Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 19–21
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
ATL | .349 | 98 | SEA | .304 |
PIT | .318 | 95 | ARI | .335 |
CIN | .310 | 116 | NYY | .318 |
TBR | .368 | 94 | MIL | .311 |
WSN | .307 | 104 | DET | .287 |
PHI | .324 | 106 | CHC | .334 |
TOR | .326 | 105 | BAL | .326 |
NYM | .313 | 97 | CLE | .284 |
TEX | .339 | 101 | COL | .314 |
HOU | .300 | 102 | OAK | .304 |
CHW | .300 | 108 | KCR | .300 |
STL | .336 | 94 | LAD | .335 |
LAA | .331 | 107 | MIN | .314 |
SDP | .307 | 98 | BOS | .340 |
SFG | .324 | 90 | MIA | .301 |
Teams with favorable schedules over the weekend include the Braves, Diamondbacks, Giants, Marlins, Mets, Nationals, Rays, Rangers, and Red Sox.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Angels, Blue Jays, Cubs, Mariners, Orioles, Padres, Phillies, Reds, Rockies, Twins, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Carrasco | 36.54% | CLE | .284 | 7.40 | 0.0% | 1.98 |
James Paxton | 30.77% | SDP | .307 | 2.90 | 40.0% | 1.80 |
Jake Irvin | 4.17% | DET | .287 | 5.24 | 9.4% | 0.00 |
Patrick Corbin | 1.28% | DET | .287 | 4.61 | 10.7% | 1.42 |
There’s a couple of recommendations in that Nationals-Tigers series. I’ll talk about Irvin below, but Patrick Corbin deserves some more attention after holding the Mets to just two runs in six innings yesterday. The strikeouts weren’t there — just one in the outing — but he’s now strung together four good starts in a row.
James Paxton came off the IL over the weekend and looked pretty good in his first start in more than two years. He struck out nine, walked one, and allowed just four hits in five innings. His velocity looked good and his stuff looked as good as it did back when he was a frontline starter for the Mariners. He’s lined up to start against the Padres which feels like a pretty risky matchup, but San Diego’s offense is mired in a season-long slump and you have to hope that Paxton is up to the challenge of shutting down their star studded lineup.
Carlos Carrasco is scheduled to come off the IL on Saturday and gets a nice easy matchup against his former team to ease him back to the big leagues. He wasn’t pitching very well before hitting the shelf with his elbow injury and I’d usually recommend waiting a bit after a pitcher is activated off the IL to let him settle back into their routine. The matchup is just too good to pass up and he’ll be extra motivated since this is the first time he’ll be facing the Guardians since coming over to the Mets a few years ago.
Hot Starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Irvin | 15.1 | 3.43 | 9.4% | 0.00 | 5.24 |
Zack Greinke | 15.2 | 4.06 | 15.3% | 1.15 | 4.73 |
Since being called up at the beginning of the month, Jake Irvin has made a couple of good starts against the Cubs and Giants but was blown up for six runs in his last start against the Mets. The good news is that he struck out six and walked just one in that outing. He wasn’t a highly regarded prospect in the Nationals organization with the profile of a back-end starter. He’s got a nice matchup against the Tigers on Friday and that’s a good opportunity to see if he can bounce back from his last start and continue building on the success he saw in San Francisco.
Zack Greinke is still hanging around pitching for the Royals in his old age. His crafty approach to pitching worked well for him in his return to Kansas City last year and he’s back at it again this season. Over his last three starts, he’s allowed six runs in 15.2 innings with a 10:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He’s lined up to face the White Sox this weekend and then the Tigers next week.
Recap: May 12–14
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Ryne Nelson | 4.2 | -3.3 | -0.70 |
Matthew Boyd | 1.1 | -13.1 | -9.85 |
Marco Gonzales | 6 | 20.1 | 3.35 |
J.P. France | 6.2 | 32.2 | 4.83 |
Adrian Houser | 4 | -2.5 | -0.63 |
Total | 22.2 | 33.4 | 1.47 |
Season Total | 414.1 | 1234.1 | 2.98 |
Another rough round of recommendations as Ryne Nelson, Matthew Boyd, and Adrian Houser just didn’t have it last weekend. J.P. France looked pretty good against the White Sox, lasting into the seventh inning with just a single run allowed on three hits and one walk.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 15–18
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
BOS | 0.344 | 100 | SEA | 0.299 |
BAL | 0.329 | 95 | LAA | 0.329 |
DET | 0.291 | 93 | PIT | 0.326 |
MIA | 0.297 | 93 | WSN | 0.304 |
TOR | 0.327 | 105 | NYY | 0.309 |
NYM | 0.315 | 97 | TBR | 0.368 |
STL | 0.326 | 94 | MIL | 0.310 |
TEX | 0.339 | 101 | ATL | 0.349 |
HOU | 0.298 | 102 | CHC | 0.339 |
CHW | 0.301 | 108 | CLE | 0.276 |
COL | 0.313 | 111 | CIN | 0.307 |
OAK | 0.306 | 91 | ARI | 0.332 |
SDP | 0.314 | 98 | KCR | 0.304 |
SFG | 0.327 | 90 | PHI | 0.326 |
LAD | 0.337 | 107 | MIN | 0.302 |
Teams with favorable schedules next week include the Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Giants, Marlins, Nationals, Padres, Phillies, Pirates, and Tigers.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Astros, Braves, Mariners, Mets, Rangers, Reds, Rockies, Twins, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryne Nelson | 44.87% | OAK | 0.306 | 4.73 | 7.6% | 1.25 |
Nick Pivetta | 31.09% | SEA | 0.299 | 5.79 | 13.3% | 2.08 |
Michael Lorenzen | 5.13% | PIT | 0.326 | 4.20 | 10.3% | 0.96 |
Rich Hill | 3.53% | DET | 0.291 | 5.03 | 12.7% | 1.74 |
There are a pair of starters in that short two-game Pirates-Tigers series that make for nice targets. Rich Hill has put together a solid stretch of starts, particularly against some weaker opponents. Michael Lorenzen is a bit more of a risk against a Pittsburgh offense that’s been pretty potent to start the season. However, the Pirates have scuffled a bit over the last two weeks (.305 wOBA) and Comerica Park provides a friendly venue.
