Week 20 FAAB Projections
Life has come at me hard the last couple of days and I’m actually happy to spend some time writing about baseball as a distraction. The problem is that I need to prioritize my efforts. I’ve decided to just post the projected values (no analysis) and instead focus on my efforts on my weekly AL Lineups article. If I have the time and effort later today, I may come back and add some more details.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Week 20 Hitter FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Demeritte LF | DET | 0% | 2% | 2% | $9 |
| Austin Nola SS | SEA | 1% | 7% | 6% | $12 |
| Jake Rogers C | DET | 1% | 4% | 3% | $9 |
| Trent Grisham RF | MIL | 2% | 16% | 14% | $25 |
| Adam Duvall LF | ATL | 3% | 37% | 34% | $103 |
| Josh VanMeter SS | CIN | 3% | 34% | 31% | $88 |
| Matt Thaiss 1B | LAA | 3% | 9% | 6% | $12 |
| Austin Romine C | NYY | 4% | 8% | 4% | $10 |
| Mike Tauchman CF | NYY | 4% | 7% | 3% | $10 |
| Miguel Rojas SS | MIA | 5% | 6% | 1% | $9 |
| J.D. Davis 3B | NYM | 6% | 9% | 3% | $10 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF | TOR | 8% | 13% | 5% | $12 |
| Pedro Severino C | BAL | 10% | 15% | 5% | $13 |
| Mark Canha CF | OAK | 11% | 13% | 2% | $11 |
| Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF | 13% | 27% | 14% | $30 |
| Jason Kipnis 2B | CLE | 14% | 16% | 2% | $12 |
| Brian McCann C | ATL | 23% | 28% | 5% | $19 |
| Gavin Lux SS | LAD | 23% | 25% | 2% | $16 |
| Anthony Santander RF | BAL | 24% | 49% | 25% | $79 |
| Willie Calhoun LF | TEX | 24% | 33% | 9% | $26 |
| Ender Inciarte CF | ATL | 25% | 32% | 7% | $24 |
| Nick Ahmed SS | ARI | 25% | 27% | 2% | $17 |
| Gio Urshela 3B | NYY | 26% | 36% | 10% | $30 |
| Will Smith C | LAD | 32% | 78% | 46% | $223 |
| Corey Dickerson LF | PHI | 32% | 34% | 2% | $22 |
| Carson Kelly C | ARI | 34% | 38% | 4% | $26 |
| Brian Anderson RF | MIA | 34% | 37% | 3% | $25 |
| Niko Goodrum 2B | DET | 37% | 38% | 1% | $25 |
| Bo Bichette SS | TOR | 44% | 69% | 25% | $105 |
| Justin Smoak 1B | TOR | 46% | 49% | 3% | $36 |
| Ryan McMahon 1B | COL | 50% | 55% | 5% | $45 |
Week 20 Pitcher FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarlin Garcia RP | MIA | 0% | 6% | 6% | $8 |
| Anthony Bass RP | SEA | 0% | 5% | 5% | $7 |
| Justin Shafer RP | TOR | 0% | 2% | 2% | $6 |
| Thomas Pannone SP | TOR | 1% | 3% | 2% | $6 |
| Taylor Clarke SP | ARI | 2% | 5% | 3% | $7 |
| Pedro Payano SP | TEX | 2% | 4% | 2% | $6 |
| Sean Reid-Foley SP | TOR | 3% | 5% | 2% | $6 |
| Yoan Lopez RP | ARI | 4% | 10% | 6% | $8 |
| Aaron Civale SP | CLE | 4% | 6% | 2% | $7 |
| Nick Anderson RP | TB | 5% | 12% | 7% | $11 |
| Daniel Norris SP | DET | 5% | 11% | 6% | $8 |
| Elieser Hernandez RP | MIA | 5% | 7% | 2% | $7 |
| Drew Smyly SP | PHI | 8% | 25% | 17% | $18 |
| Joe Jimenez RP | DET | 8% | 17% | 9% | $10 |
| Giovanny Gallegos RP | STL | 9% | 12% | 3% | $7 |
| Dustin May SP | LAD | 11% | 54% | 43% | $79 |
| Archie Bradley RP | ARI | 11% | 24% | 13% | $14 |
