Author Archive

Boxscore Bits: July 22nd, 2022

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

We’re back!

Took a little time and then the All-Star break, but it’s good to get back to the grind. There is still so much time left in the season. About 3 weeks ago, I was lamenting to Justin about a dip in our Main Event standings. I had fallen to 14th after sitting in the 4th-7th range for a bit and thought I was making a move. He – sitting in 1st at the time – gave me the pep talk about how much the standings move day-to-day and that I could be back up just as quickly as I fell with a couple good days. I entered the break in 8th, 2 points ahead of Justin in 9th.

I don’t bring this up to roast Justin in any way, but to underscore just how much many league’s standings are still shifting day-to-day. Every league is different and sometimes there just aren’t enough gettable points in the roto standings. But oftentimes, we let go of 8th-12th place teams that are still very much in contention with some quality play and diligent management. I like to go through the standings and count the realistic points I could acquire if my team plays well.

That exercise also helps me assess categories I might consider attacking via FAAB (or trades if your league allows – the Main Event does not). There are definitely some teams that are buried at this juncture often due to a rash of star player injuries, but don’t count yourself out just because you might be in the bottom half of the standings right now. With 70-some games to go, there is still so much to be decided!

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Thursday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Thursday Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Tarik Skubal DET 6 2 1 0 0 2 9 22 0.00 0.67 1 95.5 95.7 13%
2 Jon Gray TEX 6 4 0 0 0 2 5 23 0.00 1.00 1 96.7 13%
3 Mitch White LAD 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 18 0.00 0.60 0 94 94.1 4%
4 Frankie Montas OAK 3 2 0 0 0 1 5 12 0.00 1.00 0 96.8 96.7 13%
5 Cristian Javier HOU 5 2 1 1 1 4 3 21 1.80 1.20 0 93.7 9%
6 Jordan Montgomery NYY 6.1 7 2 2 0 1 8 26 2.84 1.26 0 93 93.3 19%
7 Zach Logue OAK 6 5 3 2 0 1 4 25 3.00 1.00 0 90.2 7%
8 Luis Garcia HOU 5 3 2 2 1 2 6 20 3.60 1.00 1 93.8 11%
9 Garrett Hill DET 5 5 3 3 1 2 4 21 5.40 1.40 0 91.9 91.3 4%
10 Carlos Rodón SFG 5 6 5 5 1 2 7 23 9.00 1.60 0 94.9 18%
11 Pablo López MIA 5 5 5 5 1 3 6 24 9.00 1.60 0 92.9 93.2 16%
12 Domingo Germán NYY 3 6 5 5 2 1 2 18 15.00 2.33 0 93.4 93.6 9%
Sorted by ERA

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1079 – Searching for 2H Studs on the Mound

7/22/22

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PATREON

POTENTIAL SP GEMS w/4.00+ SIERAs

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – July 20th, 2022

All-Star break chat!

1:10

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, y’all! Worst day in baseball today with no games or MLB-based events!

1:11

Paul Sporer: But we’ll make it better with some chatting!!

1:11

Leo: What are your thoughts on Braxton Garrett? Are his improvements for real?

1:12

Paul Sporer: I’m certainly intrigued by him. He showed major BB gains in AAA and has brought them to the majors so far. If he can continue this newfound control, there is some real 2H upside

1:12

Jim Leyland Palmer: For next season onwards, is Strider a top tier starting pitcher keeper asset? Or is there some concerns / variability with his future?

1:12

Paul Sporer: I wouldn’t quite go top tier but he’s up there. It’s always hard to predict the future with SPs, but his stuff is excellent and he doesn’t seem daunted by the shift to starting

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1078 – 2nd Half Top 10s at Each Position

7/19/22

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PATREON

TOP 10s FOR THE 2ND HALF

Catcher

First Base

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1077 – 2H Outlook for 1H Bust Hitters

7/15/22

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PATREON

HITTING BUSTS FROM THE 1ST HALF

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – July 12th, 2022

Transcript is below!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1076 – Reviewing Spring Fades

7/12/22

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

KEY FAAB PITCHERS FROM THE MAIN EVENT

Catcher (20:56)

First Base (23:00)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1074 – NFBC Key FAAB Pitchers Review

7/7/22

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PATREON

KEY FAAB PITCHERS FROM THE MAIN EVENT

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Boxscore Bits: July 7th, 2022

