MASH Report (3/4/13)
I have been working my way through Dr. James Andrew’s book, Any Given Monday. Here are his top seven myths surrounding sports medicine.
#1: Tommy John surgery will improve pitching performance.
A few quotes on this subject
I cannot be clearer about this: There is nothing that sports medicine can do for a throwing arm that is better than how the good Lord created it. There is no surgery that enhances performance. It simply doesn’t exist. If the body entered this world whole and healthy, you can never repair something in the body to make it better than its original condition. It’s just not possible. Cutting something always makes it weaker. I cannot stress this enough: A healthy pitching arm will always be more stable and more capable than one that has been operated on.
On pitchers come back throwing better
Yes it is true that many pitchers do see an upswing in their pitching speeds after undergoing the surgery….Pitching improves because of the type of reconditioning and physical therapy that the athlete undergoes as he heals from the procedure.
#2: Certain other orthopedic surgeries will actually increase overall joint capabilities and, ultimately, performance.
See Myth 1
#3: There is sufficient medical oversight in scholastic athletic leagues.
#4: No pain, no gain.
To put it bluntly, no child or teen should ever play with pain. Period. If the body is alerting the brain that something is wrong, the brain should listen. Parents, coaches, and players all need to remember that nothing is more important than the the athlete’s health.
#5: The earlier a child begins a sport and the more he or she practices, the better the chances are for a scholarship or professional career.
While I am certainly an advocate of organized sports, this level [four to five hours a day] of intensity at such a young age is neither healthy or beneficial to the child’s overall health and long-term career prospects….Variance in motion is far more beneficial to a child than concentrated and repetitive instruction at a young age.
#6: Fast-pitch softball, with its windmill delivery, can’t produce injuries to the thrower’s shoulder or elbow.
Pitching limits matter in softball as much as they do in baseball.
#7: The sooner the problem can be diagnosed, the sooner the athlete can return to the game.
Sometimes the problem faced by young athletes is not an injury at all — it’s burnout … They recognize that their parents or coaches or siblings might not react well to the news that they don’t want a future in the sport, so they read up on injuries that would force them to take some time off. They know the causes, they know the symptoms, they know the right complaint to get them out of the starting lineup and into the doctor’s office – anything for a break. And I don’t blame them.
Recent injury data
• Chris Perez has a strained right shoulder. He is off for 7-10 days and will likely not be ready for the start of the season.
• Martin Perez is out with a broken forearm and won’t begin throwing for 4 weeks. He will likely return, at the earliest, in early May.
• Matt Garza will start the season on the DL and says he will be ready by April. This injury has been full of the return date getting pushed back and back. I would not be surprised if it gets pushed back again.
• Carl Crawford is unlikely to be ready for opening day according to Dodgers manager, Don Mattingly. Replacement pool contains Hairston, Castellanos and Schumaker.
• Looks like Johan Santana will not be ready by opening day. Like Garza, Don’t expect it to be the last time his date is pushed back.
• Frank Francisco, elbow inflammation, will likely not be the Mets closer on opening day. Bobby Parnell will likely get the closer role and can keep it if he is effective stated Terry Collins.
• Ryan Zimmerman is making progress after shoulder surgery.
• David Ortiz is still having problems with his Achilles tendon. He easily may not be ready for opening day with more information to be coming out within the next few days.
• Christian Garcia may miss opening day because of a partially torn tendon. He was vying for 5th starter position with the Nationals. Garcia’s career has been full of injuries including two TJ surgeries.
Here is some great medical lingo from the article
The Nationals had been calling Garcia’s ailment a “strain,” and the partial-tear diagnosis is only a more specific label — all strains are small tears.
• Chad Billingsley’s fastball speed is at 2012 levels (91.6 mph on Saturday). He is trying to pitch with a torn UCL.
• Russell Martin is dealing with a sore right shoulder.
• Franklin Gutierrez is feeling healthy after being on the DL four times during the last 2 seasons.
Player Return Timetables
| Name | Injury | Injury/Surgery Date | Early Return Date | Later Return date | Status | Source(s) |
| Scott Baker | TJS | 4/17/12 | Mid April | May | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| Grant Balfour | Knee | 2/14/13 | Late March | Middle April | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| Brandon Beachy | TJS | 6/21/12 | Mid June | Mid June | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Lance Berkman | Knee | 10/1/12 | Late April | Mid March | Working out | (1) |
| Jeremy Bonderman | TJS | 04/24/12 | Late March | Late March | Healthy | (1) |
| Tim Byrdak | Shoulder Surgery | 07/01/12 | Early July | Early July | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
| Edwar Cabrera (**) | Shoulder | 08/01/12 | Mid March | Unknown | Unknown | (1) |
| Chris Carpenter (**) | Nerve | 02/05/13 | September | Retire | Rest | (1) |
| Andrew Cashner | Thumb laceration | 1/25/13 | Late March | May | Rest | (1) |
| Carl Crawford | TJS | 8/23/12 | Late March | Early April | Throwing | (1) |
| Scott Diamond | Elbow Surgery | 10/1/12 | Early April | Early May | Unknown | (1) |
| Kyle Drabek (**) | TJS | 6/19/12 | Mid Season | Mid Season | Unknown | (1) |
| Danny Duffy | TJS | 6/13/12 | Early June | All Star Game | Throwing | (1) |
| Neftali Feliz | TJS | 8/1/12 | July | August | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Frank Francisco | Elbow | 2/14/13 | Late March | Early April | Throwing | (1) |
| Rafael Furcal | Elbow | 2/20/13 | Mid March | Mid April | Rest | (1) |
| Mat Gamel | Knee | 2/18/13 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Matt Garza | Strained Lat | 2/21/13 | April | April | Throwing | (1) |
| Curtis Granderson | Right forearm | 2/24/13 | Early May | Middle May | Rest | (1) |
| Corey Hart | Right knee surgery | 1/26/13 | Late April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Daniel Hudson (**) | TJS | 7/9/12 | July | July | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Phil Hughes | Bulging Disk | 2/28/13 | Late March | Middle April | Rest | (1) |
| Drew Hutchison | TJS | 08/08/12 | August | October | Rehabilitation | (1) |
| Derek Jeter | Fractured Left Ankle | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Fielding | (1) |
| Ryan Kalish (**) | Shoulder Surgery | 1/25/13 | Early April | Unknown | Rest | (1) |
| Matt Kemp | Shoulder | 8/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Light Training | (1) |
| Colby Lewis | Elbow Surgery | 7/1/12 | Late May | June | Throwing | (1) |
| Francisco Liriano | Broken humerus | 12/1/12 | Early April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Cory Luebke | TJS | 5/23/12 | July | July | Unknown | (1) |
| Ryan Madson | TJS | 04/11/12 | April | May | Rest | (1) |
| Nick Masset | Shoulder Surgery | 09/07/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
| Jeff Mathis | Broken Collarbone | 02/23/13 | Mid March | Mid March | Rest | (1) |
| Brian McCann | Torn labrum | 7/4/12 | April | April | Batting Practice | (1) |
| Logan Morrison | Knee | 9/1/12 | Late March | Late April | Light Training | (1) |
| Charlie Morton | TJS | 06/21/12 | June | Unknown | Throwing | (1) |
| David Ortiz | Achilles | 03/03/13 | Late March | April | Hitting | (1) |
| Juan Oviedo | TJS | 09/06/12 | September | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Felipe Paulino (**) | TJS | 7/3/12 | Early July | Early July | Throwing | (1) |
| Carl Pavano | Ruptured spleen | 1/25/13 | Late March | Mid April | Rest | (1) |
| Mike Pelfrey | TJS | 05/01/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
| Chris Perez | Strained Shoulder | 03/01/13 | Late March | Early April | Rest | (1) |
| Luis Perez (**) | TJS | 7/1/12 | Early July | Early September | Rest | UNK |
| Martin Perez | Broken Forearm | 03/03/13 | Late April | Late May | Rest | (1) |
| Michael Pineda | Shoulder Surgery | 5/1/12 | June | Early July | Rest | (1) |
| Wilson Ramos | ACL | 5/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Catching | (1) |
| Alex Rodriguez (**) | Hip surgery | 1/16/13 | Early July | 2014 season | Rest | (1)(2) |
| CC Sabathia | Bone Spur | 10/1/12 | Late March | Late March | Throwing | (1) |
| Johan Santana | Back | 2/25/13 | Late March | Middle April | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| George Sherrill | TJS | 5/1/11 | Late April | May | Bullpen Sessions | (1) |
| Joakim Soria | TJS | 4/2/12 | Late May | Early June | Playing Catch | (1) |
| Eric Surkamp | TJS | 07/24/12 | Late July | September | Unknown | (1) |
| Tsuyoshi Wada | TJS | 05/11/12 | May | June | Throwing off mound | (1) |
| Josh Tomlin (**) | TJS | 08/22/12 | August | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Joe Wieland (**) | TJS | 07/27/12 | Early August | 2014 | Catch | (1) |
| Brian Wilson | TJS | 4/19/12 | Unknown | Unknown | Not ready to pitch | (1) |
| Randy Wolf | TJS | 10/30/12 | 2014 | 2014 | Rest | (1) |
| Delmon Young | Right ankle | 10/1/12 | Mid April | Early May | Rest | (1) |
* Player is officially on the 15-day disabled list
** Player is officially on the 60-day disabled list
Pitchers with Velocity Drops
| Name | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
| Jeremy Bonderman | 87.0 | 89.8 | ||
| Louis Coleman | 88.0 | 90.3 | 89.6 | |
| Kelvin Herrera | 95.9 | 98.5 | 96.2 | |
| Greg Holland | 93.9 | 96.1 | 94.9 | 95.8 |
| Joe Nathan | 91.9 | 94.0 | 92.3 | |
| Alexi Ogando | 93.1 | 96.9 | 95.0 | 96.2 |
| Mike Pelfrey | 88.0 | 93.5 | 92.2 | 92.0 |
| Oliver Perez | 90.7 | 93.7 | 88.0 | 90.0 |
| Stephen Pryor | 92.0 | 96.6 | ||
| Addison Reed | 92.5 | 94.6 | 94.9 | |
| Clayton Richardson | 88.5 | 90.7 | 90.4 | 91.3 |
| Joe Saunders | 84.0 | 88.9 | 89.6 | 90.5 |
For reference, fastball speeds stabilize quickly and spring training values are on average 0.6 mph slower than the regular season.
