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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – August 11th, 2021

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August 11, 2021

Transcript is live!

1:14

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!
1:14

Dave: Too soon predictions (especially considering today’s IL move) for where Rodon and Ray will open next year in your SP rankings?
1:14

Paul Sporer: Yeah, I really need to final 2 months for both to have a good feel of where I’m at. Rodon had to get some time off so this IL stint makes sense, epsec. when they have a ready made stud to fill in with Kopech.
1:14

Dave: I know you’re usually not into guys returning from TJ (at least immediately), but what are your ROS expectations for Sale? The reports from his rehab starts have been glowing…
1:16

Paul Sporer: I primarily eschew drafting them, but once back I start to give them more attention. Sale has no doubt looked sharp in his rehab outings. Usually my issue w/TJ returners for fantasy is that they will almost certainly hit a wall in a couple starts out of nowhere so the duds can outweigh the 2-3 gems and really hurt their numbers. Sale certainly looks ready to roll, though, and if you have him, you should be starting him once back
1:16

Martin: Keeper league question: Is one year of 26 yr old Bieber better than three of 30 yr old Gausman? 16 tm h2h 6×6 league with quality starts instead of wins. Other three keepers (you can keep four) are all hitters. No cost associated with either.

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Bullpen Report: August 11, 2021

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August 11, 2021

NEW FEATURE ALERT! We have added an upgraded version of RosterResource’s Closer Depth Chart to FanGraphs. Read more about it here.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).
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Roto Riteup: August 11, 2021

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August 11, 2021

How to sneak out of work early:

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5 AAA Starters Who Could Be Up Soon

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August 10, 2021

We are entering the dog days of the season and this season is of course particularly unique because we’re coming off the pandemic year. The dog days could hit harder than normal and have teams pushing hard for reinforcements to ensure their major league arms can get to the finish line of the regular season and beyond if they are contenders. Here are five guys who be called up (or back up) to make a late-season impact.

Joe Ryan | MIN – 35% K, 5% BB, 3.63 ERA, 0.79 WHIP in 57 IP

Ryan was in the Nelson Cruz deal and though the Twins are toast for the year, they should still consider giving the 25-year-old righty a look soon. Brilliant command of his fastball has fueled elite K%-BB% all the way up the minor league ladder along with being a bit old for each level, too. He fared pretty well for Team USA in the Olympics, too, with 10 K and 1 BB in 4.7 IP. It’s time to see if this heater is going to find MLB success and if they turn him loose, he could be a nice SP pickup in a lot of formats.

Aaron Ashby | MIL – 36% K, 12% BB, 4.48 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 62.3 IP

Ashby made his debut earlier this year and it didn’t go well, allowing seven runs (four earned) on four hits and three walks while getting just two outs. He struggled in his first two outings back in Triple-A after the debut, but then settled down with a 2.08 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 38 K, and 6 BB in 21.7 IP. He is actually back today (Tuesday, August 10th) for the doubleheader against the Cubs and could be a key piece to helping Milwaukee rest the three aces down the stretch. This is a volatile profile, but the huge strikeout ability gives him some real upside.

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Who is Being Dropped & Why (Week 19)

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August 10, 2021

There are quite a few more names this week as are cleaning out the players who have seen their playing time clear up. Lots of hitters without jobs and relievers who are not in line for Saves. It is one of the more talented list of players I’ve profiled this season.

For this weekly feature, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the managers stay engaged longer on the whole since each spent $1700 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between the obvious and bizarre drops and will focus on players dropped in seven to ten leagues. Previously the number was six to nine, but I adjusted with the Main Event adding four leagues since I did the report. Read the rest of this entry »


Roto Riteup: August 10, 2021

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August 10, 2021

Me at every Fangraphs staff meeting:

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 967 – Multiple Star Injury Returns This Week

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August 9, 2021

8/9/21

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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  • Game of the Week Watch Party: Thursday, August 12th at noon CT – OAK (Bassitt) at CLE (Morgan)

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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00:52:31

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Throwing Heat Week 18

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August 9, 2021

Baseball is happening! I decided for the entire season to run a weekly article on pitchers who have been “heating up.” I will dive into what it could mean for the pitcher and what you should do with them. This should be a captivating concept because it will be pitchers of all levels, anywhere from aces to pitchers you would have never drafted. That’s what it’s all about, catching players as they improve and acting on it before anyone else can realize. Welcome to “Throwing Heat!”

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Roto Riteup: August 9, 2021

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August 9, 2021

Strategery:

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Bullpen Report: August 9, 2021

by
August 9, 2021

NEW FEATURE ALERT! We have added an upgraded version of RosterResource’s Closer Depth Chart to FanGraphs. Read more about it here.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).
Read the rest of this entry »


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