Starting Pitcher Chart – June 12th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the May SP Rankings (June update coming soon!)
Sorry for no post yesterday. I feel asleep early and then didn’t really have a window to write it today until it was too late.
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Starter Notes June 12, 2024
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Framber Valdez | HOU at SFG | x | x | x | 63 | 3.53 | 1.15 | 13% | 3rd/15th | One bad IP v. LAA is the only interruption in his L6: 3.29 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13% K-BB in 41 IP |
| 2 | Logan Webb | SFG v HOU | x | x | x | 86 | 2.92 | 1.20 | 15% | 4th/5th | Back in a groove and I can’t wait to watch these 2 duel! (2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 19% K-BB in 40 IP) |
| 3 | Bryce Miller | SEA v CHW | x | x | x | 75 | 3.81 | 1.02 | 17% | 26th/30th | A much-needed reprieve in opposition after a run of at BAL, at NYY, HOU, LAA, at KCR (5.72 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 12% K-BB in 28 IP); I like him to get right here |
| 4 | Tanner Bibee | CLE at CIN | x | x | x | 70 | 3.73 | 1.19 | 19% | 11th/21st | Righted the ship over his L5 w/a 2.12 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 22% K-BB |
| 5 | Sonny Gray | STL v PIT | x | x | x | 61 | 3.21 | 1.07 | 25% | 18th/29th | 2+ BB in each of his L5 has left his results on the knife’s edge: 4.44 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 22% K-BB… he’s a rotation staple, though |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | BOS v PHI | x | x | x | 42 | 3.40 | 0.94 | 26% | 17th/8th | Revenge game is a nice challenge as he looks to stay hot after dominance v. ATL (7 |
| 7 | Michael King | SDP v OAK | x | x | x | 78 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 16% | 28th/26th | Steady waters of late: 1.90 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 17% K-BB in L4; hopefully you held through the choppiness early on |
| 8 | Nick Lodolo | CIN v CLE | x | x | x | 52 | 2.92 | 0.99 | 21% | 13th/12th | Rolling since his return from the IL, falling just 2 outs shy of 3 QS w/16 Ks and just 3 BB |
| 9 | Pablo López | MIN v COL | x | x | x | 71 | 5.45 | 1.23 | 21% | 15th/19th | This is now 3 flameouts in his L4, but the 4th was 7 IP/1 ER at HOU so he’s all over the place… espec. after 6 BB in NYY; all that said I’m betting on his 21% K-BB and hoping that Colorado is the Rx he needs |
| 10 | Reese Olson | DET v WSN | x | x | x | 65 | 3.43 | 1.20 | 13% | 25th/22nd | Trounced in his last 2 (13 ER) and yet I have a tough time sitting him here; still had an 11/2 K:BB in those duds and the velo & spin profiles are in line… stay the course |
| 11 | José Soriano | LAA at ARI | x | x | x | 64 | 3.64 | 1.21 | 11% | 16th/23rd | Sub-10% SwStr in 3 of his L4, but the surface results remain steady (3.51 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) |
| 12 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at MIL | x | x | x | 73 | 3.80 | 1.38 | 13% | 9th/2nd | MIL is tough, but he’s absolutely rolling: 2.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 16% K-BB in L7 (43 IP) |
| 13 | Walker Buehler | LAD v TEX | x | x | x | 28 | 4.82 | 1.46 | 15% | 30th/14th | Definitely not himself right now and yet TEX is a hot matchup right now so I’m inclined to stay the course |
| 14 | David Peterson | NYM v MIA | x | x | x | 11 | 3.09 | 1.29 | 4% | 25th/27th | Meager 4% K-BB hasn’t curbed results and MIA presents a good chance to keep getting away, but eventually he’ll need to improve to remain viable |
| 15 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at BOS | x | x | x | 66 | 2.71 | 1.34 | 14% | 17th/7th | Took some time settle and it’s always tough in Fenway, but he’s toting a 1.48 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18% K-BB in his L3 |