Nick Pivetta could also be a risky start, though the Mariners offense has been really struggling recently. He can’t stop allowing home runs, allowing at least one in every start save one (against the Rays of all teams). With a HR/9 over two, he’s been killing his Ottoneu value despite a passable strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Hot Starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dane Dunning | 14.1 | 2.68 | 12.7% | 0.00 | 6.03 |
Dean Kremer | 17 | 2.84 | 9.6% | 0.00 | 4.66 |
Dane Dunning has been filling in for the injured Jacob deGrom and has put together two solid starts against the Angels — five scoreless with just two hits allowed — and the Mariners — six innings of two-run ball. His stuff isn’t overpowering, but if he’s hitting his spots with his command, he can be effective. So far, that seems to be what’s driving his success. His next start will be against the Braves which will be a pretty significant challenge. Monitor that start and see how he looks afterward.
Dean Kremer has turned in a pair of impressive starts against some very difficult opposition, holding the Braves to just a single run last week and keeping the Rays off the board in his start this week. Those are the two best offenses in the league and his ability to handle them feels like a pretty significant step forward for him.
Recap: May 8–11
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Vince Velasquez | N/A | ||
Jhony Brito | 4.1 | -8.5 | -1.97 |
Dane Dunning | 6 | 35.8 | 5.97 |
Michael Lorenzen | 7 | 44.8 | 6.40 |
Rich Hill | 3.2 | 18.7 | 5.11 |
Peyton Battenfield | 6 | 34.2 | 5.70 |
Total | 27 | 125.0 | 4.63 |
Season Total | 391.2 | 1200.7 | 3.07 |
Now that’s more like it. Even with the stinker of a start from Jhony Brito, Dunning, Lorenzen, Hill, and Battenfield carried a huge amount of points this week. The only nit to pick from that quartet of wins was the lack of bulk from Hill despite the great points per IP.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 12–14
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
DET | .292 | 93 | SEA | .301 |
MIA | .296 | 93 | CIN | .308 |
WSN | .301 | 104 | NYM | .315 |
BAL | .331 | 95 | PIT | .328 |
NYY | .305 | 102 | TBR | .371 |
TOR | .332 | 105 | ATL | .349 |
CLE | .280 | 101 | LAA | .334 |
BOS | .345 | 100 | STL | .324 |
MIN | .304 | 96 | CHC | .331 |
CHW | .304 | 108 | HOU | .299 |
MIL | .314 | 103 | KCR | .302 |
COL | .312 | 111 | PHI | .328 |
ARI | .336 | 94 | SFG | .327 |
OAK | .304 | 91 | TEX | .343 |
LAD | .334 | 107 | SDP | .316 |
Teams with favorable schedules include the Angels, Cubs, Diamondbacks, Mariners, Marlins, Rangers, Reds, and Tigers.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Blue Jays, Braves, Cardinals, Dodgers, Guardians, Nationals, Padres, Phillies, Rockies, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryne Nelson | 46.80% | SFG | .327 | 4.77 | 7.6% | 1.25 |
Matthew Boyd | 30.77% | SEA | .301 | 4.72 | 12.7% | 1.47 |
Marco Gonzales | 11.22% | DET | .292 | 4.20 | 9.2% | 0.88 |
J.P. France | 4.49% | CHW | .304 | 2.55 | 20.0% | 0.00 |
Adrian Houser | 3.53% | KCR | .302 | 1.85 | 19.0% | 0.00 |
Not a lot of recommendations for this weekend. There are a pair of starters in the Mariners-Tigers series who you could go after since both of those offenses have been sputtering and they’re playing in the cavernous Comerica Park. All three of the Tigers starters scheduled to start in the series fall below the 50% ownership threshold, but Matthew Boyd is clearly the best of the bunch. On Seattle’s side, Marco Gonzales has been solid if unspectacular this year. His last start was a gutty six inning outing against the Astros where he allowed three runs on six hits while striking out three.
Both J.P. France and Adrian Houser have made just a single start this year, though both draw a pretty nice matchup for their second start. France is a little bit more of a risky play since he’s pitching in the home run friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, but he looked solid against the Mariners in his major league debut over the weekend. Houser was activated off the IL on Sunday and made his first start against the Giants, throwing 4.2 innings with just two runs allowed and five strikeouts.
Despite allowing 13 runs across his last three starts, Ryne Nelson’s FIP during that stretch has been just 3.57 with a 4.23 xFIP. Six of those runs came in a start in Coors Field which is where the only home run he’s allowed over the last few weeks was hit. He’s lined up to start against the Giants at home over the weekend. San Francisco’s offense has been hitting pretty well, but Nelson’s home park is pretty home run friendly.
Hot starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Freeland | 18 | 4.13 | 12.3% | 1.00 | 4.53 |
Patrick Corbin | 18.1 | 4.44 | 14.9% | 1.47 | 4.01 |
I just highlighted a different Rockies starter in my last column and I’m going back to that well again. Kyle Freeland has been pretty decent over his last three starts including a seven inning outing yesterday against the Pirates. He was fantastic against the Brewers at home last week, throwing five shutout innings with five strikeouts and just three hits. The same warnings apply here as they did for Ryan Feltner: avoid starts at home while playing the matchups on the road.