| Seth Lugo RP | NYM | 11% | 17% | 6% | $11 |
| Jaime Barria SP | LAA | 13% | 27% | 14% | $25 |
| Aaron Sanchez SP | HOU | 15% | 29% | 14% | $26 |
| Cal Quantrill SP | SD | 15% | 21% | 6% | $9 |
| Sean Manaea SP | OAK | 20% | 29% | 9% | $17 |
| Freddy Peralta SP | MIL | 20% | 24% | 4% | $8 |
| Asher Wojciechowski RP | BAL | 21% | 36% | 15% | $18 |
| Andrew Miller RP | STL | 22% | 24% | 2% | $8 |
| Scott Oberg RP | COL | 25% | 34% | 9% | $12 |
| Jason Vargas SP | PHI | 27% | 32% | 5% | $10 |
| Vince Velasquez SP | PHI | 28% | 40% | 12% | $16 |
| Gio Gonzalez SP | MIL | 30% | 33% | 3% | $10 |
| Jordan Lyles RP | MIL | 32% | 36% | 4% | $14 |
| Anthony DeSclafani SP | CIN | 38% | 41% | 3% | $11 |
| Alex Wood SP | CIN | 42% | 53% | 11% | $28 |
| Danny Salazar SP | CLE | 42% | 51% | 9% | $16 |
| Steven Matz SP | NYM | 45% | 59% | 14% | $23 |
| Julio Urias RP | LAD | 47% | 50% | 3% | $13 |
| Chris Bassitt SP | OAK | 49% | 55% | 6% | $16 |
2019 Week 19 FAAB Results
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (38) |
|---|---|---|
| Willie Calhoun | $42 | 11 |
| Will Smith | $34 | 33 |
| Nick Anderson | $20 | 13 |
| Ender Inciarte | $20 | 23 |
| Bubba Starling | $16 | 5 |
| Vince Velasquez | $16 | 5 |
| Andrew Cashner | $15 | 7 |
| Stephen Piscotty | $15 | 5 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | $15 | 5 |
| Asher Wojciechowski | $13 | 16 |
| Chris Martin | $12 | 18 |
| Albert Pujols | $12 | 5 |
| J.D. Davis | $11 | 15 |
| Mitch Moreland | $11 | 6 |
| Drew Smyly | $10 | 10 |
| Delino DeShields | $10 | 6 |
| Trevor Williams | $10 | 5 |
| Yoan Lopez | $9 | 29 |
| Josh VanMeter | $9 | 34 |
| Ian Happ | $8 | 14 |
| Luis Arraez | $8 | 14 |
| Joe Jimenez | $8 | 5 |
| Pablo Lopez | $7 | 5 |
| Sam Dyson | $7 | 5 |
| Danny Salazar | $6 | 7 |
| Cal Quantrill | $6 | 6 |
| Gio Urshela | $6 | 10 |
| Adam Duvall | $6 | 27 |
| Nick Pivetta | $6 | 5 |
| Yairo Munoz | $6 | 13 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | $5 | 8 |
| Austin Nola | $5 | 31 |
| Freddy Peralta | $5 | 11 |
| Jaime Barria | $5 | 20 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano | $4 | 17 |
| Elieser Hernandez | $4 | 22 |
| Tim Beckham | $4 | 5 |
| Yonder Alonso | $4 | 7 |
| Archie Bradley | $4 | 9 |
| Mike Tauchman | $4 | 11 |
| Adrian Houser | $4 | 6 |
| Pedro Severino | $4 | 12 |
| Garrett Hampson | $3 | 8 |
| Seth Lugo | $3 | 19 |
| Michael Lorenzen | $3 | 11 |
| Brandon Crawford | $3 | 12 |
| Pablo Sandoval | $3 | 13 |
| Conner Menez | $3 | 8 |
| Andrew Miller | $3 | 8 |
| Ariel Jurado | $2 | 5 |
| Andres Munoz | $2 | 8 |
| Jarlin Garcia | $2 | 7 |
| Greg Allen | $2 | 8 |
| Aaron Sanchez | $2 | 14 |
| Keone Kela | $2 | 5 |
| Daniel Norris | $2 | 8 |
| Austin Romine | $2 | 8 |
| Matt Wieters | $2 | 6 |
| Pedro Payano | $2 | 5 |
| Stephen Vogt | $2 | 7 |
| Jose Suarez | $2 | 10 |
| Tucker Barnhart | $2 | 10 |
| Yasmany Tomas | $2 | 5 |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Thanks for doing this and godspeed