Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat (3/26/23)
10:48 |
: Hi, sorry for the early time today, but I’ll be drafting during the normal chat time.
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10:49 |
: As always, I will take WW and FAAB questions first.
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10:49 |
: What % of faab are we looking at for Schuster?
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10:51 |
: Depending league depth, I could see him going a decent penny.
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10:52 |
: A desperate manager who has several injuries could jump in and go to 10%, but I could see 1% to 4% work in most leagues.
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10:53 |
: Where would you rank Eflin in your Waiver Wire Report vs the pitchers listed?
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10:54 |
: Around Nick Martinez and Matt Boyd
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10:54 |
: Thoughts on Daric Hall?
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10:54 |
: He’s a baseball player …
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10:55 |
: David Robertson is available in my TGFBI league. What % FAAB do you think he’s worth?
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10:56 |
: Robertson is going around 185 in the Event, right after Jose LeClerc. I think it’s and easy $100, possibly more, especially for the managers who have lost a closer.
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10:56 |
: What are you doing with Oswald Peraza?
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10:57 |
: Looking at him on other teams. He’s either a cut for an upgrade or a hold over the first weekend and then re-evaluate.
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10:57 |
: Trying to decide whether to hang onto Alex Kirilloff and Bryan De La Cruz on a team where I’m hurting a bit at MI and OF.
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10:58 |
: Kiriloff is an easy dump, as for Cruz it all depends on the available options on the will
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10:58 |
: Think Minter or Jimenez gets the first crack at saves while Iglesias is down? Good luck drafting today!
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10:58 |
: I’d guess Minter but it’s like 60/40
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10:59 |
: My drafted 1B options in my 12 team 5×5 (OBP) head to head league are Cron, Myers, and Drury. Bleak, I know. Torkelson is on the waiver wire. Would you drop any of those other options for him? Saw some exit velocity and launch angle data from the spring that make him seem intriguing.
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10:59 |
: Myers is my choice (likely stream those options) since for the first weekend he’s at home against the Pirates.
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11:00 |
: Who do you prefer in an OPS Roto league Friedl or Lane Thomas? Also, how many ABs for Josh Lowe this season? Thanks!
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11:00 |
: I’d go with Lane Thomas and Josh Lowe won’t get enough AB’s to matter
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11:01 |
: In OC’s, do we like a week one bid in Josh Fleming? Believe he gets nationals matchup
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11:02 |
: Possibly if you have the spot. I look at my OC and want to hold my starters over him.
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11:02 |
: Is a healthy Sonny Gray a Top 50 SP this season?
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11:02 |
: No
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11:02 |
: S+H, how would you value a guy a like Vesia that should have good ratios, K’s, and be in the mix for holds vs. trying to find a potential season-long closer like Graterol or Fulmer?
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11:03 |
: I wrote this up in The Process. In leagues with S+H, just get the most talent pitcher. The numbers will come
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11:03 |
: What is Harper worth in a NL only 5×5/$260 considering I’ll have to stash him for an unknown time.
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11:04 |
: $10 … maybe. He’s not worth the hassle and lost $$$ for me
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11:04 |
: Fleming week 1 add?
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11:05 |
: Depends on your options. I don’t think he’s a good pitcher.
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11:05 |
: Where would you rank Brandon Marsh in the FAAB hitter list?
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11:06 |
: Near the top, he should almost be universally rostered.
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11:06 |
: Hello, Jeff. Who would you choose between Matz and Eflin? I like Matz but I’m scared he will face Braves. And where would you rank Canning if he is 6th starter.
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11:07 |
: Canning is worthless if he is the 6th starter except as a weekly streamer when his matchup is set. The team is going to 6 day, not 6-man rotation. If there is an off day in those 6 days, Canning will be skipped.
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11:08 |
: Who is the better pick up Schuster or Dodd? Are they fairly equal in value? Schuster seems set in the rotation. Are both up to stay or up and down all year?
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11:08 |
: I think Shuster has the edge because he got his start first.
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11:09 |
: I think Shuster will the longest
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11:09 |
: 14 team h2h keeper league- I need two starters: Dodd, clevinger, maeda, Bradish, a.wood, pepiot, hunter brown. Thanks Jeff
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11:09 |
: Brown and Pepiot
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11:10 |
Best MI options on the wire are probably O. Arcia, B. Turang, M. Rojas and below; best OF options are K. Carpenter, M. Vierling, K. Isbel, J. Lowe, H. Dozier, T. Larnach, and below. Am I holding for now, or do I drop one of them (and if so, for who and how much of my $100 FAAB)? |
11:11 |
: Those MI options are garbage but I’d take a shot on Turang. I would take all of the listed OF over Cruz
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11:11 |
: Will Alek Thomas get enough AB’s in a crowded OF to be fantasy relevant in 2023? Over/under 350 AB’s? Thanks!