| 16 | Jake Irvin | WSN at DET | x | x | x | 75 | 3.12 | 1.03 | 17% | 12th/20th | Biggest hiccups were skippable (at LAD, at PHI — would’ve missed the 6 scoreless v. LAD, too), but I’m starting to gain confidence in even tougher setups… definitely playable everywhere at DET |
| 17 | Hogan Harris | OAK at SDP | x | x | 20 | 2.21 | 1.13 | 12% | 21st/3rd | Scooped him in the Main Event after somce nice work in 2 starts since joining the rotation… not a must start bc I still respect SDP’s offense, just don’t overlook him | |
| 18 | Bailey Falter | PIT at STL | x | x | 68 | 3.69 | 1.04 | 10% | 24th/10th | May hot streak couldn’t carry into June after LAD start; worth a look at STL | |
| 19 | Jon Gray | TEX at LAD | x | 59 | 2.12 | 1.18 | 17% | 22nd/4th | Not confirmed here after a 9-out relief app. in his return from the IL; I’m OK skipping this even w/LAD sputtering in the L30 days | ||
| 20 | Cody Poteet | NYY at KCR | x | 15 | 1.72 | 0.96 | 11% | 10th/9th | On the radar after this nice run, but let’s be careful against a very solid KCR lineup… tough part is Cole takes his spot so probably needn’t hold if you’ve got him | ||
| 21 | Braxton Garrett | MIA at NYM | x | 26 | 5.81 | 1.22 | 18% | 5th/16th | He’s run the gamut since returning w/a shutty at ARI and 3 starts of 5+ ER… intriguing STL/SEA 2-step next wk if he excels here | ||
| 22 | Cade Povich | BAL v ATL | x | 5 | 10.13 | 1.69 | -8% | 16th/11th | This will be a really interesting matchup as both rookies have upside that could pay dividends given their strong supporting casts… startable, but high-risk | ||
| 23 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL at BAL | x | 9 | 8.38 | 1.55 | 13% | 5th/6th | |||
| 24 | Tobias Myers | MIL v TOR | x | 34 | 4.15 | 1.24 | 13% | 6th/13th | Had the Tigers off balance all day w/only 3 batted balls carrying a .400 or better expected AVG and 2 of ’em were outs | ||
| 25 | Javier Assad | CHC at TBR | x | 69 | 2.74 | 1.22 | 14% | 29th/28th | Was never going to stay that hot and that’s OK… I will say I’m impressed by his 26% K during this regression run (5.66 ERA, 1.68 WHIP in L4), but can it hold w/a 6% SwStr? | ||
| 26 | Aaron Civale | TBR v CHC | x | 67 | 5.51 | 1.36 | 17% | 13th/17th | The 1.8 HR9 is killing him, but if he can fix that then the 17% K-BB (ranked 31st) can definitely bring some good results | ||
| 27 | Slade Cecconi | ARI v LAA | x | 41 | 5.66 | 1.14 | 12% | 27th/25th | Far better v. sub-.500 clubs: 4.15 ERA/0.97 WHIP so he’s worth considering here | ||
| 28 | Austin Gomber | COL at MIN | 66 | 3.38 | 1.20 | 9% | 26th/18th | A couple wobbly starts after a brilliant May, but his 1-3 record underscores his nearly non-exsitent Win probability | |||
| 29 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW at SEA | 16 | 5.94 | 1.62 | 17% | 21st/24th | ||||
| 30 | Daniel Lynch IV | KCR v NYY | 16 | 5.63 | 1.19 | 9% | 9th/1st | It’s aces-only against NYY at this juncture |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
How much do you value the predictive stats (xERA, xFIP, xFIP-, SIERA) when they differ significantly from what has taken place (ERA)? Which is your favorite?
Just FYI, i think the date is wrong….on the header
Think I’m gonna roll w/ Assad today (as my team streamer in a fairly deep dynasty league). IF he can’t do alright enough against the currently lowly Rays offense (and a somewhat embattled Civale) in Tampa, he’s likely not gonna do any better against the Giants and Mets at home nor the Brew Crew on the road coming up… NVM probables against Philly and O’s beyond that. Today’s game might well be his easiest/safest all the way to the ASB.