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Sorry for the lack of BB this week, some time constraints were the primary culprit, but I’m back with a few thoughts on the pitchers from Wednesday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Wednesday’s Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Corbin Burnes MIL 7 3 0 0 0 1 10 24 0.00 0.57 0 96.8 25%
2 Shohei Ohtani LAA 7 2 1 0 0 3 10 27 0.00 0.71 1 97.8 99.5 20%
3 Corey Kluber TBR 6 3 0 0 0 0 5 22 0.00 0.50 1 88.7 13%
4 Max Fried ATL 6 5 0 0 0 1 4 23 0.00 1.00 1 94.4 94 10%
5 Luis Severino NYY 6 4 0 0 0 0 3 22 0.00 0.67 1 95.6 95.9 6%
6 Mitch White LAD 5.2 1 1 0 0 4 6 22 0.00 0.88 0 94.3 94.6 9%
7 Spenser Watkins BAL 6.2 4 1 1 0 1 3 25 1.35 0.75 1 90.7 11%
8 José Ureña COL 6.2 5 1 1 0 3 2 26 1.35 1.20 0 97.1 96.3 5%
9 José Berríos TOR 6 4 1 1 1 1 6 23 1.50 0.83 0 93.6 93.1 9%
10 James Kaprielian OAK 6 5 1 1 1 4 1 25 1.50 1.50 0 93.7 5%
11 Adrian Sampson 샘슨 CHC 5.2 4 1 1 1 0 5 20 1.59 0.71 0 92.6 92.3 7%
12 Glenn Otto TEX 5 3 2 1 0 3 5 20 1.80 1.20 0 93.1 93.5 10%
13 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI 6.1 2 2 2 0 3 6 24 2.84 0.79 0 91.9 92.1 16%
14 Josiah Gray WSN 6 4 2 2 2 1 11 23 3.00 0.83 1 95.1 21%
15 Graham Ashcraft CIN 6 10 2 2 0 0 1 28 3.00 1.67 0 97.8 95.8 5%
16 Aaron Nola PHI 7.2 7 3 3 0 1 3 29 3.52 1.04 0 92.8 92.3 8%
17 Michael Pineda DET 5 5 2 2 1 2 2 20 3.60 1.40 1 90 5%
18 Miles Mikolas STL 6 5 3 3 2 1 4 24 4.50 1.00 0 93.3 93.3 11%
19 Joe Ryan MIN 4 5 3 2 1 2 3 19 4.50 1.75 0 90.8 7%
20 Trevor Rogers MIA 4.2 4 3 3 0 2 5 21 5.79 1.29 0 95.4 12%
21 Mitch Keller PIT 6 10 4 4 2 1 7 26 6.00 1.83 0 96 94.8 14%
22 Alex Cobb SFG 6 7 4 4 0 1 3 26 6.00 1.33 0 94.7 8%
23 Brad Keller KCR 5.2 5 4 4 1 3 3 24 6.35 1.41 1 94.9 93.3 11%
24 David Peterson NYM 3.2 4 3 3 1 5 7 19 7.36 2.45 0 93.4 92.6 13%
25 Shane Bieber CLE 5.2 7 5 5 0 3 6 27 7.94 1.76 0 91.4 15%
26 Cristian Javier HOU 5 4 5 5 3 3 7 22 9.00 1.40 0 94.2 13%
27 Lance Lynn CHW 5 6 5 5 1 2 4 23 9.00 1.60 0 92.5 91.1 12%
28 Brayan Bello BOS 4 6 4 4 0 3 2 21 9.00 2.25 0 97.2 96.8 8%
Sorted by ERA

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Paul Sporer’s Weekly Chat – July 6th, 2022

Transcript is available below!

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Thanks for coming to my chat!!

1:03

gerg: weekly skubal check in??

1:04

Paul Sporer: It’s not good. I was not concerned after the first 3 with only Texas really standing out as problematic, but the other 2 v. BOS & TOR. Felt like standard regression. Now we’re at 5 starts w/a 2.0 HR9, soaring walk rate, and big velo dip last time out v. KC. I’m not yet cutting him in most lgs (maybe a 10) but I’m benching him

1:04

Dylan: Who is to blame for the white sox

1:06

Paul Sporer: Everyone wants it to all be TLR, but that’s not really the case. Mgrs. rarely have THAT much overall impact. I do think he is a net negative for sure and the hiring NEVER made sense (unless you know the personal friendships of TLR & Reinsdorf, but certainly no baseball sense). They’ve also been ravaged by injuries which isn’t an excuse as all teams get hit, but it can be a reason for a team’s shortcomings in a given season. Kopech looks off completely right now, too. I still can’t rule them out of the Central bc of their core of talent, but they are far from the favorites

1:06

Holy Cannoli: Where do yo think Isaac Paredes’s talent stabilizes?  I know Statcast hates him.  Can he be a 25 HR .800 OPS guy?

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