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11:11 |
: Not enough plate appearances. Under
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11:11 |
: Cut any of the following: Flartety, Mahle, or Thor?
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11:11 |
: For what?
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11:12 |
: Just saw Ryan Nelson made the Dbacks rotation. You think he’d be a good team streamer in a standard roto 15 team league?
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11:14 |
: I have no desire for Nelson. Nothing there and was struggling in ST
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11:14 |
: I lost Polanco in please rank the following 2Bs: Segura, Rojas, Paredes, Massey and Hensley. Thanks!
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11:14 |
: Whoa, shallow league. Segura ……. Paredes, Massey ………………………………………………..Rojas
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11:15 |
: How’s Vierling’s PT look to you? Who would you keep between him and Will Benson?
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11:15 |
: I’d hold both
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11:15 |
: We just don’t know right now
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11:15 |
: Any under-owned relievers you like to plug in to try to steal a W or SV in the short first week?
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11:16 |
: I’m holding every bench spot to with starters to see who will break out. I’ll consider adding a MR in about a month
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11:16 |
: 14 team h2h keeper league need 2 pitchers from the list: dodd, h.brown, Bradish, maeda, clevinger, waldichuk, German
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11:16 |
: German and Brown
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11:16 |
: % for a free agent Schmidt or Manaea in 12 teamer?
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11:18 |
: Manaea? It might go crazy for either one, especially for teams who have lost someone.
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11:19 |
: I could see 10% depending on other options.
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11:19 |
: Any guesses on when Baty or Grissom are up?
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11:19 |
: No … no idea
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11:19 |
: Jameson a week 1 cut with him going to the bullpen as long as I don’t need the extra RP for the short week to field a full lineup?
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11:19 |
: Probably in most cases
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11:19 |
: Are you a believer in Josiah Gray, more of a streamer or worth a roster spot?
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11:20 |
: I’m going to watch from a distance. If I did have him, I’d bench him to see how he looks.
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11:21 |
: Who gets the saves in CHC and ARZ bullpens?
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11:21 |
: Cubs, leaning Fulmer, AZ, no idea
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11:21 |
: Would you look to add minter to drop mcgough? Would you try to add oswaldo Cabrera (of) to drop profar. 12 team leagues
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11:23 |
: No on Minter and probably on Profar.
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11:23 |
: Who is the first “top prospect” called up in the NL and AL? Barring
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11:23 |
: Ask a prospect guy, if I was to comment, I’d just be making shit up
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11:23 |
: Will Walker Buehler pitch this year? If not is he worth grabbing for next year?
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11:24 |
: Possibly a month as most and sure for next season.
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11:24 |
: Graham Ashcraft, Yusei Kikuchi, and Matthew Boyd have looked pretty good in spring training. Are you buying or selling their performance thus far? Do you think they are worth rostering and if so in what order?
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11:25 |
: All three are being rostered in 12-team or deeper leagues.
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11:26 |
: The question comes down to who you are replacing
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11:26 |
: Owner of O’Neill and Nootbaar. Should I be worried about their playing time, now that Walker made the team?
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11:27 |
: And Walker’s managers. Sounds like the four will rotate through DH spot. It will be like the Yankees last year when they had one too many IF to start the season.
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11:27 |
: If you had to choose one….shintaro fujinami or Mackenzie gore?
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11:27 |
: Fuji
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11:27 |
: Graveman, Estevez, or May for some early season saves?
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11:27 |
: I’m a May guy
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11:28 |
: Add Shuster and cut one: Thor, Mahle, Flarehty?
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11:28 |
: This is close but I’d do it with Flarehty
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11:29 |
: What is the FAAB bid range for Ashcraft in a 15-teamer?
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11:30 |
: 1% to 3%. Looks to be a streamer against weak teams. Tough home park
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11:30 |
: Any interest in holding Syndergaard? Was fun to hope for more velo in camp but without it not sure he has much upside.
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11:31 |
: Not really, he needs to step up
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11:31 |
: What’s the outlook on Trevor Rodgers?
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11:32 |
: I don’t know
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11:32 |
: Wait, I thought all your answers were mad up. That’s why I come for these.
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11:32 |
: Sorry to disappoint you
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11:32 |
: is carter the cf for tex at all star break>
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11:32 |
: No
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11:32 |
: name the KC outfield by end of season. thanks
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11:33 |
: I’m not sure KC wants to make this call. I bet it remains some rotation of guys
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11:33 |
: Puk or Floro for most saves in Florida? Bid amount for your choice?
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11:34 |
: I like Puch but I’m no sure, how about go with Puk% 1 to 3%
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11:34 |
: Is Ober worth stashing on 10-player bench in 15 teamer? With so many injury prone Twins SPs, seems like he’d get a shot sooner instead of later.
