Who is Being Dropped and Why (Week 4)
Adds and drops are starting to settle in with about two-thirds of the season left. This is the first week when there wasn’t really a theme. If any trend can be seen is that owners are getting tired of part-time bats.
For this analysis, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the owners stay engaged longer since each spent over $1000 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between obvious and bizarre and will focus on players dropped in six to nine leagues.
Hitters
- Albert Pujols (9): It’s a completely understandable drop with him not playing every day and hitting .186/.238/.356.
- Evan White (9): He’s not ready for the majors with a 44% K%.
- Joey Wendle (9): He’s on the strong side of a platoon with Mike Brosseau.
- Jose Peraza (9): He’s not hitting with Jonathan Arauz cutting into his playing time.
- Miguel Andújar (9): I wonder if fantasy owners, who double as Yankee fans, are just dreaming he’ll be useful.
- Brandon Belt (8): Were these owners a little slow moving on from the games at Colorado? I guess Belt is probably the replacement-level first baseman.
- Chadwick Tromp (8), Jacob Stallings (8), Max Stassi (8), Stephen Vogt (8), Tony Wolters (8) and Tyler Heineman (6): Members of this week’s catcher carousal.
- Jake Lamb (8): He’s not playing. Just once in the last six games.
- Justin Upton (8): He looks done (35% K%, .404 OPS) and is now in a platoon.
- Oscar Mercado (8): I’m not sure if the demotion was known before FAAB ran, but he’s droppable at this point.
- Roman Quinn (8): Placed on the IL.
- Ender Inciarte (7): He’s playing, but the results have not been good (.489 OPS).
- Evan Longoria (7): A few owners forgot to move on from Longoria after his one for 12 showing in Colorado. Shell shock?
- Jay Bruce (7): He’s hitting OK (.868 OPS) on the strong side of a platoon.
- Nick Ahmed (7): In deeper formats, he’s sort of needs to be owned by some team. While the .222 AVG is far from ideal, he has two homers and steals.
- Nick Madrigal (7): Still on the IL.
- Shed Long Jr. (7): After starting out hot, he’s hitting .146/.222/.195 over the last two weeks with no steals.
- Delino DeShields (6): He’s not playing (seven games so far).
- Ji-Man Choi (6): One of several part-timers on this list. It’s tough to be rostered playing 60% of the time.
- Jorge Alfaro (6): On COVID IL.
- Kevin Kiermaier (6): While he has four steals, he’s sitting against lefties with a .633 OPS.
- Mauricio Dubón (6): He’s just not going with a .250 AVG, 1 SB, and 1 HR.
Starters
- Jonathan Loaisiga (9): No idea how he was still on teams.
- Tommy Milone (9): His 86-mph fastball got smacked around for nine hits in his four-inning start.
- Adam Plutko (9): I’m not 100% why he was dropped in 15-teamers with a Detroit start this week.
- Caleb Smith (8): On the IL with an uNkNowN injury.
- Eric Lauer (8): Optioned to the alternate training site.
- Mike Fiers (8): A fine drop since he’s, at best, a streaming pitcher.
- Rick Porcello (8): Why do owners roster him? Why?
- Brendan McKay (7): Another player I just don’t understand why he was rostered. Fantasy owners need to understand sunk costs.
- Aníbal Sánchez (6): His sub-90 mph fastball is too hitable.
- Asher Wojciechowski (6): A streaming option who I expect to get picked up when the matchup is better.
- Austin Voth (6): A surprising drop who has a 3.21 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Maybe the owners are expecting some heavy regression because of the low strikeout rate (5.8 K/9 is down).
- Kolby Allard (6): Why was he held for a start in Colorado? I don’t understand some decisions.
- Michael Wacha (6): On the IL.
- Tanner Roark (6): He’s got to be hurt with his velocity down 2.5 mph and he can’t find the plate (6.8 BB/9).
- Zack Godley (6): Besides a few strikeouts (8.8 K/9), he’s been a complete disaster (8.16 ERA, 3.8 BB/9, 3.1 HR/9).
Relievers
- Diego Castillo (8), Jonathan Hernandez (8), Mychal Givens (6), Trevor May (6): Good relievers not getting Saves.
Trevor Gott (8): This move seems a little reactionary. It’s not been officially stated that he’s lost his closer’s job. - José Alvarado (7): On the IL.
