Waiver Wire: March 21st

The regular season has yet to begin, but let’s take a look at two players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo! leagues…

Logan Morrison | OF | 48% owned

LoMo’s second half cameo with the Marlins was as productive as it gets, a .283/.390/.447 (.369 wOBA) line with 20 doubles, seven triples, and just two homers in 287 PA while learning a new position (LF). Morrison suffered a fractured wrist during the 2009 season, an injury that traditionally saps power for twelve months or so, but in Triple-A last year he posted a solid .181 ISO. A few years ago he put together a .216 ISO with 24 homers, so the ability is there. His highest value comes in OBP leagues, though he could be in for a very Gaby Sanchez-esque year, meaning a solid AVG, double-digit homers, and 80 or so runs driven in. That’s nothing special for a first baseman, but it’s solid production for a third outfielder or bench piece for your fantasy team, plus Morrison has the talent for much more. The projection systems we have here on the site all call for a ~.280 AVG, ~.370 OBP, and ~.155 ISO.

Jonathon Niese | SP | 24% owned

This 24-year-old southpaw was one of the few bright spots for the Mets last year, producing a 4.10 FIP (4.20 ERA) with a 47.7% ground ball rate in 173.2 IP. He was fantastic for a 17-start stretch in the middle of the summer (3.28 ERA, ~3.80 FIP), a stretch that started after a DL stint (hammy strain) and ended after he eclipsed his IP total from the year before. Niese missed bats at a slightly above-average rate (8.4%) and has consistently kept the ball on the ground, two traits that should keep him from being a disaster at the very least. He’s not an every start kind of guy, but rather a fifth or sixth fantasy starter that you insert into the lineup when he’s pitching at spacious CitiField and/or has a favorable matchup. It really wouldn’t shouldn’t surprise anyone if Niese takes a step forward in his second full season as a big leaguer and puts up a sub-3.00 sub-4.00 ERA and FIP.

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Again, the season hasn’t started yet, so there’s no need to run out and start adding and dropping players before you see how they perform in meaningful games, but Morrison and Niese struck as me two players that should be owned in pretty much all 12-team leagues, especially NL-only setups.





Mike writes about the Yankees at River Ave. Blues and baseball in general at CBS Sports.

9 Comments
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jpjazzman
15 years ago

whoa whoa, Niese with a sub-3 ERA and FIP for the year? Are you really saying it wouldn’t be a surprise if he were one of the top ten pitchers in the league? I have him on my team and would be thrilled with that and everything, but you must mean sub-4, right?

Sean
15 years ago

Possible sub 3.00 ERA for Niese? That would surprise me if it happened.

Sean
15 years ago

Well at least that was a legitimate typo!

ESPN has the over/under on RA Dickey’s ERA at 3.00 in one of their previews. And they were were 100% serious!

adohaj
15 years ago

What about Daric Barton (2%) If you are in an OBP league he could be a quality lineup filler

Brad JohnsonMember
15 years ago
Reply to  adohaj

If you’re in an OBP league he can be a quality starting CI.

jaw
15 years ago

7×6 keeper league (full MLB, 12 teams, 25-man rosters, 7×6 roto scoring (5×5 categories plus OBP, SLG, HLD)), I waited a bit too long for 2B and got Chone Figgins. I’m looking for a little boost and/or a backup.

In your view, which of these guys currently on my waiver wire have the BEST CHANCE of EXCEEDING their current projections, with a particular eye to anyone with a decent chance of a little power (.450 SLG or 12+ HR?) or speed (15+ SB), without killing my OBP?

2B
Brett Lowrie (over/under 525 PA)?
Sean Rodriguez
Danny Espinosa
Eric Young, Jr. (over/under 525 PA)?

Alternatively, I could use a backup OF (I’ve got Torres out there in LF now, he’s a bit brittle). Here are the “top” WW options, in my view:

OF
Seth Smith
JD Drew
Coco Crisp
Fukudome
Byrd
H. Matsui
Matt Joyce
B. Boesch
Cust
Damon
Carlos Gomez

Thoughts appreciated.

jaw
15 years ago
Reply to  jaw

whoops – meant Jed Lowrie, obviously.

ryan p
15 years ago
Reply to  jaw

Sean Rodriguez could easily get you the 12 HR AND the 15 SB , and he had a BB% between 11-13% at AA & AAA so there is a chance he could improve on his weak major league rate.
As for LF , no real jems there, I’d probably take Coco- could go .285/.340 90/12/60/30 if he stays healthy, then Damon- still talks walks and hitting in front of Longo helps, then Byrd- OBP not great but will help in all the other stats and it helps that he’s slated to bat 3rd, he’s a really nice fa pool grab atm imo
(in a non OBP league I would probably take Bryd before Damon)