Say it ain’t so! It looks like Patrick Corbin might be showing some signs of life after three miserable seasons. He pitched a solid seven innings against the Cubs last week, allowing just two runs on three hits while striking out six. He’s scheduled to start against the Giants in San Francisco today. We’ll see if he can continue building off that start against Chicago.
Recap: May 5–7
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Brad Keller | 4.1 | -31.1 | -7.19 |
Kyle Muller | 5.1 | -0.6 | -0.12 |
Ken Waldichuk | 5 | -9.2 | -1.84 |
Joey Lucchesi | 4 | 5.9 | 1.48 |
Michael Lorenzen | N/A | ||
Josh Fleming | 5 | -21.8 | -4.36 |
Yonny Chirinos | 5.1 | 19.7 | 3.69 |
Total | 29 | -37.2 | -1.28 |
Season Total | 364.2 | 1075.7 | 2.95 |
Ouch. Nothing good came from those recommendations last weekend. In the Brad Keller-Kyle Muller matchup on Friday, the A’s and Royals wound up scoring 20 runs combined. The only start that came close to being a win was Yonny Chirinos’s start against the Yankees, though he walked four and didn’t strike out a single batter in that outing.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 8–11
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.299 | 99 | TEX | 0.346 |
CLE | 0.286 | 101 | DET | 0.285 |
PIT | 0.335 | 95 | COL | 0.312 |
BAL | 0.337 | 95 | TBR | 0.375 |
NYY | 0.298 | 102 | OAK | 0.297 |
CHC | 0.340 | 98 | STL | 0.324 |
KCR | 0.292 | 93 | CHW | 0.296 |
MIL | 0.315 | 103 | LAD | 0.344 |
LAA | 0.334 | 107 | HOU | 0.302 |
ARI | 0.326 | 94 | MIA | 0.303 |
SFG | 0.329 | 90 | WSN | 0.297 |
CIN | 0.304 | 116 | NYM | 0.316 |
PHI | 0.329 | 106 | TOR | 0.324 |
ATL | 0.353 | 98 | BOS | 0.351 |
MIN | 0.312 | 96 | SDP | 0.318 |
Teams with favorable schedules next week include the Diamondbacks, Giants, Guardians, Nationals, Pirates, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, and White Sox
Teams with tougher schedules include the Astros, Blue Jays, Braves, Brewers, Cardinals, Mariners, Mets, Orioles, Phillies, Red Sox, and Reds.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vince Velasquez | 37.18% | COL | 0.312 | 3.79 | 14.6% | 0.84 |
Jhony Brito | 33.97% | OAK | 0.297 | 4.46 | 6.1% | 0.79 |
Dane Dunning | 16.03% | SEA | 0.299 | 3.31 | 7.6% | 0.00 |
Michael Lorenzen | 4.81% | CLE | 0.286 | 4.83 | 9.9% | 1.29 |
Rich Hill | 2.56% | COL | 0.312 | 5.34 | 12.9% | 1.95 |
Peyton Battenfield | 1.28% | DET | 0.285 | 5.89 | 3.9% | 1.56 |
I covered both Vince Velasquez and Rich Hill in my last column on Tuesday as two guys who have been particularly good recently. The former made a start against the Rays yesterday and left after three innings with elbow discomfort. He said he was optimistic about the injury after the game but his status is clearly up in the air. If he’s healthy, he’s scheduled to take the mound against the Rockies at home on Tuesday. Monitor his status closely.
In that A’s-Yankees series there could be a couple of starters you could call on to take advantage of some weak offenses. Jhony Brito is scheduled to start Wednesday and he looked a lot better in his last start against the potent Rangers lineup; he threw five innings of two-run ball with five strikeouts against just one walk. There are a bunch of A’s starters who you probably shouldn’t trust, even against the weakened Yankees lineup. Plus there’s the complication of Aaron Judge potentially being activated from the Injured List early in the week. If you had to pick an Oakland starter, I’d go with JP Sears; he’s coming off six innings of shutout work against the Mariners.
The Guardians-Tigers series features two of the worst offenses in the league going head-to-head. Michael Lorenzen and Peyton Battenfield draw starts in the series and both are worth considering simply due to the lack of offensive quality they’ll be facing. The former is a pretty known quantity at this point in his career, but the Cleveland rookie features some promise even if the early results haven’t been pretty. Battenfield features a cutter that possesses a 38.2% whiff rate, a weapon that makes him a far more interesting flier than a veteran innings eater.
Hot Starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Feltner | 17 | 2.30 | 16.4% | 0.00 | 6.32 |
Wade Miley | 17 | 3.83 | 5.9% | 0.53 | 4.37 |
I’d understand if you had completely missed out on the stretch of starts Ryan Feltner has put together recently. Over his last three turns in the rotation, he’s allowed just three runs while striking out 15 in 17 innings. Just one of those starts came at home in Coors Field and that’s really the sticking point with any Rockies starter. It’s a huge gamble to start them at home so you’re only really rostering them for half their appearances. At his peak, Germán Márquez was worth rostering; Feltner is definitely not at that point yet, but his stretch of solid starts makes him worth monitoring.
After tossing a seven-inning gem back on April 16 against the Padres, Wade Miley has followed it up with three solid starts including surviving Coors Field yesterday. The strikeouts aren’t there but he’s managing hard contact against him and isn’t walking anyone. He’s lined up to start against the Dodgers at home in his next turn through the rotation. If he can pass that test, he could be worth looking into to give your Ottoneu team some bulk innings.
