Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Relief Pitchers

The Ottoneu rankings push finally wraps up with a look at relief pitchers. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.
Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Here are few more notes about my process:
- Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
- P/IP. Points per innings pitched is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating pitchers in Ottoneu but there are plenty of factors that will affect a player’s ranking outside of their raw projection. Injury risk, projected playing time and role, age, and future value are all things that need to be taken into account when evaluating pitchers.
Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected P/IP but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier.
Here are my general thoughts about relief pitchers in Ottoneu points and 4×4 leagues: underlying skills matter a lot more than a pitcher’s place in the bullpen pecking order. Chasing saves isn’t as important as it might be in 5×5 leagues where saves make up 20% of the pitching categories. Teams will generally use their most skilled relievers in the highest leverage situations which means if you target relievers with strong skills, saves and holds (and the bonus points associated with them in Ottoneu points leagues) will follow.
Relievers are also the most volatile part of your roster and they’re the most fungible players in the format. That means even if you invest heavily to build an elite bullpen, a team who spends $10 total on 5 or 6 relievers could outperform your team if they find the right mix of breakouts and sleepers. Be ready to churn through a bunch of relievers throughout the season as pitchers get hurt or lose their effectiveness. That process is so much easier if you’re not invested into a bunch of high priced closers.
| Tier | Rank | Player | Projected Role | Projected Pts | Pts/IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21-$27 | 1 | Mason Miller | CL | 614.8 | 9.66 |
| $15-$20 | 2 | Aroldis Chapman | CL | 547.5 | 9.22 |
| $15-$20 | 3 | Edwin Díaz | CL | 590.2 | 9.14 |
| $15-$20 | 4 | Cade Smith | CL | 643.9 | 9.04 |
| $15-$20 | 5 | Andrés Muñoz | CL | 563.3 | 8.96 |
| $15-$20 | 6 | Jhoan Duran | CL | 612.2 | 8.84 |
| $10-$14 | 7 | Devin Williams | CL | 536.5 | 8.66 |
| $10-$14 | 8 | Abner Uribe | CL | 618.1 | 8.56 |
| $10-$14 | 9 | Josh Hader | CL | 507.6 | 8.50 |
| $10-$14 | 10 | David Bednar | CL | 537.7 | 8.48 |
| $6-$9 | 11 | Ryan Walker | CL | 498.0 | 7.95 |
| $6-$9 | 12 | Daniel Palencia | CL | 481.4 | 7.91 |
| $6-$9 | 13 | Riley O’Brien | CL? | 447.5 | 7.83 |
| $6-$9 | 14 | Pete Fairbanks | CL | 468.0 | 7.83 |
| $6-$9 | 15 | Raisel Iglesias | CL | 501.6 | 7.77 |