- Luis Patiño (7): I never understood why the rookie was added. He was headed to a deep bullpen.
- Carlos Martinez (6): On the IL with an uNkNowN injury.
- Dellin Betances (6): He’s walking too many batters (4.91 BB/9) to be effective (4.91 ERA).
- Nick Goody (6): On the IL.
- Oliver Drake (6): On the IL.
- Ryan Helsley (6): On the COVID IL.
- Sean Doolittle (6): On the IL.
Name | Drops (38 Leagues) |
---|---|
Leury Garcia | 33 |
C.J. Cron | 32 |
Marcus Stroman | 31 |
Sean Newcomb | 30 |
Austin Hays | 29 |
Robinson Chirinos | 28 |
Starlin Castro | 28 |
Carl Edwards Jr. | 24 |
Ben Gamel | 23 |
Josh James | 22 |
Wade Miley | 21 |
Matt Kemp | 19 |
Sam Hilliard | 19 |
Edwin Rios | 18 |
Bradley Zimmer | 17 |
Jeremy Jeffress | 17 |
Kyle Wright | 17 |
Monte Harrison | 17 |
Greg Holland | 15 |
Jose Martinez | 15 |
Andrew Benintendi | 14 |
Chris Owings | 14 |
Joe Musgrove | 14 |
Julio Teheran | 14 |
Myles Straw | 14 |
Tyler Alexander | 14 |
Eric Sogard | 12 |
Kirby Yates | 12 |
Mike Zunino | 12 |
Felix Pena | 11 |
Francisco Mejia | 11 |
John Means | 11 |
Kike Hernandez | 11 |
Miguel Castro | 11 |
Steven Matz | 11 |
Vince Velasquez | 11 |
Eric Thames | 10 |
Jarrod Dyson | 10 |
Khris Davis | 10 |
Mallex Smith | 10 |
Nico Hoerner | 10 |
Shogo Akiyama | 10 |
Will Smith | 10 |
Adam Plutko | 9 |
Albert Pujols | 9 |
Evan White | 9 |
Joey Wendle | 9 |
Jonathan Loaisiga | 9 |
Jose Peraza | 9 |
Miguel Andujar | 9 |
Tommy Milone | 9 |
Brandon Belt | 8 |
Caleb Smith | 8 |
Chadwick Tromp | 8 |
Diego Castillo | 8 |
Eric Lauer | 8 |
Jacob Stallings | 8 |
Jake Lamb | 8 |
Jonathan Hernandez | 8 |
Justin Upton | 8 |
Max Stassi | 8 |
Mike Fiers | 8 |
Oscar Mercado | 8 |
Rick Porcello | 8 |
Roman Quinn | 8 |
Stephen Vogt | 8 |
Tony Wolters | 8 |
Trevor Gott | 8 |
Brendan McKay | 7 |
Ender Inciarte | 7 |
Evan Longoria | 7 |
Jay Bruce | 7 |
Jose Alvarado | 7 |
Luis Patino | 7 |
Nick Ahmed | 7 |
Nick Madrigal | 7 |
Shed Long Jr. | 7 |
Anibal Sanchez | 6 |
Asher Wojciechowski | 6 |
Austin Voth | 6 |
Carlos Martinez | 6 |
Delino DeShields | 6 |
Dellin Betances | 6 |
Ji-Man Choi | 6 |
Jorge Alfaro | 6 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 6 |
Kolby Allard | 6 |
Mauricio Dubon | 6 |
Michael Wacha | 6 |
Mychal Givens | 6 |
Nick Goody | 6 |
Oliver Drake | 6 |
Ryan Helsley | 6 |
Sean Doolittle | 6 |
Tanner Roark | 6 |
Trevor May | 6 |
Tyler Heineman | 6 |
Zack Godley | 6 |
Alex Dickerson | 5 |
Brian Goodwin | 5 |
Corey Knebel | 5 |
Edward Olivares | 5 |
Emilio Pagan | 5 |
Gregory Polanco | 5 |
J.P. Crawford | 5 |
Jalen Beeks | 5 |
Jason Castro | 5 |
Jeurys Familia | 5 |
Kris Bubic | 5 |
Logan Morrison | 5 |
Nick Burdi | 5 |
Orlando Arcia | 5 |
Richard Rodriguez | 5 |
Tucker Barnhart | 5 |
Tyler Chatwood | 5 |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.