Week 12 FAAB Projections

by
June 8, 2019

I feel the fantasy baseball season is at the part of the season where few “new” call-ups happen. Instead, it’s players we’ve already known about coming into and out of playing time. Garrett Cooper has been around for a couple of weeks but just now he’s seeing his ownership jump. I’ve noticed many of the movers are on 2nd or 3rd division teams. Owners are a little slow at knowing how the playing time shakes out on these sub-.500 teams. Bargains can be found in them.

The guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

Week 12 Batter FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Myles Straw RF | HOU 2% 11% 9% $27
Brandon Dixon 1B | DET 2% 5% 3% $21
Garrett Cooper LF | MIA 3% 22% 19% $50
Adam Haseley CF | PHI 3% 8% 5% $22
Derek Fisher LF | HOU 3% 7% 4% $22
Dominic Smith 1B | NYM 4% 8% 4% $22
Pedro Severino C | BAL 5% 11% 6% $24
Matt Wieters C | STL 5% 10% 5% $23
Colin Moran 3B | PIT 6% 13% 7% $25
Delino DeShields CF | TEX 6% 10% 4% $22
Chance Sisco C | BAL 6% 10% 4% $22
Elias Diaz C | PIT 7% 21% 14% $38
Harold Ramirez RF | MIA 8% 12% 4% $23
David Bote 3B | CHC 8% 11% 3% $22
Orlando Arcia SS | MIL 14% 23% 9% $32
Tony Wolters C | COL 14% 16% 2% $23
Addison Russell SS | CHC 16% 19% 3% $25
Albert Pujols 1B | LAA 19% 23% 4% $27
Ramon Laureano CF | OAK 26% 33% 7% $36
Bryan Reynolds CF | PIT 27% 47% 20% $72
Luis Urias 2B | SD 29% 33% 4% $33
Brandon Belt 1B | SF 30% 32% 2% $32
Kevin Kiermaier CF | TB 32% 36% 4% $36
Jay Bruce RF | PHI 33% 69% 36% $163
Niko Goodrum 2B | DET 33% 43% 10% $48
Scott Kingery SS | PHI 36% 44% 8% $46
Josh Reddick RF | HOU 36% 39% 3% $38
Howie Kendrick 2B | WAS 38% 47% 9% $51
Renato Nunez 3B | BAL 43% 61% 18% $84
Christian Walker 1B | ARI 46% 50% 4% $49
Jorge Alfaro C | MIA 49% 66% 17% $89
Mallex Smith CF | SEA 50% 57% 7% $60
  • Jay Bruce: He gets the big ownership bump (+36%) but I’m not sure why. He’s likely still in a part-time role. With this much excitement surrounding him, just pass and pick him up off the waiver wire in two weeks for a $1.
  • Bryan Reynolds: He should be owned in every league. There is no reason to own Bruce if Reynolds is still on the wire.
  • Garrett Cooper: IMO, Cooper should also be owned before Bruce based solely on Cooper playing every day. Get him this week before his price jumps to the Reynolds level.
  • Delino DeShields: With Joey Gallo hurt, he is almost starting every day in center field. His stolen base potential means he must be owned in all Roto leagues.
  • Elias Diaz: Any catcher hitting near .300 should be owned.
  • Brandon Belt, Kevin Kiermaier, Niko Goodrum, Scott Kingery, Josh Reddick, Howie Kendrick, Renato Nunez, and Christian Walker: I’m seeing some regulars starting to hit the waiver wire. Fantasy owners need to not overlook them as a few will heat up and become productive. Boring can be good.
Week 12 Pitcher FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Framber Valdez SP | HOU 2% 21% 19% $32
Peter Lambert SP | COL 2% 19% 17% $29
Steven Brault RP | PIT 2% 4% 2% $19
Adrian Sampson SP | TEX 4% 14% 10% $22
Ariel Jurado SP | TEX 5% 17% 12% $24
Jason Vargas SP | NYM 5% 12% 7% $20
Shaun Anderson SP | SF 7% 9% 2% $19
Dinelson Lamet SP | SD 9% 11% 2% $19
Zach Plesac SP | CLE 12% 44% 32% $60
Brandon Workman RP | BOS 12% 15% 3% $33
Jon Duplantier SP | ARI 16% 25% 9% $23
Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA 19% 29% 10% $24
Anibal Sanchez SP | WAS 20% 37% 17% $32
Chase Anderson SP | MIL 21% 45% 24% $44
Taylor Rogers RP | MIN 21% 30% 9% $42
Merrill Kelly SP | ARI 25% 27% 2% $20
Devin Smeltzer SP | MIN 26% 36% 10% $25
Jose Urena SP | MIA 26% 31% 5% $22
Mike Leake SP | SEA 26% 31% 5% $22
Jake Junis SP | KC 29% 34% 5% $22
Dakota Hudson RP | STL 32% 53% 21% $42
John Gant SP | STL 32% 39% 7% $24
Adam Wainwright SP | STL 32% 37% 5% $23
Pablo Lopez SP | MIA 33% 41% 8% $25
Trevor Richards SP | MIA 38% 47% 9% $27
Shawn Kelley RP | TEX 39% 42% 3% $40
Eric Lauer SP | SD 41% 55% 14% $33
John Means RP | BAL 42% 49% 7% $27
Sergio Romo RP | MIA 42% 45% 3% $41
Hansel Robles RP | LAA 43% 46% 3% $41
Nick Pivetta SP | PHI 47% 62% 15% $37
Jerad Eickhoff RP | PHI 47% 50% 3% $25
Alex Reyes SP | STL 48% 61% 13% $34
Mike Fiers SP | OAK 49% 51% 2% $26
  • Last week, owners had to decide about rostering Zach Plesac based on one MLB start. Now he has three starts and his cost has jumped.
  • If a pitcher was going to get the label as token replacement pitcher, it’s Chase Anderson. He seems to be rostered and dropped every week.
  • Dakotah Hudson gets the powder puff schedule this week with games at the Marlins and Mets.

Reliever Rankings

  1. Hansel Robles
  2. Sergio Romo
  3. Shawn Kelly
  4. Taylor Rogers
  5. Brandon Workman
2019 Week 11 FAAB Results
Add Avg Bid Count (38 leagues)
Zach Plesac $55 38
Christian Walker $49 6
Myles Straw $44 35
Devin Smeltzer $43 36
Orlando Arcia $41 7
Mike Zunino $37 11
Howie Kendrick $31 9
Jose Urena $29 6
Anibal Sanchez $29 21
Addison Russell $27 23
Danny Santana $25 6
Jon Duplantier $23 18
Shaun Anderson $21 6
Chase Anderson $21 11
Garrett Hampson $20 15
John Gant $18 25
Garrett Cooper $18 23
CC Sabathia $17 5
Derek Fisher $17 19
Merrill Kelly $16 13
Will Smith $16 10
Colin Moran $16 19
JaCoby Jones $15 7
Delino DeShields $15 12
Albert Pujols $15 5
Tim Locastro $15 16
Christin Stewart $15 9
DJ Stewart $14 13
Luis Urias $14 5
Jakob Junis $14 10
Ian Kennedy $14 13
Cesar Puello $13 13
Harold Ramirez $13 17
Dom Smith $13 17
Brandon Dixon $12 15
Adrian Sampson $12 5
Anthony Bass $12 12
Mike Yastrzemski $11 7
Sandy Alcantara $11 6
Freddy Peralta $11 12
Nate Lowe $11 7
Greg Allen $11 10
Matt Adams $10 5
Todd Frazier $10 7
Kevin Newman $10 10
Emilio Pagan $9 8
Dinelson Lamet $9 16
Jose Iglesias $9 6
Mitch Keller $9 13
David Bote $8 7
Ariel Jurado $8 9
Aledmys Diaz $8 7
Touki Toussaint $8 11
Shawn Armstrong $6 11
Matt Wieters $6 24
Corbin Burnes $5 9
Daniel Mengden $4 7
Curt Casali $4 8
John Hicks $4 5
Roberto Perez $4 6
Jason Vargas $3 10
Erick Fedde $3 7
2018 Week 12 FAAB Results
Name Avg Bid Count (34 leagues)
Hector Rondon $130 34
Joakim Soria $87 31
Kevin Kiermaier $60 17
Joc Pederson $59 6
Jake Bauers $48 28
Mike Montgomery $42 5
Avisail Garcia $38 13
Randal Grichuk $35 18
Steven Wright $34 25
Robert Gsellman $30 18
Anthony Swarzak $28 9
Jason Heyward $28 5
Seth Lugo $23 7
Ivan Nova $22 7
Willy Adames $22 17
Archie Bradley $22 6
Sam Gaviglio $21 21
Adam Plutko $19 20
Hunter Renfroe $18 13
Kirby Yates $17 12
Alen Hanson $16 6
Jesse Winker $16 14
Jordan Hicks $16 23
Chaz Roe $15 9
Dylan Covey $15 21
Jon Jay $15 5
Nick Ahmed $14 9
Derek Dietrich $14 5
Ketel Marte $13 6
Chris Stratton $12 6
Shelby Miller $12 14
Charlie Culberson $12 9
Jose Fernandez $12 13
Wade LeBlanc $11 11
Pablo Sandoval $9 8
Lonnie Chisenhall $9 15
Brent Suter $8 11
Lewis Brinson $8 5
Jorge Polanco $8 6
Anibal Sanchez $8 9
Kevan Smith $7 7
Marco Estrada $7 7
Danny Valencia $7 7
Jared Hughes $7 6
Aledmys Diaz $7 13
Jose Iglesias $6 5
Greg Allen $6 7
Blaine Hardy $5 5
Cory Spangenberg $4 7
Curtis Granderson $4 6
Mike Fiers $3 10
Andrew Suarez $2 6





 

Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

13 Comments
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Jimmember
4 years ago

With McCutchen out for the season and Herrera sidelined, Jay Bruce is likely to play every day.

4
Jeff Zimmermanmember
4 years ago
Reply to  Jim

Bruce played in 6 of 7 games before the trade, what has really changed besides he moved to a larger market team.

-5
OddBall Herrera
4 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

Better home stadium, but it’s not like it moves the needle That much

2
cartermember
4 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

Who is going to play everyday over Bruce? Lol. They don’t even have minor league players who aren’t hurt.

2
cartermember
4 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

Furthermore according to my calculations he is 96th in overall player rankings, and top 50 for hitters. He was rosterable even before this. And never wasn’t.

3