Who Is Being Dropped and Why (Week 1)

After using the NFBC Online Championship transactions last week to find those players on the decline, it’s time to get back to analyzing the 38 NFBC Main Event leagues. I like using this overall competition because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, these leagues stay engaged longer since each owner spent over $1000 for a team.

Also, if anyone forgot about the original series, I tried to find that sweet spot between obvious and bizarre. Just those players who are a tough choice.  I’m mainly going to focus on players dropped in six to nine leagues. Here are those players on the move.

Pitchers

General

  • Yusei Kikuchi (9): The results in his first start were horrible with half the 18 batters he faced reaching base (5 H, 4 BB). He didn’t throw almost anything but fastballs (81%). Even with it up over 2 mph, MLB hitters can still crush 95 mph especially if they know it’s the only pitch coming. He threw 30 cutters and not one generate a swing-and-miss. His four-seamer had a 14% SwStr%, the same as his slider from last season. I think there is a pitch combination that could work with him, but the season may be over until he settles in.
  • Ryan Weber (7): Those owners hoping to stream his start against the Orioles were rewarded with 6 Runs, 6 Hits, 3 Walks, and 0 strikeouts over 3.2 innings of work. Congrats.
  • Jonathan Loaisiga (7): I’m not sure why he was owned to begin with. He didn’t have a rotation spot. I guess I’m missing something.
  • Jake Arrieta (7): Can these seven owners who draft Arrieta please join my leagues?
  • Drew Pomeranz (7): Looks like several owners just had Pomeranz to fill in some non-starter innings.
  • Adam Wainwright (6): Owners streamed him for the first start and correctly moved on.

No longer a Saves candidate.

On the IL

  • Yoshihisa Hirano (8): Owners can’t wait around for his possible return.
  • Cole Hamels (7): Suspect talent and injured. Understandable drop.

Hitters

General

  • Nick Ahmed (9): Just a boring bat who should dart on-and-off the waiver wire all season.
  • Hunter Pence (9): With the four-game week over, he was expendable.
  • Michael Chavis (8): He’s struggled at the plate striking out five of eight times.
  • Maikel Franco (7): Surprise. He struggled at the plate facing Cleveland’s top three aces.
  • Albert Pujols (6): Pujols may be done as a contributing player, but he remains in the lineup. Seems like the first baseman desperate teams will add when an injury occurs.
  • Roman Quinn (6): Another player I wonder why he was rostered to begin with. Not a useful fantasy option.
  • Marwin Gonzalez (6): With Byron Buxton out, he’s started in two games. I thought he might be an option for some team.

Change in Lineup Position

  • Cameron Maybin (9): There were rumors of him leading off, but those ended. Maybin is hitting 6th or later
  • Jarrod Dyson (7): Earlier off-season reports had him leading off, but now his batting 9th in a sad lineup.

Limited Playing time

  • Mike Tauchman (9): He’s just not playing, so he has no fantasy value.
  • Harrison Bader (8): The high strikeout hitter isn’t playing every day.
  • Franchy Cordero (8): Three plate appearances over the weekend isn’t going to cut it.
  • Franklin Barreto (7): He’s not playing and doesn’t have the talent to break into the A’s lineup.
  • Dee Gordon (7): He’s playing some. That’s more than was expected before the season started.
  • Edwin Rios (7): I’m not sure why he was rostered. No playing time.

On the IL

  • Luis Urías (8): Just got off the COVID IL and transferred to the alternate training site.
  • Jorge Alfaro (8): On COVID IL, but probably must roster once he returns.
  • Travis d’Arnaud (6): I struggled on what to do with d’Arnaud and I kept him. The waiver wire catching options were horrible.
  • Hunter Dozier (6): With an extra week for Dozier to get a negative COVID test, the bidding for these shares could be significant.
Players Dropped in the NFBC Main Event (38 Leagues)
Martin Perez 30
Tyler Rogers 27
Garrett Cooper 25
Reynaldo Lopez 23
Jake Fraley 23
Kyle Crick 21
Trevor Richards 18
Tom Murphy 18
Taijuan Walker 17
Tucker Barnhart 16
Austin Adams 16
Kevin Gausman 15
Kyle Freeland 14
Bryan Abreu 14
Adam Ottavino 14
Rick Porcello 13
Matt Barnes 13
Brendan McKay 13
Billy Hamilton 13
Hunter Harvey 11
Yusmeiro Petit 10
Rowan Wick 10
Joey Bart 10
Edward Olivares 10
Eduardo Rodriguez 10
Brendan Rodgers 10
Aaron Bummer 10
A.J. Puk 10
Yusei Kikuchi 9
Pedro Baez 9
Nick Ahmed 9
Mike Tauchman 9
Kevin Ginkel 9
Hunter Pence 9
Cameron Maybin 9
Yoshihisa Hirano 8
Ty Buttrey 8
Tony Watson 8
Michael Lorenzen 8
Michael Chavis 8
Luis Urias 8
Jorge Alfaro 8
Harrison Bader 8
Franchy Cordero 8
Will Harris 7
Scott Oberg 7
Ryan Weber 7
Ryan Helsley 7
Maikel Franco 7
Jose Alvarado 7
Jonathan Loaisiga 7
Jarrod Dyson 7
Jake Arrieta 7
Franklin Barreto 7
Edwin Rios 7
Drew Pomeranz 7
Diego Castillo 7
Dee Gordon 7
Cole Hamels 7
Blake Treinen 7
Andrew Miller 7
Albert Pujols 7
Travis d’Arnaud 6
Roman Quinn 6
Marwin Gonzalez 6
Hunter Dozier 6
Corey Knebel 6
Adam Wainwright 6
Zach Eflin 5
Zach Davies 5
Yan Gomes 5
Vince Velasquez 5
Victor Reyes 5
Tyler O’Neill 5
Tony Gonsolin 5
Rafael Montero 5
Nicky Lopez 5
Nick Pivetta 5
Mike Fiers 5
Michael Wacha 5
Matt Magill 5
Marcus Stroman 5
Jonathan Hernandez 5
Joe Kelly 5
Gio Gonzalez 5
Dominic Smith 5
Daniel Ponce de Leon 5
Dakota Hudson 5
Chris Davis 5

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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I’d pay more attention to the Cards pen, Kim looked awful in his debut with low velocity and no real out pitch.