Author Archive: Paul Sporer

Paul Sporer Weekly Baseball Chat – July 22nd, 2020

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July 22, 2020

Transcript is now available!

1:37

Paul Sporer: Hey yall, sorry for the mess ups. I mis-timed my post, but let’s get this party started!
1:38

mokajige: Josh James or Jesus Luzardo? (Roto:W,L,K,SV,ERA)
1:38

Paul Sporer: I’d go Luzardo by a hair
1:38

Ray: Paul! I can’t stop watching Twitter vids of Kyle Lewis hitting bombs in intrasquad games. Had a nice oppo taco last night. Can you see a breakout in 2020? I want to drop Renato Nunez for him in my dynasty points league but I need your blessing.
1:38

Paul Sporer: Do ittttt
1:39

Zach: Pick 2: Matt Magill, Austin Adams, Diego Castillo, Jose Alvarado, Tyler Rogers, Nick Burdi, Kyle Crick

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 833 – Paul & Justin Main Events

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July 21, 2020

07/21/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

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01:22:23

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 832 – SP Ranking Review

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July 20, 2020

07/20/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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2020 STARTING PITCHER RANKING REVIEW

  • Reviewing my latest SP Rankings (here)

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00:43:38

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Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings

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July 17, 2020

We’re a week away from baseball. I unloaded the chamber and dropped 181 names here (and probably still missed SOMEONE). As with the last update, I’ll have a podcast or column out on Monday covering specifics, but for today here are the rankings with the comparison to the last list.

Let’s talk about these rankings the comments!

(Blue indicates a new tier starting)

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Picking Hitting League Leaders Going 200th or Later

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July 16, 2020

On recent episodes of The Sleeper & The Bust, Justin and I picked pitching and hitting league leaders for the upcoming season, highlighting a main pick and then someone to keep an eye on. I wanted to take it a step further and pick some guys who could lead the league in the 5×5 categories going pick-200 or later. Here are the pitchers and today we’ll cover hitters.

BATTING AVERAGE

Jesse Winker, CIN | Pick 345

A career .285 hitter, Winker dipped down to .269 last year when his BABIP was at a career-low .286, but he was at .332 from 2017-18 and hit a cool .299 in 471 PA. He has the talent to push a mid-.300s AVG in a short sample, especially if he’s protected a bit against lefties (.176 career AVG), though not too much or else he won’t qualify for the batting title. I don’t really understand Winker’s ADP. Even acknowledging his poor defense and inability to hit lefties, he’s better than pick 345 with a career 122 wRC+ as part of a fantastic lineup.

Also consider: Howie Kendrick (254) – Not a terribly daring secondary pick as he ripped a cool .344 last year which would’ve led the league and now the NL DH ensures a full-time role for the excellent hitter.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 830 – March to July Differences

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July 16, 2020

07/16/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

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00:46:27

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – July 15th, 2020

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July 15, 2020

Transcript is available!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Welcome to this week’s chat! Hope y’all are doing well, let’s talk some baseball!
1:08

Slapshot: Yoenis Cespedes says he’s healthy and ready to go.  Would you consider him stash worthy in standard 5×5 roto formats, and in so, in what league size would you consider him worth getting?
1:09

Paul Sporer: I’m starting to consider him in 12ers. The DH is playing a big role in that consideration, of course
1:09

Julio Urias: How much does my value increase in 2020, without an “innings cap”?
1:10

Paul Sporer: A little, but let’s not just assume the Dodgers are gonna let Urias go 6+ every time all of a sudden. I’m a huge fan of the skills, but let’s not get toooo outsized in our expectations of the volume
1:11

Kyle: Hi Paul, I hope you are doing well these days! I have an OOTP/MLB The Show question for you. I grew up playing MVP Baseball 2005, and the franchise mode on that was very deep, as I know you are aware. It was really awesome to be able to have that extensive sim/management side, but still be able to “play” in the games with realistic gameplay when I wanted to. Have you ever desired there to be a hybrid game where OOTP and MLB The Show were combined? For example, the franchise mode would have the super in-depth management aspect of OOTP, but still give you the ability to jump in and play some (or all) games in an MLB The Show fashion. I feel like the closest things we’ve ever gotten to that is MVP Baseball 2005, and I long for that all-encompassing game again…

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 829 – Early Main Event Analysis

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July 14, 2020

07/14/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

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01:07:46

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Picking Pitching League Leaders Going 200th or Later

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July 13, 2020

On recent episodes of The Sleeper & The Bust, Justin and I picked pitching and hitting league leaders for the upcoming season, highlighting a main pick and then someone to keep an eye on. I wanted to take it a step further and pick some guys who could lead the league in the 5×5 categories going pick-200 or later. We will start with pitchers.

WINS

Luke Weaver, ARI | Pick 201

Just under the wire with this pick which of course means that sometimes Weaver goes before 200, but I still wanted to highlight him as someone to target in this area of the draft. I’ve been on the Diamondbacks all offseason as a contender with a strong lineup, good rotation, and capable bullpen arms (with some upside candidates who could make it even better). Wins are going to be flukier than ever so with something like this I’m really looking for a pitcher I like on a quality team.

Also consider: Anthony DeSclafani (245), either Ryan Yarbrough (223) or Yonny Chirinos (276) if they got an opener with regularity

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 827 – 2020 Pitching Leaders

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July 9, 2020

07/09/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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2020 PITCHING LEAGUE LEADERS

  • W AL/NL – J: Lynn/Bailey; Buehler/Fried P: ClevDog/Castillo; Castillo/Stripling
  • K AL/NL – J: Darvish/Ray; Verlander/Eovaldi; P: Strasburg/Woodruff; ClevDog/Montas
  • SV AL/NL – J: Giles/Colome; Bradley/Lorenzen P: Rogers/Hand; Neris/Hudson
  • ERA AL/NL – J: Hendricks/Weaver; Morton/Ohtani P: SGray/Urias; Giolito/Maeda
  • WHIP AL/NL – J: Bieber/Heaney; Flaherty/Stripling P: Kluber/Civale; Soroka/Disco

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01:23:15

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