Starting Pitcher Chart – August 12th, 2026
- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
- It’s always scary to take an SP in Sacramento, but Rasmussen is amazing plus the A’s have been melting as the season wears on with their three best players (Kurtz, Shea, and Rooker — if you want to say Soderstrom is over Rooker, sure, but it’s splitting hairs and there’s no disputing Kurtz/Shea as 1/2) on the IL and Gelof just returned two days ago. The result of these injuries has been a precipitous drop in home wOBA vR from 5th through July 25th – first game without Langeliers – to just 24th since then.
- This is why I stay living in the gamelogs: Framber’s L30 is a 4.58 ERA/1.63 WHIP but if you lop off the meltdown at CHC (6 ER, 7 baserunners in 2 outs of work), he’s at 1.89/1.32 including a great outing against the aforementioned hobbled A’s (7 IP/2 ER). And yeah, 1.32 WHIP is still bad but it’s a reminder how much a bad start can spoil a sample. Over these last 4, it’s 2 gems, a decent one (5 IP/2 ER), and the Cubs Dud. Plus, he gets a CLE team that has struggled with lefties all year.
- Miller doesn’t quite have the crazy home/road splits of teammate Bryan Woo, but it’s still nearly 2 runs of ERA (2.09 home/4.02 road) and nearly 40 pts of WHIP (.75/1.14). And yet, he’s a full reco for the same reason Woo was yesterday – the Yankees offense is rouuuugh right now. Only Miller’s own M’s are worse in wOBA than NYY since Judge’s departure on June 1st. They’re only marginally better when looking at their work vR at home in that timeframe (up to a whopping 27th!).
- C’mon, don’t burn me, Baz! If you read me consistently, y’all know I’ve been skeptical on him for a minute but he’s shaved his ERA down to 3.76 on the year so if you can afford some WHIP risk (1.32), I’m good running him anywhere today. He’s coming off his best start of the year (8 IP/2 ER/9 Ks at TEX) and has been dialed in over his L7 in all: 2.55 ERA/1.19 WHIP/16% K-BB. MIN can certainly pop off as evidenced by their 8th ranked offense vR for the year, but they are floundering down at 25th over the last month.
- Like I said, SEA’s offense is similarly awful lately, hence a full reco on Warren despite his inconsistency since June 1st (not related to Judge, just happens to be when he dropped off after a nice April-May: 3.23 ERA/1.20 WHIP/19% K-BB thru May | 5.49/1.61/12% since then.
- Once we get out of the 3-x realm, things gets dodgy immediately. Can Soriano keep BOS cold after their blazing hot run? They have just 10 R in their last 4 games combined after averaging 10 the 5 before that and of course the 15-game W streak not being that far in the rear view.
- Was the Mahle trade a sneaky gem for ATL? Not just saying that because he debuted with 6 scoreless and 9 Ks at the sputtering Yankees, but because he’d stabilized a bit in his last 7 starts with SFG (3.79 ERA/1.18 WHIP/12% K-BB). Even his Dud at SDP in his last start as a Giant still had 9 Ks! I only gave 2-x, but he could be started in a 10’er against NYM.
- I was too aggressive with Junk’s original rank so I dropped him to 1-x. I’ve been aggressively running away from PIT vR for most of the year and I am open to taking a shot on him at home with PIT sitting 18th in wOBA over the last month but only in 15s as more of a Hail Mary. He has such a stark righty-lefty split (.860 OPS vL, +256 pts his vR mark) that he might be the perfect Rx to get them out of their funk.
