Week 10 FAAB Projections

I’m dragging right since I’m been dealing with groundwater flooding in my basement.  The analysis will be short to non-existent. I will provide the projected FAAB values along with last week’s bids and the bids from a year ago.

The guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

 

Week-10 Hitter FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Luis Arraez 2B | MIN 1% 4% 3% $23
Kevin Cron 3B | ARI 2% 22% 20% $55
Jake Marisnick CF | HOU 2% 5% 3% $23
Josh Naylor LF | SD 3% 9% 6% $25
Stevie Wilkerson 2B | BAL 3% 7% 4% $24
Bryan Reynolds CF | PIT 4% 9% 5% $25
Albert Almora CF | CHC 6% 16% 10% $32
Tony Wolters C | COL 7% 10% 3% $24
Logan Forsythe 2B | TEX 9% 16% 7% $28
Cavan Biggio 2B | TOR 16% 43% 27% $93
Rowdy Tellez 1B | TOR 16% 20% 4% $28
Jarrod Dyson CF | ARI 19% 25% 6% $32
Jason Castro C | MIN 21% 35% 14% $49
Gio Urshela 3B | NYY 22% 29% 7% $35
Kyle Seager 3B | SEA 23% 30% 7% $36
Howie Kendrick 2B | WAS 23% 27% 4% $31
Scott Kingery SS | PHI 24% 30% 6% $35
Nicky Lopez SS | KC 26% 40% 14% $54
Oscar Mercado CF | CLE 26% 29% 3% $32
Josh Reddick RF | HOU 34% 38% 4% $39
David Fletcher 2B | LAA 36% 39% 3% $40
Willie Calhoun LF | TEX 37% 53% 16% $71
Marwin Gonzalez LF | MIN 37% 49% 12% $59
Kyle Tucker LF | HOU 37% 41% 4% $42
C.J. Cron DH | MIN 43% 70% 27% $127
Hunter Pence LF | TEX 45% 56% 11% $66
Christian Vazquez C | BOS 48% 57% 9% $64

 

Cavan Biggio should go for around 10% of FAAB. Maybe some owners who missed out last week will pay up for him.

With the next highest cost is Kevin Cron at $50 to $60.

Week-10 Pitcher FAAB Projections
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost
Ryan Weber RP | BOS 0% 2% 2% $21
Scott Oberg RP | COL 1% 20% 19% $65
Andrew Suarez SP | SF 1% 4% 3% $21
Ariel Jurado SP | TEX 1% 2% 1% $20
Erick Fedde SP | WAS 2% 7% 5% $21
Taylor Clarke SP | ARI 2% 5% 3% $21
Adam Plutko SP | CLE 3% 13% 10% $24
Anthony Kay SP | NYM 3% 7% 4% $21
Daniel Mengden SP | OAK 5% 11% 6% $22
Shaun Anderson SP | SF 5% 9% 4% $21
Amir Garrett RP | CIN 6% 9% 3% $37
Ryan Yarbrough RP | TB 8% 16% 8% $23
Brandon Workman RP | BOS 8% 11% 3% $37
Marcus Walden RP | BOS 13% 21% 8% $24
Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA 14% 20% 6% $23
Jose Urena SP | MIA 15% 17% 2% $21
Lance Lynn SP | TEX 23% 54% 31% $62
Sean Newcomb SP | ATL 24% 32% 8% $45
Trevor Richards SP | MIA 26% 30% 4% $23
Ryan Pressly RP | HOU 26% 28% 2% $39
Tyler Mahle SP | CIN 27% 43% 16% $34
Dakota Hudson RP | STL 27% 28% 1% $23
Steve Cishek RP | CHC 28% 38% 10% $50
Pablo Lopez SP | MIA 29% 32% 3% $24
Shawn Kelley RP | TEX 29% 32% 3% $41
Hansel Robles RP | LAA 30% 43% 13% $57
Sergio Romo RP | MIA 30% 33% 3% $41
Alex Reyes SP | STL 30% 32% 2% $23
Mike Leake SP | SEA 33% 35% 2% $24
Michael Pineda SP | MIN 39% 47% 8% $29
Diego Castillo RP | TB 43% 45% 2% $45
Gio Gonzalez SP | MIL 45% 62% 17% $41

Scott Orberg will be closing in Colorado and he’s worth an add in deeper leagues.

