Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Relief Pitchers

Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

The Ottoneu rankings push finally wraps up with a look at relief pitchers. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Changelog

  • 2/16/2026: Updated projections w/ ZiPS and OOPSY. Updated tier placement for one player (green = moved up, red = moved down).
  • 3/18/2026: Updated tier placement for 19 players based on 2026 draft results. Added Paul Sewald, Brooks Raley, Drew Pomeranz, Mason Montgomery, and Cole Henry.

 


Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP


Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/IP. Points per innings pitched is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating pitchers in Ottoneu but there are plenty of factors that will affect a player’s ranking outside of their raw projection. Injury risk, projected playing time and role, age, and future value are all things that need to be taken into account when evaluating pitchers.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected P/IP but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier.

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Here are my general thoughts about relief pitchers in Ottoneu points and 4×4 leagues: underlying skills matter a lot more than a pitcher’s place in the bullpen pecking order. Chasing saves isn’t as important as it might be in 5×5 leagues where saves make up 20% of the pitching categories. Teams will generally use their most skilled relievers in the highest leverage situations which means if you target relievers with strong skills, saves and holds (and the bonus points associated with them in Ottoneu points leagues) will follow.

Relievers are also the most volatile part of your roster and they’re the most fungible players in the format. That means even if you invest heavily to build an elite bullpen, a team who spends $10 total on 5 or 6 relievers could outperform your team if they find the right mix of breakouts and sleepers. Be ready to churn through a bunch of relievers throughout the season as pitchers get hurt or lose their effectiveness. That process is so much easier if you’re not invested into a bunch of high priced closers.

