Archive for Projections

Position Player Playing Time Changes: June 3, 2025

Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

Here are the latest changes in projected position player playing time since last Tuesday, led by some Tigers outfielders finally getting healthy and, of course, the debut of Jac Caglianone.

Remaining PT% Changes, 5/27 to 6/3
Name Team Positions Old PT New PT PT Change Reason
Wenceel Pérez DET RF, CF, DH 14% 50% 36% Finally back from IL and playing like a key contributor
Jake Mangum TBR CF, LF, RF 12% 46% 34% Back from IL, at Simpson’s expense
Cole Young SEA 2B, SS 36% 70% 34% Called up to be everyday 2B
Jac Caglianone KCR RF, DH, 1B 41% 71% 30% Called up, will be mostly RF, but some DH/1B
Orlando Arcia COL SS, 3B 10% 36% 26% Signed to provide coverage around the infield
Thairo Estrada COL 2B 55% 80% 25% Back from IL to be starting 2B
Jo Adell LAA CF, RF 53% 74% 21% Trout limited to DH for now + Lugo optioned + hot hitting
Parker Meadows DET CF 54% 73% 19% Back from IL as starting CF and leadoff man — could sit against some LHP
Keston Hiura COL 1B 5% 23% 18% Brought up to replace Toglia
Abraham Toro BOS 1B, 3B 20% 37% 17% Starting 1B, Campbell experiment maybe ditched for now
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 3B, 2B 61% 78% 17% Nearing return from IL, will move back to 3B
Liam Hicks MIA 1B, C, DH 36% 52% 16% Added 1B flexibility makes him a regular against RHP
DJ LeMahieu NYY 2B, 3B, 1B, DH 52% 68% 16% Expected to keep starting job when Jazz is back
Chas McCormick HOU CF, RF, LF 43% 28% -15% Strained oblique
Joey Bart PIT C, DH 57% 42% -15% Concussion
Adael Amador COL 2B 18% 3% -15% Sent down with Estrada back
Graham Pauley MIA 3B, 2B, 1B 35% 17% -18% Optioned to AAA
Anthony Santander TOR RF, LF, DH, 1B 92% 72% -20% Nagging shoulder inflammation finally leads to IL stint
Luis Matos SFG LF, RF, CF 37% 17% -20% Sent down for Encarnacion
Michael Toglia COL 1B 74% 48% -26% Sent down after prolonged struggled
Jordan Lawlar ARI 2B, DH, 3B, SS 53% 25% -28% Sent down after 0fer with limited playing time
Matt Vierling DET RF, CF, 3B 73% 41% -32% Sent back to IL with shoulder inflammation
Chandler Simpson TBR CF, LF 70% 20% -50% Dynamic on bases, but bad defense, below-average hitting led to demotion

Beat the Shift Podcast – NFBC Episode w/ Zack Waxman

The NFBC episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Zack Waxman

Draft Champions Podcast

Strategy Section

  • NFBC
    • Power players
    • Drafting early vs. drafting late
    • The use of projections
    • ADP
    • Jacob deGrom’s innings for 2025
  • Waiver Wire / FAAB
    • General Strategy
    • Putting in the time
    • What to tackle first / how best to use your time?
    • Track remaining FAAB?
    • Allocate FAAB weekly?

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Buy/Sell/Hold

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

 

Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: May 29, 2025

Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images
Remaining PT% Changes, 5/20 to 5/27
Name Team Positions Old % of Remaining PT New % of Remaining PT PT Change Reason
Denzel Clarke ATH CF 5% 58% 53% Called up to be everyday CF
Marcelo Mayer BOS 3B, SS, DH, 2B 39% 75% 36% Called up to replace Bregman
Nick Loftin KCR LF, 3B, 2B 1% 26% 25% Called up, should play often at various positions
Alejandro Osuna TEX LF, CF 5% 30% 25% Called up to be everyday LF for now
Nick Allen ATL SS 66% 89% 23% Arcia release makes him unquestioned SS
Drew Waters KCR LF, RF, CF 41% 61% 20% Continues to hit well and play every day
Brett Baty NYM 2B,3B 26% 42% 16% Continues to hit well and is even starting against some LHP
Tim Elko CHW 1B,DH 39% 24% -15% Sent down after bad first stint
Jhonny Pereda ATH C 20% 2% -18% MacIver replaces him as backup C
Travis Bazzana CLE 2B 24% 6% -18% Oblique strain significantly lowers likelihood of debut this year
Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B,DH 74% 48% -26% Sent down to reset
Joc Pederson TEX DH, 1B, LF 63% 34% -29% Fractured hand on HBP
Kyren Paris LAA 2B,SS,CF 57% 20% -37% Sent down after horrible slump followed hot start
Alex Bregman BOS 3B 97% 57% -40% Significant quad strain
JJ Bleday ATH CF 87% 47% -40% Sent down; will he ever have the defensive chops for CF?

