Ottoneu Top 75 Outfielders for 2020

Using a format similar to the one Paul Sporer recently posted for 2020 Roto player rankings, below is the 2020 ranking of the Top 75 Outfielders for Ottoneu fantasy baseball.  Ottoneu leagues are auction style, but with no salaries listed (league dependent), think of these lists as simplified “snake draft” rankings (“which player would I take before the next”), or a value ranking of players above replacement level for 2020. Players with multi-position eligibility may receive a slight bump in value (2020 positions listed).  You can reference average Ottoneu player salaries here, but keep in mind these salaries fluctuate throughout the winter as rosters shape up towards the January 31st keeper deadline for all leagues.

Previous 2020 Ottoneu rankings:

First Base

Third Base

Middle Infielders

Shortstop

Second Base

Since a majority of Ottoneu leagues are points leagues (offense based on linear weights), you’ll notice speed is less of a factor here than traditional rotisserie rankings.  Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, this list might be a good proxy for OBP, OPS, or sabermetric leagues, so keep that context in mind as you review.  If I’ve missed an important player, or you believe I’ve wildly over or under-valued someone, please let me know in the comments and I’ll be sure to update.

In 2019, the 57 qualified outfielders averaged the following production:

    • 5.83 Points Per Game (P/G)
    • 26 HR
    • 9.3% BB%
    • 20.7% K%
    • .216 ISO
    • .272 AVG
    • .348 OBP
    • .489 SLG
    • .350 wOBA
    • 117 wRC+

 

