Flying towards the end of the season like:
Wow! Alek Thomas tracks it down! 👏
(via @Dbacks)pic.twitter.com/WuQ6BMsA7f
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) August 23, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
There are some tough spots to navigate on Wednesday with several team streamer or better types either battling some major volatility, facing a tough matchup, or both! Your situation will always be the driving factor in your decisions as the risk/reward calculus is different for everyone.
If I’m really trying to catch lightning in a bottle, I think I’d take the big swing with Quintana. Sale is ahead of him, but unlikely to be as widely available and I just don’t think Sale’s a good bet for 5 IP. I want to be clear, this is for a chase situation where you need some flat out good luck to really get going.
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This article won’t take the place of my weekly RotoGraphs article and will not have much analysis. Instead, it will only provide data tables for your own analysis.
Quick Note: The data for this article is through games played on August 21st.
Relievers
Relievers only qualify to be placed in the table below if they have three appearances in the last 25 days. Though the time range is 25 days, the calculation only includes the three most recent appearances. In addition, I have isolated the table to relievers who have displayed an average change of .60 or greater in either direction (increase vs. decrease). We should take reliever velocity changes a little less seriously, due to the short nature of their appearances on any given night. For example, Félix Bautista often shows up on the “Fallers” list, but he throws 100+ often. If one night he comes out and gets an easy three outs without having to throw his fastest fastball, he’s going to appear as a faller. On the flip side, I would imagine he’s starting to get tired at this point in the season, so it’s worth monitoring.
While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues. Read the rest of this entry »
Pretty cool night for the Palacios Brothers:
A night the Palacios family will never forget. ❤️ pic.twitter.com/9Z8gzrdw65
— MLB (@MLB) August 22, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
If you’ve been reading all year, you know I’m always trying things to hopefully improve the chart. The matchup is now in one column instead of three (the three is for automation purposes in Excel) and I was able to add the wOBA rank for the entire year along w/the Last 30 day rank so you can get a more complete picture. That will also help show why someone might get recommended everywhere despite facing a Top 5 offense over the L30 because I know that team is Bottom 5 for the year and I don’t believe in their hot streak or something to the effect. And this way I don’t have to use the comment explaining that, you’ll just something like 4th/28th and have a better understanding.
I think I’m going to be putting extra commentary in this space down the stretch (not everyday, but multiple times a week) so be sure to check this spot as you scroll down to the sheet. As always, if you want to discuss any further, hit me up in the comments!
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8/21/23
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The 2023 version of the Bullpen Report includes five different sections, as well as the closer chart, which can be found at the bottom of the page.
We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.
The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).
Click HERE to view the full Closer Depth Chart.
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Thresholds open up a bit on Mondays, particularly in weekly lineup leagues where you have to commit for the 2-step on the weekend, but even in daily lineup leagues because you have the rest of the week to catch up if a gamble falls through… well, within reason… probably won’t be able to outrun a 10-run bomb or anything, but those are really rare anyway.
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