Chad Young’s OF Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

After getting started with middle infield last week, this week we move on to outfield. Why start with those two spots? Because they are huge lists and I want to get them done. Rock solid logic, there. Outfield is also an interesting position over the years, as it has varied between feeling deep and feeling shallow. This year, between the emergence of guys like Kyle Stowers, Tyler Soderstrom, Roman Anthony, and James Wood and the re-emergence of guys like George Springer and Cody Bellinger, it feels like it is trending back towards “deep” and that makes it a fun position to think about for auctions.
Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
(If you want, you can skip the intro and my thoughts on the position, and go right to the rankings. As a reminder, my process and a long FAQ on my rankings can be found in my rankings preview.)
Part of what makes the position so fun is the number of routes you can go to build an OF. You know those annoying (at least I think they’re annoying) social media things that show a 5×5 grid of basketball players from the ’80s or action movies stars and say something like, “BUILD YOUR DREAM TEAM WITH $15”? Outfield is kind of like that this year.
Want to go stars and scrubs? I think you could easily build around a high-priced Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber, rounding it out upside from guys like Kerry Carpenter, Jac Caglianone, and Matt Wallner plus reliable cheap production from Mike Yastrzemski and Brandon Marsh. If you are priced out of Judge, you could go into the sub-$30 range and go Wood, Anthony, Wyatt Langford, and Seiya Suzuki, and still feel really good about your OF set up.
Especially in established leagues where you have keepers set, this gives you a lot of options to react to what your roster already has in place. In league 1, where I was in a rebuild and had plenty of cap space but not real stars, I have Langford, Stowers, Andy Pages, Chase DeLauter, and Noelvi Marte as the start of my outfield. That group isn’t good enough, on it’s own, but I plan to spend at auction. I have tried to trade for an elite outfield option in the off-season, but as that hasn’t worked out, I instead went and got Gunnar Henderson. The depth in the outfield pool gave me flexibility to fill shortstop with a stud now, and react in the auction. If I can go get a Judge or Juan Soto in the auction, I will. If not, I can go into that next tier and still end up in a good spot.
In league 1199, on the other hand, the off-season presented opportunities to buy both Brent Rooker and Kyle Schwarber. That’s going to eat up a lot of my budget, but I feel confident I can fill out that outfield without being too spendy (Stowers, Matt Wallner, and Jurickson Profar are also on the roster), so I was happy to take those two top-end guys. And if the right opportunity presents itself in the auction, I wouldn’t hesitate to add another big name – if that pushes Wallner and Profar into a time-share and forces me to be thrifty with any other outfielders I acquire, that is just fine with me.
The outfield prospect pool is also interesting, with a number of intriguing names ready to make an impact in MLB (DeLauter and Carson Benge come to mind) and some fun high-upside players who are further away (including a trio of young Dodgers). I am almost certainly going to stashing some outfield bats in my leagues.
And with that in mind, here are my Ottoneu 4×4 tiered rankings for outfield!
4×4 OF Rankings for Ottoneu
| Tier | Rank | Player | Pos | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66-$77 | 1 | Aaron Judge | OF | This might actually be the format where he stands out most. |
| $55-$65 | 2 | Juan Soto | OF | This is where my tier structure gets me in a little trouble – I think Soto is closer to Judge than this makes it seem, but I would be willing to go over $65 for Judge and not for Soto, so here we are. |
| $45-$54 | 3 | Yordan Alvarez | OF | I am just straight up ignoring 2025 with him, other than a bit of injury risk concern, but that was always there. |
| $45-$54 | 4 | Kyle Schwarber | OF | 2025 was an outlier year for Schwarber, and you want to buy him based on the extended track record (which puts him at the bottom of this tier, maybe top of the next tier down) and not closer to $50. |
