Who is Being Dropped and Why (Week 2)

Transactions are up as teams try to fill their rosters. With every player added, someone becomes available. Some players are duds but a few have some value on the right team. Here is a look at some players who may be heading to the waiver wire.

For this analysis, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the owners stay engaged longer since each spent over $1000 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between obvious and bizarre and will focus on players dropped in six to nine leagues.

Hitters (leagues)

  • Jay Bruce (9): I don’t follow the drops. I know the Phillies didn’t play last week but they are expected to now. They should have several weeks with over seven games so I might be buying Bruce instead of selling.
  • Josh VanMeter (9): Added as a Moustakas replacement and no longer needed.
  • Curt Casali (8), Martín Maldonado (8), Mike Zunino (8), Yan Gomes (8), Jacob Stallings (6): All of them will likely be on the catcher carousel the entire season.
  • Franchy Cordero (8): After the trade hype died down, his owners realized he’s a bad hitter needing a complete overhaul.
  • Garrett Cooper (8): A Marlin with an unknown future.
  • Josh Naylor: I’m guessing some owners were rolling the dice hoping on his Colorado games.
  • Kevin Kiermaier (8): With steals and playing time at a premium, he’ll get picked up soon.
  • Albert Pujols (7): He’s getting to the point where he’s not even streamable since he’s not playing every day.
  • Ji-Man Choi (7): A first base streaming option.
  • Stephen Piscotty (7): Just a streamable bat to add when I team needs a player.
  • Dee Gordon (6): A bad hitter and not playing. He should have never been drafted.
  • Jesse Winker (6): .100/.308/.100 in 26 PA
  • José Osuna (6): He’s only played in five games so far. Just not enough counting stats
  • Mauricio Dubón (6): A Giant dropped before the Coors series? Weird. He’s been fine besides the 30% K%.
  • Travis Shaw (6): He has not been with the team for personal reasons.

Starters (leagues)

  • Jonathan Loaisiga (9): I never understood why he was initially rostered. Who wants a below-average bullpen long man?
  • Kevin Gausman (9): I just didn’t buy the hype behind him a starter coming into the season. He’s living up to his projections … and going to Colorado.
  • Kyle Wright (9): Another player I’ve never understood why he was owned. His 7.50 ERA on the season lowers his career mark.
  • Pablo López (9): Reasonable cut for not knowing if he has COVID or not.
  • Joey Lucchesi (8): Interesting. Besides a high ERA (8.44) driven by his BABIP (.524), his results are right in line with his projections. I’m intrigued if available.
  • Tanner Roark (8): A suspect starter with no usable match ups. Reasonable drop.
  • Trevor Richards (8): He’s just not starting and has limited value until he does.
  • Danny Duffy (7): He’s just not good and the team around him is worse.
  • Drew Smyly (7): I liked some of the changes he made, but a strained finger has him on the IL.
  • Freddy Peralta (7): He’s not good enough to lose 2.5 mph off his fastball.
  • John Means (7): It’s going to be tough holding him every week.
  • Johnny Cueto (7): Fantasy owners didn’t like the two-step at the Rockies and at the Dodgers (Kershaw).
  • Julio Teheran (6): He’s performing as expected with an ERA below his ERA estimators. I don’t follow this move.
  • Kendall Graveman (6): While he’s made adjustments for more strikeouts, the walks and home runs have also gone up.
  • Mike Montgomery (6): Lat Injury
  • Trent Thornton (6): He’s not a sexy name but he’s a decent pitcher. I expect some team in each league will be interested.

Relievers (leagues)

