Starting Pitcher Chart – June 17th, 2024

by
June 17, 2024
Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Back in town a bit late after the Astros-Tigers game in Houston on Sunday, so I owe y’all a 2-start chart in the morning!

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Starter Notes June 17, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season
1 Max Fried ATL v DET x x x 78 3.20 1.06 15% 18th/16th
2 Paul Skenes PIT v CIN x x x 33 2.43 0.96 31% 14th/24th
3 Sonny Gray STL at MIA x x x 68 3.01 1.03 26% 24th/27th
4 Yusei Kikuchi TOR v BOS x x x 77 3.26 1.23 18% 12th/7th
5 Jordan Hicks SFG at CHC x x x 71 3.01 1.20 13% 26th/22nd
6 Jon Gray TEX v NYM x x 62 2.17 1.20 17% 17th/19th
7 Nick Pivetta BOS at TOR x x 46 3.88 1.08 23% 13th/17th
8 Cristopher Sánchez PHI v SDP x x 70 3.07 1.39 13% 15th/2nd
9 José Soriano LAA v MIL x x 72 3.48 1.18 11% 15th/4th
10 Braxton Garrett MIA v STL x x 31 6.10 1.26 18% 22nd/12th
11 Javier Assad CHC v SFG x x 73 2.81 1.24 13% 18th/25th
12 Reese Olson DET at ATL x 71 3.68 1.28 13% 23rd/10th
13 Carson Spiers CIN at PIT x 19 2.33 1.19 14% 22nd/29th
14 Carlos Rodriguez MIL at LAA x 3 4.91 2.18 16% 25th/20th
15 David Peterson NYM at TEX x 16 4.32 1.50 1% 21st/15th
16 Cal Quantrill COL v LAD 79 3.30 1.25 8% 11th/3rd
17 James Paxton LAD at COL 59 3.92 1.41 1% 4th/18th
18 Randy Vásquez SDP at PHI 38 4.93 1.51 11% 20th/8th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.

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Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

5 Comments
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alang3131982Member since 2016
2 years ago

Any detailed thoughts on Spiers? Seems kind of intriguing…terrible team and rough home park…and not sure he’s totally a starter…but…

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Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
2 years ago
Reply to  alang3131982

Slightly intrigued hence the 1-x.

PROs: great in the minors this year w/a healthy 18% K-BB in 47 IP; capable 5-pitch mix; good control in his MiLB & MLB samples this year

CONs: control gains are new and might not stick; missing very few bats in MLB (19% K, 9% SwStr); brutal park/team support; IP concerns like you mentioned

A trip to PIT isn’t too bad given how anemic their offense has been so while the W chance isn’t high facing off v. Skenes, he isn’t a terrible bet for 3-5 useful IP… hence deep lgs only. If we see a solid 6-IP type start here, it’ll add to the confidence level for sure

1
AnonMember since 2025
2 years ago

I want to say this is a make-or-break start for Olson for me, but man, would be hard to pass up a 2nd start this week against the ChiSox even if he flops today.

EDIT*** – OK, I posted that off the cuff. Looking at his numbers a little more closely, his wOBA over the last 3 starts is .474 but his xwOBA is a much more palatable .344. He’s allowed a 50.9% hard hit rate but only a 4.1% barrel rate. So he’s been a bit unlucky and his K rate and BB rates aren’t that far off.

Knee jerk reaction and I take it back. He’s still solid for me.

Last edited 2 years ago by Anon
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Buhners Rocket ArmMember since 2017
2 years ago

Not sure what I am seeing differently about BOS vs. LHP. Sox wOBA is 15th in MLB vs. LHP with the highest strikeout rate and one of the lowest ISO’s. The only really dangerous hitters against LHP’s are O’Neill and Refsnyder.

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Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
2 years ago
Reply to  Buhners Rocket Arm

Yes it was pulling in vR data on the season #s for some reason. Ty for the heads up, fixed those cells in the spreadsheet going forward.

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