Recap: May 1–4
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Domingo Germán | 8.1 | 65.5 | 7.86 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.2 | 11.0 | 1.66 |
Tyler Wells | 6 | -4.3 | -0.72 |
Drew Smyly | 7 | 27.9 | 3.99 |
JP Sears | 6 | 42.0 | 7.00 |
Total | 34 | 142.1 | 4.18 |
Season Total | 335.2 | 1112.9 | 3.32 |
A pretty good week with two clear wins, another solid start, and just one clear loss. Domingo Germán looked dominant against the Guardians and his ownership rate has skyrocketed over the 50% threshold we’re working with. Tyler Wells actually looked pretty decent against the Royals, but he was undone by allowing three home runs, the only hits he allowed in his start.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 5–7
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.297 | 99 | HOU | 0.309 |
CHC | 0.348 | 98 | MIA | 0.305 |
PIT | 0.344 | 95 | TOR | 0.327 |
CIN | 0.309 | 116 | CHW | 0.298 |
TBR | 0.377 | 94 | NYY | 0.297 |
PHI | 0.335 | 106 | BOS | 0.340 |
NYM | 0.323 | 97 | COL | 0.304 |
CLE | 0.289 | 101 | MIN | 0.317 |
ATL | 0.342 | 98 | BAL | 0.333 |
KCR | 0.276 | 93 | OAK | 0.305 |
STL | 0.329 | 94 | DET | 0.279 |
LAA | 0.330 | 107 | TEX | 0.342 |
ARI | 0.322 | 94 | WSN | 0.299 |
SDP | 0.319 | 98 | LAD | 0.336 |
SFG | 0.330 | 90 | MIL | 0.315 |
Teams with favorable schedules this weekend include the A’s, Astros, Brewers, Cardinals, Cubs, Diamondbacks, Giants, Mets, Nationals, Rays, Royals, and Twins.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Angels, Blue Jays, Marlins, Orioles, Padres, Phillies, Rangers, Red Sox, White Sox, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brad Keller | 43.59% | OAK | 0.305 | 4.80 | 0.0% | 0.30 |
Kyle Muller | 38.46% | KCR | 0.276 | 5.48 | 3.6% | 1.26 |
Ken Waldichuk | 32.69% | KCR | 0.276 | 7.42 | 9.0% | 2.90 |
Joey Lucchesi | 8.33% | COL | 0.304 | 3.46 | 17.0% | 0.73 |
Michael Lorenzen | 4.49% | STL | 0.329 | 5.31 | 15.4% | 1.93 |
Josh Fleming | 3.21% | NYY | 0.297 | 2.97 | 8.9% | 0.00 |
Yonny Chirinos | 2.24% | NYY | 0.297 | 2.88 | 12.0% | 0.00 |
There are three recommendations in that Royals-A’s series in Oakland this weekend. Brad Keller still hasn’t found his groove with his new breaking balls that he introduced this year, but the matchup and venue are just too good to pass up. Both Kyle Muller and Ken Waldichuk have been frequent inclusions in this column but neither has really pitched up to their potential yet. The Royals’ punchless offense is as good an opportunity to get their seasons back on track.
After sitting out most of 2021 and all of last year due to Tommy John surgery, Joey Lucchesi has been thrust back into the Mets rotation with all their injuries they’ve been dealing with. He’s made two starts so far and has looked pretty good; he shut out the Giants in seven innings in his first start and allowed three runs in 5.1 against the Nationals in his second. He’s lined up to start at home against the Rockies.
With Aaron Judge on the IL and the rest of the Yankees lineup really struggling to produce anything right now, it’s the perfect time to take advantage of this struggling team. This weekend, the Rays host New York and there are two starters who could make for nice drip candidates. Josh Fleming has worked as a long reliever for the most part this year. Make sure he’s actually listed as the starter and isn’t lined up to be the bulk pitcher after an opener. The same goes for Yonny Chirinos. He’s finally healthy after a long road to recovery after Tommy John surgery and a fractured elbow.
Hot starters:
Pitcher | IP | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 | P/IP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vince Velasquez | 19 | 2.71 | 22.4% | 0.47 | 6.48 |
Rich Hill | 17.1 | 2.81 | 18.9% | 0.00 | 5.02 |
Yusei Kikuchi | 17.2 | 3.28 | 24.20% | 1.02 | 5.83 |
Now that we’re a little deeper into the season, I can point out some under-owned pitchers who have been throwing well recently who might not be making it into the recommended section above due to their matchups. I’m looking at data from the last 14 days to find these pitchers who are performing well.
The two Pirates starters have been phenomenal recently, part of the entire team’s fantastic month of April. Rich Hill continues to do his thing at 43 years old and has had a very nice run of three starts including a gem in Coors Field where he held the Rockies to just a single run in six innings back on April 17. I recommended Vince Velasquez for his start against the Nationals last weekend and he delivered a commanding performance. He’s now posted back-to-back shutouts in his last two outings. He looks like he’s in the middle of one of those hot streaks that remind us why he was so highly thought of as a prospect and why he’s continued to bounce around the league despite never really living up to his potential.
Yusei Kikuchi’s most impressive start came back on April 15 when he held the red hot Rays to just a single run in six innings. It seems like he’s gotten his control problems figured out while still racking up the strikeouts. His stuff is good enough that he could finally be breaking out five years after coming over to the US from Japan.