  • Corey Knebel (9): These drops are a little weird. Knebel has one blown Save and a 13.50 ERA, so owners might be leery of him. Still, he should eventually get some Saves and help with strikeouts. With all the high bids for potential closers, I’m surprised he is heading to the waiver wire.
  • Michael Lorenzen (9): In 2.2 IP, he has as many strikeouts as home runs allowed (3).
  • Will Harris (9): Groin injury
  • Yusmeiro Petit (7): He normally provides above-average counting stats for a reliever by going extra innings. This season, he’s appeared in six games and only thrown 4.2 IP.
  • Aaron Bummer (6): He’s just a backup so I guess expendable.
  • Bryan Abreu (6): He’s not closing. He’s not starting. He’s not pitching well. Now, he’s on six fewer teams.
  • Greg Holland (6): He still might get some Saves in KC. Usable until then.
  • Hunter Harvey (6): Elbow injury.
  • Zach Eflin (6): Looks like his owners wanted nothing to do with his start against the Yankees.
Players Dropped in the NFBC Main Event
Player Drops
Wade Miley 36
Corey Kluber 35
Jose Leclerc 35
Lorenzo Cain 35
Miles Mikolas 34
Mike Foltynewicz 30
Roberto Perez 30
Elieser Hernandez 28
Yoenis Cespedes 28
Andrelton Simmons 27
Cameron Maybin 24
Eduardo Rodriguez 24
Scott Oberg 24
Wade Davis 23
Jose Urquidy 22
Manuel Margot 22
Homer Bailey 20
Jeff Samardzija 19
Dellin Betances 17
Francisco Cervelli 17
Jordan Lyles 17
Mitch Keller 17
Rafael Dolis 17
Roman Quinn 17
Forrest Whitley 16
Jake Lamb 16
Matt Magill 15
Michael Fulmer 15
Alex Wood 14
Clarke Schmidt 14
Harrison Bader 14
Jose Alvarado 14
Rick Porcello 14
Tony Watson 14
Blake Treinen 13
Ian Kennedy 13
Ken Giles 13
Kyle Crick 13
Matt Barnes 13
Miguel Andujar 13
Miguel Rojas 13
Mychal Givens 13
Reynaldo Lopez 13
Vince Velasquez 13
Yasiel Puig 13
Emilio Pagan 12
Jarrod Dyson 12
Raimel Tapia 12
Asher Wojciechowski 11
Sean Doolittle 11
Sean Newcomb 11
Shun Yamaguchi 11
Jake Arrieta 10
Nick Ahmed 10
Patrick Sandoval 10
Ryan Braun 10
Ryan Helsley 10
Corey Knebel 9
Jay Bruce 9
Jonathan Loaisiga 9
Josh VanMeter 9
Kevin Gausman 9
Kyle Wright 9
Michael Lorenzen 9
Pablo Lopez 9
Will Harris 9
Curt Casali 8
Franchy Cordero 8
Garrett Cooper 8
Joey Lucchesi 8
Josh Naylor 8
Kevin Kiermaier 8
Martin Maldonado 8
Mike Zunino 8
Tanner Roark 8
Trevor Richards 8
Yan Gomes 8
Albert Pujols 7
Danny Duffy 7
Drew Smyly 7
Freddy Peralta 7
Ji-Man Choi 7
John Means 7
Johnny Cueto 7
Stephen Piscotty 7
Yusmeiro Petit 7
Aaron Bummer 6
Bryan Abreu 6
Dee Gordon 6
Greg Holland 6
Hunter Harvey 6
Jacob Stallings 6
Jesse Winker 6
Jose Osuna 6
Julio Teheran 6
Kendall Graveman 6
Mauricio Dubon 6
Mike Montgomery 6
Travis Shaw 6
Trent Thornton 6
Tyler Rogers 6
Zach Eflin 6
A.J. Puk 5
Adam Frazier 5
Adam Ottavino 5
Adam Wainwright 5
Caleb Smith 5
Carter Kieboom 5
Edward Olivares 5
Hunter Dozier 5
Hunter Pence 5
Joey Bart 5
Matt Andriese 5
Michael Chavis 5
Robbie Grossman 5
Roberto Osuna 5
Rowdy Tellez 5
Sandy Alcantara 5
Shane Greene 5
Shaun Anderson 5
Stephen Vogt 5
William Contreras 5
Yoshihisa Hirano 5





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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vft
3 years ago

“Franchy Cordero (8): After the trade hype died down, his owners realized he’s a bad hitter needing a complete overhaul.“

Meanwhile….

comment image

Bubbamember
3 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

Which ones?

averagejoe15
3 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

I enjoy these graphics. It gives me a good reason to dive deeper into a player I wouldn’t have spent time on otherwise which ultimately helped me better identify the variables that do matter.

cartermember
3 years ago
Reply to  vft

I’m in the middle on that graphic. He definitely has the talent, and Royals seem to have done well enough with other castoffs such as Soler etc, and they are going to give him a chance to play nearly everyday and bat in the middle of the line up. For that reason alone I am in on him. He might of lost a little bit, but 6’3″ 230lbs and at one point he hit the ball as hard as Judge and ran as fast as Hamilton. Sure he was/ is raw and probably a bad baseball player relative to the rest of the MLB, but the potential is certainly there.