| $36-$44 | 5 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | OF | This tier is all about who you think is more reliable for 2026, because the production could look very similar. |
| $36-$44 | 6 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | OF | He’s been a bit up and down, and he looks more like a $40 guy than the $50 guy we hoped for, but that upside still exists. |
| $36-$44 | 7 | Kyle Tucker | OF | If Tucker ends up in the right park and you can push his projected SLG back over .500, he can basically be at a par with Schwarber. |
| $28-$35 | 8 | Corbin Carroll | OF | Also a bit up and down, but I think Tatis has a little more ceiling. |
| $28-$35 | 9 | Brent Rooker | OF | Had high hopes that the new park might let him maintain 2024-level production even with regression, but it looks like 2023 and 2025 might be the right baseline. |
| $28-$35 | 10 | Julio Rodriguez | OF | Less chase and more contact got him back to where he was in 2023. |
| $28-$35 | 11 | James Wood | OF | I would like to have Wood higher, but I am not sure he can fix the K-rate and without that, you are reliant on BABIP and HR/FB rate (which I think he can provide) to get even this high. |
| $21-$27 | 12 | Roman Anthony | OF | There are warts – the K-rate isn’t ideal, he can’t maintain that BABIP – but he did enough last year to justify the hype, and I might be willing to break through the top of this tier for him. |
| $21-$27 | 13 | Wyatt Langford | OF | In a run of recent elite prospects, Langford arguably projects the best, but might be the hardest to imagine jumping a tier. |
| $21-$27 | 14 | Seiya Suzuki | OF | He has been pretty steady, if you look at both his wOBA and xwOBA by year, and if he just does that again, he’ll be fit in this tier perfectly. |
| $21-$27 | 15 | Jackson Chourio | OF | I know people will go to $30 for him, but the projection is more like $20-$22, and even if I am willing to pay for upside (I am) I can’t pay a 50% premium. |
| $21-$27 | 16 | Riley Greene | OF | The plate discipline took a hit last year (K and BB but also chase rate) and that needs to improve for him to stay in the mid-$20s range. |
| $21-$27 | 17 | Jackson Merrill | OF | Merrill looks more like he belongs in the $15-$20 tier, but I’ll nudge him up because he has been so good, so young. |
| $21-$27 | 18 | George Springer | OF | It’s tempting to call 2025 a dead cat bounce, but Springer increased his bat speed dramatically and made huge gains in quality of contact, to the point that even if you regress him a bit for age, if you buy into those gains, he could still be a star. |
| $21-$27 | 19 | Byron Buxton | OF | Buxton has put up 388 and 542 PA the last two years, first and third highest for his career; 500-ish again and he belongs near the top of this tier; 300 or fewer and he belongs down at least a tier. |
| $15-$20 | 20 | Mike Trout | OF | For years, it has felt like if you could get 500+ PA from Trout, you could get great production, but now we are seeing some signs of aging (bat speed down, sprint speed down) and I wonder if even a “healthy” Trout season isn’t less appealing than we might expect. |
| $15-$20 | 21 | Tyler Soderstrom | 1B/OF | The BABIP probably overcorrected, but everything else looks sustainable; even without C eligibility he is pushing me to consider him a tier higher. |
| $15-$20 | 22 | Cody Bellinger | OF | Results have been wildly inconsistent and I wonder how much his home park impacted his wOBA far outpacing his xwOBA. |
| $15-$20 | 23 | Jo Adell | OF | As much as you should expect regression for Adell, his .257 BABIP feels like a good area for him to have some gains to off-set losses. |
| $15-$20 | 24 | Ian Happ | OF | Since 2020, he has been very steadily a $15-$17 OF, rather than the $25+ guy he briefly looked like prior to that. |
| $15-$20 | 25 | Taylor Ward | OF | I was worried about him leaving a good hitters park for a tough park for RH, but he has been AWFUL at home for three years, so maybe I shouldn’t worry? |
| $15-$20 | 26 | Jurickson Profar | OF | Even if you expect him to fall back again from 2025 (after regressing from 2024), he could still easily land in this range. |
| $15-$20 | 27 | Christian Yelich | OF | Yelich didn’t lose the sprint or bat speed you’d expect, maybe because his back surgery helped, but his contact rate went way down and that gives me pause about where we are in his decline phase. |