Recap: April 28–30
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Kyle Muller | 5 | 11.7 | 2.34 |
Nick Pivetta | 5 | 12.7 | 2.54 |
Dean Kremer | 5 | 14.4 | 2.88 |
Vince Velasquez | 6 | 38.4 | 6.40 |
Caleb Kilian | 3.1 | -5.3 | -1.60 |
Total | 24.1 | 71.9 | 2.95 |
Season Total | 301.2 | 970.8 | 3.22 |
Velasquez’s start was the big win over the weekend but that was negated by the disaster of a start from Caleb Kilian in Miami. The rest of the slate was fine, not too bad but no clear wins either.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: May 1–4
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
WSN | 0.300 | 104 | CHC | 0.348 |
NYY | 0.311 | 102 | CLE | 0.293 |
BOS | 0.332 | 100 | TOR | 0.333 |
HOU | 0.316 | 102 | SFG | 0.324 |
SDP | 0.297 | 98 | CIN | 0.300 |
LAD | 0.329 | 107 | PHI | 0.337 |
OAK | 0.300 | 91 | SEA | 0.299 |
DET | 0.272 | 93 | NYM | 0.322 |
TBR | 0.374 | 94 | PIT | 0.338 |
MIA | 0.301 | 93 | ATL | 0.343 |
CHW | 0.292 | 108 | MIN | 0.312 |
KCR | 0.270 | 93 | BAL | 0.331 |
STL | 0.340 | 94 | LAA | 0.335 |
TEX | 0.338 | 101 | ARI | 0.316 |
COL | 0.300 | 111 | MIL | 0.323 |
Teams with favorable schedules next week include the A’s, Braves, Mariners, Mets, Orioles, Padres, Reds, and Tigers.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Astros, Blue Jays, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Nationals, Phillies, Red Sox, Rockies, and White Sox.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Domingo Germán | 41.35% | CLE | 0.293 | 5.45 | 22.4% | 2.42 |
Kyle Gibson | 40.71% | KCR | 0.270 | 4.33 | 11.3% | 1.05 |
Tyler Wells | 38.46% | KCR | 0.270 | 3.85 | 19.0% | 1.24 |
Drew Smyly | 33.01% | WSN | 0.300 | 3.19 | 19.1% | 0.64 |
JP Sears | 12.82% | SEA | 0.299 | 5.64 | 21.8% | 2.49 |
The Orioles visit the expansive ballpark in Kansas City and get to face the punchless Royals offense next week. There are two starters who I’m recommending: Tyler Wells and Kyle Gibson (again). The former has pitched particularly well this year and pitched a seven inning shutout against the Tigers a week ago. In his last start against the Red Sox, he struck out seven — a season-high — and allowed just two runs on four hits in 5.2 innings. Gibson has been a common recommendation in this column and he has continued to provide serviceable production when the matchup is right.
Outside of a seven run blowup in his first start of the season, Drew Smyly has pitched phenomenally this year. He took a perfect game into the eighth inning against the Dodgers a week ago and then held the Padres to two runs on four hits in five innings his last time out. A matchup with the Nationals should be a piece of cake after suppressing those two offenses.
The last two recommendations are pretty risky considering the number of home runs each of them has allowed. Still, both Domingo Germán and JP Sears sit within the top-20 in the majors in strikeout-minus-walk rate. Despite their issues with the long ball, they’re striking batters out and aren’t allowing too many free passes; that’s certainly a sign of better things to come for both of them. Of the two, I’d be more inclined to start Sears since his home ballpark is a haven for fly ball pitchers like him.
Recap: April 24–27
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Brad Keller | 4 | 5.2 | 1.30 |
Jhony Brito | 2.2 | 4.9 | 1.85 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.1 | 42.4 | 6.69 |
José Suarez | 5 | -41.3 | -8.26 |
Zach Plesac | 5 | 15.0 | 3.00 |
Griffin Canning | 5 | 22.3 | 4.46 |
Colin Rea | 5 | 1.7 | 0.34 |
Total | 33 | 50.2 | 1.52 |
Season Total | 277.1 | 898.9 | 3.24 |
Woof. That start from José Suarez against the A’s was absolutely brutal. It completely wiped away any positive vibes from Gibson’s gem or Canning’s solid start. Brad Keller continues to struggle with his command, which means he’s bleeding points despite allowing just a single home run this year.
We’re a month into the season and the average points per inning pitched for the recommendations in this column sits at 3.24. That’s not great, but it’s not a disaster either. The 50% ownership threshold really puts a strain on the kinds of pitchers I’m able to include since Ottoneu has such deep rosters. Have these targets been helpful for you, dear reader, or do I need to be a little more discerning with my recommendations week in and week out?
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 28–30
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR | 0.326 | 105 | SEA | 0.303 |
MIN | 0.306 | 96 | KCR | 0.272 |
DET | 0.268 | 93 | BAL | 0.331 |
MIA | 0.299 | 93 | CHC | 0.350 |
WSN | 0.294 | 104 | PIT | 0.334 |
BOS | 0.333 | 100 | CLE | 0.292 |
NYM | 0.326 | 97 | ATL | 0.345 |
CHW | 0.299 | 108 | TBR | 0.385 |
TEX | 0.343 | 101 | NYY | 0.308 |
HOU | 0.319 | 102 | PHI | 0.344 |
MIL | 0.324 | 103 | LAA | 0.326 |
COL | 0.301 | 111 | ARI | 0.318 |
OAK | 0.302 | 91 | CIN | 0.298 |
LAD | 0.341 | 107 | STL | 0.338 |
SDP | 0.301 | 98 | SFG | 0.321 |
I’ve started pulling current season data for team offenses to assess matchups rather than continue utilizing the rest-of-season projections. That means there are a bunch of teams who were projected to be good who are currently underperforming and vice versa.
It’s a pretty rough slate of matchups this weekend. It doesn’t help that the Giants and Padres are playing in Mexico City which is at a higher altitude than Denver. The ball should be flying in that short two-game series.
