Author Archive

RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/22/2015

Episode 197

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Jason Collette discuss a light news day which is pretty Dodgers-centric and then finish the NL West team previews with LAD, SD, and SF.

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RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/19/2015

Episode 196

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris discuss Jurickson Profar, Kenley Jansen, Chris Owings, and Everth Cabrera and then dive into the NL West team previews with ARI and COL.

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Thanks to Ian Miller, aka Teen Archer, for the intro music. Approximately 78 minutes of joyous analysis.


Texas Two-Step: Rangers OF Led by Choo & Martin

It’s time for our Depth Chart Discussions. In an effort to suss out every team, we’ve divided them into four parts (infield, outfield, bullpen, and rotation) and will begin breaking them down for you over the next few weeks. You can find them gathered here.

Injuries ravaged the 2014 Rangers top to bottom. They had to use 27 different hitters throughout the season, nine of which played in the outfield at some point. Coming into the season, they were slated to have one of the most fruitful fantasy outfields in the league, but it failed in spectacular fashion. Two of their mainstays remain while Alex Rios has moved on to Kansas City. Let’s take a look at the group that will try and improve upon the horrid 2014 output:

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Tyler Matzek – Deep League Sleeper

Tyler Matzek’s 2014 is why teams are so reluctant to ever give up on a guy, especially if he’s left-handed. It was a grim outlook for Matzek. Like, really, really, really grim. His minor league numbers in total have him with a 4.33 ERA which isn’t the worst, but then you keep looking and your ipecac-fueled vomit-fest starts to kick in with a 1.58 WHIP and impossibly-high 15 percent walk rate in 549.3 innings. And most of that was done before even getting to Triple-A.

The former blue-chip prospect (twice a top 35 prospect at Baseball Prospectus and Baseball America) had a 21 percent walk rate in 97 innings back in 2011. Again, he had a TWENTY-ONE PERCENT WALK RATE in a real amount of innings. That was on the heels of being ranked 34th and 32nd at the two outlets in the preseason.

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RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/17/2015

Episode 195

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris discuss some news, dive into some of Eno’s pitchers, and wrap up the AL Central with KC and MIN.

Relevant to today’s show:

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Thanks to Ian Miller, aka Teen Archer, for the intro music. Approximately 96 minutes of joyous analysis.


Five Major Differences in My Top 300

We published our Top 300 lists today and it was a fascinating project for me. I’m more accustomed to doing positional rankings so this was somewhat new for me. I’ve made overall lists before, plenty of times, but only for myself so I could eyeball adjustments very easily in the midst of a draft. This required more precision because I couldn’t just assume the adjustments. I want to discuss five players where I really diverged from the final group ranking.

Dellin Betances, RP, NYY

(My Rank: 62, Group Rank: 130, Difference: +68)

I’ve completely bought in on the Yankees reliever. Obviously if he doesn’t get announced as the closer ahead of Andrew Miller, I’ll have to adjust, but I’m betting on him getting the role and excelling with it. I know he’s not just going to repeat last year with 35 saves. First off, he won’t get 90 innings as a closer and his crazy ratios are set to rise because it’s hard to maintain that kind of historical rate.

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Rotographs Top 300 Now Available

On Friday we released our positional rankings with the promise of a Top 300 forthcoming. It is now available on the spreadsheet which you can find in the original post here. Our own Dan Schwartz has embedded the Top 300 for us below:

UPDATE: I’ve adjusted the rankings for instances were one or more rankers didn’t include a guy as pointed out in the comments. Now those guys get a last ranked+1 for that particular ranker. (ex. I ranked 345, so everyone else gets a 346 for the purposes of this rank). It’s not perfect since we didn’t all rank the exact same set, but at least this skews on the side of bringing the guys down to where they belong instead of artificially inflating them within the average.

 

Rankings based on 5×5 roto, 12 teams, single-catcher with Middle Infield and Corner Infield spots, 14 hitters and 9 pitchers. Each ranker had their own mix of projections and intuition. 

Last Update: 2/17/15


RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/16/2015

Episode 194

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Jason Collette discuss the LABR Mixed Draft and dive into the AL Central team previews with CWS, CLE, and DET before finishing with some MLB over/under wins discussion.

Relevant to today’s show:

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Thanks to Ian Miller, aka Teen Archer, for the intro music. Approximately 100 minutes of joyous analysis.


Rotographs Positional Rankings

We got five esteemed rankers to put together their positional rankings for the upcoming 2015 season including Jeff Zimmerman, Dan Schwartz, Zach Sanders, Mike Podhorzer, and myself (click a ranker’s name to reach them on Twitter). You can download the spreadsheet here. Stay tuned for updates. The last update will always be noted at the bottom of this post.

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RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/12/2015

Episode 193

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris discuss Jonathan Lucroy, Rickie Weeks, Roberto Hernandez, and Raisel Iglesias before finishing the AL West covering Seattle and Texas!

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.

Relevant work to today’s discussion:

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Thanks to Ian Miller, aka Teen Archer, for the intro music. Approximately 91 minutes of joyous analysis.