| $15-$20 | 28 | Kyle Stowers | OF | Expect regression (hello Mr. BABIP) but he got the chase under control so even with a bit too much swing-and-miss, he is letting his loud contact do it’s thing more often and taking more walks when it doesn’t. |
| $15-$20 | 29 | Teoscar Hernández | OF | It was easy to blame 2023 on T-Mobile Park, but he was worse in 2025, so while he is a candidate for positive regression, there is real risk 2024 was the outlier. |
| $10-$14 | 30 | Randy Arozarena | OF | His improved slugging carried his value in 2025, but I am not sure it will stick, given the underlying data, so I think he is more in the $12 range than the $17 range. |
| $10-$14 | 31 | Oneil Cruz | OF | From 2022 to 2024, he had a .315/.447 line and I think that is probably a decent bet for 2026, despite the ugly 2024. |
| $10-$14 | 32 | Brandon Nimmo | OF | He was once a threat for .400 OBP every year, but since then he has had four years of increased swing rate that is entirely concentrated on pitches outside the zone – unless he fixes that, he’s a lot less appealing than he once was. |
| $10-$14 | 33 | Bryan Reynolds | OF | Chased less but had an oddly low O-contact rate (by his standards); but his swing speed and quality of contact improved. |
| $10-$14 | 34 | Jarren Duran | OF | If he is going to be a $20 player again, he needs to find his 2024 power, which might be less about HR and more about batting average. |
| $10-$14 | 35 | Andy Pages | OF | Young player who had a pretty steep decline as the season went on and drastic H/R splits (he was awful away from Dodger Stadium) plus a low OBP to start – I still like him but I need a discount on his 2025. |
| $10-$14 | 36 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | OF | He looks like an OBP disaster even when things are going well, and it isn’t clear to me that he can push for 30 HR again (only 6 in the second half). |
| $10-$14 | 37 | Kerry Carpenter | OF | 2025 was a down year, but it looks a little better if you add his postseason. And honestly he’s probably a $10 in this format if he puts to the same overall season with a little more OBP. |
| $10-$14 | 38 | Heliot Ramos | OF | He’s a $10 type overall, but he’s more like a $15 guy on the road and a $5 guy – if that – at home, and you need to plan for that. |
| $10-$14 | 39 | Wilyer Abreu | OF | Made big gains in contact rate and barrel rate without seeing overall production gains and I can’t help but wonder if he’ll level up a bit this year. |
| $10-$14 | 40 | Michael Harris II | OF | This price is in line with his projection but his projection is above his career numbers and way above his 2025, and yet, I might be willing to go to $15 on him because he made a drastic swing change last year that paid huge second half dividends. |
| $10-$14 | 41 | Alec Burleson | 1B/OF | Swung less, swung harder, made better contact. That feels like a repeatable recipe. |
| $10-$14 | 42 | Steven Kwan | OF | BABIP depend dropped almost 20 points which doesn’t seem like a ton but that’s 12 missing hits would have meaningfully moved his AVG, OBP, and SLG. |
| $10-$14 | 43 | Lawrence Butler | OF | He’s shown big potential but been too inconsistent and ’25 was ugly, but even the best version of him is low OBP. |
| $6-$9 | 44 | Trent Grisham | OF | There will be some regression, but staying in Yankee Stadium can’t hurt. |
| $6-$9 | 45 | Matt Wallner | OF | 24 to ’25 he saw more curves and sinkers, and fewer cutters, four seamers and sliders, but he was also just straight worse against all pitches, so did the league figure him out or did he just have a rough season? |
| $6-$9 | 46 | Anthony Santander | OF | If you just throw out 2025 as a lost year, he’s not only higher in this tier, but probably at least one tier up – I am not close to being willing to pay that, but I think he has potential to be a really nice value in auctions this year. |
| $6-$9 | 47 | Lars Nootbaar | OF | He increased his barrel and hard-hit rates while putting the ball in the air more than ever, but a decreased LD rate and a career-low pull rate made that ineffective; he needs to adjust back or adjust further or something. |
| $6-$9 | 48 | Jac Caglianone | 1B/OF | He makes loud contact but there is still too much chase – but the upside is there and if he reaches it, this is probably the last chance to buy-in at a reasonable price. |
