5/13/24

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SPUTTERING TOP 100ish HITTERS

• Corbin Carroll
• Matt Olson
• Bo Bichette
• Gleyber Torres

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Spicy 2-start week with lots of studs going!

• 2-start chart updated at 1:02 PM CT on Monday

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5/10/24

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2-START FOR WEEK 7

• Nick Pivetta TBR/at STL
• Graham Ashcraft at ARI/at LAD
• Tanner Bibee at TEX/MIN
• Chris Flexen 플렉센 WSN/at NYY
• Kenta Maeda MIA/at ARI

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Some recent (last 3 weeks) strong runs you might’ve overlooked because of their season long ERA is obscuring the surge:

• Bailey Ober: 3.33 ERA in L3 wks | 4.42 season ERA – This one is kinda cheating because it’s really just that 8 ER season opening dud that weighed his ERA down. He actually has a 2.55 ERA in the 6 starts since then. Next Start: at TOR this weekend and then at CLE next week… he’s a lineup staple for me, even in shallower formats.
• George Kirby & Max Fried: 1.96 & 1.64 | 4.15 & 4.23 – A couple of fantasy aces who never left anyone’s lineups, but have now assuaged fears after their mega-dud outings early (8 ER for Kirby, 7 ER for Fried). Next Starts: GK gets v. KCR/at BAL next week; MF gets at NYM this weekend/v. SDP next week
• Brandon Pfaadt: 3.33 | 6.48 – I fudged the numbers an extra day to loop Pfaadt’s April 17th start in and this run highlights why it was so hard to cut him even after the 11 ER in 2 starts. He’s a Team Streamer with a limited number of teams on the Sit List. Next Start: v. CIN, an easy start as their offense has severely lacked the punch we feared coming into the season (just 28th in wOBA vR this year).
• Andrew Heaney: 3.38 | 4.50 – He just always scares me w/his HR woes — and he’s still toting a 1.3 HR9 this year — but he has averaged 6 IP over his L4 with solid results. The frustrating part is that his being on Texas would usually make him a decent bet to chase wins and yet he’s 0-4 on the season including 0-2 during this recent run! Next Start: v. LAA, I’m down to stream him.
• Chris Flexen 플렉센: 1.61 | 4.29 – Chris has absolutely been Flexen the opponents! He’s been downright sneaky deece, mixing in an excellent 4-IP relief appearance to spur this run that now includes at least 5 IP in each of his last 3 starts with a combined 3 IP. The skills still don’t jump off the page with a 13% K-BB and of course the W probability is virtually non-existent, but if you’re not chasing wins, there a modicum of deep league appeal. Next Starts: v. WSN/at NYY… ehhh, I don’t think I can get there, so maybe less than a modicum of appeal.
• Emerson Hancock: 3.20 | 5.24 – Ate an 8 ER dud at MIL in his 2nd start of the season but followed it up with 3 straight QS before one bad inning sank him in MIN. He was fortunate to allow just 1 ER (4 UER) v. ATL, though no one should’ve been starting him for that anyway, not even on the heels of those QS. Woo’s return will send him back to Triple-A so we can reassess his streamer potential when he returns. Next Start: in Triple-A
• Alex Wood: 3.05 | 5.30 – I had some interest in Wood coming into the season even took him w/the last pick of a Main Event, but jumped off after the dud v. CLE in the opener because I thought the Guardians weren’t a good lineup. Turns out losing badly to them isn’t so bad and Wood might still be the decent-ish deep league streamer I thought he could be when I drafted him. There are still issues, though: his W probability is tiny, he’s averaging fewer than 5 IP per start (reaching that mark in just 4 of 8 starts), and even the recent run of solid starts come with a 9% K-BB. Next Start: at SEA this week followed by at HOU… maaaybe an AL-only run?

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5/9/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Willson Contreras arm fracture
• Paul Skenes called up

BREAKOUT OR FAST START?

• Already sent out: Victor Scott II, Jackson Holliday
• Injured: Wyatt Langford

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Some really interesting 2-x guys on the board here. I could see running some in 10-teamers in the right situations, too.

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Thanks for coming out, Charlotte is 100% fine!

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Certainly some risk on the board, be careful out there!
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Daily SP Chart archive

Do you ever bust your ass to finish your work super early so you can have a night on the couch watching tv w/your gf and go to bed early only to not hit the publish button and end up posting that piece the following morning?

Yeah, me neither……🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

Drop any questions you have in the comments. Feels like a pretty straightforward slate outside of the 2-x guys being tough decisions for shallower formats.

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5/6/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

• Christian Scott FAAB frenzy

BREAKOUT OR FAST START?

• Ranger Suárez – 1st on Player Rater
• Tyler Glasnow – 2nd on Player Rater
• Dylan Cease – 6th on Player Rater
• Shota Imanaga – 3rd on Player Rater

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