Week 10 FAAB Projections

May 25, 2019

I’m dragging right since I’m been dealing with groundwater flooding in my basement. The analysis will be short to non-existent. I will provide the projected FAAB values along with last week’s bids and the bids from a year ago.

The guidelines:

The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

Week-10 Hitter FAAB Projections

Name	Previous Ownership%	Current Ownership%	Change%	Cost
Luis Arraez 2B \| MIN	1%	4%	3%	$23
Kevin Cron 3B \| ARI	2%	22%	20%	$55
Jake Marisnick CF \| HOU	2%	5%	3%	$23
Josh Naylor LF \| SD	3%	9%	6%	$25
Stevie Wilkerson 2B \| BAL	3%	7%	4%	$24
Bryan Reynolds CF \| PIT	4%	9%	5%	$25
Albert Almora CF \| CHC	6%	16%	10%	$32
Tony Wolters C \| COL	7%	10%	3%	$24
Logan Forsythe 2B \| TEX	9%	16%	7%	$28
Cavan Biggio 2B \| TOR	16%	43%	27%	$93
Rowdy Tellez 1B \| TOR	16%	20%	4%	$28
Jarrod Dyson CF \| ARI	19%	25%	6%	$32
Jason Castro C \| MIN	21%	35%	14%	$49
Gio Urshela 3B \| NYY	22%	29%	7%	$35
Kyle Seager 3B \| SEA	23%	30%	7%	$36
Howie Kendrick 2B \| WAS	23%	27%	4%	$31
Scott Kingery SS \| PHI	24%	30%	6%	$35
Nicky Lopez SS \| KC	26%	40%	14%	$54
Oscar Mercado CF \| CLE	26%	29%	3%	$32
Josh Reddick RF \| HOU	34%	38%	4%	$39
David Fletcher 2B \| LAA	36%	39%	3%	$40
Willie Calhoun LF \| TEX	37%	53%	16%	$71
Marwin Gonzalez LF \| MIN	37%	49%	12%	$59
Kyle Tucker LF \| HOU	37%	41%	4%	$42
C.J. Cron DH \| MIN	43%	70%	27%	$127
Hunter Pence LF \| TEX	45%	56%	11%	$66
Christian Vazquez C \| BOS	48%	57%	9%	$64

Cavan Biggio should go for around 10% of FAAB. Maybe some owners who missed out last week will pay up for him.

With the next highest cost is Kevin Cron at $50 to $60.

Week-10 Pitcher FAAB Projections

Name	Previous Ownership%	Current Ownership%	Change%	Cost
Ryan Weber RP \| BOS	0%	2%	2%	$21
Scott Oberg RP \| COL	1%	20%	19%	$65
Andrew Suarez SP \| SF	1%	4%	3%	$21
Ariel Jurado SP \| TEX	1%	2%	1%	$20
Erick Fedde SP \| WAS	2%	7%	5%	$21
Taylor Clarke SP \| ARI	2%	5%	3%	$21
Adam Plutko SP \| CLE	3%	13%	10%	$24
Anthony Kay SP \| NYM	3%	7%	4%	$21
Daniel Mengden SP \| OAK	5%	11%	6%	$22
Shaun Anderson SP \| SF	5%	9%	4%	$21
Amir Garrett RP \| CIN	6%	9%	3%	$37
Ryan Yarbrough RP \| TB	8%	16%	8%	$23
Brandon Workman RP \| BOS	8%	11%	3%	$37
Marcus Walden RP \| BOS	13%	21%	8%	$24
Sandy Alcantara SP \| MIA	14%	20%	6%	$23
Jose Urena SP \| MIA	15%	17%	2%	$21
Lance Lynn SP \| TEX	23%	54%	31%	$62
Sean Newcomb SP \| ATL	24%	32%	8%	$45
Trevor Richards SP \| MIA	26%	30%	4%	$23
Ryan Pressly RP \| HOU	26%	28%	2%	$39
Tyler Mahle SP \| CIN	27%	43%	16%	$34
Dakota Hudson RP \| STL	27%	28%	1%	$23
Steve Cishek RP \| CHC	28%	38%	10%	$50
Pablo Lopez SP \| MIA	29%	32%	3%	$24
Shawn Kelley RP \| TEX	29%	32%	3%	$41
Hansel Robles RP \| LAA	30%	43%	13%	$57
Sergio Romo RP \| MIA	30%	33%	3%	$41
Alex Reyes SP \| STL	30%	32%	2%	$23
Mike Leake SP \| SEA	33%	35%	2%	$24
Michael Pineda SP \| MIN	39%	47%	8%	$29
Diego Castillo RP \| TB	43%	45%	2%	$45
Gio Gonzalez SP \| MIL	45%	62%	17%	$41

Scott Orberg will be closing in Colorado and he’s worth an add in deeper leagues.