| $6-$9 | 49 | Daulton Varsho | OF | Varsho is one-dimensional (on offense) but that’s enough to help you with three categories in this format. |
| $6-$9 | 50 | Ryan O’Hearn | 1B/OF | He’s a solid all-around bat and the Pirates paid him to play pretty regularly. |
| $6-$9 | 51 | Dylan Crews | OF | I think he’ll establish himself this year, but the upside isn’t as exciting as I once hoped. |
| $6-$9 | 52 | Spencer Steer | 1B/OF | 2023 feels like a long, long time ago. |
| $3-$5 | 53 | Jasson Domínguez | OF | Projections like him more than this but, well, they are all projection at this point, and I am skeptical. |
| $3-$5 | 54 | Ramón Laureano | OF | It’s not that any one number from 2025 looks unsustainable, it just looks like he put up a career year in every way all at once. I bet he holds some of those gains, but not all, and he very likely isn’t a full time guy. |
| $3-$5 | 55 | Brenton Doyle | OF | Last year was a challenge on and off the field and I am willing to give him something of a pass, though I would feel better if he got traded and didn’t have to deal with (gestures generally at the Rockies). |
| $3-$5 | 56 | Jordan Beck | OF | He and Doyle are the Spider-Man pointing at Spider-Man meme for this format |
| $3-$5 | 57 | Mickey Moniak | OF | Did you know he was quite good last year? I somehow totally missed that. |
| $3-$5 | 58 | Colton Cowser | OF | He made some gains in contact quality, but his zone contact rate fell so far that none of that had a chance to shine through |
| $3-$5 | 59 | Tyler O’Neill | OF | You have to worry about production because he has been inconsistent and you have to worry about health because he can’t stay on the field and you have to worry about playing time because the Orioles have so many options and that is too many things to worry about. |
| $3-$5 | 60 | Daylen Lile | OF | If he continues to succeed at the level he did in 2025, it’ll be because he is a unique player, not because he does the things we expect a great hitter to do; but even if he doesn’t, the floor is decent so you can afford to pay up on that upside, if you want. |
| $3-$5 | 61 | Jakob Marsee | OF | He was super fun last year, but I question how well the approach will sustain and if you go check out a rolling wOBA graph, it’ll back up my concerns. |
| $3-$5 | 62 | Luis Robert Jr. | OF | Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, I’ll probably still be willing to pay a small premium on your projection because the upside still feels tantalizing. |
| $3-$5 | 63 | Jesús Sánchez | OF | Houston isn’t actually a better hitters park for lefties, but it is a better power park and Sanchez had a run of poor contact quality after he got there; I kinda think there’s some upside here. |
| $3-$5 | 64 | Mike Yastrzemski | OF | Atlanta isn’t like a great place to hit, but it should suit him better than San Francisco. |
| $3-$5 | 65 | Brandon Marsh | OF | A .371 BABIP in more than 2000 career plate appearances is crazy, but do you want to bet against him doing it again? |
| $3-$5 | 66 | Giancarlo Stanton | OF | How did he go from having two injured elbows to putting up THAT season? But you can count on some serious regression and you can’t count on more than 70-80 games. |
| $3-$5 | 67 | Cam Smith | OF | Guess we all got a little over our skis last year. |
| $3-$5 | 68 | Carson Benge | OF | Benge might need a little more time in AAA, but the Mets OF isn’t good (other than that one guy) so there’s nothing in his way. |
| $3-$5 | 69 | Jorge Soler | OF | He turns 34 early in spring training, lost a lot of bat speed in 2025, and has never been reliably consistent, but he still has a double-digit projection, so he is worth a gamble. |
| $3-$5 | 70 | TJ Friedl | OF | He should be a nice source of OBP, but he really just does not hit the ball hard enough to provide much pop. |
| $3-$5 | 71 | Walker Jenkins | OF | Killing AA and handling AAA at 20 years old are pretty good signs. |
| $3-$5 | 72 | Chase DeLauter | OF | I still very much believe in DeLauter and think he has huge upside if he can just stay healthy. |
| $3-$5 | 73 | Max Clark | OF | Has potential to be a special fantasy player, but may lack the power to play up in this format – plus he could be up this year but that’s far from a given. |
| $1-$2 | 74 | Andrew Benintendi | OF | He is what he is at this point, and he won’t hurt you but he won’t help much either. |
