Category: SP Chart | Page 21 | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball

Starting Pitcher Chart – July 6th

July 6, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 5th

by Paul Sporer

July 5, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 3rd

by Paul Sporer

July 3, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

FYI: The site is off tomorrow so the Tuesday SP Chart is TBD.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – June 30th

by Paul Sporer

June 30, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Friday, June 30th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Shane McClanahan	TBR	at	SEA	x	x	x	93	2.23	1.12	17%	14th	Left early v. KC on 6/22 (back) but I’m ready to slot him back into the lineup after the extra time between starts
2	Pablo López	MIN	at	BAL	x	x	x	96	4.41	1.16	23%	8th	K surge has been awesome w/9+ in each of his L3 and a career best 30% rate for the year
3	Justin Steele	CHC		CLE	x	x	x	79	2.62	1.06	17%	10th	Looks great in 2 starts off the IL w/12 Ks, 2.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 2 Ws
4	Jon Gray	TEX		HOU	x	x	x	81	2.89	1.05	14%	14th	TOR dud is the lone blip in an 8-start run during which he’s posted a 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP
5	Bobby Miller	LAD	at	KCR	x	x	x	32.2	4.13	1.29	13%	26th	B2B duds after 4 gems to open his career with BB looking like the biggest issue (10%)
6	Freddy Peralta	MIL	at	PIT	x	x	x	81.1	4.65	1.33	16%	27th	BB rate up to 11% in L8 as he’s allowed at least 3 ER in all but 2 and yet one of the 2 ER gms is v. PIT so I’m sticking w/him here
7	Bryce Miller	SEA		TBR	x	x	x	55.2	3.88	0.97	17%	9th	Hit that first rookie wall w/15 ER in B2B duds, but has rebounded w/a 2.60 ERA & 0.99 WHIP since then
8	José Berríos	TOR		BOS		x	x	95	3.60	1.22	15%	13th	While he has returned to previous trustworthy state, there are still some shallow lg sits if you’re playing it safely
9	James Paxton	BOS	at	TOR		x	x	42.1	3.19	1.02	25%	4th	Don’t be afraid to sit given the matchup and fact that he left his last start w/a knee issue
10	Josiah Gray	WSN	at	PHI		x	x	89.1	3.43	1.40	9%	16th	3 rough outings in L6 and surprise, he allowed 2 HR in each! PHI’s 2% HR rate v. R at home is 3rd lowest in the lg w/just 2 10+ HR guys
11	Osvaldo Bido	PIT		MIL		x	x	15.2	3.45	1.47	18%	28th	ERA can’t survive w/that WHIP so something has to give… this is a good enough matchup to play the hot hand, but be very careful here
12	Dean Kremer	BAL		MIN		x	x	88	4.50	1.36	15%	23rd	Hasn’t paid for his 5 HR in the L2 starts with just 4 ER (6 total R); L7 K surge (24%) and spicy matchup are enough to take a shot in a lot of spots
