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Beat the Shift Podcast – Trading Episode w/ Fred Zinkie

The Trading episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Fred Zinkie

Strategy Section

  • Trading
    • General trading philosophy
    • When should you look for a trade vs. getting help off of the waiver wire?
    • How to trade in this high information environment?
    • How does your current league standing matter in trading?
    • Don’t stay complacent in 1st place!
      • Stay active in the trading market!
    • Keeper league trading
      • Picking a lane – buy vs. sell
    • Approach individual owners for trades, or make a trading interest public?
    • Lowball offers?
    • Ian Kahn and trading
    • Should you trade with players close to you in the standings?

Waiver Wire

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

Closers who may lose their roles at the trading deadline

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 12th, 2024

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

With the All-Star break on the horizon, feel free to use this comment section for any questions related to decisions going into the second half.

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Mining the News (7/11/24)

Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

American League

Angels

• Reid Detmers is trying to attack hitters differently and using a different slider grip.

They’re specifically working on Detmers throwing his fastball lower in the zone as a way to make his changeup up in the zone, as well as his other pitches, more deceptive and effective. Detmers said big leaguers were “sitting on fastballs up” and that needs to change.

He added that he’s reverted to his old slider grip. He’d switched to a conventional slider grip before the season but didn’t think it was as effective. The Angels don’t want to call him up until he’s comfortable with all the work he’s done.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 11th, 2024

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

If you didn’t see my chat today, I just wanted y’all to know that there was no chart yesterday because we lost internet for about 9 hours with a statewide outage for Spectrum service. Thankfully we avoided any bad weather here in Austin so in the grand scheme an afternoon and evening without the internet isn’t the end of the world.

For Thursday, we have some tough spots where you have to decide if chasing the win potential is worth the risk.

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Big Kid Adds (Week 15)

Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They were originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and there are ten of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues.

Note: After a few weeks with some pop-up starters, just a couple made this week’s list. Read the rest of this entry »


Starting Pitcher Chart – July 9th, 2024

Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports

Full notes will be back tomorrow night.

Keider Montero showed some flashes in a couple of extended outings (1 start in game 2 of a doubleheader and the other an extended relief appearance from the 2nd-6th innings) at the end of May and June with an 18% K-BB. He still had 9 ER in 9.7 IP thanks in large part to 3 HRs. He jumped into Casey Mize’s spot on July 3rd and did his best work yet against MIN: 6.3 IP/2 ER/4 Ks/1 BB. Still not exactly overpowering, but something to build upon going into this week’s 2-step.

I didn’t express a ton of confidence in him, putting him in the YOLO category on the 2-start board, but I came away impressed by his 6.3 IP of scoreless work on Monday night. He got ahead with a 76% first pitch strike rate (63% lg. avg) and posted a 36% Called Strike + Whiff rate (27% lg. avg), both figures were season bests for Montero. It certainly wasn’t enough to give him a full green light against LAD, but he’s on the radar now as a streamer option.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – July 8th, 2024

John Leyba-USA TODAY Sports

Not a lot to work with on Monday’s slate, but plenty of startable options on the 2-start board.

2-Start Rankings for the Week
RANK TYPE PITCHER MATCHUPS IP ERA WHIP K-BB
1 1 Zack Wheeler LAD/OAK 111.2 2.74 0.99 19%
2 1 Chris Sale at ARI/at SDP 99.2 2.71 0.91 28%
3 1 Zac Gallen ATL/TOR 67.2 3.06 1.11 19%
4 1 Logan Gilbert at SDP/at LAA 117.2 2.91 0.92 19%
5 2 Ryan Pepiot NYY/CLE 75.2 4.40 1.12 18%
6 2 Ronel Blanco MIA/TEX 96 2.53 1.01 13%
7 2 Bobby Miller at PHI/at DET 25 6.12 1.60 9%
8 2 Jake Irvin at NYM/at MIL 106 2.80 1.00 17%
9 3 Mitch Keller NYM/at CHW 103.1 3.48 1.25 16%
10 3 Yusei Kikuchi at SFG/at ARI 94 4.12 1.31 19%
11 3 Carlos Rodón at TBR/at BAL 99 4.45 1.24 17%
12 3 Christian Scott at PIT/COL 33.1 4.32 1.14 14%
13 3 Mitchell Parker STL/at MIL 84.2 3.61 1.10 15%
14 3 Ben Lively at DET/at TBR 77.1 3.14 1.16 14%
15 3 Charlie Morton at ARI/at SDP 91 3.96 1.25 14%
16 3 Blake Snell TOR/MIN 23.2 9.51 1.94 14%
17 4 Gavin Williams at DET/at TBR 4 11.25 2.25 0%
18 4 Brayan Bello OAK/KCR 78 5.19 1.45 12%
19 4 Jon Gray at LAA/at HOU 80.1 3.92 1.33 14%
20 4 Andrew Abbott COL/MIA 96 3.28 1.20 10%
21 4 Joey Estes at BOS/at PHI 55.1 4.39 1.12 13%
22 4 Chris Paddack at CHW/at SFG 78.1 5.29 1.43 15%
23 4 Jameson Taillon at BAL/at STL 81.1 2.99 1.18 14%
24 4 Dean Kremer CHC/NYY 55 3.93 1.09 16%
25 4 Cal Quantrill at CIN/at NYM 100.1 3.77 1.33 9%
26 4 Colin Rea PIT/WSN 94.1 3.34 1.20 10%
27 4 Davis Daniel TEX/SEA 13.1 2.70 0.90 20%
28 4 Miles Mikolas at WSN/CHC 100.2 5.19 1.22 13%
29 5 Ryan Feltner at CIN/at NYM 91.2 5.60 1.46 13%
30 5 Yilber Diaz ATL/TOR #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
31 5 Keider Montero CLE/LAD 15 6.60 1.40 15%
32 5 Frankie Montas COL/MIA 77.1 4.19 1.32 9%
33 5 Roansy Contreras TEX/SEA 35.2 4.04 1.46 9%
34 5 Andre Pallante KCR/CHC 45 4.00 1.44 9%
35 6 Trevor Rogers at HOU/at CIN 84.1 4.91 1.60 8%
36 6 Kenta Maeda CLE/LAD 63 6.71 1.52 9%
37 6 Chris Flexen MIN/PIT 85 5.08 1.39 8%
38 6 Quinn Priester NYM/at CHW 31.2 4.83 1.55 7%
TYPE Key:
1 – Auto-Start | 2 – All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 15)

Jeff is away this week, so I have been called up from Triple-A for the spot start. This article approximately follows his methodology, focusing on players available in most leagues at the start of this week. The players are ordered for redraft leagues roughly by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. I tend to put a lot of weight on recent playing time trends and popular rest-of-season projections, including the various systems published at FanGraphs, and my own system. I play in a lot of NFBC 15-teamers, so that’s the context I have in mind when writing this.

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Lineup Analysis (7/6/24)

Note: These lineup notes were taken without Friday’s lineups.

American League

Angels

• Kevin Pillar has only started in four of the last 15 games.

• Miguel Sanó has started in five of the last eight games.

• Jo Adell has hit ninth in five straight games. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1317 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 15

7/5/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2-START FOR WEEK 15

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