Starting Pitcher Chart – August 14th, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
- Skubal is obviously far and away the best pitcher going today (though divisional gms on the road can be tricky!)
- Of the Senga-Luzardo-Boyd trio, Boyd’s been the best guy pitch-for-pitch but has far and away the toughest matchup which drove the hair-splitting rankings of them
- I still think the Marlins should’ve sold high on Cabrera, but it seems the SP market didn’t materialize for the top end ones; he’s tried to keep them in the playoff mix w/2 absolute gems since the deadline: 1.29 ERA, 0.43 WHIP, 18 Ks, 2 BB in 14 IP
- I’m inclined to start Scherzer everywhere when he’s healthy
- Bibee is far from a must-start w/MIA surging to 5th in wOBA vR over the L30
- It might just be an injury washout (& he’s looked fine in his 2 starts off the IL), but I do think he lives on a thin margin so when it does go, it’ll be quick. 90-91 mph fastballs with a 1.5 HR9 don’t age super well. It’s giving Kevin Slowey vibes – a pitcher I loved along with Scot Baker (who also had this profile type!)
- Lord has a 2.70 ERA in 4 starts since returning to the rotation, but a modest 12% K-BB says it’s more run-hot than breakout
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | DET at MIN | x | x | x | 145 | 2.35 | 0.86 | 30% | 13th |
| 2 | Kodai Senga | NYM v ATL | x | x | x | 94 | 2.30 | 1.24 | 10% | 18th |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI at WSN | x | x | x | 133 | 4.20 | 1.35 | 19% | 20th |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | CHC at TOR | x | x | x | 135 | 2.45 | 1.05 | 17% | 5th |
| 5 | Edward Cabrera | MIA at CLE | x | x | x | 108 | 3.08 | 1.13 | 18% | 28th |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | TOR v CHC | x | x | x | 47 | 4.21 | 1.11 | 20% | 4th |
| 7 | Tanner Bibee | CLE v MIA | x | x | 131 | 4.60 | 1.27 | 14% | 12th | |
| 8 | Bailey Ober | MIN v DET | x | x | 103 | 5.16 | 1.38 | 13% | 13th | |
| 9 | Brad Lord | WSN v PHI | 85 | 3.28 | 1.21 | 12% | 6th | |||
| 10 | Logan Evans | SEA at BAL | 74 | 4.36 | 1.39 | 10% | 16th | |||
| 11 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI at COL | 103 | 5.68 | 1.68 | 13% | 19th | |||
| 12 | Tomoyuki Sugano | BAL v SEA | 121 | 4.24 | 1.31 | 9% | 10th | |||
| 13 | Bryce Elder | ATL at NYM | 100 | 6.12 | 1.56 | 9% | 8th | |||
| 14 | Bradley Blalock | COL v ARI | 43 | 7.89 | 1.71 | 4% | 1st |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |
KEY x: Standard Recommendation | W: Chasing the Win
Is like Roto Riteup just not happening anymore?
Yeesh Cygano disrespected. And no, I’m not just saying that because I have him starting today and, like every one of his starts, I’m sweating bullets over it and trying to manifest 6 innings.
Don’t know if you’re following Forrest Whitley (remember him?) but the Rays are working some of their magic on him in AAA. Velo is actually down but they’ve completely overhauled his pitch mix and he’s striking out a ton of guys and cut the walks down a lot while just crushing hard contact. ERA is 1.76, though his xFIP is 3.13. Yesterday – 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 8 K, 1 BB.
Another guy to keep an eye on with the Rays with them trying to manage all 3 of Rasmussen’s (BTW, he was AWESOME last night), Boyle’s, and Baz’s innings a bit.
Paul, any concerns about starting Boyd today against those TOR bats in h2h where one hypothetically might need to preserve ratios? Asking for a friend that is also me.
I’m not against that if you’re preserving. Your situation matters more than my general recos and TOR is v. scary. If a blowup hurts you more than 5-6 good IP can help, I can advocate sitting