Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Relief Pitchers

Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

The Ottoneu rankings push finally wraps up with a look at relief pitchers. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP

Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/IP. Points per innings pitched is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating pitchers in Ottoneu but there are plenty of factors that will affect a player’s ranking outside of their raw projection. Injury risk, projected playing time and role, age, and future value are all things that need to be taken into account when evaluating pitchers.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected P/IP but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier.

Here are my general thoughts about relief pitchers in Ottoneu points and 4×4 leagues: underlying skills matter a lot more than a pitcher’s place in the bullpen pecking order. Chasing saves isn’t as important as it might be in 5×5 leagues where saves make up 20% of the pitching categories. Teams will generally use their most skilled relievers in the highest leverage situations which means if you target relievers with strong skills, saves and holds (and the bonus points associated with them in Ottoneu points leagues) will follow.

Relievers are also the most volatile part of your roster and they’re the most fungible players in the format. That means even if you invest heavily to build an elite bullpen, a team who spends $10 total on 5 or 6 relievers could outperform your team if they find the right mix of breakouts and sleepers. Be ready to churn through a bunch of relievers throughout the season as pitchers get hurt or lose their effectiveness. That process is so much easier if you’re not invested into a bunch of high priced closers.

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Ottoneu Points RP Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Projected Role Projected Pts Pts/IP
$21-$27 1 Mason Miller CL 614.8 9.66
$15-$20 2 Aroldis Chapman CL 547.5 9.22
$15-$20 3 Edwin Díaz CL 590.2 9.14
$15-$20 4 Cade Smith CL 643.9 9.04
$15-$20 5 Andrés Muñoz CL 563.3 8.96
$15-$20 6 Jhoan Duran CL 612.2 8.84
$10-$14 7 Devin Williams CL 536.5 8.66
$10-$14 8 Abner Uribe CL 618.1 8.56
$10-$14 9 Josh Hader CL 507.6 8.50
$10-$14 10 David Bednar CL 537.7 8.48
$6-$9 11 Ryan Walker CL 498.0 7.95
$6-$9 12 Daniel Palencia CL 481.4 7.91
$6-$9 13 Riley O’Brien CL? 447.5 7.83
$6-$9 14 Pete Fairbanks CL 468.0 7.83
$6-$9 15 Raisel Iglesias CL 501.6 7.77
$6-$9 16 Dennis Santana CL 526.7 7.76
$6-$9 17 Seranthony Domínguez CL 471.5 7.66
$6-$9 18 Emilio Pagán CL 493.8 7.58
$6-$9 19 Robert Garcia CL 475.3 7.56
$6-$9 20 Bryan Abreu SU8 524.7 7.55
$6-$9 21 Ryan Helsley CL 449.4 7.47
$6-$9 22 Gabe Speier MID 433.2 7.44
$6-$9 23 Jeff Hoffman CL 477.3 7.41
$6-$9 24 Griffin Jax CL? 489.8 7.37
$6-$9 25 Garrett Whitlock SU8 516.4 7.28
$6-$9 26 Adrian Morejon SU8 504.0 7.25
$3-$5 27 Clayton Beeter CL? 441.1 7.52
$3-$5 28 Trevor Megill SU8 409.4 7.19
$3-$5 29 Carlos Estévez CL 458.1 7.19
$3-$5 30 Grant Taylor SU8 459.6 7.10
$3-$5 31 Matt Brash SU8 404.6 7.06
$3-$5 32 Fernando Cruz SU7 385.7 7.04
$3-$5 33 Garrett Cleavinger CL? 441.2 7.04
$3-$5 34 Jeremiah Estrada SU7 493.7 7.01
$3-$5 35 Phil Maton SU8 433.2 6.99
$3-$5 36 Robert Suarez SU8 454.7 6.92
$3-$5 37 Will Vest SU8 465.6 6.90