Ottoneu 2020 Top 75 Outfielders
RK Player 2020 POS Outlook
1 Mike Trout OF We’re watching the best player of all time, and he’s still underrated (.455 xwOBA)
2 Christian Yelich OF His 9.56 P/G sets the new bar for best overall Ottoneu season, above Trout, Betts (2018), Harper (2015)
3 Cody Bellinger 1B/OF One of only six players above 8.0+ Points per Game; only 24 y/o + 1B
4 Juan Soto OF Back to back .390+ wOBA seasons at just age 20; ceiling is unknown, and he’s now safer than those below
5 Mookie Betts OF 2nd half rebound + xwOBA (.408) + Age 27 + Free Agency put Betts on path for MVP again
6 J.D. Martinez OF Remains a Statcast stalwart and a safe bet to post ~.400 wOBA after career best contact rate
7 Aaron Judge OF With a .430 wOBA on his resume (2017) and the 6th best Barrels/PA% (2019), Judge is still easy Tier 2 OF
8 Ronald Acuna Jr. OF Raw 40/40 skills play up in Roto and can take him just about anywhere up this list going forward
9 George Springer OF Career-best BB% and Hard Hit % support huge 2019 breakout should continue
10 Bryce Harper OF 2015 campaign (.461 wOBA) sticks out but another MVP season could be lurking at age 27
11 Yordan Alvarez OF Statcast .602 xSLG proves this is an elite player, but playoff fade causes slight hesitation
12 Ketel Marte 2B/SS/OF BABIP will regress but xwOBA (.370) supports significant skills growth will remain
13 Kris Bryant 3B/OF Still an elite hitter but the hope of a true .400 wOBA+ breakout is quietly fading
14 Eloy Jimenez OF Prospect pedigree on full display in September (.370 ISO) and bodes well for big 2020
15 Joey Gallo OF Expect .370 wOBA range when BABIP falls (.368), but there’s evidence of developmental upside here
16 Charlie Blackmon OF Expect 2018 repeat (.368 wOBA) but know he’s essentially expensive platoon risk (87 wRC+ on road)
17 Austin Meadows OF Outside of June he was a consistent monster, and at age 25, this profile is safe, with upside
18 Jorge Soler OF A top 15 xwOBA (.392), this bold breakout looks to stick as Soler barrels the ball better than most
19 Giancarlo Stanton OF Assumes 2018 season (.852 OPS) is reasonable but zero confidence he plays another 150+ games
20 Michael Conforto OF A professional, safe hitter that seems like he has that one big season still in his pocket
21 Kyle Schwarber OF A top 20 player in the 2nd half by wRC+ (151), he still does most of his damage vs. RHP
22 Marcell Ozuna OF His .382 xwOBA says he was unlucky last season, so he should be solid wherever he signs
23 Michael Brantley OF Led all OF in Z-contact rate (95.8%), a safe bet for an ~.850 OPS over 140 games
24 Trey Mancini 1B/OF A quietly excellent season on a bad team, supported by .364 xwOBA
25 Tommy Pham OF Now in SD, Pham should be good for another 20/20 season if groundball rates don’t regress
26 Jeff McNeil 2B/3B/OF Hit 20 of 23 HR vs. RHP; expect shift adjustments in 2020 that could impact power output
27 Nicholas Castellanos OF Back to back seasons of .850+ OPS, so expect more of the same while he’s in his prime
28 Andrew McCutchen OF Only 33, Cutch still possesses skills to repeat 2017 (.360 wOBA, 28 HR), so he could be draft day bargain
29 Max Kepler OF Pulled the ball more than any other OF in 2019 (53%), HR/FB doubled, 2nd behind Trout in fly ball rate
30 Ramon Laureano OF K rates dropped and BB rates jumped in 2nd half; this is a good young player about to take another step
31 Bryan Reynolds OF Reynolds won’t repeat a .426 1st half BABIP, but he’s a professional hitter that still looks underrated
32 Starling Marte OF His best season since 2016, almost certain to be traded; he’s a solid OF3
33 Joc Pederson 1B/OF There’s 40 HR power here, but has tendency to streak; Statcast suggests he overachieved a bit
34 Whit Merrifield 2B/OF Near lock for 700+ PA’s and OPS around .800; speed may continue slowing now entering 30’s
35 Andrew Benintendi OF Took a disappointing full step back from 2018 but he’s 25, has a solid floor, and likely another gear
36 Hunter Dozier 1B/3B/OF Top seven in Hard Hit % makes 2019 breakout appear real; 3B/OF helps
37 Franmil Reyes OF Led OF in swinging strike rate (17.8%) but he’s still a good bet to improve in 2020; leash is short in SD
38 Mitch Haniger OF He’ll play at 29 and if fully recovered a rebound towards his 2017 season could pay nicely here
39 Mark Canha 1B/OF Three consecutive seasons of outside swing rate improvements make this look legit; .362 xwOBA helps
40 Eddie Rosario OF Walking less (3.4%) but hitting the ball harder (38.8%), expect something closer to 2017 (27 HR, .836 OPS)
41 Brandon Belt 1B/OF General profile still looks solid, so 2019 fall likely BABIP related; good bet to rebound for a profit