| $1-$2 | 75 | Adolis García | OF | People want to say he could bounce back and he could but we’re far enough into his career now to acknowledge that the thing we want him to bounce back to is an outlier and his two more recent years are the baseline. |
| $1-$2 | 76 | Jung Hoo Lee 이정후 | OF | He doesn’t really help you in any category, but he doesn’t kill you in any either |
| $1-$2 | 77 | Dylan Beavers | OF | Posting a 9.3% barrel rate with only 28% hard hit rate is small sample noise – the highest barrel rate from a qualified hitter in ’25 with a sub-30% HH% was 5.3%. |
| $1-$2 | 78 | Owen Caissie | OF | If he can make enough contact, he can make loud contact and be an impact bat. |
| $1-$2 | 79 | Masataka Yoshida | OF | Given 600 PA, he could easily be 15-20 HR, .340/.430 – Ian Happ projects to .339/.415 with 22 HR per Depth Charts. |
| $1-$2 | 80 | Evan Carter | OF | He made plate discipline gains last year by being more aggressive (well less passive) but he simply doesn’t make effective enough contact to do much with those gains; but he’s still just 23 and was very effective vs RHP |
| $1-$2 | 81 | Ryan Waldschmidt | OF | Every tool looks useful and there could easily be room for him in the Arizona OF this year. |
| $1-$2 | 82 | Eduardo Quintero | OF | He’s young and far away and the Dodgers aren’t always great about making room for guys to move quickly, so you have to be patient, but that’s basically the only obvious flaw. |
| $1-$2 | 83 | Zyhir Hope | OF | It’s kinda nuts that the Dodgers are already the Dodgers and have three possibly-elite OF prospects breaking into the high minors. |
| $1-$2 | 84 | Josue De Paula | OF | If and when that raw power shows up as game power, look out. |
| $0-$1 | 85 | Dominic Canzone | OF | He’s a platoon bat with a short track record on a team that is going to be looking for upgrades, but he should carve out a role. |
| $0-$1 | 86 | Gavin Sheets | 1B/OF | Perfectly adequate platoon bat. |
| $0-$1 | 87 | Parker Meadows | OF | I have been a Meadows believer, but you can’t count on him as more than a flyer with some upside. |
| $0-$1 | 88 | Braden Montgomery | OF | If the game power shows up and the K’s come down, his prospect stock in Ottoneu will rise quickly. |
| $0-$1 | 89 | Jordan Walker | OF | Look, there is nothing to analyze here – he is talented, he isn’t performing, but he went to Driveline so watch what he does in Spring, I guess? |
| $0-$1 | 90 | Josh Lowe | OF | Early last year, I thought he might be rebounding, but it all went very very sideways. |
| $0-$1 | 91 | Harrison Bader | OF | Bader had a career year, driven by his second straight year or reverse splits, which might be enough to get him a look at an everyday role, but the bat is not likely to reach that level again. |
| $0-$1 | 92 | Trevor Larnach | OF | His projection basically matches his last 3 seasons averaged and that would theoretically push him up a tier, but there is a lot of risk. |
| $0-$1 | 93 | Sal Frelick | OF | High OBP, puts the ball in play, not much pop – it’s not an ideal profile for 4×4 but it’ll play. |
| $0-$1 | 94 | Colby Thomas | OF | I like a lot of what I see (yes he needs to control the K) but where does he get more than small-side platoon PA? |
| $0-$1 | 95 | Esmerlyn Valdez | OF | He’s probably a year away, but now is the time to buy in, because there is a hype train getting started. |
| $0-$1 | 96 | Will Benson | OF | Hidden in plain sight, Benson posted a career best barrel rate and hard hit rate, set a new career max EV, made big contact rate gains, and dropped his K-rate below 30% for the first time. |
| $0-$1 | 97 | Lazaro Montes | OF | He’s made adjustments in his K rate as he’s developed, but he’ll need to do it again in the high minors to let that huge power play up. |
| $0-$1 | 98 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | OF | Does he have an elite ability to draw walks or is he just super duper passive? |
| $0-$1 | 99 | Mike Tauchman | OF | He’s a free agent, but he always lands a job and posts a good OBP with no power. |
| $0-$1 | 100 | Justin Crawford | OF | Looks like he has a job, but I am not sure he can be an impact MLB bat. |
| $0-$1 | 101 | Cedric Mullins | OF | I am not sure what his playing time situation will be, but even if he is playing everyday, I don’t see where he helps a 4×4 team. |
