Week 20 FAAB Projections

August 3, 2019

Life has come at me hard the last couple of days and I’m actually happy to spend some time writing about baseball as a distraction. The problem is that I need to prioritize my efforts. I’ve decided to just post the projected values (no analysis) and instead focus on my efforts on my weekly AL Lineups article. If I have the time and effort later today, I may come back and add some more details.

The projection guidelines:

The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

Week 20 Hitter FAAB Projections

Name	Previous Ownership%	Current Ownership%	Change%	Cost
Travis Demeritte LF \| DET	0%	2%	2%	$9
Austin Nola SS \| SEA	1%	7%	6%	$12
Jake Rogers C \| DET	1%	4%	3%	$9
Trent Grisham RF \| MIL	2%	16%	14%	$25
Adam Duvall LF \| ATL	3%	37%	34%	$103
Josh VanMeter SS \| CIN	3%	34%	31%	$88
Matt Thaiss 1B \| LAA	3%	9%	6%	$12
Austin Romine C \| NYY	4%	8%	4%	$10
Mike Tauchman CF \| NYY	4%	7%	3%	$10
Miguel Rojas SS \| MIA	5%	6%	1%	$9
J.D. Davis 3B \| NYM	6%	9%	3%	$10
Teoscar Hernandez LF \| TOR	8%	13%	5%	$12
Pedro Severino C \| BAL	10%	15%	5%	$13
Mark Canha CF \| OAK	11%	13%	2%	$11
Mike Yastrzemski RF \| SF	13%	27%	14%	$30
Jason Kipnis 2B \| CLE	14%	16%	2%	$12
Brian McCann C \| ATL	23%	28%	5%	$19
Gavin Lux SS \| LAD	23%	25%	2%	$16
Anthony Santander RF \| BAL	24%	49%	25%	$79
Willie Calhoun LF \| TEX	24%	33%	9%	$26
Ender Inciarte CF \| ATL	25%	32%	7%	$24
Nick Ahmed SS \| ARI	25%	27%	2%	$17
Gio Urshela 3B \| NYY	26%	36%	10%	$30
Will Smith C \| LAD	32%	78%	46%	$223
Corey Dickerson LF \| PHI	32%	34%	2%	$22
Carson Kelly C \| ARI	34%	38%	4%	$26
Brian Anderson RF \| MIA	34%	37%	3%	$25
Niko Goodrum 2B \| DET	37%	38%	1%	$25
Bo Bichette SS \| TOR	44%	69%	25%	$105
Justin Smoak 1B \| TOR	46%	49%	3%	$36
Ryan McMahon 1B \| COL	50%	55%	5%	$45

Week 20 Pitcher FAAB Projections

Name	Previous Ownership%	Current Ownership%	Change%	Cost
Jarlin Garcia RP \| MIA	0%	6%	6%	$8
Anthony Bass RP \| SEA	0%	5%	5%	$7
Justin Shafer RP \| TOR	0%	2%	2%	$6
Thomas Pannone SP \| TOR	1%	3%	2%	$6
Taylor Clarke SP \| ARI	2%	5%	3%	$7
Pedro Payano SP \| TEX	2%	4%	2%	$6
Sean Reid-Foley SP \| TOR	3%	5%	2%	$6
Yoan Lopez RP \| ARI	4%	10%	6%	$8
Aaron Civale SP \| CLE	4%	6%	2%	$7
Nick Anderson RP \| TB	5%	12%	7%	$11
Daniel Norris SP \| DET	5%	11%	6%	$8
Elieser Hernandez RP \| MIA	5%	7%	2%	$7
Drew Smyly SP \| PHI	8%	25%	17%	$18
Joe Jimenez RP \| DET	8%	17%	9%	$10
Giovanny Gallegos RP \| STL	9%	12%	3%	$7
Dustin May SP \| LAD	11%	54%	43%	$79
Archie Bradley RP \| ARI	11%	24%	13%	$14
Seth Lugo RP \| NYM	11%	17%	6%	$11
Jaime Barria SP \| LAA	13%	27%	14%	$25
Aaron Sanchez SP \| HOU	15%	29%	14%	$26
Cal Quantrill SP \| SD	15%	21%	6%	$9
Sean Manaea SP \| OAK	20%	29%	9%	$17
Freddy Peralta SP \| MIL	20%	24%	4%	$8
Asher Wojciechowski RP \| BAL	21%	36%	15%	$18
Andrew Miller RP \| STL	22%	24%	2%	$8
Scott Oberg RP \| COL	25%	34%	9%	$12
Jason Vargas SP \| PHI	27%	32%	5%	$10
Vince Velasquez SP \| PHI	28%	40%	12%	$16
Gio Gonzalez SP \| MIL	30%	33%	3%	$10
Jordan Lyles RP \| MIL	32%	36%	4%	$14
Anthony DeSclafani SP \| CIN	38%	41%	3%	$11
Alex Wood SP \| CIN	42%	53%	11%	$28
Danny Salazar SP \| CLE	42%	51%	9%	$16
Steven Matz SP \| NYM	45%	59%	14%	$23
Julio Urias RP \| LAD	47%	50%	3%	$13
Chris Bassitt SP \| OAK	49%	55%	6%	$16

2019 Week 19 FAAB Results

Add	Avg Bid	Leagues (38)
Willie Calhoun	$42	11
Will Smith	$34	33
Nick Anderson	$20	13
Ender Inciarte	$20	23
Bubba Starling	$16	5
Vince Velasquez	$16	5
Andrew Cashner	$15	7
Stephen Piscotty	$15	5
Teoscar Hernandez	$15	5
Asher Wojciechowski	$13	16
Chris Martin	$12	18
Albert Pujols	$12	5
J.D. Davis	$11	15
Mitch Moreland	$11	6
Drew Smyly	$10	10
Delino DeShields	$10	6
Trevor Williams	$10	5
Yoan Lopez	$9	29
Josh VanMeter	$9	34
Ian Happ	$8	14
Luis Arraez	$8	14
Joe Jimenez	$8	5
Pablo Lopez	$7	5
Sam Dyson	$7	5
Danny Salazar	$6	7
Cal Quantrill	$6	6
Gio Urshela	$6	10
Adam Duvall	$6	27
Nick Pivetta	$6	5
Yairo Munoz	$6	13
Mike Yastrzemski	$5	8
Austin Nola	$5	31
Freddy Peralta	$5	11
Jaime Barria	$5	20
Yoshihisa Hirano	$4	17
Elieser Hernandez	$4	22
Tim Beckham	$4	5
Yonder Alonso	$4	7
Archie Bradley	$4	9
Mike Tauchman	$4	11
Adrian Houser	$4	6
Pedro Severino	$4	12
Garrett Hampson	$3	8
Seth Lugo	$3	19
Michael Lorenzen	$3	11
Brandon Crawford	$3	12
Pablo Sandoval	$3	13
Conner Menez	$3	8
Andrew Miller	$3	8
Ariel Jurado	$2	5
Andres Munoz	$2	8
Jarlin Garcia	$2	7
Greg Allen	$2	8
Aaron Sanchez	$2	14
Keone Kela	$2	5
Daniel Norris	$2	8
Austin Romine	$2	8
Matt Wieters	$2	6
Pedro Payano	$2	5
Stephen Vogt	$2	7
Jose Suarez	$2	10
Tucker Barnhart	$2	10
Yasmany Tomas	$2	5