| $6-$9 | 16 | Dennis Santana | CL | 526.7 | 7.76 |
| $6-$9 | 17 | Seranthony Domínguez | CL | 471.5 | 7.66 |
| $6-$9 | 18 | Emilio Pagán | CL | 493.8 | 7.58 |
| $6-$9 | 19 | Robert Garcia | CL | 475.3 | 7.56 |
| $6-$9 | 20 | Bryan Abreu | SU8 | 524.7 | 7.55 |
| $6-$9 | 21 | Ryan Helsley | CL | 449.4 | 7.47 |
| $6-$9 | 22 | Gabe Speier | MID | 433.2 | 7.44 |
| $6-$9 | 23 | Jeff Hoffman | CL | 477.3 | 7.41 |
| $6-$9 | 24 | Griffin Jax | CL? | 489.8 | 7.37 |
| $6-$9 | 25 | Garrett Whitlock | SU8 | 516.4 | 7.28 |
| $6-$9 | 26 | Adrian Morejon | SU8 | 504.0 | 7.25 |
| $3-$5 | 27 | Clayton Beeter | CL? | 441.1 | 7.52 |
| $3-$5 | 28 | Trevor Megill | SU8 | 409.4 | 7.19 |
| $3-$5 | 29 | Carlos Estévez | CL | 458.1 | 7.19 |
| $3-$5 | 30 | Grant Taylor | SU8 | 459.6 | 7.10 |
| $3-$5 | 31 | Matt Brash | SU8 | 404.6 | 7.06 |
| $3-$5 | 32 | Fernando Cruz | SU7 | 385.7 | 7.04 |
| $3-$5 | 33 | Garrett Cleavinger | CL? | 441.2 | 7.04 |
| $3-$5 | 34 | Jeremiah Estrada | SU7 | 493.7 | 7.01 |
| $3-$5 | 35 | Phil Maton | SU8 | 433.2 | 6.99 |
| $3-$5 | 36 | Robert Suarez | SU8 | 454.7 | 6.92 |
| $3-$5 | 37 | Will Vest | SU8 | 465.6 | 6.90 |
| $1-$2 | 38 | Robert Stephenson | CL? | 398.9 | 7.39 |
| $1-$2 | 39 | Justin Topa | CL? | 425.2 | 7.16 |
| $1-$2 | 40 | Andrew Saalfrank | CL | 367.8 | 7.00 |
| $1-$2 | 41 | Hogan Harris | CL? | 507.1 | 6.94 |
| $1-$2 | 42 | Hunter Harvey | SU7 | 349.5 | 6.90 |
| $1-$2 | 43 | Victor Vodnik | CL | 403.9 | 6.89 |
| $1-$2 | 44 | Shawn Armstrong | SU7 | 467.4 | 6.84 |
| $1-$2 | 45 | Brendon Little | MID | 416.1 | 6.79 |
| $1-$2 | 46 | Alex Vesia | SU7 | 409.2 | 6.76 |
| $1-$2 | 47 | Matt Svanson | SU7 | 439.8 | 6.75 |
| $1-$2 | 48 | Camilo Doval | SU8 | 435.6 | 6.75 |
| $1-$2 | 49 | Jose A. Ferrer | SU7 | 487.7 | 6.74 |
| $1-$2 | 50 | Aaron Ashby | MID | 469.2 | 6.74 |
| $1-$2 | 51 | Matt Strahm | SU7 | 423.3 | 6.70 |
| $1-$2 | 52 | José Alvarado | SU8 | 352.8 | 6.64 |
| $1-$2 | 53 | A.J. Minter | SU7 | 360.0 | 6.61 |
| $1-$2 | 54 | Eduard Bazardo | MID | 471.1 | 6.59 |
| $1-$2 | 55 | Edwin Uceta | CL? | 475.1 | 6.58 |
| $1-$2 | 56 | Gregory Soto | SU8 | 390.8 | 6.58 |
| $1-$2 | 57 | Louis Varland | MID | 534.4 | 6.55 |
| $1-$2 | 58 | Jared Koenig | SU7 | 438.5 | 6.54 |
| $1-$2 | 59 | Orion Kerkering | MID | 404.2 | 6.53 |
| $1-$2 | 60 | Yimi García | SU8 | 321.9 | 6.52 |
| $1-$2 | 61 | JoJo Romero | CL? | 401.2 | 6.50 |
| $1-$2 | 62 | Andrew Kittredge | SU8 | 384.9 | 6.46 |
| $1-$2 | 63 | Erik Sabrowski | MID | 327.3 | 6.46 |
| $1-$2 | 64 | Brad Keller | SU7 | 460.1 | 6.40 |
| $1-$2 | 65 | Chris Martin | SU8 | 304.9 | 6.36 |
| $1-$2 | 66 | Kyle Finnegan | SU7 | 377.0 | 6.33 |
| $1-$2 | 67 | Tanner Scott | SU8 | 380.0 | 6.25 |
| $1-$2 | 68 | Luke Weaver | SU8 | 414.9 | 6.22 |