| $0-$1 | 102 | George Valera | OF | The EVs are good, he doesn’t chase, he draws walks, but he hit too many GB and not enough LD – but that wasn’t really an issue in the minors. |
| $0-$1 | 103 | Max Kepler | OF | I want to say “what if he signs in a good situation?” but how many situations will be better than the one where he just failed? |
| $0-$1 | 104 | Rob Refsnyder | OF | Dude just straight mashes lefties, but those guys are hard to carry in 4×4 – harder than in points. |
| $0-$1 | 105 | Zach Cole | OF | He hits the ball hard and got off to a hot start, but he needs to massively improve his approach. |
| $0-$1 | 106 | Jhostynxon Garcia | OF | On the plus side, he has good power and is now with a team that should give him run. On the negative side, he has to show that power in a bad power park and the hit tool won’t help him. |
| $0-$1 | 107 | Ryan Clifford | 1B/OF | The power is legit and his hit tool has been good enough, that maybe he can make it work. |
| $0-$1 | 108 | JJ Bleday | OF | I thought he was figuring something out in that last season in Oakland, but he gave back all the contact gains and the new park didn’t help at all and now he is out of a job. |
| $0-$1 | 109 | Lane Thomas | OF | I don’t think 2025 tells us much about Thomas, but I don’t think 2023 is all that relevant either, and if he gets back to what he has been in not-those-years he won’t be a difference-maker in 4×4. |
| $0-$1 | 110 | Edward Florentino | OF | There are questions about his contact ability, but so far everything looks good – he is just so far away and we need to see how he handles real competition. |
| $0-$1 | 111 | Isaac Collins | OF | It’s not good contact and it is not an elite quantity of contact and I just don’t think he can repeat his 2025 results. |
| $0-$1 | 112 | Heriberto Hernández | OF | His first look at MLB was solid but if he’s a small-side platoon with unsure playing time and a-still-unproven-bat, he is more a watchlist guy than an auction guy for me. |
| $0-$1 | 113 | Wenceel Pérez | OF | I think the projections are pretty fair and they say he might be worth a buck. |
| $0-$1 | 114 | Austin Hays | OF | Needs to be benched vs. RHP, doesn’t have a job, and is probably about to suffer a park downgrade. |
| $0-$1 | 115 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | OF | I just can’t work up much excitement about him knowing I have to sit on him until June or July or whatever. |
| $0-$1 | 116 | Jake Meyers | OF | With a high BABIP, he can run a decent OBP. |
| $0-$1 | 117 | Christopher Morel | OF | It’s not just that the approach is a mess, it’s that it is so inconsistent that even if you think he is showing improvement, you can’t trust it to continue. |
| $0-$1 | 118 | Luis Matos | OF | It’s less than 600 PA so things can still change but what am I supposed to be excited about? |
| $0-$1 | 119 | C.J. Kayfus | 1B/OF | A small jump in his quality of contact could push him into a $3-type guy pretty easily, I think, but it’s far from a sure-thing. |
| $0-$1 | 120 | Jerar Encarnacion | OF | There is a little bit to get intrigued by if you look at his 2024 numbers and he still hasn’t had a real shot. |
| $0-$1 | 121 | Nathan Lukes | OF | Lukes is all plate discipline and no pop, sort of a poor-mans’ Steven Kwan or Luis Arraez, and I am skeptical he’ll maintain much fantasy value this year. |
| $0-$1 | 122 | Chandler Simpson | OF | He is going to hurt you badly in HR and SLG, and really isn’t doing much in OBP either, so is he a one-category play as a guy who should probably be hitting 9th in a not-great lineup? |
| $0-$1 | 123 | Denzel Clarke | OF | Looked utterly lost in MLB and his MiLB track record asks a lot of questions. |
| $0-$1 | 124 | Spencer Jones | OF | I get the upside, but I have a hard time betting on a prospect with that kind of a strikeout problem, especially at age 24. |
| $0-$1 | 125 | Mike Sirota | OF | Could stick in center and hit for power, which will drive up his prospect rankings, but there are big hit tool questions and feels more likely to be a bench guy than a useful fantasy player. |
| $0-$1 | 126 | Joshua Baez | OF | Made huge strides in this plate process in 2025, which makes it far more likely he gets into his power in MLB someday. |
| $0-$1 | 127 | Jonny Farmelo | OF | Intriguing bat but 20 years old and needs to earn his way to the high minors before I am too excited. |
