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NL West: Nine Rising Prospect Stocks

The Prospect Stock Watch is taking a tour around the minor leagues reviewing rising prospects. These are prospects that likely won’t be on Top 100 lists or on your fantasy rosters just yet but they will likely become targets in dynasty leagues over the next year or two. Over the past two weeks, we’ve looked at the National League East and Central divisions. Today, we finish up our look at the NL with the West division.

Colorado Rockies

Grant Lavigne, 1B: Lavigne’s numbers don’t jump out as a first base prospect — especially for one that went 42nd overall in the 2018 draft – but he’s had a respectable season. The assignment to full-season ball was challenging despite his pedigree. Lavigne is from a cold-weather state (New Hampshire) so he didn’t get the same opportunities to play all season long like those from Florida or California. The 19-year-old prospect is finding ways to get on base this year (.368 OBP) despite a .246 average, which has been driven down by his 24% strikeout rate. The K-rate wouldn’t be such a big deal if he was producing power but his isolated slugging rate (ISO) is just .100 through 87 games. Lavigne is hitting line drives and has a 6-4 frame build for home runs but he’s hitting far too many balls on the ground. Once he buys into the launch angle revolution, watch out.

San Francisco Giants

Sean Hjelle, RHP: Tall pitchers usually take longer to develop because they have to learn to repeat their delivery with long levers but Hjelle is ahead of the curve. Standing 6-11, he’s walked just 21 batters in 95.2 innings this year. If all goes well, he’ll have four average-or-better offerings. The most impressive skill he’s showcased so far, though, is his ability to induce ground balls at a rate of almost three times the big league average – which is huge in this homer-happy era. Toss all this together and you could have an innings-eating, mid-rotation arm.

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Roto Riteup: July 15, 2019

When my boss wants me to pick up an extra shift:

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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Sorry for the delay, I lost track of time.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the results of tonight’s Tout War bidding

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction:

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: MBrosseau: 51
JSuarez: 33
RGarcia: 22
MCanha: 21
APlutko: 13
MYastrzemski: 3
JJunis: 3
CBurnes: 2
TWolters: 0

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: DPoncedeleon: 87
JSamardzija: 22
VVelasquez: 22
DanNorris: 18
DAgrazal: 7
MBrosseau: 7
RGrossman: 1

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Week 17 FAAB Projections

It looks to be another calm week for adds if last night had not happened.Daniel Hudson got the first Save chance with Ken Giles out. He hasn’t had a chance to see his ownership jump so he’s not on the list, but he could garner decent bids for teams in need of Saves.

The projection guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

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AL Lineup Analysis (7/12/19)

I’m not sure how helpful this article will be this week. There are just so many players coming back from the IL after the break, it’s tough to guess how each situation will shake out. It’s such a nightmare but the overall picture should be clearer come Monday.

Angels


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 715 – Fireside Chat: 2H Buy Low Candidates

7/12/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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FIRESIDE CHAT

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Paul Sporer Chat – July 12th, 2019

The transcript is available below:

12:23

Paul Sporer: Hellllooo!! Welcome to my weekly chat. The All-Star break is officially over and it’s time for the second half!

12:25

Slamboni: AL only roto keeper: I’m in it this year but my pitching is hot trash. Guy offered me good keeper cost Berrios and Cole for very expensive Trout. My offense is pretty set…. Is that crazy?

12:26

Paul Sporer: Not crazy at all. That’s two aces in an AL Only and completely addresses your biggest need. That’s a yes for me

12:27

Guest: Al only roto Phegley or Roberto Perez

12:28

Paul Sporer: I’d lean Perez

12:28

Guest: Think Carrasco is back to 100% for next year?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 714 – Bouncebacks & Fades

7/11/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

Follow us on Twitter

NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

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The Stash List – Post All-Star Break Edition

Hey y’all!  This week’s Stash List should be a pretty good one.  I dug deep to find guys having great seasons that should be available on most waiver wires.  One guy is a forgotten guy in a recent trade with some power and speed.  One guy is destroying baseballs in A ball and then we have two southpaws putting up some crazy strikeout percentages.

Mason Martin (PIT A) 1B Age 20 ETA 2022

The Pirates picked up Mason Martin in the 17th round of the 2017 draft.  Martin has massive power. After being drafted, he was assigned to the Appy League.  In 127 at-bats, Martin swatted eleven dingers to go along with eight doubles. He picked up ten more in 2018 before being promoted to A ball.  So far this season, in 301 at-bats, he has 23 home runs to go along with 19 doubles. As with most power prospects, Martin has strikeout issues.  The lowest strikeout rate in his professional career was 24.7% and that was in his first taste of professional ball. Martin is a pretty patient hitter, and some might say passive, with double-digit walk rates.  Being a right-handed first baseman, Martin will need to continue to hit to make it to the majors. If you are willing to take the risk, Martin is a power guy to stash in your minor leagues.

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Closer Rankings (7/10/19)

Another week, another set of closer rankings. The following ranks are based on accumulating Saves with talent as a secondary consideration. The order is the ranking I would prefer to roster them. In some instances, I wasn’t sure (e.g. Ken Giles), I made a note.

I had a tough time ranking #12 to #30. Each of these pitchers has some questions surrounding them mainly be traded or being replaced by someone the team trades for. It’s a tough balance.
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