Week 12 FAAB Projections
I feel the fantasy baseball season is at the part of the season where few “new” call-ups happen. Instead, it’s players we’ve already known about coming into and out of playing time. Garrett Cooper has been around for a couple of weeks but just now he’s seeing his ownership jump. I’ve noticed many of the movers are on 2nd or 3rd division teams. Owners are a little slow at knowing how the playing time shakes out on these sub-.500 teams. Bargains can be found in them.
The guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
---|---|---|---|---|
Myles Straw RF | HOU | 2% | 11% | 9% | $27 |
Brandon Dixon 1B | DET | 2% | 5% | 3% | $21 |
Garrett Cooper LF | MIA | 3% | 22% | 19% | $50 |
Adam Haseley CF | PHI | 3% | 8% | 5% | $22 |
Derek Fisher LF | HOU | 3% | 7% | 4% | $22 |
Dominic Smith 1B | NYM | 4% | 8% | 4% | $22 |
Pedro Severino C | BAL | 5% | 11% | 6% | $24 |
Matt Wieters C | STL | 5% | 10% | 5% | $23 |
Colin Moran 3B | PIT | 6% | 13% | 7% | $25 |
Delino DeShields CF | TEX | 6% | 10% | 4% | $22 |
Chance Sisco C | BAL | 6% | 10% | 4% | $22 |
Elias Diaz C | PIT | 7% | 21% | 14% | $38 |
Harold Ramirez RF | MIA | 8% | 12% | 4% | $23 |
David Bote 3B | CHC | 8% | 11% | 3% | $22 |
Orlando Arcia SS | MIL | 14% | 23% | 9% | $32 |
Tony Wolters C | COL | 14% | 16% | 2% | $23 |
Addison Russell SS | CHC | 16% | 19% | 3% | $25 |
Albert Pujols 1B | LAA | 19% | 23% | 4% | $27 |
Ramon Laureano CF | OAK | 26% | 33% | 7% | $36 |
Bryan Reynolds CF | PIT | 27% | 47% | 20% | $72 |
Luis Urias 2B | SD | 29% | 33% | 4% | $33 |
Brandon Belt 1B | SF | 30% | 32% | 2% | $32 |
Kevin Kiermaier CF | TB | 32% | 36% | 4% | $36 |
Jay Bruce RF | PHI | 33% | 69% | 36% | $163 |
Niko Goodrum 2B | DET | 33% | 43% | 10% | $48 |
Scott Kingery SS | PHI | 36% | 44% | 8% | $46 |
Josh Reddick RF | HOU | 36% | 39% | 3% | $38 |
Howie Kendrick 2B | WAS | 38% | 47% | 9% | $51 |
Renato Nunez 3B | BAL | 43% | 61% | 18% | $84 |
Christian Walker 1B | ARI | 46% | 50% | 4% | $49 |
Jorge Alfaro C | MIA | 49% | 66% | 17% | $89 |
Mallex Smith CF | SEA | 50% | 57% | 7% | $60 |
- Jay Bruce: He gets the big ownership bump (+36%) but I’m not sure why. He’s likely still in a part-time role. With this much excitement surrounding him, just pass and pick him up off the waiver wire in two weeks for a $1.
- Bryan Reynolds: He should be owned in every league. There is no reason to own Bruce if Reynolds is still on the wire.
- Garrett Cooper: IMO, Cooper should also be owned before Bruce based solely on Cooper playing every day. Get him this week before his price jumps to the Reynolds level.
- Delino DeShields: With Joey Gallo hurt, he is almost starting every day in center field. His stolen base potential means he must be owned in all Roto leagues.
- Elias Diaz: Any catcher hitting near .300 should be owned.
- Brandon Belt, Kevin Kiermaier, Niko Goodrum, Scott Kingery, Josh Reddick, Howie Kendrick, Renato Nunez, and Christian Walker: I’m seeing some regulars starting to hit the waiver wire. Fantasy owners need to not overlook them as a few will heat up and become productive. Boring can be good.
Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
---|---|---|---|---|
Framber Valdez SP | HOU | 2% | 21% | 19% | $32 |
Peter Lambert SP | COL | 2% | 19% | 17% | $29 |
Steven Brault RP | PIT | 2% | 4% | 2% | $19 |
Adrian Sampson SP | TEX | 4% | 14% | 10% | $22 |
Ariel Jurado SP | TEX | 5% | 17% | 12% | $24 |
Jason Vargas SP | NYM | 5% | 12% | 7% | $20 |
Shaun Anderson SP | SF | 7% | 9% | 2% | $19 |
Dinelson Lamet SP | SD | 9% | 11% | 2% | $19 |
Zach Plesac SP | CLE | 12% | 44% | 32% | $60 |
Brandon Workman RP | BOS | 12% | 15% | 3% | $33 |
Jon Duplantier SP | ARI | 16% | 25% | 9% | $23 |
Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 19% | 29% | 10% | $24 |
Anibal Sanchez SP | WAS | 20% | 37% | 17% | $32 |
Chase Anderson SP | MIL | 21% | 45% | 24% | $44 |
Taylor Rogers RP | MIN | 21% | 30% | 9% | $42 |
Merrill Kelly SP | ARI | 25% | 27% | 2% | $20 |
Devin Smeltzer SP | MIN | 26% | 36% | 10% | $25 |
Jose Urena SP | MIA | 26% | 31% | 5% | $22 |
Mike Leake SP | SEA | 26% | 31% | 5% | $22 |
Jake Junis SP | KC | 29% | 34% | 5% | $22 |
Dakota Hudson RP | STL | 32% | 53% | 21% | $42 |
John Gant SP | STL | 32% | 39% | 7% | $24 |
Adam Wainwright SP | STL | 32% | 37% | 5% | $23 |
Pablo Lopez SP | MIA | 33% | 41% | 8% | $25 |
Trevor Richards SP | MIA | 38% | 47% | 9% | $27 |
Shawn Kelley RP | TEX | 39% | 42% | 3% | $40 |
Eric Lauer SP | SD | 41% | 55% | 14% | $33 |
John Means RP | BAL | 42% | 49% | 7% | $27 |
Sergio Romo RP | MIA | 42% | 45% | 3% | $41 |
Hansel Robles RP | LAA | 43% | 46% | 3% | $41 |
Nick Pivetta SP | PHI | 47% | 62% | 15% | $37 |
Jerad Eickhoff RP | PHI | 47% | 50% | 3% | $25 |
Alex Reyes SP | STL | 48% | 61% | 13% | $34 |
Mike Fiers SP | OAK | 49% | 51% | 2% | $26 |
- Last week, owners had to decide about rostering Zach Plesac based on one MLB start. Now he has three starts and his cost has jumped.
- If a pitcher was going to get the label as token replacement pitcher, it’s Chase Anderson. He seems to be rostered and dropped every week.
- Dakotah Hudson gets the powder puff schedule this week with games at the Marlins and Mets.
Reliever Rankings
- Hansel Robles
- Sergio Romo
- Shawn Kelly
- Taylor Rogers
- Brandon Workman
Add | Avg Bid | Count (38 leagues) |
---|---|---|
Zach Plesac | $55 | 38 |
Christian Walker | $49 | 6 |
Myles Straw | $44 | 35 |
Devin Smeltzer | $43 | 36 |
Orlando Arcia | $41 | 7 |
Mike Zunino | $37 | 11 |
Howie Kendrick | $31 | 9 |
Jose Urena | $29 | 6 |
Anibal Sanchez | $29 | 21 |
Addison Russell | $27 | 23 |
Danny Santana | $25 | 6 |
Jon Duplantier | $23 | 18 |
Shaun Anderson | $21 | 6 |
Chase Anderson | $21 | 11 |
Garrett Hampson | $20 | 15 |
John Gant | $18 | 25 |
Garrett Cooper | $18 | 23 |
CC Sabathia | $17 | 5 |
Derek Fisher | $17 | 19 |
Merrill Kelly | $16 | 13 |
Will Smith | $16 | 10 |
Colin Moran | $16 | 19 |
JaCoby Jones | $15 | 7 |
Delino DeShields | $15 | 12 |
Albert Pujols | $15 | 5 |
Tim Locastro | $15 | 16 |
Christin Stewart | $15 | 9 |
DJ Stewart | $14 | 13 |
Luis Urias | $14 | 5 |
Jakob Junis | $14 | 10 |
Ian Kennedy | $14 | 13 |
Cesar Puello | $13 | 13 |
Harold Ramirez | $13 | 17 |
Dom Smith | $13 | 17 |
Brandon Dixon | $12 | 15 |
Adrian Sampson | $12 | 5 |
Anthony Bass | $12 | 12 |
Mike Yastrzemski | $11 | 7 |
Sandy Alcantara | $11 | 6 |
Freddy Peralta | $11 | 12 |
Nate Lowe | $11 | 7 |
Greg Allen | $11 | 10 |
Matt Adams | $10 | 5 |
Todd Frazier | $10 | 7 |
Kevin Newman | $10 | 10 |
Emilio Pagan | $9 | 8 |
Dinelson Lamet | $9 | 16 |
Jose Iglesias | $9 | 6 |
Mitch Keller | $9 | 13 |
David Bote | $8 | 7 |
Ariel Jurado | $8 | 9 |
Aledmys Diaz | $8 | 7 |
Touki Toussaint | $8 | 11 |
Shawn Armstrong | $6 | 11 |
Matt Wieters | $6 | 24 |
Corbin Burnes | $5 | 9 |
Daniel Mengden | $4 | 7 |
Curt Casali | $4 | 8 |
John Hicks | $4 | 5 |
Roberto Perez | $4 | 6 |
Jason Vargas | $3 | 10 |
Erick Fedde | $3 | 7 |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
With McCutchen out for the season and Herrera sidelined, Jay Bruce is likely to play every day.
Bruce played in 6 of 7 games before the trade, what has really changed besides he moved to a larger market team.
Better home stadium, but it’s not like it moves the needle That much
Who is going to play everyday over Bruce? Lol. They don’t even have minor league players who aren’t hurt.
Furthermore according to my calculations he is 96th in overall player rankings, and top 50 for hitters. He was rosterable even before this. And never wasn’t.