Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – March 27th, 2023

Here is today’s chat trancript:

9:52
Justin Mason: Chat will begin at the top of the hour as long as we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!

10:01
Guest: Hi Justin,

10:01
Justin Mason: HI!

10:01
B’ryce Hammer: Shallow H2H points league. looking for some upside plays in my lineup while I wait for harper to heal up. I have the Noot in my OF 3 spot, and Winker/W.Franco competing for my Util slot. Do I drop one of these for Volpe?

10:01
Justin Mason: I would drop Winker very quickly

10:02
Cedric Mullins: 50/50 season coming for you baby!

10:02
Justin Mason: LETS GO!!!

10:02
Guest: Who hits more homers this season Larnach or Gallo?

10:02
Justin Mason: Gallo, but it is closer than one would think.

10:04
Patrick: Hey Justin! What are some good cheap OF options for my AL only auction?  Talking end game $1 options…

10:04
Justin Mason: Vierling, Stowers, Larnach

10:05
Brandon: For daily leagues, what are some late strong side platoon bats that can be targeted that might be off everyone’s radar? I currently have rostered Winker, Naylor, Jared Walsh and plan on cycling those guys in and out based on whether they are facing lefties or not. Any other names?

10:06
Justin Mason: LaMont Wade, Josh Outman, TJ Friedl, Jake Fraley

10:06
RAH: Thoughts on a Javier Baez bounce back? Some people have pointed to a good finish to last season, but I think the date is cherry picked to seem like a longer period of time and therefore seem like more of a consistent rebound. His 2022 “2nd half” was largely propped up by a very good Sept. July and August were bad… if you look at the month to month, it looks randomly streaky. I don’t see any evidence there of an adjustment that was made to lead to better production – just a talented and streaky player.

10:07
Justin Mason: Talent is definitely there but the approach is super scary. That being said, the floor is safer than it appears so I don’t mind taking the bounceback gamble.

10:07
Guest: Logan Gilbert = Cy Young?

10:07
Justin Mason: Probably not but I do like him

10:07
20MO God: Which Angels “closer” gets the lions share of saves?

10:08
Justin Mason: I think Estevez gets first shot, but I wonder if the guy that finished with the most saves is not yet on the team

10:08
BEN. AFFLECK.: Do you have more interest in Brice Turang or Joey Wiemer for this year in a NL Only roto league?

10:08
Justin Mason: I have interest in both. Turang will have the more immediate impact

10:08
Jack: I got Cedric for $15 in my AL only when guys like Teoscar/Soringer went for $20 and Meneses went for $17. Think they will play him against lefties this year?

10:09
Justin Mason: I think they have to to start the season. If he continues to struggle against them, then he could lose time

10:10
Babo: Brewers have a lot of young OF talent. Do you think Weimer makes the team and what kind of outlook do you have for him, Sal, Mitchell, or even Chourio?

10:11
Justin Mason: I don’t think Weimer makes the team out of spring. I am really interested in Mitchell. Nice speed/power combo. Frelick is someone I like but I think it is a bit before he comes up.

10:11
Guest: looking for one more OF.  How would you rank these?  Colas, G. Mitchell, W. Myers, Friedl, Bader, Avisail Garcia.  Thanks!

10:12
Justin Mason: Myers, Friedl, Garcia, Mitchell, Baer, Colas

10:12
Mario: Which power-over-hit young OF would you rather roster: Larnach, Stowers, Wiemer, or Jesus Sanchez ?

10:12
Justin Mason: Sanchez

10:12
Darling_Darvish: Thoughts on Darvish this year and what kinds of trades should I be looking at to move him?

10:12
Justin Mason: I think he is a pretty safe SP2. I would want a pretty nice haul for him.

10:12
a.: OBP -12 team: better MI, Massey or Turang?

10:13
Justin Mason: Massey

10:13
Fire John Smoltz: How early are you reaching for J Walker and Volpe if you’re drafting today?

10:13
Justin Mason: Yes, but I am not putting them in the top 60

10:13
Vic: Wisdom or Anderson? Loaisiga or Marranacio? Ober or Dodd?

10:13
Justin Mason: Anderson, Loaisiga, Dodd

10:14
K2: With Luke Voit signing a major league deal with MKE, how are your projections looking? Is he destined for a small side platoon?

10:14
Justin Mason: Seems like it

10:14
Phil: For a keeper league,  who will be better for fantasy? Wander or Volpe? Thanks

10:15
Justin Mason: Wander if he is healthy

10:15
Jack: Clarke Schmidt, Boyd, Turnbull or Erod in an Al only? 6×6 (with wins and qs).

10:15
Justin Mason: Erod

10:15
tumtum: AL 8tm keeper auction two catcher: I received a trade proposal offering Pena($7), A. Vaughn($9) and Severino ($14) for Witt ($15). Should I take the offer?

10:16
Justin Mason: I want the Witt side of this.

10:16
Mario: Any optimism for a Castellanos rebound?

10:17
Justin Mason: I don’t have much. If you are betting on him it is because of his name. There was not much in the profile that showed he was unlucky. He didn’t look great in spring either.

10:19
Bad Jimmy: Would you drop Jorge Mateo or Jack Flaherty (both extra, bench players) to pick up Dylan Dodd?