What a boring week with Lance Lynn projecting for the second highest bid.

2019 Week 9 FAAB Bids

Name	Cost	Count
Austin Riley	$348	38
Keston Hiura	$247	33
Willie Calhoun	$193	38
Brendan Rodgers	$170	36
Corbin Martin	$157	38
Nicky Lopez	$156	38
Oscar Mercado	$89	38
Scott Kingery	$66	5
Kyle Seager	$44	16
Gio Urshela	$42	16
Cole Irvin	$33	29
Roenis Elias	$31	7
Jordan Luplow	$30	25
Jason Castro	$29	26
Chad Pinder	$29	7
Shaun Anderson	$27	37
Chase Anderson	$26	13
Shawn Kelley	$26	6
Jason Kipnis	$25	12
Brandon Workman	$25	21
Hunter Strickland	$24	13
Bryan Reynolds	$24	11
Dexter Fowler	$23	5
J.P. Crawford	$23	7
Corey Kluber	$23	5
Josh James	$22	7
Freddy Galvis	$22	6
Danny Jansen	$21	5
J.D. Davis	$20	12
Stevie Wilkerson	$20	17
Dakota Hudson	$20	6
Sandy Alcantara	$18	17
Daniel Mengden	$17	17
Tim Beckham	$17	7
Melky Cabrera	$16	8
Danny Santana	$16	5
Erick Fedde	$15	25
Logan Forsythe	$14	19
Cole Tucker	$13	5
Jose Iglesias	$13	6
Nathan Eovaldi	$12	13
Mike Leake	$12	11
Tony Wolters	$12	6
Albert Almora Jr.	$11	18
Marcus Walden	$11	7
Brett Anderson	$11	12
Scott Barlow	$11	10
Elias Diaz	$10	18
Luis Urias	$10	6
Kendrys Morales	$10	23
Jake Marisnick	$10	14
Pablo Sandoval	$9	13
Rio Ruiz	$9	5
Blake Swihart	$8	5
Lance Lynn	$7	5
Daniel Norris	$7	8
Carson Kelly	$6	11
Welington Castillo	$6	6
Addison Russell	$6	5
Ian Kinsler	$6	5
Collin McHugh	$6	5
Renato Nunez	$6	6
Jeremy Hellickson	$5	5
Roberto Perez	$4	10
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	$2	5

2018 Week 10 FAAB Bids

Add	Avg Big	Count
Juan Soto	$340	34
Tyler O’Neill	$131	5
Jose Alvarado	$119	29
Ryan Tepera	$103	14
Brandon Nimmo	$52	5
Seung-Hwan Oh	$44	10
Nathan Eovaldi	$44	6
Jose Pirela	$43	5
Paul DeJong	$36	6
Jared Hughes	$35	33
Chaz Roe	$34	10
Ryan McMahon	$33	22
Willy Adames	$32	6
Carlos Rodon	$32	11
Carlos Gomez	$30	9
Mark Reynolds	$28	11
Blake Swihart	$27	11
Ben Gamel	$26	6
Brad Miller	$25	5
Edgar Santana	$25	25
Ronald Guzman	$25	21
Melky Cabrera	$24	10
Tony Kemp	$23	25
Adam Plutko	$23	24
Ryan Yarbrough	$23	13
Daniel Palka	$19	13
Eric Thames	$19	5
Preston Tucker	$19	9
Chad Pinder	$19	6
Anthony DeSclafani	$18	5
Lance Lynn	$18	9
Richard Rodriguez	$18	18
Nick Tropeano	$18	10
Jose Rondon	$17	9
Michael Feliz	$17	13
Daniel Gossett	$17	10
Martin Maldonado	$16	6
Max Muncy	$16	6
Matt Koch	$15	6
Brent Suter	$15	6
Wade LeBlanc	$14	9
Sam Gaviglio	$14	5
Gorkys Hernandez	$14	24
Daniel Robertson	$14	6
Max Stassi	$13	12
Adam Engel	$12	16
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	$12	9
Joe Jimenez	$11	5
Wilmer Difo	$11	6
Joe Panik	$8	7
Tyler Saladino	$8	7
Seth Lugo	$8	8
Wei-Yin Chen	$8	10
J.R. Murphy	$7	8
Guillermo Heredia	$7	8
Derek Dietrich	$6	7
Christian Vazquez	$6	5
Jose Iglesias	$6	5
Clayton Richard	$5	8
Austin Romine	$4	5
Nick Hundley	$3	7
Luke Maile	$2	5