Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – September 13th, 2023
Thanks for coming out!
(Sorry there was no SP Chart today, I fell asleep early on the couch and didn’t have the juice to get it done when I woke up to transfer to the bed)
Thanks for coming out!
(Sorry there was no SP Chart today, I fell asleep early on the couch and didn’t have the juice to get it done when I woke up to transfer to the bed)

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
—
9/11/23
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PATREON
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Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR at MIN | x | x | x | 99 | 3.07 | 1.02 | 27% | 5th/7th | |
| 2 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL v MIA | x | x | x | 47 | 2.30 | 0.79 | 24% | 15th/23rd | |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert | SEA v LAA | x | x | x | 167 | 3.61 | 1.07 | 21% | 28th/9th | LAA has damn near an entire lineup on the IL |
| 4 | Framber Valdez | HOU v OAK | x | x | x | 174 | 3.30 | 1.11 | 17% | 23rd/28th | |
| 5 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA at MIL | x | x | x | 155 | 3.59 | 1.20 | 21% | 8th/19th | Rolled through a tough trio of matchups w/a 1.00 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, and 27% K-BB v. SDP-TBR-LAD |
| 6 | Sonny Gray | MIN v TBR | x | x | x | 163 | 2.98 | 1.17 | 16% | 7th/4th | Catching TEX in a vulnerable spot |
| 7 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v TEX | x | x | x | 173 | 3.69 | 1.18 | 15% | 18th/3rd | |
| 8 | José Quintana | NYM v ARI | x | x | x | 54 | 3.00 | 1.26 | 8% | 20th/22nd | He’s been great outside of the start at ATL that you were never using in the first place |
| 9 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY at BOS | x | x | x | 140 | 4.54 | 1.32 | 17% | 8th/5th | Must start in weeklies to get at PIT this wknd, likely to play it more cautiously in a daily for this one |
| 10 | Gavin Williams | CLE at SFG | x | x | 70 | 3.34 | 1.26 | 14% | 29th/20th | ||
| 11 | Alex Cobb | SFG v CLE | x | x | 144 | 3.74 | 1.32 | 15% | 26th/22nd | ||
| 12 | Kutter Crawford | BOS v NYY | x | x | 107 | 4.36 | 1.16 | 17% | 30th/27th | I love the arm and will be in for ’24, but not exactly thrilled to run this 2-step (at TOR this wknd) | |
| 13 | Andre Jackson | PIT v WSN | x | x | 46 | 5.21 | 1.22 | 15% | 20th/25th | ||
| 14 | Charlie Morton | ATL at PHI | x | x | 151 | 3.32 | 1.38 | 15% | 1st/8th | Wins chasers who can’t get hurt too much by bad WHIP | |
| 15 | Dean Kremer | BAL v STL | x | x | 154 | 4.07 | 1.29 | 14% | 10th/6th | ||
| 16 | Gavin Stone | LAD v SDP | x | 18 | 10.50 | 2.28 | 2% | 16th/18th | Excellent at AAA after his last demotion and I’m willing to take on this spot start | ||
| 17 | Jordan Wicks | CHC at COL | x | 16 | 2.16 | 1.20 | 13% | 21st/29th | I’m open to taking the Coors gamble in weeklies in order to secure the 2-step (at ARI this wknd) | ||
| 18 | Dane Dunning | TEX at TOR | x | 146 | 3.88 | 1.27 | 11% | 12th/12th | |||
| 19 | Reid Detmers | LAA at SEA | x | 130 | 4.82 | 1.40 | 16% | 4th/15th | Alllllways a nerve-wracking start and no 2-step to soften the blow in weeklies | ||
| 20 | Dylan Cease | CHW v KCR | x | 153 | 4.98 | 1.48 | 16% | 19th/26th | Has just 2 good starts since August 1st (7.86 ERA),,, good luck! | ||
| 21 | Brady Singer | KCR at CHW | x | 148 | 5.34 | 1.42 | 13% | 27th/30th | |||
| 22 | Patrick Corbin | WSN at PIT | x | 158 | 5.23 | 1.51 | 9% | 17th/20th | |||
| 23 | Kyle Wright | ATL at PHI | 18 | 5.79 | 1.77 | 11% | 1st/8th | Speculation is he’ll be up for the DH but I can’t see this being a viable start… maybe hold for later | |||
| 24 | Mason Miller | OAK at HOU | 23 | 3.09 | 0.90 | 20% | 2nd/11th | ||||
| 25 | Michael Lorenzen | PHI v ATL | 143 | 3.95 | 1.17 | 11% | 3rd/1st | ||||
| 26 | Pedro Avila | SDP at LAD | 37 | 2.19 | 1.35 | 12% | 6th/2nd | ||||
| 27 | Dakota Hudson | STL at BAL | 61 | 4.43 | 1.36 | 4% | 9th/16th | ||||
| 28 | Zach Davies | ARI at NYM | 71 | 6.81 | 1.60 | 8% | 13th/17th | ||||
| 29 | Taijuan Walker | PHI v ATL | 147 | 4.15 | 1.32 | 10% | 3rd/1st | ||||
| 30 | Kyle Freeland | COL v CHC | 146 | 5.09 | 1.47 | 8% | 19th/16th |
9/8/23
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!
Follow us on Twitter
PATREON
INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
Subscribe: RSS

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Be careful. A lot of names who did some good things throughout the summer are now very inconsistent which isn’t what you want in crunch time. We’ll have to take some risks with some of them, but the choices won’t be easy.
—

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
—
Transcript is available now!
| 1:01 |
: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out! |
| 1:01 |
: How would you rank Ty Rogers, Alzolay, and Estevez down the stretch in a S+H league |
| 1:01 |
: Alzo, Ty Rog, and Estevez |
| 1:02 |
: Picked him up in a 12 team NL only. Should I get excited now that he’s going to get some consistent run? Looked good against the Braves. Him or Pepiot ROS? |
| 1:03 |
: I got excited when I picked up Pepiot a couple wks but I also picked up Sheehan this weekend bc it looked like Pep was up in the air. Now both are penciled into the rotation. I lean Pep between the 2, but they’re both worthy, especially if you’re a wins chaser like me right now |
| 1:03 |
: Is Jasson Dominguez going to be a solid keeper after this season? His tools are out of this world (see what I did there?) but he’s only 20 and his hit tool isn’t as strong as his power/run. Will he hit for enough average to be a viable keeper? |

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
It’s a half-and-half slate on Wednesday. There are certainly some guys in the second half of the list that some of us can and will start, but there’s a lot of danger out there so tread carefully!
—

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Back after a couple days missed. Friday wasn’t planned so my apologies while Monday the site was dark for Labor Day and I decided to take the day and just watch some baseball on the couch! Time for the stretch run now.
Hopefully your work isn’t already burned by Lucas Giolito! In fairness to him, it has to be tough to move teams twice in a month, especially moving across the country and then back again. I only started him because of the 2-step and I’m SOOO desperate for wins.
Today has a lot of startable guys a level beyond my recommendation (i.e. startable in 10s if I put 2xs, or 10s/12s if I put 1x) depending on your situation. Some of you need to open up your thresholds to have any chance of catching with time running out so you might be starting guys you normally wouldn’t have considered a month or three ago.
—