Players Returning From Injury
No information yet.
Players Playing Through Injuries
| Name | Injury | Source |
| Hanley Ramirez | Shoulder | (1) |
| Will Middlebrooks | Wrist | (1) |
| Nolan Reimold | Shoulder | (1) |
| Russell Martin | Shoulder | (1) |
Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:
Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Dustin Ackley, Matt LaPorta and Howie Kendrick
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Note that the Pitch F/X velocity readings for Kansas City are usually high. That might explain Coleman / Herrera / Holland being on the velocity drop list.
That’s a relief (pun intended). I am targeting Holland in many of my fantasy drafts and I just got a little disapointed with that volocity report. Deffinitly something to watch. Anyone have thoughts on Nathan and Reed?
It is definately something to consider. The Royals gun read lower after a couple of weekend. In 2011, it was way high.
How are you liking that book? I was looking forward to it — I was hoping for some insights, maybe some interesting anecdotes from his career. Instead, over half of the book is just a list of common sports injuries for every youth sport or activity. After a couple of these “chapters”, I realized that sports that involved lots of throwing tended to produce shoulder and arm injuries, and sports that involved girls running and cutting produce a lot of ACL injuries. Sports involving flying objects or full-contact produce a lot of concussions. And so on.
I felt it was a pretty tedious and uninteresting read, and was really disappointed with it.
I agree it is pretty kid/parent centered. I am a little disappointed.
So are your parents, probably.
(Kidding)
Is there a site available to find information on spring training average velocity? If not, can someone write an article showing the top 10 pitchers with drops and rises in velocity later on this spring?
I use brooksbaseball.net for the most of the ST velocities (some I get from reading articles). The problem is only 2 stadiums have Pitchf/x install, so only a few numbers of games can be examined.
Went on the site and I see how annoying it is to click on each game and find out which games have information. Just to be sure is it only at Texas and Seattle?
LOVE these MASH reports. Keep em coming. Most helpful article I’ve seen in weeks from any fantasy site.
Yeah, this is great. Very informative with a great layout. I hope this continues throughout the regular season.
I am going to try during the season. It may change a bit depending on the amount of information I need to digest.
Regarding Myth #1, I wonder if healthy pitchers have tried going through the equivalent of TJS rehab over an offseason, and if so, what sort of results they saw.
I was thinking the same thing. If the recovery program builds velocity well then I would think that a healthy pitcher should do some of the same workouts to build velocity. Makes sense to me.
1) Pitchers come back better because the baseline they are comparing to is usually an already injured arm.
4) No pain, no gain is not supposed to be taken literally, and probably 99.9% of the population realizes that.
5) The comment doesn’t really address the myth. The earlier you start, the better off you are. The more you practice, the better you are. Going back to my previous 99.9% exception, these two statements are almost always true. If you watch elementary school sports, you’d be surprised at how quickly the learning curve passes you by. Which is not to say you can’t join and get better, but in B-ball, that is usually only for the really tall kids who can always get a rebound and block a shot.
Great injury report, but I am always suspect of the guns in ST. And the Berkman dates can’t be right. Maybe they are reversed?
Just out of curiosity why might Brandon Beachy who had TJS on 6/21/12 have a return eta of mid June while Cory Luebke who had TJS on 5/23/12 have a return eta of July. Did Luebke have a minor setback?
Once again thanks Jeff and I hope you keep this post coming throughout the season.
You posted this article in a MASH report from a few weeks ago: http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2013/feb/10/Luebke-Wieland-Padres-spring/
Saying he may be back by early June so that basically answers my question.
It’s Any Given Monday, not Sunday. Was wondering why Amazon didn’t sell it. Great post, thanks for the tip.