Ottoneu Points RP Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Projected Role Projected Pts Pts/IP
$21-$27 1 Mason Miller CL 614.8 9.66
$15-$20 2 Aroldis Chapman CL 547.5 9.22
$15-$20 3 Edwin Díaz CL 590.2 9.14
$15-$20 4 Cade Smith CL 643.9 9.04
$15-$20 5 Andrés Muñoz CL 563.3 8.96
$15-$20 6 Jhoan Duran CL 612.2 8.84
$10-$14 7 Devin Williams CL 536.5 8.66
$10-$14 8 Abner Uribe CL? 618.1 8.56
$10-$14 9 David Bednar CL 537.7 8.48
$6-$9 10 Josh Hader INJ 507.6 8.50
$6-$9 11 Ryan Walker CL 498.0 7.95
$6-$9 12 Daniel Palencia CL 481.4 7.91
$6-$9 13 Pete Fairbanks CL 468.0 7.83
$6-$9 14 Raisel Iglesias CL 501.6 7.77
$6-$9 15 Seranthony Domínguez CL 471.5 7.66
$6-$9 16 Emilio Pagán CL 493.8 7.58
$6-$9 17 Bryan Abreu CL 524.7 7.55
$6-$9 18 Ryan Helsley CL 449.4 7.47
$6-$9 19 Jeff Hoffman CL 477.3 7.41
$6-$9 20 Griffin Jax CL? 489.8 7.37
$6-$9 21 Garrett Whitlock SU8 516.4 7.28
$6-$9 22 Adrian Morejon SU8 504.0 7.25
$6-$9 23 Trevor Megill CL? 409.4 7.19
$3-$5 24 Riley O’Brien CL? 447.5 7.83
$3-$5 25 Dennis Santana CL 526.7 7.76
$3-$5 26 Robert Garcia CL 475.3 7.56
$3-$5 27 Clayton Beeter CL? 441.1 7.52
$3-$5 28 Gabe Speier MID 433.2 7.44
$3-$5 29 Carlos Estévez CL 458.1 7.19
$3-$5 30 Grant Taylor SU7 459.6 7.10
$3-$5 31 Matt Brash SU8 404.6 7.06
$3-$5 32 Garrett Cleavinger CL? 441.2 7.04
$3-$5 33 Jeremiah Estrada SU7 493.7 7.01
$3-$5 34 Phil Maton SU8 433.2 6.99
$3-$5 35 Robert Suarez SU8 454.7 6.92
$3-$5 36 Will Vest SU8 465.6 6.90
$3-$5 37 JoJo Romero CL? 401.2 6.50
$3-$5 38 Kenley Jansen CL 353.0 6.15
$1-$2 39 Kevin Ginkel CL? 375.4 7.31
$1-$2 40 Justin Topa MID 425.2 7.16
$1-$2 41 Fernando Cruz SU7 385.7 7.04
$1-$2 42 Taylor Rogers CL 385.8 7.03
$1-$2 43 Hogan Harris CL? 507.1 6.94
$1-$2 44 Hunter Harvey SU7 349.5 6.90
$1-$2 45 Victor Vodnik CL 403.9 6.89
$1-$2 46 Shawn Armstrong SU7 467.4 6.84
$1-$2 47 Jason Adam SU7 384.5 6.81
$1-$2 48 Brendon Little MID 416.1 6.79
$1-$2 49 Paul Sewald CL? 331.2 6.79
$1-$2 50 Alex Vesia SU7 409.2 6.76
$1-$2 51 Matt Svanson CL? 439.8 6.75
$1-$2 52 Camilo Doval SU8 435.6 6.75
$1-$2 53 Jose A. Ferrer SU7 487.7 6.74
$1-$2 54 Aaron Ashby MID 469.2 6.74
$1-$2 55 Brooks Raley 레일리 SU7 337.8 6.73
$1-$2 56 Matt Strahm SU7 423.3 6.70
$1-$2 57 José Alvarado SU8 352.8 6.64
$1-$2 58 Eduard Bazardo MID 471.1 6.59
$1-$2 59 Gregory Soto SU8 390.8 6.58
$1-$2 60 Louis Varland SU7 534.4 6.55
$1-$2 61 Jared Koenig SU7 438.5 6.54
$1-$2 62 Orion Kerkering MID 404.2 6.53
$1-$2 63 Erik Sabrowski MID 327.3 6.46
$1-$2 64 Brad Keller SU7 460.1 6.40
$1-$2 65 Lucas Erceg SU8 385.3 6.38
$1-$2 66 Chris Martin SU8 304.9 6.36
$1-$2 67 Kyle Finnegan SU7 377.0 6.33
$1-$2 68 Tanner Scott SU8 380.0 6.25
$1-$2 69 Luke Weaver SU8 414.9 6.22
$1-$2 70 Hunter Gaddis SU8 430.9 6.14
$0-$1 71 Randy Rodríguez INJ 375.1 7.44
$0-$1 72 Félix Bautista INJ 227.5 7.40
$0-$1 73 Robert Stephenson INJ 398.9 7.39
$0-$1 74 Ronny Henriquez INJ 519.5 7.05
$0-$1 75 Justin Martinez INJ 316.2 7.05
$0-$1 76 Evan Phillips INJ 266.8 6.66
$0-$1 77 Ben Joyce INJ 258.9 6.64
$0-$1 78 A.J. Minter INJ 360.0 6.61
$0-$1 79 Aaron Bummer MID 369.0 6.61
$0-$1 80 Edwin Uceta INJ 475.1 6.58
$0-$1 81 Yimi García INJ 321.9 6.52
$0-$1 82 Drew Pomeranz CL? 347.2 6.50
$0-$1 83 Andrew Kittredge INJ 384.9 6.46
$0-$1 84 Graham Ashcraft SU7 422.0 6.46
$0-$1 85 Joe Jimenez INJ 279.8 6.40
$0-$1 86 Anthony Bender MID 351.0 6.40
$0-$1 87 Caleb Ferguson INJ 383.2 6.37
$0-$1 88 Tyler Kinley MID 414.3 6.33
$0-$1 89 Brant Hurter MID 432.0 6.31
$0-$1 90 Cole Sands SU7 438.9 6.31
$0-$1 91 Bryan King SU8 412.6 6.26
$0-$1 92 Tyler Rogers SU8 454.2 6.18
$0-$1 93 Tony Santillan SU8 431.8 6.17
$0-$1 94 Kirby Yates CL? 295.9 6.00
$0-$1 95 Mason Montgomery MID 384.4 6.09
$0-$1 96 Justin Sterner CL? 381.7 5.98
$0 97 Justin Slaten SU7 312.7 6.13
$0 98 Huascar Brazobán MID 361.1 6.05
$0 99 Nick Mears MID 343.5 6.03
$0 100 José Buttó SU7 392.3 6.01
$0 101 Jordan Leasure SU8 376.8 5.98
$0 102 Mark Leiter Jr. CL? 336.4 5.96
$0 103 Juan Mejia SU7 381.9 5.95
$0 104 Kade Strowd SU7 311.2 5.94
$0 105 Ryan Thompson SU8 315.6 5.93
$0 106 Calvin Faucher SU8 359.7 5.92
$0 107 Brenan Hanifee MID 361.6 5.91
$0 108 Isaac Mattson SU7 345.5 5.91
$0 109 Jimmy Herget SU8 464.4 5.84
$0 110 Yennier Cano SU7 327.4 5.84
$0 111 Tyler Holton MID 439.6 5.81
$0 112 Cole Winn SU7 354.3 5.79
$0 113 Brock Burke MID 354.3 5.74
$0 114 Joel Peguero INJ 312.7 5.66
$0 115 Keegan Akin SU8 364.3 5.64
$0 116 Michael Kopech INJ 357.7 5.61
$0 117 Porter Hodge INJ 277.4 5.57
$0 118 Jordan Romano CL? 283.1 5.49
$0 119 Tommy Kahnle ?? 330.5 5.48
$0 120 Cole Henry CL? 301.5 5.24





Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.

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Hazmat CorntailMember since 2022
2 months ago

I know the K rate dipped last year, but was there anything else that dropped Erceg into the bottom of the barrel of 8th inning guys?

Hazmat CorntailMember since 2022
2 months ago

P.s. I’m aware of the shoulder thing he had late last season but haven’t seen any updates since early November, so i didn’t think it was a thing heading into this spring