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11:35 |
: I wouldn’t and try to get a MLB pitcher off the wire
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11:35 |
: Do you read anything into veteran RPs with a “games finished” incentive clause their contracts? Ex. Smith (TEX) and Castro (ARI)
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11:35 |
: No, not at all.
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11:36 |
: BRB, getting a drink
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11:37 |
: Would you hold onto Peraza if you drafted him as a bench bat in a 15 team NFBC league for now to see how it shakes out?
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11:37 |
: I’d hold over this first weekend
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11:38 |
: It’s tough to see how it will work out. I think they should make a trade with the Dodgers for starting pitching
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11:38 |
: How much stock do you put into Josh Jung having a 3:7 BB:K ratio in 47 spring ABs
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11:38 |
: Not much, that seems about right
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11:39 |
: How high do you take Ohtani in daily leagues where he is a single human? Any different from your 5×5 ranking?
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11:39 |
: Where you can get hitting stats on days he’s not pitching, he’s easily the #1 player
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11:40 |
: Would drop Flaherty for E-Rod in a deep 12 team league? Flaherty smoked again
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11:40 |
: I would do that
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11:40 |
: It has come to this — Need to carb load SB in only league and only 2 left are Straw and Ruiz. Which one do I go the extra $ on?
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11:40 |
: Ruiz, I think he’ll have a longer leash if he struggles
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11:41 |
: Roto 5×5 – which one to replace Hoskins – Belt, Mancini or Carlos Santana. Are Belt and Santana platooning or full time players?
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11:42 |
: I think you need to stream this position with that week’s best option. Santana is in CIN this week, so I’d go with him
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11:42 |
: Do you think Oscar Colas will make the big league roster? Worth holding right now or taking a shot at Johny Brito (who looks great against a half ass TOR lineup today) for an extra bench spot?
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11:43 |
: It is about certain Colas makes the team
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11:44 |
: I’m passing on Brito. He seems to be on par with Michael Wacha
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11:45 |
: Pepoit or Shuster?
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11:45 |
: Pepoit for the Wins
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11:46 |
: In a league with only 10 FA moves allowed all season. Is Trevor Story worth using one of those moves to stash on the IL? Or is his future this season too murky to make that worthwhile?
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11:47 |
: I would pass for now but if it’s obvious he’s coming back, add him then
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11:47 |
: what % faab will it take to land me in an early drafted OC?
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11:48 |
: It’s going to be nuts, I’d not be surprised to see people go 20% or way more
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11:48 |
: What is Moreno worth FAAB in AZ? Seems he should snag the starter role (if healthy) or is he 50/50 ABs with Kelly!
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11:49 |
: Kelly is out, Moreno is almost a must add, possibly even in one C leagues
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11:49 |
: For really early drafters, how much FAAB on jordan walker?
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11:50 |
: If you don’t go 50% and lose, don’t be surprised.
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11:50 |
: Does Boyd get close to 200 Ks ?
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11:50 |
: I don’t think so
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11:50 |
: Hall or Moncada as a back up CI in an OC?
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11:51 |
: Moncada, but a sneaky CI for the first couple weeks is Dom Smith who goes to COL next week.
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11:52 |
: How about dropping Flaherty for Dodd, Brito or Smyly?
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11:52 |
: I’d hold Flaherty
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11:52 |
: Do you enjoy fantasy drafts or is it work?
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11:53 |
: I love the drafts, I’ve prepped 6 months for them. Sometimes they can drain me, especially auctions
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11:53 |
: DJ LeMathieu, Segura, or Hoerner at 2B?
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11:53 |
: Easily Hoerner if healthy
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11:53 |
: Herget or Estevez to start season as Angels closer?
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11:54 |
: There isn’t one. Let me find the article
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11:55 |
: Is Ryan Nelson orth a pickup in 25 teamers? What are your expectations for him this year, and long term?
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11:56 |
: A 25-team … isn’t anyone with a pulse added in those? Yes add him
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11:56 |
: Who are the players you most frequently draft? Who are “your guys”? A
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11:58 |
: In all fairness, I have three more leagues to draft with $5k in entry fees left to draft. I can’t give away all my preferences until they are done, but many of my draft boards are floating around the internet
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11:58 |
: Which players ranked outside the Top 100 most often find their way onto your rosters?
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11:59 |
: I like Yandy Diaz has a bench bat if one of my corners gets hurt.
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11:59 |
: Does Ozuna stay on Atlanta’s roster all season? ST stats look good.
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11:59 |
: I think he needs to hit to stay with the team
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11:59 |
: Can Joe Ryan finish as a top 15 pitcher?
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12:00 |
: No, not yet
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12:00 |
: Well, the hour is up. Good luck tonight for those having a FAAB run.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Was a pleasure drafting with you yesterday. Thanks for this report!