42 Jesse Winker OF With .887 OPS vs. RHP and .443 OPS vs. LHP, the flux of CIN OF will dictate Winker’s platoon value
43 Adam Eaton OF Solidly average, he’ll play 2020 at age 31 and should finish right around a .340 wOBA
44 Willie Calhoun OF A bat-only former top prospect, Calhoun has sneaky 30+ HR power and makes a lot of contact
45 Avisail Garcia OF Has improved his hard hit rate every consecutive season since 2014; only 28, MIL could be perfect fit
46 Luis Robert OF Expected to break camp, he could fall anywhere here; expect ups and downs but the power/speed is real
47 Stephen Piscotty OF Needs health more than any other factor to deliver value, but just one season removed from 27 HR
47 David Peralta OF If you buy Statcast, Peralta overperformed (.338 wOBA vs. .301 xwOBA); another 30 HR are in doubt
49 Alex Verdugo OF Would be a steady OF5 with upside if given full time AB’s, but that’s the problem
50 Brandon Lowe 1B/2B/OF MiLB stats provide home for strong OBP floor; one of just five 2B with xSLG above .500 in 2019
51 J.D. Davis 3B/OF A Statcast darling (.383 xwOBA), Davis could deliver lots of profit if given the playing time
52 Yasiel Puig OF Currently unsigned, Steamer projects 29 HR and .817 OPS, but I’d take the under
53 Shin-Soo Choo OF He just keeps hitting (.353 wOBA), but at age 37, it’s safe to expect a slow down
54 Nick Senzel OF With shoulder fully healed and decision to go back to old swing, Senzel could breakout, with 2B an option too
55 Nomar Mazara OF High longest HR of 2019 (505 ft.); a change of scenary in CHW might be perfect, but likely platoon for now
56 Luis Arraez 2B/3B/OF Age 22 MLB BB/K rate of 1.24 makes him a high floor sleeper if any power develops
57 Cavan Biggio 2B/OF Elite approach and zone awareness make him a candidate for late-development power improvement
58 Brian Anderson 3B/OF Hit .284/.355/.568 in 39 second half games and remains widely underrated
59 Corey Dickerson OF A solid signing for MIA, he should get plenty of above average AB’s
60 Nick Solak 2B/3B/OF Excellent small sample debut (.375 wOBA in 33 games) bodes well for above average production
61 Kyle Tucker OF With 225 games in AAA, Tucker is just waiting for opportunity; he could be well above average immediately
62 David Dahl OF .413 wOBA and 20% K% at home, but .313 and 33% K% on road; talented but has never played more than 100 games
63 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2B/OF Likely to be streaky, but stats should add up to a starting 2B in 12+ team leagues
64 Justin Upton OF A chronic knee problem puts any kind of return to a 30 HR season at risk
65 Brandon Nimmo OF Steamer pegs Nimmo for .757 OPS over 120 games; I’d take the over on OPS but under on games
66 Byron Buxton OF Shoulder surgery ended season in Sept. but was hitting well (.340 wOBA); Statcast is more skeptical (.309 xwOBA)
67 Mike Yastrzemski OF A late bloomer (28), but there’s enough here to suggest he could be a solid OF for several more seasons
68 Domingo Santana OF Matched Mike Trout in line drive rate (26.6%); K% (32%) puts pressure on real breakout potential
69 Ryan Braun OF Still hits the ball hard (45.7%) but even with part-time move to 1B, expect a career low games played in 2020 (age 36)
70 Lorenzo Cain OF Career low BABIP ruined his age 33 season, so expect a slight positive rebound
71 Kole Calhoun OF Pulled the ball almost 60% of the time in the 2nd half; maybe that will play up in ARI
72 Trent Grisham OF Destroyed high minors after going back to an old grip; there’s big upside here as LHH in SD OF mix
73 Jordan Luplow OF A must start vs. LHP (.417 wOBA), but solid MiLB track record suggests sleeper potential if full time AB’s come in CLE
74 Ian Happ 2B/3B/OF Still just 25, but he hits the ball hard (.526 xSLG) and just needs the playing time in CHC to jump
75 Hunter Renfroe OF A nightmare 2nd half (36.6% K%) derailed his season, but there’s still some hope TB can fix it for a full one
Offense in Ottoneu points leagues are based on linear weights.

Just missing this list:

Shogo Akiyama (OF)

Tommy Edman (2B/3B/OF)

Victor Robles (OF)

Gregory Polanco (OF)

Jo Adell (OF)

Aristides Aquino (OF)

We hoped you liked reading Ottoneu Top 75 Outfielders for 2020 by Trey Baughn!

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Trey is a 20+ year fantasy veteran and an early adopter of Ottoneu fantasy sports. He currently administers the Ottoneu community, a network of ~1,200 fantasy baseball and football fans talking sports daily. More resources here: http://community.ottoneu.com

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Re: Franmil Reyes, “leash is short in SD” – how does your view change with him in Cleveland?