| $0-$1 | 128 | Theo Gillen | OF | Look up one row. |
| $0-$1 | 129 | Kevin Alcántara | OF | He seems a little buried at the moment and while I get betting on talent, betting on unproven talent with no clear path to proving the talent is a tough sell. |
| $0-$1 | 130 | Zac Veen | OF | I don’t think you have to give up on him – he is still just 24 and has barely seen MLB – but it’s hard to get too excited. |
| $0-$1 | 131 | Drew Gilbert | OF | Only 25 and has good plate discipline, but what are the chances he hits enough to have value? |
| $0-$1 | 132 | Heston Kjerstad | OF | It feels like he has been up and down forever, but he has barely a half-season’s worth of MLB PA. Of course, he is also likely ticketed for AAA again. |
| $0-$1 | 133 | Starling Marte | OF | He somehow keeps being decent, but the limited playing time and risk he bottoms out will keep me away. |
| $0-$1 | 134 | Jacob Melton | OF | Probably just a fourth OF, but the Rays are as good as anyone at maximizing flawed players. |
| $0 | 135 | Andrew McCutchen | OF | It would be a shame if his career ended not on his terms, but that appears possible and even if he does land a roster spot, what that looks like and how much he produces are big questions. |
| $0 | 136 | Michael Conforto | OF | I really thought he would be a star. |
| $0 | 137 | Troy Johnston | 1B/OF | He’s a Rockie and, at least for now, seems to have a job, so I get why he would be on a watchlist – maybe more in points. |
| $0 | 138 | Luke Raley | 1B/OF | It’s not that he can’t be useful, but it’s borderline and he’ll be a platoon bat at best. |
| $0 | 139 | Victor Robles | OF | He has had two above average MLB seasons with the bat and the LOWER BABIP was .360, so that is what you need from him, I guess. |
| $0 | 140 | Alex Call | OF | He has been a lot better than I realized, but even so, it’s negative projected value in 4×4, so you have to believe there is another tier or at least a lot more playing time. |
| $0 | 141 | Austin Martin | OF | I don’t buy the bat being valuable in fantasy. |
| $0 | 142 | Ryan Ward | 1B/OF | Very much a watch-and-see for me but he’s supposedly destined for 2026 playing time. |
| $0 | 143 | Alan Roden | OF | He has hit at every level (except, you know, the important one) so I expect some people will give him a shot, but I don’t see much to get my auction finger moving. |
| $0 | 144 | Randal Grichuk | OF | I would move him up a bit if I knew he had a job, but probably not to another tier. |
| $0 | 145 | Jahmai Jones | OF | A bit more valuable in points leagues, where a lefty-masher can be more useful. |
| $0 | 146 | Jake McCarthy | OF | He brings AVG and SB and those have fantasy value but not here. |
| $0 | 147 | Matt Vierling | OF | If you are going to roster a small-side platoon guy in 4×4, they need to be truly elite, and he isn’t that. |
| $0 | 148 | Alek Thomas | OF | Another guy I really thought might be good. |
| $0 | 149 | Justyn-Henry Malloy | 1B/OF | Very much like Jahmai Jones and I wonder if they have room for two on that roster. |
| $0 | 150 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 1B/OF | It’s possible 2025 was just a down year and if he gets a job, he’ll be worth watching in Spring, but a lot has to go right. |
| $0 | 151 | Garrett Mitchell | OF | There is no obvious spot for him and it’s not likely that his bat will demand attention. |
| $0 | 152 | Robert Hassell III | OF | Probably a platoon bat and probably not a great one, but it is not impossible for him to return value – just unlikely. |
| $0 | 153 | Ethan Conrad | Util | Injury might have hurt his draft stock, so we’ll see if he shoots up lists once healthy and facing pro pitching. |
| $0 | 154 | Johnathan Rodríguez | OF | He can hit lefties but that might not be enough to keep a job and it’s definitely not enough in this format. |
| $0 | 155 | Sterlin Thompson | OF | Promise me everyday PA in Coors and I get interested, but even then he still needs to hit. |
| $0 | 156 | Yanquiel Fernández | OF | Promise me everyday PA in Coors and I get interested, but even then he still needs to hit. |
| $0 | 157 | Tyler Black | 1B/OF | I don’t see a real clear path to playing time, and part of that is because I don’t see a bat worth forcing into a corwded lineup. |
