Archive for Strategy

Beat the Shift Podcast – Bay Area Episode w/ Jessica Kleinschmidt

The Bay Area Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jessica Kleinschmidt

Personal history in the business

Oakland Athletics

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Marlins Episode w/ Craig Mish

The Miami Marlins Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Craig Mish

LABR Mixed Auction Update

Working in the Business & Playing Fantasy Baseball

  • Craig Mish Personal History
  • Advangates gained for fantasy baseball
  • Thoughts on Marlins GM Kim Ng [later in the show]
  • Working as a beat reporter in COVID times [later in the show]

Miami Marlins

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Beat the Shift Podcast – NL Central Episode w/ Sara Sanchez

The NL Central Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Sara Sanchez

Strategy Section

  • Injured List roster slots in fantasy baseball
    • Do they add or remove “luck” to the game?
    • Do they take away “decisions” that fantasy owners have to make?
    • Is 2021 different than other seasons with regard to its use?
    • The use of a Limited IL slot for high value / undropable players.

Chicago Cubs

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How They Swing in the Shadows

There is a fifth dimension beyond that which is known to fans. It is a dimension as vast as the width of two balls and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and dark, between strike and ball, and lies between the pit of a batter’s fear and the summit of his bat’s knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call the Shadow Zone.

The entire zone can be divided into four attack zones, starting at the heart, and moving out to the shadow zone (the width of a ball on the inside and outside of the strike zone), which is followed by the chase and waste zones.

We’ll be focusing on the shadow zone, home of pitcher’s pitches and balls framed to strikes, looking first at the players who are offering at these borderline pitches the least in 2021. However, swinging less at shadow pitches doesn’t guarantee success and some hitters are better served by being more aggressive. Like most things, it’s a case-by-case situation. Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Returnee Episode w/ Jeff Erickson

The Returnee Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jeff Erickson

Strategy Section

Cincinnati Reds

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Checking in on the Rabbits

If I were to look into the rear-view mirror while riding in the back seat of an Uber and ask the driver, “Could you tell me the expected time of arrival, minus the current time please?”, I would probably get some weird looks. But, if I were to ask you, fantasy baseball enthusiast, for your team’s current stolen base total, plus your rest of season (RoS) projected stolen base count, you would probably be delighted. It would give you a good sense of where your team is and where your team is heading.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Lineups Episode w/ Steve Gardner

The Lineups Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Steve Gardner

Strategy Section

  • Lineups
    • 5 games for a star vs. 7 games for a scrub
    • When should you start paying attention to categories when setting your lineup?
      • When should you be playing the Jon Berti types?
    • Monday morning decisions for injured players
      • What are the key words/terms that managers use that you should pay attention to when making your decisions?

Fantasy Baseball in 2021

  • How does 2021’s lower batting average environment affect how you play fanasty?
  • What does the 2021 pitching environment mean for player values?
  • Should we change the rules of rotisserie baseball?
    • BA vs. OBP
    • Saves vs. Saves + Holds
    • Wins vs. IP vs. Wins + Quality Starts

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Is It Too Early Episode w/ Ian Kahn

The Is It Too Early Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ian Kahn

Strategy Section

  • Is it too early?
    • Is it too early for individual scoring categories to matter?
    • Is it too early to play the matchups based on category standings?
    • Is it too early to punt categories or to alter your pre-season strategy?
    • Is it too early to evaluate how you did at the draft table?
    • Is it too early to cut a player that you spent meaningful draft capital on?

Hot / Cold Starts

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Are They Real?

Looking at five big performances from unexpected sources to determine their staying power in the coming weeks and months.

Christian Arroyo | BOS, 2B

Arroyo has been a surprise standout for the Red Sox, hitting .302/.353/.413 in 69 PA and occasionally hitting atop the lineup. He was a top 100 prospect multiple times back when he was the Giants but has become a bit of journeyman since then moving from the San Francisco to Tampa Bay to Cleveland and finally to Boston. At the risk of being simplistic, the fast start seems almost entirely attributable to his .404 BABIP. There has been virtually zero power (.111 ISO) thanks to a massive groundball lean (62%).

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Young Openers or Middle Relievers?

There have been some really exciting starts from young pitchers so far this season. On Sunday, Michael Kopech pitched five innings, faced 18 batters, and struck out 10 of them. When I saw that he was starting in place of Lucas Giolito on Sunday morning, I totally rolled the dice and got lucky. Adding a young pitcher who I’ve been rooting for over the past few years and it paying off was great. But, I’ll admit, it made me feel a little empty inside.

As I stared at the tv and excitedly encouraged whiff after whiff I slowly began to realize that a win wasn’t going to be possible. I knew Kopech would be on a pitch count and I knew he wasn’t going to suddenly become a rotation mainstay, but I went for it anyway, dropping a set-up reliever in order to gain some strikeouts. I felt oh-so-sad when Tony La Russa effectively looked into the camera and told me not to get used to it. Monday morning had me reflecting, was it worth it? Which is better to roster, low-pitch count starters like Kopech or middle/set-up relievers?

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