Archive for September, 2015

Fun and Games with Extrapolating Stats

Just for fun. That’s really all this is. Taking 300, or fewer, plate appearances and extrapolating them to more than twice that amount isn’t the best practice. Yet there’s something giddy about simply flouting the rules and seeing what happens.

I’ll extrapolate the stats of some key players to a full season and define that as 650 plate appearances, even though that’s not a realistic goal for some of these guys. I’ve tried to limit this exercise to players who have a shot at garnering a full season’s worth of plate appearances. You’ll notice this trends toward younger players because they haven’t put together full seasons yet, so there’s some mystery to what they could possibly do.

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The Daily Grind: Keepers, Zimmermann, Gutierrez

Agenda

  1. Keeper Anticipation
  2. Daily DFS
  3. GB / FB Splits
  4. SaberSim Observations
  5. Tomorrow’s Targets – Warren, Kendrick, Gutierrez, Tomlinson
  6. Factor Grid

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Field of Streams: Episode 121 – Someone Named Ryan Weber

Episode 121 – Someone Named Ryan Weber

The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!

In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin discuss not forcing the banter, the Cubs ruining things with a day game, guessing Matt Wieters’ batting line, picking on Matt Boyd, a Seager segue, Xander Bogaerts’ new nickname, Matt being lukewarm on Jordan Zimmermann, Carlos Carrasco facing a hangover lineup, Matt’s old man humor, giving a sad howl for Randy Wolf, and the upcoming eclipse on Sunday.

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Roto Riteup: September 25, 2015

Yesterday was the 18th anniversary of Blink-182’s Dammit (warning: language) being released. If that doesn’t make you feel old, I don’t know what will. Now get off my lawn while I listen to my vinyl and then go to bed at 9:30.

On today’s agenda:
1. Delino DeShields Jr. continues to hit
2. That’s a wrap for Hanley Ramirez
3. Looking at Asdrubal Cabrera’s strong second half
4. Streaming Pitching Options
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Bullpen Report: September 24, 2015

Congratulations is in order for the Kansas City Royals who officially punched their ticket to the 2015 MLB Playoffs with a 10-4 victory over the Seattle Mariners tonight. The good news is that the Royals clinched their first division title since 1985. The bad news is that they’ll have to navigate their way through the playoffs without their closer, Greg Holland.

Reports suggest that Holland first felt something wasn’t right in his elbow last season prior to the playoffs. But he pitched through it and eventually won the Mariano Rivera Award for the best closer in the American League. He charged through the Spring knowing the issues were still present. And despite the elbow discomfort and gradual dip in velocity as the season wore on, Holland refused to get an MRI until late August when ligament damage was detected. The Royals tried to honor Holland’s wishes by letting him pitch through the injury, but after a fifth blown save last weekend he was yanked from the closer’s role and shut down for the remainder of the year. The 29-year-old finished the ‘15 season with a 3-2 record, 32-of-37 in save chances, an 11.9% K-BB% and a 3.83 ERA (3.23 FIP).
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The Sleeper and the Bust 9/24/2015 – The Final Week

Episode 281

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris get you set up for the final week by discussing some potential stream options for power, speed, and pitching. Names includes Greg Bird, Franklin Gutierrez, Kevin Pillar, Rico Noel, Marcus Stroman, and Jake Peavy among many others. If you’re chasing a title, we can help you in the final week.

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MASH Report (9/24/15)

• It as been a slow few days for any important injury news. Most of my work was concentrated on the unofficial disabled list.

Yadier Molina got some good news after injuring his thumb earlier in the week. He may be back before the season’s end.

Molina said his thumb isn’t as swollen or tender now as it had been a day earlier, and he’ll continue to ice it while refraining from all baseball activities. He’ll be reevaluated by early next week to determine what the next step may be. Asked if he thought he’d be back behind the plate before the end of the regular season, Molina said: “I think so. I hope so.”
“Obviously, you follow what the trainers say,” he added. “You want to follow their lead. But you have to be patient. You can’t rush things. Right now, I’m in that period. I want to take my time until it feels good.”

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Hitter Discussions: Age-33 And Older

Be it basic redraft leagues or the most hardcore of dynasty formats, a player or prospect’s age is an important part of evaluation. I’m not exactly breaking new ground by saying this of course, but I know sometimes I get more excited over a young player producing rather than someone five or six years their senior putting up similar numbers. I suspect I’m not alone in that, and while I don’t think I’ll be drafting nothing but older players, there’s no denying a lot of guys age-33 and older have been enjoying strong seasons. We’ll take a look at a handful of the hitters that have produced this year, and one that hasn’t, while also looking ahead to next season. Rather than look at obvious candidates like David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez, Albert Pujols and the like, I’ll look at a few names a bit further down the list. Read the rest of this entry »


Final 2015 ZOBRIST Values

A couple of years ago for FG+, I created a minor league rating stat for hitters called ZOBRIST. It looks for hitters who were off prospect ranking lists and showed a propensity to control the strike zone and hit for power in the upper minors. It aims to find such untouted hitters such as Ben Zobrist, Matt Carpenter, and Kole Calhoun. I ran it after the 2014 season and didn’t have the best of luck picking out some non-prospects (it did love Mookie Betts). Well, it is time to run it again for some 2016 unheralded sleepers.

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Field of Streams: Episode 120 – Expect Some Rustyness

Episode 120 – Expect Some Rustyness

The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!

In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Brad Johnson discuss Team Entropy, a typical split slate, not having the guts to fade against Clayton Kershaw, a very attractive Mets stack, an almost-as-attractive Marlins stack, Dee Gordon seizing the opportunity to be the stolen-base king this season, being tempted by but hesitating to pick against Johnny Cueto, and Bryce Harper knowing he is going to get hit by a pitch today.

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