Pitcher Playing Time Changes: May 23, 2025

Nathan Seebeck-Imagn Images

Below are the most significant playing time projection changes for pitchers for the past week, led by Jared Jones‘ season-ending elbow surgery that could keep him out for most or all of 2026, too.

SP % of Team GS Changes Since May 16
Name Team Old % of Team’s Remaining GS New % of Team’s Remaining GS Change Reason
Adrian Houser CHW 1% 13% 12% Acquired from TEX + added to rotation
Colton Gordon HOU 3% 11% 8% Covering for Blanco in rotation
Slade Cecconi CLE 2% 7% 5% Covering for Lively in rotation
Ronel Blanco HOU 17% 11% -6% Elbow soreness; getting second opinion
Osvaldo Bido ATH 13% 5% -8% Sent to AAA
Jared Jones PIT 8% 0% -8% Elbow surgery, out for year
Jordan Hicks SFG 15% 7% -8% Moved to bullpen
Hayden Wesneski HOU 10% 0% -10% Tommy John surgery
Kyle Gibson BAL 15% 0% -15% DFA’d + released

 

Projected RP IP Changes Since May 16
Name Team % Chg in Proj. RP IP Reason
Jordan Hicks SFG 111% Moved to bullpen
Carmen Mlodzinski PIT 64% Optioned to AAA, lane back to MLB might be as RP
Aaron Ashby MIL 50% Working in relief on rehab assignment
Landen Roupp SFG -31% More secure in rotation with Hicks moved out
Elvis Peguero MIL -35% Optioned to AAA
Colin Holderman PIT -39% Thumb tenosyvonitis, visiting specialist
Hayden Birdsong SFG -46% Moved to rotation
José Alvarado PHI -52% 80-game PED suspension
Joel Payamps MIL -73% DFA’d
Hayden Wesneski HOU -100% Tommy John surgery
Tayler Scott HOU -100% DFA’d + elected FA
Tyler Matzek NYY -100% DFA’d + elected FA
Yoendrys Gómez CHW -100% DFA’d (again)
Chris Stratton KCR -100% DFA’d

Position Player Playing Time Changes: May 21, 2025

Jacob Reiner-Imagn Images

Here are the latest significant playing time projection changes for position players since May 13. The Rockies stink, but hey, at least Jordan Beck is hitting!

Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Betting Episode w/ Eric Samulski

The Is It Too Early episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Eric Samulski

Strategy Section

  • Is it too early?
    • Is it too early to give up on winning if you are in last place?
    • Is it too early to punt certain roto categories?
    • Is it too early to stop looking at preseason projections?
      • Is it too early to count on year to date stats?
    • Is it too early to take victory laps?
    • Is it too early to trade?

Buy/Sell/Hold

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

 

Read the rest of this entry »


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: May 9, 2025

Rick Scuteri – Imagn Images

Below are the latest significant playing time projection changes for pitchers, with a couple of Cades leading the list for biggest gainers amongst SP.

Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: May 6, 2025

Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Here are the latest playing time projection changes for position players since April 29th. Andy Pages‘ scorching couple weeks has his playing time going way up after looking to be on the precipice of losing his spot for the first three weeks of the season.

Read the rest of this entry »


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: May 2, 2025

Brett Rojo – USA TODAY Sports

Here are the latest significant changes in projected playing time for pitchers since last Friday, led by Gunnar Hoglund (yes, that’s a photo of him in college way back in 2019!) making his MLB debut on Friday, hoping to help stabilize the back of an A’s rotation that’s struggled for production out of the fifth starter spot.

Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: April 29, 2025

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Here are the latest playing time projection changes for position players since April 22nd. Chandler Simpson’s excellent first week should help solidify him as the starting center fielder for the rest of the season and beyond.

Read the rest of this entry »