—
Starting Pitcher Chart August 12
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | at STL | R | x | x | x | 110.1 | 2.69 | 0.98 | 31% | 24% | 21% | 24 |
| 2 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | at TOR | L | x | x | x | 103 | 3.32 | 1.17 | 25% | 18% | 21% | 30 |
| 3 | Drew Rasmussen | TBR | at ATH | R | x | x | x | 124.1 | 2.75 | 0.91 | 27% | 22% | 22% | 18 |
| 4 | Foster Griffin | CLE | at DET | L | x | x | x | 133.1 | 3.31 | 1.11 | 22% | 17% | 23% | 10 |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | DET | v. CLE | L | x | x | x | 127.1 | 4.17 | 1.37 | 18% | 10% | 23% | 26 |
| 6 | Bryce Miller | SEA | at NYY | R | x | x | x | 79 | 3.08 | 0.95 | 26% | 21% | 24% | 13 |
| 7 | Robbie Ray | SDP | v. MIL | L | x | x | x | 127.2 | 3.24 | 1.33 | 20% | 9% | 21% | 21 |
| 8 | Zac Thornton | NYM | at ATL | L | x | x | x | 39.1 | 2.52 | 1.07 | 18% | 10% | 21% | 16 |
| 9 | Shane Baz | BAL | at MIN | R | x | x | x | 136.1 | 3.76 | 1.32 | 21% | 13% | 21% | 8 |
| 10 | Will Warren | NYY | v. SEA | R | x | x | x | 114 | 4.18 | 1.37 | 23% | 16% | 23% | 11 |
| 11 | José Soriano | TOR | v. BOS | R | x | x | 127.2 | 3.24 | 1.26 | 24% | 13% | 22% | 26 | |
| 12 | Tyler Mahle | ATL | v. NYM | R | x | x | 100.2 | 4.83 | 1.36 | 23% | 14% | 23% | 28 | |
| 13 | Eric Lauer | LAD | v. KCR | L | x | x | 92 | 4.89 | 1.26 | 15% | 7% | 21% | 17 | |
| 14 | Dustin May | MIL | at SDP | R | x | x | 115 | 4.30 | 1.27 | 23% | 15% | 22% | 19 | |
| 15 | Kyle Leahy | STL | v. PHI | R | x | x | 112.1 | 3.45 | 1.34 | 21% | 13% | 23% | 25 | |
| 16 | Carmen Mlodzinski | PIT | at MIA | R | x | x | 97.1 | 3.51 | 1.36 | 18% | 11% | 21% | 16 | |
| 17 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | v. COL | R | x | x | 120 | 4.88 | 1.47 | 15% | 6% | 22% | 23 | |
| 18 | David Peterson | CHC | at WSN | L | x | x | 106 | 5.35 | 1.50 | 18% | 9% | 24% | 2 | |
| 19 | Cal Quantrill | TEX | at LAA | R | x | x | 65.2 | 3.56 | 1.19 | 16% | 9% | 25% | 27 | |
| 20 | FW: Ronel Blanco | HOU | at SFG | R | x | x | 19.1 | 6.98 | 1.34 | 21% | 7% | 20% | 14 | |
| 21 | Janson Junk | MIA | v. PIT | R | x | 81.2 | 4.63 | 1.36 | 18% | 11% | 24% | 2 | ||
| 22 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | v. BAL | R | x | 86 | 5.23 | 1.34 | 20% | 12% | 24% | 15 | ||
| 23 | Luis Castillo | CHW | v. CIN | R | x | 103.2 | 5.30 | 1.41 | 20% | 13% | 25% | 30 | ||
| 24 | Ryan Feltner | COL | at ARI | R | 82 | 5.71 | 1.45 | 16% | 7% | 20% | 29 | |||
| 25 | Jack Perkins | ATH | v. TBR | R | 76.2 | 7.04 | 1.45 | 26% | 17% | 20% | 3 | |||
| 26 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | at CHW | R | 89 | 5.26 | 1.48 | 18% | 9% | 24% | 12 | |||
| 27 | George Klassen | LAA | v. TEX | R | 8.2 | 7.27 | 2.88 | 17% | -10% | 22% | 17 | |||
| 28 | Adrian Houser | SFG | v. HOU | R | 97 | 4.55 | 1.37 | 15% | 8% | 22% | 4 | |||
| 29 | FW: Mason Black | KCR | at LAD | R | 22.2 | 3.57 | 1.59 | 17% | 3% | 21% | 1 | |||
| 30 | Jackson Kent | WSN | v. CHC | L | 22% | 1 |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues | FW: Follower
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
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- Green – Good Matchup (lower OPS output by SP opponent) – 21st to 30th
- Yellow – OK – 11th to 20th
- Red – Bad – 1st to 10th
There’s no real reason to keep Luis Castillo around anymore, right? He had that stretch which had me hopeful, but seems his out of gas. Sadly now a true talent ~4.45 ERA pitcher? With sub 8 K/9? eek
OFC, I also have Zebby (dynasty league) and Ronel Blanco (who i irrationally love), and Nootbar just taking up space, so not sure the urgency here. lol
No real wind. Even Sacramento is only 4 out to L center
Rain:
Slight chances in STL, DET, WAS, ATL, CHW but nothing too serious