Teams with easier schedules include the A’s, Cubs, Orioles, Twins, Red Sox, Reds, and Royals.
Teams with tougher schedules include the aforementioned Giants and Padres and also the Angels, Astros, Brewers, Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Guardians, Mariners, Mets, Nationals, Rockies, White Sox. and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Muller | 49.68% | CIN | 0.298 | 5.31 | 3.4% | 1.14 |
Nick Pivetta | 31.73% | CLE | 0.292 | 5.16 | 15.9% | 1.83 |
Dean Kremer | 9.30% | DET | 0.268 | 6.57 | 11.3% | 2.55 |
Vince Velasquez | 0.96% | WSN | 0.294 | 4.12 | 13.3% | 1.03 |
Caleb Kilian? | 0.32% | MIA | 0.299 | 4.17 | 11.1% |
Despite all those poor matchups, there are a handful of starter’s I’m comfortable recommending. All three of the A’s starters scheduled to take the mound during their home series against the Reds fall below our 50% owned threshold. I’m recommending Kyle Muller again, but if you want to roll the dice with Ken Waldichuk or possibly even Drew Rucinski 루친스키, you could drip them into your lineups.
Nick Pivetta bounced back after a rough start against the Angels a few weeks ago. Last weekend, he held the Brewers to three runs in 5.2 innings, striking out seven and walking just one. He draws the Guardians at home this weekend and that should be a pretty easy matchup for him since Cleveland’s offense hasn’t really started clicking yet.
Dean Kremer followed up his gem of a start against the Nationals with a decent start against the Red Sox yesterday. He allowed four runs in 5.2 innings, striking out five. He did allow a pair of home runs which has been a huge issue for him. The Tigers simply aren’t hitting for power right now and the Orioles will be playing in cavernous Comerica Park. This is a matchup that should go the way his one against the Nationals did.
After two rough starts to open the season, Vince Velasquez has actually been pitching pretty well for the red-hot Pirates. He shut out the Cardinals and Reds and escaped Coors Field with just three runs allowed. Across his last three starts, he’s earned 6.7 points per inning pitched. He’s scheduled to start against the Nationals on Saturday.
The final recommendation is a little up in the air. The Cubs will need to call up a starter to take Jameson Taillon’s spot in the rotation this weekend but it’s a little unclear who it’ll be. Caleb Kilian or Adrian Sampson 샘슨 make the most sense with the former being listed on the Roster Resource Probables Grid. Whoever it ends up being, they’ll have a nice matchup against the Marlins in Miami.
Recap: April 21–23
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Wells | 7 | 51.0 | 7.29 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.1 | 42.4 | 6.69 |
Zach Plesac | 5 | 15.0 | 3.00 |
Hunter Gaddis | N/A | ||
Bailey Falter | N/A | ||
Total | 18.1 | 108.4 | 5.91 |
Season Total | 244.1 | 848.7 | 3.47 |
Two clear wins from the two Orioles starters make this a pretty good week. Hunter Gaddis ended up relegated to long relief and then to the minors and Bailey Falter’s start was pushed back to today.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 24–27
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
PHI | 0.340 | 106 | SEA | 0.302 |
CLE | 0.296 | 101 | COL | 0.311 |
BAL | 0.343 | 95 | BOS | 0.330 |
TBR | 0.389 | 94 | HOU | 0.318 |
CIN | 0.311 | 116 | TEX | 0.328 |
TOR | 0.324 | 105 | CHW | 0.311 |
ATL | 0.348 | 98 | MIA | 0.304 |
MIN | 0.300 | 96 | NYY | 0.322 |
MIL | 0.329 | 103 | DET | 0.277 |
LAA | 0.316 | 107 | OAK | 0.292 |
ARI | 0.318 | 94 | KCR | 0.264 |
SFG | 0.328 | 90 | STL | 0.349 |
PIT | 0.340 | 95 | LAD | 0.347 |
NYM | 0.330 | 97 | WSN | 0.294 |
CHC | 0.347 | 98 | SDP | 0.308 |
I’ve started pulling current season data for team offenses to assess matchups rather than continue utilizing the rest-of-season projections. That means there are a bunch of teams who were projected to be good who are currently underperforming and vice versa.
Teams with easier schedules include the Braves, Brewers, Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Guardians, Mets, Royals, and Yankees.
Teams with tougher schedules include the A’s, Mariners, Marlins, Rangers, Reds, Tigers, and White Sox.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brad Keller | 49.36% | ARI | 0.318 | 4.37 | 5.7% | 0.43 |
Jhony Brito | 40.06% | MIN | 0.300 | 4.12 | 6.3% | 0.60 |
Kyle Gibson | 33.01% | DET | 0.277 | 4.76 | 7.4% | 1.14 |
José Suarez | 29.49% | OAK | 0.292 | 6.15 | 0.0% | 1.54 |
Zach Plesac | 13.46% | COL | 0.311 | 4.55 | 10.0% | 1.38 |
Griffin Canning | 8.33% | OAK | 0.292 | 4.19 | 12.2% | 0.87 |
Colin Rea | 0.32% | DET | 0.277 | 4.16 | 11.9% | 0.84 |
Brad Keller sits just below our 50% ownership cutoff and he’s been a common recommendation in these columns this year. He’s continued to struggle with his command early this season but he’s also only given up a single home run and just 14 hits in 21 innings. He gets a nice matchup against the Diamondbacks in their dinger suppressing ballpark next week.
Another common recommendation, Kyle Gibson lines up to face the Tigers two starts in a row, once this weekend and again on Thursday. His last start against the White Sox didn’t go super well — four runs on seven hits and two walks with just a single strikeout in 5.1 innings — but the other three starts he’s made this season have been solid. His two-step against Detroit is just too good to pass up.
