Archive for Hitters

Jac, & Roman, & Prospects, Oh My — Triple-A wRC+ Leaders

Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

It’s prospect time! The Royals organization heard their fans and Jac Caglianone fantasy owners clamoring for his call-up, and finally, they acted. We could see more top minor league performers and high-end prospects getting the call in the coming weeks as well. So let’s review the wRC+ leaders that currently play at Triple-A, with their mark aggregated between all minor league stops this year. Is a callup imminent? If so, how might we expect them to perform? Let’s try to answer those questions.

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May 2025 Hitter Avg Bat Speed Gainers & Decliners

Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-Imagn Images

Just like any other metric we monitor, like average exit velocity, pitch velocity, etc, a hitter’s bat speed fluctuates throughout the year. As exciting as it is to see your favorite breakout pick to raise his bat speed during the first month of the season, it might be just as disappointing to discover he was unable to sustain the jump during the season’s second month. So let’s find out which hitters have gained and lost the most bad speed in May compared to the period through the end of the April.

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Lineup Analysis (6/1/25)

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Chris Taylor (.408 OPS) started three straight games in the outfield. Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: May 29, 2025

Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images
Remaining PT% Changes, 5/20 to 5/27
Name Team Positions Old % of Remaining PT New % of Remaining PT PT Change Reason
Denzel Clarke ATH CF 5% 58% 53% Called up to be everyday CF
Marcelo Mayer BOS 3B, SS, DH, 2B 39% 75% 36% Called up to replace Bregman
Nick Loftin KCR LF, 3B, 2B 1% 26% 25% Called up, should play often at various positions
Alejandro Osuna TEX LF, CF 5% 30% 25% Called up to be everyday LF for now
Nick Allen ATL SS 66% 89% 23% Arcia release makes him unquestioned SS
Drew Waters KCR LF, RF, CF 41% 61% 20% Continues to hit well and play every day
Brett Baty NYM 2B,3B 26% 42% 16% Continues to hit well and is even starting against some LHP
Tim Elko CHW 1B,DH 39% 24% -15% Sent down after bad first stint
Jhonny Pereda ATH C 20% 2% -18% MacIver replaces him as backup C
Travis Bazzana CLE 2B 24% 6% -18% Oblique strain significantly lowers likelihood of debut this year
Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B,DH 74% 48% -26% Sent down to reset
Joc Pederson TEX DH, 1B, LF 63% 34% -29% Fractured hand on HBP
Kyren Paris LAA 2B,SS,CF 57% 20% -37% Sent down after horrible slump followed hot start
Alex Bregman BOS 3B 97% 57% -40% Significant quad strain
JJ Bleday ATH CF 87% 47% -40% Sent down; will he ever have the defensive chops for CF?

Lineup Analysis (5/24/25)

Brad Mills-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

• Since being promoted, Matthew Lugo (.931 OPS, 3 HR, 38% K%, 0% BB%) started in eight of 12 games. Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: May 21, 2025

Jacob Reiner-Imagn Images

Here are the latest significant playing time projection changes for position players since May 13. The Rockies stink, but hey, at least Jordan Beck is hitting!

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Hitter AB/HR Breakouts & Busts — May 20, 2025

Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Yesterday, I reviewed a handful of hitters whose actual AB/HR marks are significantly different from what ATC had projected during the preseason. What was driving the discrepancy between actual and projected? That was the question I was determined to answer. Since there are a lot of breakouts and busts from an AB/HR perspective, plus a number of names on yesterday’s lists had low home run totals, in which a difference in AB/HR would result in an insignificant change in home run total versus expectations, I’m going to do this again.

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Hitter AB/HR Breakouts & Busts — May 19, 2025

Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images

We’re almost a quarter of the way through the regular season, and we still find some surprising names among the home run leaders, while others are mysteriously sitting toward the bottom. Since there are a number of components that drive a hitter’s home run total, I like to understand what’s providing the fuel. Identifying the changes in inputs will give us a better idea of whether the current performance is sustainable or we could expect a reversion back to what the hitter had been projected to do all along. So with that in mind, let’s review the AB/HR breakouts and busts.

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Lineup Analysis (5/19/25)

Bob Kupbens-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Matthew Lugo (2 HR in 13 PA, only 4 HR in 168 PA in AAA) started in three of the last five games in the outfield.

Yoán Moncada is now batting third.

Luis Rengifo (.533 OPS) and Tim Anderson (.475 OPS) are splitting time at second base. Read the rest of this entry »


Hitter Average Bat Speed Risers and Fallers — May 13, 2025

Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-Imagn Images

Yesterday, I discussed the hitter average bat speed risers and fallers. Thanks to frequent commenter Anon, I discovered that I must have kept the default “Qualified” filter on, which resulted in lots of interesting names being missed. So in today’s review, I’ll discuss the names that would have appeared in yesterday’s list, but were left off. Note that there are lots of bat speed changes, so I’ve kept these posts to changes of at least two miles per hour. Also note that since I relaxed the swing minimum, the lists are now more hand-picked based on fantasy relevance.

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