Week 20 FAAB Projections

Life has come at me hard the last couple of days and I’m actually happy to spend some time writing about baseball as a distraction. The problem is that I need to prioritize my efforts. I’ve decided to just post the projected values (no analysis) and instead focus on my efforts on my weekly AL Lineups article. If I have the time and effort later today, I may come back and add some more details.

The projection guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

 

Week 20 Hitter FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Travis Demeritte LF | DET 0% 2% 2% $9
Austin Nola SS | SEA 1% 7% 6% $12
Jake Rogers C | DET 1% 4% 3% $9
Trent Grisham RF | MIL 2% 16% 14% $25
Adam Duvall LF | ATL 3% 37% 34% $103
Josh VanMeter SS | CIN 3% 34% 31% $88
Matt Thaiss 1B | LAA 3% 9% 6% $12
Austin Romine C | NYY 4% 8% 4% $10
Mike Tauchman CF | NYY 4% 7% 3% $10
Miguel Rojas SS | MIA 5% 6% 1% $9
J.D. Davis 3B | NYM 6% 9% 3% $10
Teoscar Hernandez LF | TOR 8% 13% 5% $12
Pedro Severino C | BAL 10% 15% 5% $13
Mark Canha CF | OAK 11% 13% 2% $11
Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF 13% 27% 14% $30
Jason Kipnis 2B | CLE 14% 16% 2% $12
Brian McCann C | ATL 23% 28% 5% $19
Gavin Lux SS | LAD 23% 25% 2% $16
Anthony Santander RF | BAL 24% 49% 25% $79
Willie Calhoun LF | TEX 24% 33% 9% $26
Ender Inciarte CF | ATL 25% 32% 7% $24
Nick Ahmed SS | ARI 25% 27% 2% $17
Gio Urshela 3B | NYY 26% 36% 10% $30
Will Smith C | LAD 32% 78% 46% $223
Corey Dickerson LF | PHI 32% 34% 2% $22
Carson Kelly C | ARI 34% 38% 4% $26
Brian Anderson RF | MIA 34% 37% 3% $25
Niko Goodrum 2B | DET 37% 38% 1% $25
Bo Bichette SS | TOR 44% 69% 25% $105
Justin Smoak 1B | TOR 46% 49% 3% $36
Ryan McMahon 1B | COL 50% 55% 5% $45

 

Week 20 Pitcher FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Jarlin Garcia RP | MIA 0% 6% 6% $8
Anthony Bass RP | SEA 0% 5% 5% $7
Justin Shafer RP | TOR 0% 2% 2% $6
Thomas Pannone SP | TOR 1% 3% 2% $6
Taylor Clarke SP | ARI 2% 5% 3% $7
Pedro Payano SP | TEX 2% 4% 2% $6
Sean Reid-Foley SP | TOR 3% 5% 2% $6
Yoan Lopez RP | ARI 4% 10% 6% $8
Aaron Civale SP | CLE 4% 6% 2% $7
Nick Anderson RP | TB 5% 12% 7% $11
Daniel Norris SP | DET 5% 11% 6% $8
Elieser Hernandez RP | MIA 5% 7% 2% $7
Drew Smyly SP | PHI 8% 25% 17% $18
Joe Jimenez RP | DET 8% 17% 9% $10
Giovanny Gallegos RP | STL 9% 12% 3% $7
Dustin May SP | LAD 11% 54% 43% $79
Archie Bradley RP | ARI 11% 24% 13% $14
Seth Lugo RP | NYM 11% 17% 6% $11
Jaime Barria SP | LAA 13% 27% 14% $25
Aaron Sanchez SP | HOU 15% 29% 14% $26
Cal Quantrill SP | SD 15% 21% 6% $9
Sean Manaea SP | OAK 20% 29% 9% $17
Freddy Peralta SP | MIL 20% 24% 4% $8
Asher Wojciechowski RP | BAL 21% 36% 15% $18
Andrew Miller RP | STL 22% 24% 2% $8
Scott Oberg RP | COL 25% 34% 9% $12
Jason Vargas SP | PHI 27% 32% 5% $10
Vince Velasquez SP | PHI 28% 40% 12% $16
Gio Gonzalez SP | MIL 30% 33% 3% $10
Jordan Lyles RP | MIL 32% 36% 4% $14
Anthony DeSclafani SP | CIN 38% 41% 3% $11
Alex Wood SP | CIN 42% 53% 11% $28
Danny Salazar SP | CLE 42% 51% 9% $16
Steven Matz SP | NYM 45% 59% 14% $23
Julio Urias RP | LAD 47% 50% 3% $13
Chris Bassitt SP | OAK 49% 55% 6% $16

 

2019 Week 19 FAAB Results
Add Avg Bid Leagues (38)
Willie Calhoun $42 11
Will Smith $34 33
Nick Anderson $20 13
Ender Inciarte $20 23
Bubba Starling $16 5
Vince Velasquez $16 5
Andrew Cashner $15 7
Stephen Piscotty $15 5
Teoscar Hernandez $15 5
Asher Wojciechowski $13 16
Chris Martin $12 18
Albert Pujols $12 5
J.D. Davis $11 15
Mitch Moreland $11 6
Drew Smyly $10 10
Delino DeShields $10 6
Trevor Williams $10 5
Yoan Lopez $9 29
Josh VanMeter $9 34
Ian Happ $8 14
Luis Arraez $8 14
Joe Jimenez $8 5
Pablo Lopez $7 5
Sam Dyson $7 5
Danny Salazar $6 7
Cal Quantrill $6 6
Gio Urshela $6 10
Adam Duvall $6 27
Nick Pivetta $6 5
Yairo Munoz $6 13
Mike Yastrzemski $5 8
Austin Nola $5 31
Freddy Peralta $5 11
Jaime Barria $5 20
Yoshihisa Hirano $4 17
Elieser Hernandez $4 22
Tim Beckham $4 5
Yonder Alonso $4 7
Archie Bradley $4 9
Mike Tauchman $4 11
Adrian Houser $4 6
Pedro Severino $4 12
Garrett Hampson $3 8
Seth Lugo $3 19
Michael Lorenzen $3 11
Brandon Crawford $3 12
Pablo Sandoval $3 13
Conner Menez $3 8
Andrew Miller $3 8
Ariel Jurado $2 5
Andres Munoz $2 8
Jarlin Garcia $2 7
Greg Allen $2 8
Aaron Sanchez $2 14
Keone Kela $2 5
Daniel Norris $2 8
Austin Romine $2 8
Matt Wieters $2 6
Pedro Payano $2 5
Stephen Vogt $2 7
Jose Suarez $2 10
Tucker Barnhart $2 10
Yasmany Tomas $2 5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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zobp
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zobp

Thanks for doing this and godspeed