| $1-$2 | 69 | Kenley Jansen | CL? | 353.0 | 6.15 |
| $1-$2 | 70 | Hunter Gaddis | SU8 | 430.9 | 6.14 |
| $0-$1 | 71 | Randy Rodríguez | INJ | 375.1 | 7.44 |
| $0-$1 | 72 | Félix Bautista | INJ | 227.5 | 7.40 |
| $0-$1 | 73 | Ronny Henriquez | INJ | 519.5 | 7.05 |
| $0-$1 | 74 | Justin Martinez | INJ | 316.2 | 7.05 |
| $0-$1 | 75 | Taylor Rogers | CL? | 385.8 | 7.03 |
| $0-$1 | 76 | Jason Adam | INJ | 384.5 | 6.81 |
| $0-$1 | 77 | Evan Phillips | INJ | 266.8 | 6.66 |
| $0-$1 | 78 | Ben Joyce | INJ | 258.9 | 6.64 |
| $0-$1 | 79 | Aaron Bummer | MID | 369.0 | 6.61 |
| $0-$1 | 80 | Graham Ashcraft | SU7 | 422.0 | 6.46 |
| $0-$1 | 81 | Joe Jimenez | INJ | 279.8 | 6.40 |
| $0-$1 | 82 | Anthony Bender | MID | 351.0 | 6.40 |
| $0-$1 | 83 | Lucas Erceg | SU8 | 385.3 | 6.38 |
| $0-$1 | 84 | Caleb Ferguson | MID | 383.2 | 6.37 |
| $0-$1 | 85 | Tyler Kinley | MID | 414.3 | 6.33 |
| $0-$1 | 86 | Brant Hurter | MID | 432.0 | 6.31 |
| $0-$1 | 87 | Cole Sands | CL? | 438.9 | 6.31 |
| $0-$1 | 88 | Bryan King | SU7 | 412.6 | 6.26 |
| $0-$1 | 89 | Tyler Rogers | SU7 | 454.2 | 6.18 |
| $0 | 90 | David Robertson | ?? | 258.5 | 6.22 |
| $0 | 91 | Tony Santillan | SU8 | 431.8 | 6.17 |
| $0 | 92 | Kevin Ginkel | SU7 | 316.3 | 6.16 |
| $0 | 93 | Justin Slaten | SU7 | 312.7 | 6.13 |
| $0 | 94 | Huascar Brazobán | MID | 361.1 | 6.05 |
| $0 | 95 | Nick Mears | MID | 343.5 | 6.03 |
| $0 | 96 | José Buttó | MID | 392.3 | 6.01 |
| $0 | 97 | Kirby Yates | CL? | 295.9 | 6.00 |
| $0 | 98 | Jordan Leasure | SU7 | 376.8 | 5.98 |
| $0 | 99 | Justin Sterner | CL? | 381.7 | 5.98 |
| $0 | 100 | Mark Leiter Jr. | CL? | 336.4 | 5.96 |
| $0 | 101 | Juan Mejia | SU7 | 381.9 | 5.95 |
| $0 | 102 | Ryan Thompson | SU8 | 315.6 | 5.93 |
| $0 | 103 | Calvin Faucher | SU8 | 359.7 | 5.92 |
| $0 | 104 | Brenan Hanifee | MID | 361.6 | 5.91 |
| $0 | 105 | Isaac Mattson | SU7 | 345.5 | 5.91 |
| $0 | 106 | Jimmy Herget | SU8 | 464.4 | 5.84 |
| $0 | 107 | Yennier Cano | ?? | 327.4 | 5.84 |
| $0 | 108 | Tyler Holton | MID | 439.6 | 5.81 |
| $0 | 109 | Cole Winn | SU7 | 354.3 | 5.79 |
| $0 | 110 | Brock Burke | MID | 354.3 | 5.74 |
| $0 | 111 | Joel Peguero | SU8 | 312.7 | 5.66 |
| $0 | 112 | Keegan Akin | SU7 | 364.3 | 5.64 |
| $0 | 113 | Michael Kopech | INJ | 357.7 | 5.61 |
| $0 | 114 | Porter Hodge | ?? | 277.4 | 5.57 |
| $0 | 115 | Jordan Romano | MID | 283.1 | 5.49 |
| $0 | 116 | Tommy Kahnle | ?? | 330.5 | 5.48 |
Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.
I know the K rate dipped last year, but was there anything else that dropped Erceg into the bottom of the barrel of 8th inning guys?
P.s. I’m aware of the shoulder thing he had late last season but haven’t seen any updates since early November, so i didn’t think it was a thing heading into this spring