Archive for FAAB

Big Kid Adds (Week 2)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more of these leagues.

Owen Miller (9): Miller has an insane line of .500/.545/.964 with a .545 BABIP. Obviously, there is some regression coming but it’s tough to know where his talent will stabilize. His eye has improved with his K/BB dropping from 6.0 to 1.3. Those gains might not stick since the league is throwing him 61% fastball (53% last season). Almost all of his damage is coming off those fastballs (1.771 OPS) and the league will eventually adjust. I think in deeper leagues he is a must-add.


Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 2)

This week’s hitters aren’t that interesting, especially compared to the pitchers. I’d not be surprised if a couple of league winners will be picked up this week.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Big Kid Adds (Week 1)

Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named, “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues.

Jhoan Duran (8): The Twins reliever has lights out talent. He has a fastball that averages over 100 mph. His splitter/change is a unicorn with its high velocity and low spin. The only comp I could find was Zack Britton’s sinker from the mid-2010s when Britton was the league’s most dominant closer. A must-add in all 12 team or deeper leagues for teams hoping for Saves.

Tyler Duffey (7): The only person standing in the way of Duran getting the closer’s job is Duffey. Duffey is no slouch with a 2.77 ERA, 10.8 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9. Additionally, he’s been used in high-leverage roles. With Saves scarce, the pair could be added and then the loser dropped once the roles are defined. Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 1)

With just a couple lineups in the books, there are just a few hitters moving up. The targets exist on the pitching front where a few pitchers have taken a step forward.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1034 – First FAAB Run ft. Matt Williams

4/3/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Preseason)

Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports

It’s time to start looking at possible free-agent adds as many leagues have their first waiver wire run tonight. I feel that many fantasy managers are wanting to sit tight with their teams since, besides a few injuries, most of the regulars still have their jobs and projected talent. If there was one group I’d focus on today, it’s the closers. Several managers have voiced their opinions on how their bullpens will play out and roles have changed quite a bit over the past couple of weeks.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Batting Average Variation & the Waiver Wire

Yesterday, I wrote about the replacement level hitters in the NFBC 12-team Online Championship (OC) and the 15-team Main Event (ME). In the comments, Joe Wilkey asked:

There are a couple of good questions here, so it’s time to start working through them. I’ll start with “Is batting average unpredictable?” Yes, with any given player’s actual range being unacceptable for a fantasy manager. Looking back at Steamer Projections (2010 Steamer to 2021), I found the standard deviation for the difference between the projected and actual batting average. Read the rest of this entry »


Replacement Player Analysis Using Adds & Drops

In most weekly leagues, the ability to add and drop players is gone for this season. Since there are no more moves, I’m going to analyze the most added and dropped players in NFBC’s Main Event and Online Championship with the main goal to create a composite replacement-level player.

For reference, the Online Championship (OC) leagues have 12 teams while the Main Event (ME) has 15. Both of the leagues require 23 starters each week with 7 bench spots (no IL spots). At all times, 360 players will be rostered in an Online league and 450 in a Main Event league. The reason I decided on the two NFBC formats were:

  • The data is freely available.
  • The information is from several leagues (43 Main Events, 199 Online Championships) with the same ruleset.
  • The leagues remain competitive longer since there is decent money on the line.
  • With two formats (12-team and 15-team), a comparison can be done on the different player pools.

I know at times we may seem a little NFBC centric here at Rotographs. Now, if some other platform had the ability to select a league type and make available all the adds and drops, I’d use them. The NFBC is the only platform that offers this service. Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 26)

Congrats for making to the season’s end and hopefully I’ve been of some help during the season. I’ll see everyone next season. -Jeff

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 25)

The following recommendations are based on just winning next week. Nothing matters at this point so don’t be afraid to release any “stars” if they don’t help you win. It could mean all closers for a pitching staff. Or dropping all closers. Putting in all sluggers (e.g. DJ Peters and Jesus Sanchez). There are no weeks like but it’s time to bring home some trophies and cash.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »