DFS Pitching Preview: September 3, 2021
Our pitching in MLB DFS isn’t just a source of fantasy points. The price tags on pitchers make it so they shape they dictate the freedoms and restrictions of building our lineups. Before reading this article, it’s highly suggested that you read my article, “DFS Pitching Primer,” so the concepts discussed here make more sense.
That we’re not selecting the best players. We’re constructing the lineups which carry the most leverage without sacrificing many projected fantasy points.
Both sites are very different on this slate because of pricing, but the overall slate is such that there are no truly great aces. Without ownership data, we’ll focus more on matchups to narrow our pool:
FD | DK | SIERA | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | Barrel% | Opp | Opp wRC+* | Opp K% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freddy Peralta | $10,200 | $9,300 | 3.32 | 12.60 | 3.76 | 0.72 | 5.9% | STL | 91 | 22.2% |
Nathan Eovaldi | $9,100 | $9,800 | 3.61 | 9.33 | 1.49 | 0.91 | 6.9% | CLE | 91 | 23.8% |
Shohei Ohtani | $10,800 | $8,700 | 3.89 | 10.97 | 3.97 | 0.93 | 7.0% | TEX | 80 | 23.2% |
Adam Wainwright | $9,600 | $10,000 | 4.06 | 7.99 | 2.10 | 0.99 | 6.5% | MIL | 93 | 24.6% |
Kyle Gibson | $9,400 | $8,100 | 4.64 | 7.21 | 3.44 | 0.95 | 5.1% | MIA | 82 | 25.4% |
Glenn Otto ** | $6,700 | $5,000 | 1.76 | 12.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.0% | LAA | 103 | 23.6% |
** only 5.0 IP
TIER ONE: KINDA’ ACES — Peralta and Ohtani
Freddy Peralta is the best pitcher on the slate, but he’s projected at only 75 pitches coming off of the IL. This doesn’t take him out of play if there’s an ownership gap between him and Ohtani that supplies us leverage. If Peralta is rolling — translation: throwing strikes — then, 75 pitches can get us some game depth to compile Ks with his elite K/9. His ceiling is capped at under 30 points, but his median projection might be good enough if we can get 15-to-20 from our SP2, as well.