13	Alex Cobb	SFG	at	NYM		x	x	78.2	3.09	1.37	16%	22nd	Your ability to take on the WHIP risk for a good ERA and solid W potential will determine how viable a streamer he is for you
14	Luis Severino	NYY	at	STL		x	x	36	5.25	1.50	10%	7th	2+ BB in each of his L4 and has eclipsed 5 IP in just 1 of them… would probably give a half “x” in 12s if that key existed
15	Griffin Canning	LAA		ARI			x	65.1	3.99	1.16	17%	4th	6 scoreless in Coors dropped ERA to 2.61 in L7 w/a 1.05 WHIP and 20% K-BB… not a must-start v. ARI, but hold even if you pass here
16	Cristopher Sánchez	PHI		WSN			x	13.1	4.05	1.05	21%	20th	I’m keeping tabs on him for deep lg pickup and if that changeup can be a true K pitch (7 Ks in 11 PA w/it so far), there’s some real upside here
17	Michael Soroka	ATL		MIA			x	9.2	8.38	1.86	-2%	12th	Looked great in 3 starts after being sent down (1.97 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 14% K-BB) so I might pickup now even if I pass on the first start back
18	Cal Quantrill	CLE	at	CHC				59.1	5.61	1.42	5%	21st	Fresh off the IL and did allow 14 ER in his 2 starts prior to the absence… was that injury indication or signs of major trouble?
19	Ronel Blanco	HOU	at	TEX				35	4.63	1.51	12%	5th	June Gauntlet continues: LAA, TOR, CIN, LAD and now TEX… has survived 12% BB and 7 HR during this run
20	Seth Lugo	SDP	at	CIN				51.2	4.01	1.32	16%	3rd	Solid team streamer, but there’s no need to take this risk, especially fresh off the IL
21	Bryan Hoeing	MIA	at	ATL				35	2.31	1.20	11%	1st	Do we have yet another Marlins gem on our hands? Perhaps, but he hasn’t earned confidence to run at ATL yet
22	Tanner Banks	CHW	at	OAK				18	4.50	1.17	18%	30th	TanBan isn’t really stretched out enough to take advantage of this matchup
23	Michael Lorenzen	DET	at	COL				77	3.97	1.16	13%	18th	Has become a deep league team streamer and Coors is of course a skip
24	Carlos Carrasco	NYM		SFG				48	6.19	1.56	5%	10th	Hasn’t gone 5 IP in any of the last 3 starts and I’m not eager to stream against SFG right now
25	Graham Ashcraft	CIN		SDP				69	7.17	1.67	7%	15th	Perhaps the biggest spring riser to become a stone cold flop
26	Alec Marsh	KCR		LAD				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	17th	Tough draw for his MLB debut
27	Matthew Liberatore	STL		NYY				27.1	5.60	1.65	5%	19th	Lack of development from the guy we saw last yr should have him on wires in virtually every lg
28	Tommy Henry	ARI	at	LAA				62.2	4.31	1.37	7%	13th	Can’t imagine starting any single-digit K-BB v. LAA
29	Luis Medina	OAK		CHW				48.2	6.84	1.62	9%	20th	Just too inconsistent
30	Austin Gomber	COL		DET				77	7.01	1.61	7%	15th	#NeverGomber

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 29th

by Paul Sporer

June 29, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Thursday, June 29th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Joe Musgrove	SDP	at	PIT	x	x	x	60.1	3.88	1.26	16%	27th	Fewer than 6 IP just 1x in his L6 with 8 total ER across the 36.3 IP
2	Max Scherzer	NYM		MIL	x	x	x	70.2	3.95	1.17	21%	30th	B2B gems after those 2 duds at ATL and v. NYY have hopefully assuaged concerns w/him
3	Shane Bieber	CLE	at	KCR	x	x	x	100	3.69	1.23	12%	22nd	4 HR in his L2 have fueled 9 ER; has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 12 of 15 starts, but 21 ER in the other 4 highlights the risk
4	Jesús Luzardo	MIA	at	BOS	x	x	x	90.2	3.77	1.19	22%	3rd	Not an easy matchup, but I don’t find myself sitting him in any format
5	Clarke Schmidt	NYY	at	OAK	x	x	x	77	4.32	1.42	16%	23rd	Has essentially been 5-and-dive in his L7 though it’s hard to argue w/the 2.19 ERA in that time
6	Brayan Bello	BOS		MIA		x	x	66	3.27	1.27	14%	11th	Nice 11-start run since the 5 ER Marathon Day game: 2.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 14% K-BB
7	J.P. France	HOU	at	STL		x	x	53.1	3.54	1.26	11%	13th	Putting up some nice results despite modest core skills, I particularly like that he has 6+ IP in each of his L5
8	Chris Bassitt	TOR		SFG		x	x	93.2	4.32	1.21	12%	6th	ERA is up over a run after 3 straight duds: velo is fine, but he’s using the fastball less & it’s getting smashed
9	Lance Lynn	CHW	at	LAA		x	x	90	6.40	1.49	19%	2nd	23/3 K/BB in his L2 starts and an out shy of B2B quality starts, but there’s still heavy risk in LAA
10	Taijuan Walker	PHI	at	CHC		x	x	83.1	4.10	1.24	11%	25th	Reigned in HR rate (4 in L10 after 7 in F6) has sparked a major run (2.63 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) despite modest skills (13% K-BB)
11	Patrick Sandoval	LAA		CHW			x	75.2	4.16	1.47	8%	24th	Good matchup, but can you afford the gamble of that insane WHIP? Be careful
12	Kyle Hendricks	CHC		PHI			x	34.2	2.60	0.98	7%	15th	His already-light K rate has evaporated (13%) but the results since his debut are fantastic: 2.08 ERA, 0.86 WHIP… a 5% K-BB looms, though
13	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI		TBR			x	23.2	8.37	1.65	9%	10th	Looks great in AAA w/a 3.18 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 22% K-BB so I’m definitely picking him back up, but not necessarily starting v. TBR
14	Luis L. Ortiz	PIT		SDP			x	45.2	3.74	1.62	4%	9th	Coming off his best start of the yr, but a 1.56 June WHIP undercuts the 3.24 ERA
15	Hogan Harris	OAK		NYY			x	33	4.91	1.12	10%	25th	Was rolling before the TOR dud, I still like him in deeper formats bc the low W probability makes OAK guys a tough start in many spots
16	Adrian Houser	MIL	at	NYM			x	40.1	4.02	1.54	7%	21st	3 gems, but they’ve come v. TBR-HOU-CIN while 2 of the 4 duds have come v. KCR-OAK so he’s really tough to time
17	Cody Bradford	TEX		DET				14.1	5.65	1.26	12%	18th	Essentially threw a bullpen on Monday so I’m surprised he’s going today, but that’s what I’m seeing everywhere
18	Reese Olson	DET	at	TEX				24.2	4.74	1.05	22%	5th	Has been really good outside the ATL start (6 ER) w/7 ER in his 4 other starts combined, but this matchup is super scary
19	Yonny Chirinos	TBR	at	ARI				48.1	3.91	1.14	4%	3rd	That paltry K-BB finally caught up to him w/an 8 ER bomb v. KCR… can’t trust him v. ARI
20	Zack Greinke	KCR		CLE				81.1	5.31	1.23	15%	8th	Great work in May (2.30 ERA) erased by a June Swoon (9.00) and highlights why I rarely want to take the risk of starting him
21	Emmet Sheehan	LAD	at	COL				12	1.50	0.58	7%	16th	The rookie has a sparkling ERA in his 2 starts, but that paltry 7% K-BB could drive some quick regression in Coors… hold but don’t start
22	Adam Wainwright	STL		HOU				46.2	6.56	1.82	5%	17th	Can’t find a start for him in any format right now
23	Chase Anderson	COL		LAD				42	5.79	1.45	8%	18th	Absolutely not
24	TBD	SFG	at	TOR				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	12th	Stripling is listed at most outlets but he threw 3 IP on Wednesday

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 28th

by Paul Sporer

June 28, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 27th

by Paul Sporer

June 27, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Pardon me for not mentioning in Friday’s piece that there wouldn’t be a Monday piece. I was on the road traveling over the weekend so I wasn’t able to get something together. Though with such a tiny slate, if there was ever a day to miss, it would’ve been Monday!

I’ll be live on Twitch at 8am CT reviewing Monday’s boxscores and playing Immaculate Grid if you’re interested!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – June 23rd

by Paul Sporer

June 23, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 22nd

by Paul Sporer

June 22, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

Starting Pitcher Chart – June 21st

by Paul Sporer

June 21, 2023

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

—

Read the rest of this entry »

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