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Very few bankable options on this week’s 2-start board making it a scary venture as we come down the stretch.

Monday’s SP Chart

If you have questions about anyone else, leave me a comment!

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I’m putting this together pretty early on Sunday because I’m watching my niece and won’t be on the computer as much for Sunday afternoon/evening. If something does change, don’t hesitate to let me know if the comments and I’ll give my thoughts on the new guy. It’s a brutal board to start the week after Skenes so be very careful out there!

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Solid board for Friday with plenty of opportunities at every level. As always, there is risk which is heightened in September as we have less time to undo a dud, but we can’t just sit on our hands being afraid of a dud if we are chasing points in the standings. Speaking of risk, I just don’t see myself starting Luis Gil anywhere right now. He’s fresh off the IL and hasn’t been pitching that well for some time. I’m very thankful for what he gave us this season and I’ll happily revisit in 2025, but I’m OK cutting him for the remainder of 2024.

Let me know if you have questions about anyone else.

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Drop a comment if you have a question about any of the pitchers. It’s a relatively straightforward board with a good number of 3-x’s and then some Hail Mary 1-x’s.

An earlier version accidentally had Suárez facing TOR with just a 2-x reco. With his proper matchup at MIA loaded in, I moved him to the 3-x group.

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Some really scary spots in the streamer pool for Wednesday’s slate. Be careful out there!
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I ended up using the holiday as a chance to go to sleep early hence no SP chart last night, but I can’t leave y’all hanging for Tuesday!

Brady Singer has been more good than bad of late w/a 3.69 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 18% K-BB since July 1st though that elevated WHIP hints at how the bad starts during the run have been particularly bad. During the 11 starts, he has 7 starts w/an average of 65 Game Score (which is really good), but the other 4 are at a 33 average. So there’s a big range here which does make him a little scary down the stretch, but I still have a hard time finding too many sits.

SEA is a great Rx for any starter in need of gem so Jeffrey Springs’s 5 IP of 1-hit ball with 9 Ks was a welcomed sight and he now has 5 IP in 4 of his L5.

The results for Kutter Crawford are better of late — 3.71 ERA, 0.94 WHIP — but the meager 7% K-BB tells me the .200 BABIP is doing a looottt of the heavy lifting there. There’s upside, there’s decent W potential, but there’s definitely real downside so be careful!

Cade Povich’s insane schedule (NYY 2x, HOU, LAD, CLE, BOS, ATL) explains some of the lagging #s so he deserves this outing v. CHW.

I don’t even really trust Walker Buehler that much v. LAA… he just doesn’t look right and I’m not sure an easy matchup will necessarily help that.

David Peterson threw another gem, this time at ARI, giving him a 1.86 ERA/1.13 WHIP combo in 6 August starts (38.7 IP) and it wasn’t like he just smoked bad teams with 3 great teams, a brutally tough venue in Coors, and an upstart offense with OAK accounting for 5 of the 6: at LAA, at COL, OAK, BAL, SDP, at ARI.

Kyle Harrison is a pure lottery ticket play, especially as well as Arizona is playing in the second half.

I still love Reid Detmers, but can’t start him here v. LAD; if he’s good, I can see the at MIN being usable next wk.

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We have a star-studded board to open up September so we could see some strong pitching scores this week. There is definitely some risk in the streaming tiers, but that’s always the case. It just feels more severe because we have so little time left in the season (last gm is Sept. 29th) so every dud feels more impactful. Trust your decisions, realize that they won’t all work, and don’t let a bad start make you reluctant to keep streaming if that’s your best path to scaling the standings.

Monday’s SP Chart

If you have questions about anyone else, leave me a comment!

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• Daily SP Chart archive
• Check out the August SP Rankings (NEW!)

I’ll actually post the 2-start chart this week! Look for it early Monday morning.
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Ewww, ugly board after the lock starters. And even some of the locks have wicked matchups (Hunter Brown, Sonny Gray, Bowden Francis, Cristopher Sánchez, and Brady Singer all facing top 6 offenses v. their respective handedness). The 2-x guys are either would-be 3-x’s who aren’t super trustworthy right now (Kutter Crawford,  Bobby Miller) or a complete wildcard who has impressed of late but still not sure we know who he is as a pitcher (Keider Montero). Just be careful out there, y’all!

Brayan Bello absolutely smoked the Jays tonight with 8 shutout innings, allowing just 2 hits and a walk with 9 punchies in his best start of the season. That doesn’t necessarily give me more confidence in Crawford, though, as he’s struggling more than Bello was ahead of this start. Crawford’s toting an 8.13 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 11% K-BB in his last 7 starts.

Miller was strong last time out (6 IP/3 ER/0 BB/7 Ks), but that was against Tampa Bay which is way different than facing Baltimore. He did still allow 2 HRs to account for all 3 of those runs. That’s a shakyyy 2-x reco. Just saying I could see it in 12s and 15s, but it’s more of an upside shoot-the-moon play. Hayden Birdsong and Cade Povich are even deeper Hail Mary shots.

I know Francis draws the difficult Red Sox, but he is absolutely dialed in right now and I just can’t see passing on the start: 1.91 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, 26% K-BB in 33 IP since returning on July 29th. In that span, his ranks in those categories are 5th, 1st, and 7th in baseball (min. 25 IP).

Speaking of dialed in, Ryne Nelson’s been on fire even longer with a 2.76 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 21% K-BB in 62 IP since July 1st. He ranks 12th, 8th, and 18th in that time, though unfortunately is just 4-0 despite Arizona playing well and going 8-2 during those 10 outings.

By the way, MacKenzie Gore possibly finding his footing again with a 2nd straight gem (6 IP/2 ER/6 Ks, W v. NYY) on a night when Dylan Crews hit his first MLB HR and James Wood steals 3 bases as they go 4-for-8 with 3 RBI, 2 R has to give Nats fans some hope.

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