$1-$2 38 Robert Stephenson CL? 398.9 7.39
$1-$2 39 Justin Topa CL? 425.2 7.16
$1-$2 40 Andrew Saalfrank CL 367.8 7.00
$1-$2 41 Hogan Harris CL? 507.1 6.94
$1-$2 42 Hunter Harvey SU7 349.5 6.90
$1-$2 43 Victor Vodnik CL 403.9 6.89
$1-$2 44 Shawn Armstrong SU7 467.4 6.84
$1-$2 45 Brendon Little MID 416.1 6.79
$1-$2 46 Alex Vesia SU7 409.2 6.76
$1-$2 47 Matt Svanson SU7 439.8 6.75
$1-$2 48 Camilo Doval SU8 435.6 6.75
$1-$2 49 Jose A. Ferrer SU7 487.7 6.74
$1-$2 50 Aaron Ashby MID 469.2 6.74
$1-$2 51 Matt Strahm SU7 423.3 6.70
$1-$2 52 José Alvarado SU8 352.8 6.64
$1-$2 53 A.J. Minter SU7 360.0 6.61
$1-$2 54 Eduard Bazardo MID 471.1 6.59
$1-$2 55 Edwin Uceta CL? 475.1 6.58
$1-$2 56 Gregory Soto SU8 390.8 6.58
$1-$2 57 Louis Varland MID 534.4 6.55
$1-$2 58 Jared Koenig SU7 438.5 6.54
$1-$2 59 Orion Kerkering MID 404.2 6.53
$1-$2 60 Yimi García SU8 321.9 6.52
$1-$2 61 JoJo Romero CL? 401.2 6.50
$1-$2 62 Andrew Kittredge SU8 384.9 6.46
$1-$2 63 Erik Sabrowski MID 327.3 6.46
$1-$2 64 Brad Keller SU7 460.1 6.40
$1-$2 65 Chris Martin SU8 304.9 6.36
$1-$2 66 Kyle Finnegan SU7 377.0 6.33
$1-$2 67 Tanner Scott SU8 380.0 6.25
$1-$2 68 Luke Weaver SU8 414.9 6.22
$1-$2 69 Kenley Jansen CL? 353.0 6.15
$1-$2 70 Hunter Gaddis SU8 430.9 6.14
$0-$1 71 Randy Rodríguez INJ 375.1 7.44
$0-$1 72 Félix Bautista INJ 227.5 7.40
$0-$1 73 Ronny Henriquez INJ 519.5 7.05
$0-$1 74 Justin Martinez INJ 316.2 7.05
$0-$1 75 Taylor Rogers CL? 385.8 7.03
$0-$1 76 Jason Adam INJ 384.5 6.81
$0-$1 77 Evan Phillips INJ 266.8 6.66
$0-$1 78 Ben Joyce INJ 258.9 6.64
$0-$1 79 Aaron Bummer MID 369.0 6.61
$0-$1 80 Graham Ashcraft SU7 422.0 6.46
$0-$1 81 Joe Jimenez INJ 279.8 6.40
$0-$1 82 Anthony Bender MID 351.0 6.40
$0-$1 83 Lucas Erceg SU8 385.3 6.38
$0-$1 84 Caleb Ferguson MID 383.2 6.37
$0-$1 85 Tyler Kinley MID 414.3 6.33
$0-$1 86 Brant Hurter MID 432.0 6.31
$0-$1 87 Cole Sands CL? 438.9 6.31
$0-$1 88 Bryan King SU7 412.6 6.26
$0-$1 89 Tyler Rogers SU7 454.2 6.18
$0 90 David Robertson ?? 258.5 6.22
$0 91 Tony Santillan SU8 431.8 6.17
$0 92 Kevin Ginkel SU7 316.3 6.16
$0 93 Justin Slaten SU7 312.7 6.13
$0 94 Huascar Brazobán MID 361.1 6.05
$0 95 Nick Mears MID 343.5 6.03
$0 96 José Buttó MID 392.3 6.01
$0 97 Kirby Yates CL? 295.9 6.00
$0 98 Jordan Leasure SU7 376.8 5.98
$0 99 Justin Sterner CL? 381.7 5.98
$0 100 Mark Leiter Jr. CL? 336.4 5.96
$0 101 Juan Mejia SU7 381.9 5.95
$0 102 Ryan Thompson SU8 315.6 5.93
$0 103 Calvin Faucher SU8 359.7 5.92
$0 104 Brenan Hanifee MID 361.6 5.91
$0 105 Isaac Mattson SU7 345.5 5.91
$0 106 Jimmy Herget SU8 464.4 5.84
$0 107 Yennier Cano ?? 327.4 5.84
$0 108 Tyler Holton MID 439.6 5.81
$0 109 Cole Winn SU7 354.3 5.79
$0 110 Brock Burke MID 354.3 5.74
$0 111 Joel Peguero SU8 312.7 5.66
$0 112 Keegan Akin SU7 364.3 5.64
$0 113 Michael Kopech INJ 357.7 5.61
$0 114 Porter Hodge ?? 277.4 5.57
$0 115 Jordan Romano MID 283.1 5.49
$0 116 Tommy Kahnle ?? 330.5 5.48





Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.

4 Comments
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Hazmat CorntailMember since 2022
10 hours ago

I know the K rate dipped last year, but was there anything else that dropped Erceg into the bottom of the barrel of 8th inning guys?

Hazmat CorntailMember since 2022
9 hours ago

P.s. I’m aware of the shoulder thing he had late last season but haven’t seen any updates since early November, so i didn’t think it was a thing heading into this spring