What a boring week with Lance Lynn projecting for the second highest bid.

2019 Week 9 FAAB Bids
Name Cost Count
Austin Riley $348 38
Keston Hiura $247 33
Willie Calhoun $193 38
Brendan Rodgers $170 36
Corbin Martin $157 38
Nicky Lopez $156 38
Oscar Mercado $89 38
Scott Kingery $66 5
Kyle Seager $44 16
Gio Urshela $42 16
Cole Irvin $33 29
Roenis Elias $31 7
Jordan Luplow $30 25
Jason Castro $29 26
Chad Pinder $29 7
Shaun Anderson $27 37
Chase Anderson $26 13
Shawn Kelley $26 6
Jason Kipnis $25 12
Brandon Workman $25 21
Hunter Strickland $24 13
Bryan Reynolds $24 11
Dexter Fowler $23 5
J.P. Crawford $23 7
Corey Kluber $23 5
Josh James $22 7
Freddy Galvis $22 6
Danny Jansen $21 5
J.D. Davis $20 12
Stevie Wilkerson $20 17
Dakota Hudson $20 6
Sandy Alcantara $18 17
Daniel Mengden $17 17
Tim Beckham $17 7
Melky Cabrera $16 8
Danny Santana $16 5
Erick Fedde $15 25
Logan Forsythe $14 19
Cole Tucker $13 5
Jose Iglesias $13 6
Nathan Eovaldi $12 13
Mike Leake $12 11
Tony Wolters $12 6
Albert Almora Jr. $11 18
Marcus Walden $11 7
Brett Anderson $11 12
Scott Barlow $11 10
Elias Diaz $10 18
Luis Urias $10 6
Kendrys Morales $10 23
Jake Marisnick $10 14
Pablo Sandoval $9 13
Rio Ruiz $9 5
Blake Swihart $8 5
Lance Lynn $7 5
Daniel Norris $7 8
Carson Kelly $6 11
Welington Castillo $6 6
Addison Russell $6 5
Ian Kinsler $6 5
Collin McHugh $6 5
Renato Nunez $6 6
Jeremy Hellickson $5 5
Roberto Perez $4 10
Isiah Kiner-Falefa $2 5

 

2018 Week 10 FAAB Bids
Add Avg Big Count
Juan Soto $340 34
Tyler O’Neill $131 5
Jose Alvarado $119 29
Ryan Tepera $103 14
Brandon Nimmo $52 5
Seung-Hwan Oh $44 10
Nathan Eovaldi $44 6
Jose Pirela $43 5
Paul DeJong $36 6
Jared Hughes $35 33
Chaz Roe $34 10
Ryan McMahon $33 22
Willy Adames $32 6
Carlos Rodon $32 11
Carlos Gomez $30 9
Mark Reynolds $28 11
Blake Swihart $27 11
Ben Gamel $26 6
Brad Miller $25 5
Edgar Santana $25 25
Ronald Guzman $25 21
Melky Cabrera $24 10
Tony Kemp $23 25
Adam Plutko $23 24
Ryan Yarbrough $23 13
Daniel Palka $19 13
Eric Thames $19 5
Preston Tucker $19 9
Chad Pinder $19 6
Anthony DeSclafani $18 5
Lance Lynn $18 9
Richard Rodriguez $18 18
Nick Tropeano $18 10
Jose Rondon $17 9
Michael Feliz $17 13
Daniel Gossett $17 10
Martin Maldonado $16 6
Max Muncy $16 6
Matt Koch $15 6
Brent Suter $15 6
Wade LeBlanc $14 9
Sam Gaviglio $14 5
Gorkys Hernandez $14 24
Daniel Robertson $14 6
Max Stassi $13 12
Adam Engel $12 16
Isiah Kiner-Falefa $12 9
Joe Jimenez $11 5
Wilmer Difo $11 6
Joe Panik $8 7
Tyler Saladino $8 7
Seth Lugo $8 8
Wei-Yin Chen $8 10
J.R. Murphy $7 8
Guillermo Heredia $7 8
Derek Dietrich $6 7
Christian Vazquez $6 5
Jose Iglesias $6 5
Clayton Richard $5 8
Austin Romine $4 5
Nick Hundley $3 7
Luke Maile $2 5

We hoped you liked reading Week 10 FAAB Projections by Jeff Zimmerman!

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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Oberg and Colorado. Now go take care of that flood!