Zack Godley & Aaron Altherr: Deep League Wire
It’s your favorite time of the week, the moment we dive into the deep depths of the ominous free agent pool. Who will we find?! Will we discover hidden treasure?!
Zack Godley | SP ARI | CBS 4% Owned
On Sunday, Zack Greinke hit the disabled list with an oblique strain. Those injuries are always tricky and sometimes lead to a month of missed time. Though the Diamondbacks weren’t required to replace one Zack with another Zack, that’s precisely what they did. And with a name like Godley, how could they resist such temptation? Pehraps he’s the man to act as the team’s savior this season. Or not.
So Godley isn’t exactly a top prospect. He got barely a mention in Dan Farnsworth’s preseason organizational prospect rankings, as Dan described Godley as “a one-trick pony with a low-90s cutter and below-average overall command”. Eeek, that’s not very nice! Of course, Godley is 26 already, so he’s a bit old to really be considered a prospect. And he only just reached Triple-A this year, throwing 24 innings.
However, he has generally posted pretty good strikeout rates wherever he has landed, though admittedly he has been rather inconsistent. In Double-A this year, he posted a weak 15.4% strikeout rate, but then enjoyed a surge at Triple-A, as it jumped to 24.8%. Whaaaaaa?! His walk rate has similarly been all over the map. He has shown a ground ball tilt, which is good when pitching in a home run happy park like Chase Field.
I think it was a bit unfair to call Godley a one-trick pony with just the cutter. In fact, he also throws a curve ball and changeup, and both pitches have been excellent. The fastball, not so much, which is why he uses it so infrequently. But both the curve and change have induced swinging strikes and grounders. He should probably just stop throwing his four-seamer, and go sinker/cutter and the two off-speed pitches. There is potential here for a decent pitcher, for as many turns as he gets while Greinke is out.
Aaron Altherr | OF PHI | 3% Owned
Remember him? After coming up in mid-August last year, Altherr went on a 19 homer, 22 steal pace extrapolated over 600 plate appearances. That kind of power/speed combo made him a nice sleeper at the end of even mixed league drafts. Unfortunately, spring training wasn’t so kind to him as he ended up tearing a tendon sheath in his left wrist while making a diving catch. See what you get when you try hard and make an effort?! Life isn’t fair sometimes. The injury knocked him out for a while and a four-to-six month timetable was slapped on his return.
We’re now four months later and he isn’t back yet, but there is some news:
OF Aaron Altherr could be about five weeks from a return, Matt Klentak said.
— Matt Gelb (@MattGelb) July 5, 2016
That puts him right in the middle of his expected return timetable. So why recommend him now if he’s still more than a month away? Because it pays to be proactive and stash him away now so you don’t have to compete with the rest of your league when he’s just a week away, of course! Even better if you could pick him up and place him right into one of your DL slots.
Altherr played at every outfield spot last year and posted ridiculous UZR/150 marks at all three. Outside of Odubel Herrera, the Phillies offense has been atrocious. Peter Bourjous has BABIPed his way to 0.4 WAR, which is unlikely to last, while Cody Asche has played pretty well after returning from his own injury. But after that, it has been a disaster. So it shouldn’t be difficult for Altherr to find at-bats and on a Phillies team going nowhere, they have every reason to find time for the 25-year-old.
Mike Podhorzer is the founder of ProjectingX IQ, an advanced fantasy baseball analytics platform that transforms projection data and in-season performance signals into actionable intelligence. He is the 2015 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Baseball Writer of the Year and three-time Tout Wars champion. He is the author of the eBook Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, which teaches you how to project players yourself. Follow Mike on X@MikePodhorzer and contact him via email.
Thanks for the info Mike. I wish one of these guys was available in my 16 team league, but unfortunately they are taken.
I guess things are different in keeper leagues. For example, I made an offer to somebody for Altherr about a week ago thinking he might be able to help me either in the playoffs or the consolation bracket (winner gets first pick in prospect and regular draft).
But he rebuffed me. He said he was in full rebuild mode and was going to stash as many good young players as possible.
I’m in a 16 team league too. 14 keepers. I have J.D. Martinez, Fowler, G. Richards and O’ Day on my DL.
The bench is shallow so that we can have more waiver wire options. Altherr is available but I’d have to drop somebody and obviously the first three are going to stay in a keeper league.
Would you drop O’ Day for Altherr? It looks like Brach has seized the set up role for Baltimore.
And what about Nick Williams? I was hoping he’d get promoted later this summer. Would Altherr’s return make it less likely that he gets significant playing time if he was promoted? I know Bourjos is unlikely to maintain a high BABIP, but I learned a long time ago to stop trying to read the mind of management and Williams does have some disciplinary issues.
Absolutely drop O’Day. He’s just a middle reliever and it would require an injury to Britton for him to even be a candidate to earn saves.
I wouldn’t worry about Williams’ impact on Altherr’s playing time. If Altherr is healthy, they should find a spot for him in the lineup. Williams has terrible plate discipline, so not sure he’s ready to even succeed at the MLB level.
I have the same question about Williams.
I wish I had the sense not to try and read the minds of GMs. Two years ago I traded Cespedes for Corey Dickerson—I thought he’d never get traded from the Rox—but you know how that turned out. And now I’m at it again, picking up Vogelbach for my prospect roster on the assumption that he’ll be traded in the not too distant future.