Archive for Featured

Waiver Wire Report (Week 25)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Bullpen Report: September 9, 2023

The 2023 version of the Bullpen Report includes five different sections, as well as the closer chart, which can be found at the bottom of the page.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).

Click HERE to view the full Closer Depth Chart.

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Lineup Analysis (9/8/23)

American League

Angels

• Since being recalled, Kyren Paris has started in six of seven games.

Mike Moustakas (vs RHP) and Eduardo Escobar (vs LHP) are in a third-base platoon. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1214 – More Call-Ups and Week 25 2-Start SPs

9/8/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Last Weeks Episode

The Last Weeks episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Last Weeks Strategy
    • Gaining in categories vs. Defending in categories
    • Marginal categories
    • Ratio categories strategy
      • Number of starters vs. number of relievers
      • Balancing with quantity stats
    • Chasing wins
    • FAAB Bidding
    • Game 163

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Roto Riteup: September 8, 2023

The TARP MONSTER strikes again!

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Five Players on a wOBA Tear

The final month of fantasy baseball, for those contending, should be about accumulation in small samples. If you need stats now, you have to go and find them. Yes, I’m talking about hot streaks. Many of you don’t believe in them and that’s fine. Some of you have tried to ride hot streaks in the past and have been burned. But, when you and the person holding down first place are neck and neck in a few offensive category races, you may have no choice but to continue accumulating by changing out your roster spots or at least filling spots when your main guys get an off day. Here are five players who may be available and are on wOBA hot streaks:

Jordan Walker, STL | RosterResource

Jordan Walker, Rolling wOBA

Walker has been the DH or RF in the Cardinals’ last six games. He has gone 16 for 30 in his last eight games, creating an insane .533/.545/1.033 slash line for himself. Yes, Walker has been incredibly streaky this season, but he’s 21 years old and the Cardinals may just keep rolling him out in RF despite a -17.9 Def mark on the season. A projected 0% chance of making the playoffs makes the Cardinals even more likely to keep Walker in the lineup. Walker is only rostered in 33.5% of ESPN leagues.

Davis Schneider, TOR | RosterResource

The 24-year-old rookie has only played in 19 games, but he has a .381/.500/.810 slash line with six home runs and a stolen base. Beware! His BABIP is .500 and the only time he ever hit above .300 was in 2019 rookie ball. Even more of a warning sign is his 26.9% K%. Need yet another statistic to showcase how flukey this is? Look no further than the difference between his .381 batting average and his .273 statcast expected batting average. The only question is how long will this streak continue? I would pick him up if he’s available and sit him the day after he puts up a oh’fer.

Bo Naylor, CLE | RosterResource

Bo Naylor, Rolling wOBA

Naylor has hit eighth and started as the Guardians’ catcher in three of his last four starts. He hit in the nine spot in the other start. Naylor does get consistent days off as a catcher, but he’s playing well above his average currently from a wOBA perspective. In his last eight games, he has gone seven for 21 with a slash line of .333/.444/.857 and two stolen bases.

Tyler Stephenson, CIN| RosterResource

Stephenson is riding a five-game hit streak that has his slash line sitting at .533/.588/.867. That is far better than his season-long slash line of .256/.335/.388, but when you’re hot, you’re hot. He has dipped above the average line once before this season:

Stephenson Rolling wOBA and SLG

Stephenson has mostly been batting in the seventh spot in a potent Reds lineup, but he gets regular days off being a catcher. If you have catcher spots to fill in your lineup, consider adding Stephenson while he’s mashing. Just pay close attention to pick up on when he starts cooling off.

Mitch Garver, TEX | RosterResource

What’s up with all these catchers boosting in wOBA in the last two weeks? Garver joins the list and is doing a lot of it from the DH spot. Beware, on September 6th (last night as of this writing), Garver went 0-4. Does that indicate the hot streak is over? Who knows? Prior to last night’s oh’fer, the 32-year-old righty had gone 14 for 40 making a .350/.480/.875 slash line and recording seven home runs. Despite injury issues, Garver has put together a strong season in only 66 games, showing a season-long line of .283/.375/.543 and posting 16 home runs, his highest mark since 2019 when he put up 31. Garver could be a really nice boost to your totals if you pick and choose the matchups accordingly. His batting average against lefties (.340) is significantly higher than against righties (.265), yet he has hit all 16 of his 2023 home runs against lefties.


Mining the News (9/8/23)

• Shōta Imanaga will likely be posted this offseason.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 8th

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Be careful. A lot of names who did some good things throughout the summer are now very inconsistent which isn’t what you want in crunch time. We’ll have to take some risks with some of them, but the choices won’t be easy.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 7th

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »