80.2	2.90	1.04	18%	22nd	Has allowed more than 3 ER just twice this yr and both of those are 4 ER outings
5	Sonny Gray	MIN		BOS	x	x	x	76	2.37	1.28	15%	13th	Just 1 decision in his L8 starts despite not allowing more than 3 ER in any of the starts
6	Kevin Gausman	TOR	at	MIA	x	x	x	92.2	3.01	1.13	26%	7th	Look at MIA running hot vR of late… is that just Arraez’s 9 singles a game? Gaus is a lineup lock so amount of MIA run good would get me to sit him
7	Garrett Whitlock	BOS	at	MIN	x	x	x	39	4.38	1.23	17%	23rd	Looking excellent since returning from the IL: 3.13 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 19% K-BB
8	Sandy Alcantara	MIA		TOR	x	x	x	88.2	4.97	1.22	12%	4th	I’ve stayed committed as I don’t believe he’s this bad but as the duds pile up, I understand some sits… still not cutting anywhere
9	Aaron Nola	PHI		ATL	x	x	x	94.2	4.66	1.10	18%	1st	Yes, he remains an auto start for me even w/the elevated ERA… the WHIP and core skills keep me fully invested
10	Gavin Williams	CLE		OAK	x	x	x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	28th	Another big time CLE prospect joining the mix… will probably have major bids even if this start doesn’t go well
11	Yu Darvish	SDP	at	SFG	x	x	x	74	4.74	1.20	18%	6th	Didn’t quite realize Darvish was that close to a 5.00 ERA, though his skills keep him in my lineup even with a tough matchup on deck
12	Tyler Wells	BAL	at	TBR		x	x	81.2	3.20	0.86	21%	15th	Not gonna crush anyone for avoiding TBR, but my confidence in Wells jumped a bit higher after the TOR gem last time out
13	Taj Bradley	TBR		BAL		x	x	43	4.19	1.30	26%	10th	Don’t get too worried about the 4.55 ERA in 6 starts since returning as his 2.74 FIP and 22% K-BB rate in that time say better days are ahead
14	Paul Blackburn	OAK	at	CLE		x	x	20.2	3.48	1.35	19%	20th	One bad inning at MIA is the only major blip since returning and the added Ks (25%) give him a new dimension
15	Miles Mikolas	STL	at	WSN		x	x	86.2	4.36	1.36	12%	14th	11 ER in his last 2 after 10 ER in his previous 8 before that… the lack of whiffs catching up to him (6% K in those 2 gms)
16	Andrew Abbott	CIN		COL		x	x	17.2	0.00	1.08	4%	27th	Haven’t seen any of the exquisite swing-and-miss that made him so popular in the minors earlier this yr; very lucky to have that ERA thus far
17	Rich Hill	PIT		CHC		x	x	77.1	4.31	1.40	13%	20th	The Minesweeper of SPs in that you know the bombs are out there, but you’re not exactly sure where…. Be careful
18	Michael Kopech	CHW		TEX			x	78	3.92	1.27	15%	3rd	Only 1 ER last time out but also 6 BB; he has a 1.77 ERA/0.94 WHIP in his L6 starts making this a tough choice given the difficult matchup
19	AJ Smith-Shawver	ATL	at	PHI			x	13.1	2.03	0.98	14%	21st	First big swing-and-miss game (6 Ks, 16% SwStr) unsurprisingly resulted in his first MLB win!
20	Brady Singer	KCR	at	DET			x	69.2	6.33	1.61	12%	24th	Still trying to shave down an 8.82 ERA from his first 7 starts so his passable 4.00 mark over his L7 goes a bit unnoticed
21	Matthew Boyd	DET		KCR			x	64.1	5.60	1.35	14%	24th	HR rate back up to 1.4 has really cut into his effectiveness and relegated him to just a deep lg streamer
22	Julio Teheran	MIL		ARI				30.1	1.78	0.82	15%	5th	If there’s any legitimacy to this control spike (4% BB), he could be an intriguing deep lg streamer, but I want to see more before trusting him
23	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	at	PIT				28.1	3.18	1.06	9%	16th	HR suppression is more a fortunate HR/FB rate (3%) than major skills change… in fact, his 9% K-BB and 7% SwStr are very underwhelming
24	Sean Manaea	SFG		SDP				49.1	5.84	1.38	19%	4th	Might find some deep lg viability for him in better matchups as he’s been OK in the follower role (4.32 ERA in his L4 w/19 Ks & 2 BB in 17 IP)
25	Martín Pérez	TEX	at	CHW				77.1	4.54	1.50	8%	17th	I’m not really feeling good about starting him anywhere
26	Michael Grove	LAD	at	LAA				30	8.10	1.60	15%	2nd	Quick return from the minors but no shot I’d use him here
27	Jhony Brito	NYY		SEA				40.1	5.58	1.49	7%	25th	Returning to the majors after posting a modest 7% K-BB rate in the minors
28	Trevor Williams	WSN		STL				70	4.50	1.41	10%	17th	Juice isn’t really worth the squeeze
29	Tylor Megill	NYM	at	HOU				69	4.83	1.61	7%	18th	Not sure he’s even a start in NL Only at this point
30	Connor Seabold	COL	at	CIN				56.2	5.88	1.48	9%	8th	Aces only v. the Rising Reds right now

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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bluerum29

1 year ago

“It’s still kind of a bummer that we aren’t in a spot where all of his greatness counts for his fantasy teams”
Unless you are in a daily league that allows him to be moved in the lineup from hitter to pitcher.

TheUncool

Reply to bluerum29

That still misses his bat on those days when he pitches though… not that I’m really complaining — yes, I actually have him in one such salary dynasty league… and I might not be able to afford keeping him there starting next year even though I’m certainly trying my darnedest to save all the coins to do so (while still fielding a solid, contending team around him), LOL…

TheBabboMember since 2019

Reply to TheUncool

There’s a Fantrax setting that allows him to get both hitting and pitching stats on the same day (not enabled by default so commissioner would need to turn it on).