Colin Rea is also lined up to face the Tigers next week. He’s been a serviceable starter for the Brewers after Brandon Woodruff went down with his shoulder injury. He had a pretty good season in Japan last year and has looked decent in his return to the States. He held the Padres to a single run across 5.2 innings in his first start but was knocked around by the Mariners in his second.
José Suarez and Griffin Canning are scheduled to face the A’s at home next week. That’s a pretty juicy matchup, but beware the high home run park factor of Angel Stadium. Suarez hasn’t been good this year, with a walk rate that matches his strikeout rate. A date against Oakland seems like a good candidate for a get-right start. Canning is a bit more interesting. Injuries derailed a very promising start to his career over the last few years. He’s healthy and has made a couple of solid starts so far this year.
Jhony Brito bounced back from his ugly start against the Twins by holding the Angels to just a single run across 4.1 innings on Wednesday. He’s scheduled to face Minnesota again next week and will be looking to improve on his seven-run disaster the last time he faced them.
Recap: April 17–20
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 5 | 25.0 | 5.00 |
Michael Wacha | 4 | 6.6 | 1.65 |
Brad Keller | 4 | 10.8 | 2.70 |
Dean Kremer | 6.2 | 47.9 | 7.19 |
Matt Strahm | 5.1 | 35.4 | 6.63 |
Hunter Gaddis | 5 | 15.2 | 3.04 |
Peyton Battenfield | 6 | 25.3 | 4.22 |
Total | 36 | 166.2 | 4.62 |
Season Total | 226 | 740.4 | 3.28 |
A really good week with four clear wins and no obvious losses. Keller’s start against the Rangers was dragged down by the five walks he allowed and Michael Wacha just hasn’t been able to replicate the magic he showed in his second start of the season against the Braves.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 21–23
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.307 | 99 | STL | 0.337 |
CHC | 0.337 | 98 | LAD | 0.347 |
PIT | 0.319 | 95 | CIN | 0.326 |
TBR | 0.385 | 94 | CHW | 0.322 |
BAL | 0.354 | 95 | DET | 0.269 |
PHI | 0.354 | 106 | COL | 0.308 |
NYY | 0.324 | 102 | TOR | 0.335 |
CLE | 0.305 | 101 | MIA | 0.306 |
ATL | 0.356 | 98 | HOU | 0.319 |
TEX | 0.315 | 101 | OAK | 0.305 |
MIN | 0.294 | 96 | WSN | 0.306 |
MIL | 0.339 | 103 | BOS | 0.328 |
LAA | 0.325 | 107 | KCR | 0.273 |
ARI | 0.307 | 94 | SDP | 0.318 |
SFG | 0.339 | 90 | NYM | 0.323 |
I’ve started pulling current season data for team offenses to assess matchups rather than continue utilizing the rest-of-season projections. That means there are a bunch of teams who were projected to be good who are currently underperforming and vice versa.
Teams with an easier weekend schedule include the Marlins, Nationals, Orioles, Padres, Phillies Rangers, Reds, and Twins. The Diamondbacks and Giants are both playing at home in their cavernous ballparks but they’re facing the Padres and Mets, respectively. On paper, it’s a decent matchup for Arizona and San Francisco because their opponents are underperforming a bit, but be weary.
Teams with tougher schedules include the Astros, Blue Jays, Brewers, Cubs, Mariners, Red Sox, Rockies, Royals, Tigers, White Sox, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Wells | 14.42% | DET | 0.269 | 4.55 | 16.4% | 1.65 |
Kyle Gibson | 31.09% | DET | 0.269 | 4.76 | 7.4% | 1.14 |
Zach Plesac | 13.78% | MIA | 0.306 | 4.56 | 10.0% | 1.38 |
Hunter Gaddis | 6.73% | MIA | 0.306 | 4.27 | 10.2% | 0.71 |
Bailey Falter | 11.22% | COL | 0.308 | 4.06 | 12.9% | 1.20 |
I’ve only got a handful of recommendations this weekend. The Orioles are hosting the Tigers who currently have the worst offense in baseball by a wide margin. That means it’s a great opportunity to drip Tyler Wells and Kyle Gibson into your rosters. The former has had a decent start to the year, allowing just a single walk in three starts with an acceptable amount of strikeouts and hits allowed. Gibson has been a successful recommendation twice already this season and this matchup is his best yet.
The Guardians will host the hapless Marlins offense this weekend, giving you another opportunity to drip Zach Plesac and Hunter Gaddis into your rosters. Plesac has been fine after his implosion in his first start of the year against the A’s. The strikeouts aren’t there but he isn’t walking anyone either. Gaddis has only allowed a single home run this season, relying on weak contact in the air to get many of his outs. His xFIP is an unsightly 5.74, however, so start him at your own risk.
The Rockies will travel to Philadelphia this weekend and Bailey Falter might be lined up for a start on Saturday or Sunday. The Phillies have a double-header today and don’t have an off day this week so their rotation might need to be reconfigured over the weekend. Keep an eye on whether or not Falter is listed as a probable for that series against Colorado.
Recap: April 14–16
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Dylan Dodd | N/A | ||
Seth Lugo | 3.2 | 10.3 | 2.82 |
Nick Martinez | 6 | 1.8 | 0.30 |
Matthew Boyd | N/A | ||
Anthony DeSclafani | 6.2 | 31.4 | 4.72 |
Jhony Brito | 0.2 | -26.0 | -38.95 |
Bryce Elder | 5.1 | 20.7 | 3.87 |
Zach Plesac | 5 | 20.8 | 4.16 |
Michael Grove | 5.2 | 30.4 | 5.37 |
Jake Woodford | 5.1 | 21.3 | 3.99 |
Total | 38.1 | 110.8 | 2.89 |
Season Total | 190 | 574.2 | 3.02 |
A couple of recommendations ended up missing starts last weekend — Dylan Dodd was sent back to Triple-A when Kyle Wright was activated from the IL and Matthew Boyd had his start delayed by rain two days in a row. I think we can call Anthony DeSclafani and Michael Grove’s starts wins with Jhony Brito and Nick Martinez’s clear losses. Seth Lugo also struggled through his start, but ended up earning enough points to call it a wash.
Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 17–20
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.318 | 99 | MIL | 0.322 |
BOS | 0.331 | 100 | MIN | 0.317 |
DET | 0.307 | 93 | CLE | 0.322 |
CIN | 0.317 | 116 | TBR | 0.320 |
MIA | 0.317 | 93 | SFG | 0.321 |
CHW | 0.321 | 108 | PHI | 0.324 |
KCR | 0.317 | 93 | TEX | 0.320 |
STL | 0.329 | 94 | ARI | 0.321 |
HOU | 0.335 | 102 | TOR | 0.335 |
COL | 0.310 | 111 | PIT | 0.317 |
OAK | 0.299 | 91 | CHC | 0.318 |
SDP | 0.334 | 98 | ATL | 0.338 |
LAD | 0.333 | 107 | NYM | 0.327 |
WSN | 0.311 | 104 | BAL | 0.321 |
NYY | 0.327 | 102 | LAA | 0.334 |
Its feast or famine this week. Easy schedules include the A’s, Cardinals, Cubs, Giants, Guardians, Marlins, Rangers, Royals, and Tigers.
A bunch of squads have a tough matchup to start the week including the Angels, Astros, Blue Jays, Dodgers, Mets, Padres, Pirates, Phillies, Reds, Twins, White Sox, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 47.76% | CHC | 0.318 | 4.24 | 14.2% |
Michael Wacha | 46.80% | ARI | 0.321 | 4.44 | 13.4% |
Brad Keller | 13.46% | TEX | 0.320 | 4.32 | 8.8% |
Dean Kremer | 11.86% | WSN | 0.311 | 4.28 | 11.5% |
Matt Strahm | 9.94% | COL | 0.330 | 3.92 | 18.3% |
Hunter Gaddis | 8.65% | DET | 0.307 | 4.68 | 14.1% |
Peyton Battenfield | 0.00% | DET | 0.307 | 4.55 | 11.0% |
There aren’t a ton of great matchups to recommend this week with a bunch of riskier plays if you’re desperate for innings or need to hit your games started cap. Michael Wacha has been a little overlooked in these columns in favor of his rotation-mates Nick Martinez and Seth Lugo, but Wacha’s actually been pretty decent in his two starts this year. Impressively, he held the Braves scoreless over six innings in his last outing with ten strikeouts. He’s lined up to start against the Diamondbacks in Arizona on Thursday.
Brad Keller continues to impress with his revamped breaking balls; Stuff+ loves both his slider (137 Stuff+) and curveball (114 Stuff+). The only knock against him has been his lack of control of those two pitches early on. Everyone has scrambled to pick up his teammate Kris Bubic, but Keller deserves some attention too. He just held the Rangers to a single run in 6.2 innings while striking out seven on Wednesday and he’ll get to face them again at home on Tuesday.
Matt Strahm has yet to allow a run in three appearances and two starts this year and as long as he’s getting a chance to contribute in the rotation, he’s worth considering dripping into your rotation. I didn’t recommend him for his start against the Reds in the bandbox in Cincinnati but he gets a really nice matchup against the Rockies at home on Thursday.
Ken Waldichuk has had a really rough start to the season, allowing 17 runs in 15 innings. To be fair, he ran into the Angels and the Rays for his first two starts and looked a bit better against the Orioles in his last outing. His ownership rate has dropped below 50% in Ottoneu as frustrated players have cut him loose. Still, he was ranked 86th on the 2023 Top Prospects list and looked promising during his cup of coffee last year. If you want to take a chance on him, he has a nice matchup against the Cubs at home on the docket.
There are a couple of Guardians starters worth mentioning for their matchup against the Tigers in Detroit. Hunter Gaddis looked great against the A’s a week ago but got crushed by the Yankees in his last start. Peyton Battenfield made his major league debut this week against those same Bronx Bombers and held them to just two runs in 4.2 innings. He was ranked 40th on Cleveland’s prospect list and fits their archetype of pitchers who have a deep repertoire with a strong breaking ball, but struggle with their fastball. Both would be pretty significant risks, but the matchup and venue are pretty favorable.
Recap: April 10–13
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
José Suarez | 4 | 4.6 | 1.15 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.1 | 32.9 | 5.19 |
Dean Kremer | 4.1 | -12.5 | -2.89 |
Bryce Elder | 6.1 | 42.3 | 6.67 |
Chris Flexen 플렉센 | 2.1 | -37.3 | -16.00 |
JP Sears | 5 | 6.6 | 1.32 |
Matt Strahm | 5 | 35.6 | 7.12 |
Wade Miley | 5 | 8.7 | 1.74 |
Total | 38.1 | 80.8 | 2.11 |
Season Total | 151.2 | 463.4 | 3.06 |
Three wins and two losses last week and a bunch of meh. Strahm continues to be a solid recommendation and Bryce Elder impressed again. The Chris Flexen recommendation was an ugly affair but he had been such a consistent, if unexciting, starter last year I thought it would work out against the Cubs. It didn’t. Despite struggling against the A’s in his start on Wednesday, I’m recommending another Kremer start as you can see above. Maybe he’ll be able to handle the Nationals this time around.