| $0 | 158 | Jared Young 제러드 | 1B/OF | It’s a little concerning that the Mets will have that payroll and might need him to play a meaningful role. |
| $0 | 159 | Victor Scott II | OF | You could go get him in a 5×5 league, but even there, he’s risky. |
| $0 | 160 | Kemp Alderman | OF | If and when he starts getting his raw power into games in a big way, he’ll be on my radar. |
| $0 | 161 | A.J. Vukovich | OF | Can’t see him succeeding in MLB unless he significantly improves his hit tool. |
| $0 | 162 | Nolan Jones | OF | Having to rank him this low just makes me sad. |
| $0 | 163 | Pedro León | OF | Once upon a time, he was kind of intriguing. |
| $0 | 164 | Nelson Rada | OF | He has basically no power, which probably caps his value in this format as “none” but he has had success at every level and is still really, really young, so who knows. |
| $0 | 165 | Griffin Conine | OF | If he were going to breakout, I think we would have seen it by now. |
| $0 | 166 | Jake Mangum | OF | Without being more of a threat with the bat, I don’t think he draws enough walks to be much help even in OBP. And he isn’t helping elsewhere. |
| $0 | 167 | Joey Loperfido | OF | Loperfido improved his K-rate but the small-sample success in 2025 came without any other signs that the performance might be a sign of things to come. |
| $0 | 168 | Kahlil Watson | OF | I think it’s telling that the OF-starved Guardians never gave him a look. |
| $0 | 169 | Zach Dezenzo | OF | He’s getting old for being pre-breakout, but there is still good quality of contact data there to get intersted in, if he has a job. |
| $0 | 170 | Esteury Ruiz | OF | Absolutely killed Triple-A but there is little reason to think he will get much of a shot and less reason to think he can do much with a shot. |
| $0 | 171 | Marco Luciano | OF | He continues to show just enough in the minors that you can understand why Pittsburgh would give him a look, but that doesn’t mean you need to give him a look. |
| $0 | 172 | Jake Fraley | OF | There was that one glorious year and looking back it wasn’t like…THAT glorious. |
| $0 | 173 | Kameron Misner | OF | The Rays giving him up for cash considerations doesn’t really scream “breakout coming.” |
| $0 | 174 | Hector Rodriguez | OF | Does a little bit of everything well, but you can wait for a call up to be imminent before thinking much about him. |
| $0 | 175 | A.J. Ewing | OF | Speed and defense drive up his prospect rankings, and I am not interested outside 5×5 (and only a little interested there). |
| $0 | 176 | Jarred Kelenic | OF | Crazy how far he has fallen. |
| $0 | 177 | Nick Castellanos | OF | He hasn’t been good and the only thing we know for 2026 is that the Phillies can’t find anyone to take him. |
| $0 | 178 | Jhonkensy Noel | 1B/OF | When a team desperate for power DFA’s a guy whose big skill is power, you are right to move on. |
| $0 | 179 | Slade Caldwell | OF | The hit tool needs to level up to make up for the lack of a big power if he is going to have an impact in 4×4. |
| $0 | 180 | Nate George | OF | Might be an interesting Ottoneu prospect in 6-12 months. |
| $0 | 181 | Bo Davidson | OF | There are good grades on the power, but he either hasn’t tapped into it or the hit tool is so bad that we haven’t gotten to see it. |
| $0 | 182 | Jaison Chourio | OF | Not really a 4×4 prospect, in my opinion. |
| $0 | 183 | Juneiker Caceres | OF | Looks like a hit-over-power, good-at-everything, great-at-nothing, better-in-real-life prospect to me. |
| $0 | 184 | Jacob Young | OF | Not gonna hit and might not play. |
| $0 | 185 | Eric Wagaman | 1B/OF | He’s on this list because he is over 8% rostered, but that should be going down. |
| $0 | 186 | Jack Suwinski | OF | As you read through all the prospects I call out as having big power potential but hit tool questions – this is what they turn into. |
| $0 | 187 | Druw Jones | OF | Should I be more excited about how far he cut down the K at High-A or more worried about how unimpressive he was despite that? |
| $0 | 188 | Tommy Pham | OF | Can we just not with this guy? |
A long-time fantasy baseball veteran and one of the creators of ottoneu, Chad Young's writes for RotoGraphs, and can be heard on the Keep or Kut Podcast. You can follow him on Bluesky @chadyoung.bsky.social.
Was looking where Rafaela of RedSox ranks as OF; did I miss him?
He’s ranked as a MI because 2B is his more “valuable” position