Starting Pitcher Chart – July 6th, 2026
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- 2-Start podcast episode
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- Roupp hasn’t been great of late (5.40 ERA/1.52 WHIP/13% K-BB in L30 days) which is why I went 2-x, but I can see a 10-team start, especially in light of TOR sitting 28th in wOBA in the last 2 wks.
- Jax, meanwhile, is rolling and catches an NYY team that sits dead last in the last two weeks and 26th for the month so I can see some 10-team starts for him, too. I definitely would start both Roupp and Jax in 10-team weekly lineups formats to get the 2-step.
- I’m kinda back on the ReyLo train. I’m a long-time fan so it’s not that surprising but I’m definitely surprised to have him slotted above Peralta, his opponent on Monday.
- Peralta catches a sputtering ATL offense but will it even matter? He’s been brutal with an 8.49 ERA/1.71 WHIP/9% K-BB in the L30. And yes, there is a 10-bomb in there but even removing that only takes him down to 5.22 in that time. Despite the turmoil, I still can’t see myself benching for a 2-step in medium-to-deep formats. He hasn’t been this bad all year so I think we just have to slog through this in a lot of situations.
- Lauer gets COL off a Coors homestand and has the Dodgers offense and pen at his back.
- The problem with starting Buehler (other than his statistics) is that SDP offers no offensive support so he has to be perfect v. ARI and hope they scratch a few against Pfaadt (they should because he’s very gettable, but can’t bank on it).
- I remain stunned how little PHI is moving the needle on their wOBA rankings even as they continue to pile up wins. Their ranking does not convince me to spin Cameron in any format.
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Starting Pitcher Chart July 6th
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Schlittler | NYY | at TBR | R | x | x | x | 104 | 2.08 | 0.96 | 30% | 25% | 20% | 7 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI | at KCR | L | x | x | x | 117 | 2.00 | 1.09 | 29% | 24% | 21% | 23 |
| 3 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at SFG | R | x | x | x | 101 | 4.19 | 1.19 | 24% | 18% | 20% | 15 |
| 4 | Shane Drohan | MIL | at STL | L | x | x | x | 57.2 | 3.12 | 1.23 | 24% | 17% | 17% | 11 |
| 5 | Landen Roupp | SFG | v. TOR | R | x | x | 89 | 4.55 | 1.37 | 26% | 15% | 19% | 16 | |
| 6 | Griffin Jax | TBR | v. NYY | R | x | x | 60 | 3.45 | 1.27 | 23% | 15% | 23% | 3 | |
| 7 | Reynaldo López | ATL | v. NYM | R | x | x | 51.2 | 3.31 | 1.30 | 21% | 11% | 22% | 29 | |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | NYM | at ATL | R | x | x | 95.1 | 4.81 | 1.42 | 22% | 13% | 21% | 13 | |
| 9 | Eric Lauer | LAD | v. COL | L | x | 70.2 | 4.84 | 1.27 | 15% | 6% | 26% | 14 | ||
| 10 | Walker Buehler | SDP | v. ARI | R | 82 | 4.61 | 1.38 | 22% | 13% | 21% | 28 | |||
| 11 | Noah Cameron | KCR | v. PHI | L | 83.2 | 4.95 | 1.41 | 20% | 14% | 24% | 25 | |||
| 12 | Dustin May | STL | v. MIL | R | 84.1 | 4.80 | 1.27 | 22% | 15% | 21% | 5 | |||
| 13 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | at SDP | R | 43.1 | 5.40 | 1.41 | 17% | 8% | 23% | 30 | |||
| 14 | Mike Burrows | HOU | at WSN | R | 90.1 | 5.58 | 1.51 | 18% | 10% | 21% | 17 | |||
| 15 | Miles Mikolas | WSN | v. HOU | R | 84.1 | 5.44 | 1.29 | 13% | 8% | 22% | 14 | |||
| 16 | Kyle Freeland | COL | at LAD | L | 77 | 7.25 | 1.60 | 19% | 14% | 20% | 5 |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
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- Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
- Yellow – OK
- Red – Bad
In a 12tm daily lineup league, you still have the same recommendation on Freddy?
The only wind is SF where it’s out to L center at 12 in a ballpark designed to minimize wind effects
Rain:
WAS – 60-80% before, during and after the game. Both teams have Thursday off if they need to reschedule. Didn’t even check beyond that since that seems like an obvious date if they do need to postpone
ATL – 67% before the game dipping to 14% after the game. Seems like a delay at worst.
STL – 18% at 1st pitch, dipping to 9% after the game
thanks for these. so helpful. QQ, when you say SFG is intended to minimize wind effects, does that mean the 12MPH is noteworthy for hitters or that even at 12MPH, the park will minimize it?
You can google it and there are plenty of hits, but they consulted “wind-studies” experts at UC Davis when they built the park. The original design the architects wanted would have had the ballpark turned 90* from it’s current orientation to face the city skyline and would have actually been worse than Candlestick Park for wind. They turned it 90* and also built the stands higher than most ballparks to help shield it from the wind as much as possible. This creates some unintended wind effects where the wind down near the field can be quite a bit different from high above which is significant because the numbers show that SF is the windiest ballpark in the majors.
Here’s an MLB piece from a couple years ago that shows Oracle is one of the least impacted ballparks in terms of impacting flyballs: https://www.mlb.com/news/the-big-impact-of-wind-on-baseball-outcomes
Bottom line is that wind doesn’t affect batted balls as much as you would think there.
Seems like every series the Mets play in Atlanta has a rain delay or two.
Is there a numerical range corresponding to the colors?
1-10: red | 11-20: yellow | 21-30: green