10:19
Justin Mason: No

10:19
Guest: Where does Anthony Volpe slide into your rankings now that he’s won the SS job?

10:20
Justin Mason: I haven’t updated his projections but I would think he would be 13th for me

10:21
Vic: In a 12 team 5 x 5 NL Only with S + Holds. Should I start my season with 4 RP?. Only an 850 innings minimum.

10:21
Justin Mason: I think you would find yourself behind in wins and strikeouts.

10:22
Carlos: Who’s your favorite late round potential closer to target: Puk, Fulmer, Ottavino, Estevez, Reynaldo, May, Graterol

10:22
Justin Mason: Fulmer

10:22
Volpemort: Who do you like better for Ottoneu FG Points:
Kerry Carpenter, TJ Friedl, Brandon Marsh

10:22
Justin Mason: Friedl

10:22
Fire John Smoltz: How concerned are you about Soto and Wander right now?

10:22
Justin Mason: I am concerned enough that I wasn’t considering drafting them during my main event.

10:22
Jeff !: With some helium guys confirmed to be on opening day rosters (Walker, Volpe) there are some still good prices on others (Wesneski, Turang). Who’s your favorite target at their current price?

10:23
Justin Mason: Wesneski for sure. Ryne Nelson in Arizona is another.

10:23
Jack: Just an idea, for your next pod a palooza, you should have 15 minute consultations as a prize with you and others in the industry during draft season. Help with keepers/draft strategies etc.

10:23
Justin Mason: I would definitely do that

10:23
Kyle: Did you draft a main event team? If so, how did it go?

10:24
Justin Mason: I did on Saturday. I had a rough start because I went hitting early and the pitching cost were insane. I recovered well enough, but I definitely am hurting for pitching.

10:24
Guest: Thanks for chatting!  Would you trade Senga for Yoshida?  I have a strong pitching corps (deGrom, McClanahan, Urias) and I could use offense, so I’m inclined to do it, but so hard to know what to expect from either one.

10:24
Justin Mason: Yes

10:24
Guest: 2023 Bounce Back Challenge:  Brandon Lowe or Max Muncy for 2B?

10:25
Justin Mason: I think Muncy is the safer bet to bounceback but Lowe has the greater upside of the two

10:25
Fire John Smoltz: F, marry, kill : Betts, Trea, Acuna

10:25
Justin Mason: Marry Trea, F Acunca, K: Betts. Love all three though

10:26
Guest: In a 12-team, H2H categories league. I have no SS depth after Correa and one of my MIF spots is occupied by Brandon Drury ) I’m in trade conversations for Corey Seager with me sending Pablo Lopez, Blake Snell, and Jake McCarthy the other way. I have incredibly deep pitching and won’t miss the Ks too much. Is this a fair consolidation of talent to address a need, or a colossal overpay?

10:26
Justin Mason: I think you should get another piece back, but in a pinch, I would do this.

10:26
Guest: AL Only: Eflin or Greinke?

10:26
Justin Mason: Eflin

10:26
BCubs: Thanks for the chat.20 team roto, who do you like out of the four – Keller, Ashcraft, Schuster, Pepiot. I’m probably dropping a couple of them for relievers in a few weeks

10:27
Justin Mason: I like all three, but Ashcraft and Keller are my fovrite.

10:27
Justin Mason: favorite

10:27
Carl: You buying Bradish as a sleeper/breakout this year?

10:27
Justin Mason: Absolutely! I drafted him in a ton of leagues this year. Love the pitch mix change we saw last year.

10:27
B’ryce Hammer: In the same vein of upside plays… is Kelenic gonna go boom this time around?

10:27
Justin Mason: I hope so! He is on 50% of my teams heading into the season.

10:27
Guest: Do you think Kyle Schwarber would be a significant upgrade over Teoscar Hernandez or Eloy Jimenez in the OF?

10:28
Justin Mason: I think he is an upgrade, but not significant.

10:28
Chris: What is your all-time go-to candy bar?

10:28
Justin Mason: Reese

10:28
JoJo: How excited should we be about O Colas? Is he better than say Austin Hays or Adam Duvall?

10:29
Jim: Wil Myers or Oscar Colas?

10:29
Justin Mason: I am intrigued. I think he should be better than Hays or Duvall. Definitely looking forward to seeing if he can hold the role.

10:29
Justin Mason: Myers over colas though

10:29
Pete: Drafted this weekend, 12 team mixer, ended up a little light at SS – Baez on the rebound and Estrada.  Is Royce Lewis worth a stash?  Garcia (KC), Mauricio and J. Ortiz are other stash options.

10:29
Justin Mason: Lewis won’t be ready until the summer. I think I would stash Garcia instead

10:29
Bill: im Tired of drafting, I want opening day to be here today!

10:30
Justin Mason: I am never tired of drafting but I can’t wait for opening day!

10:30
B’ryce Hammer: I daydream of one more peak Gallo season… Some new change in approach that unleashes an actual hit tool.

10:30
Justin Mason: Probably not going to happen

10:30
Kyle: When will you have your “This Year’s Mullins” article out?

10:30
Justin Mason: I wrote it weeks ago on Fantasy Pros

10:30
Guest: Looking to trade Julio Urias for OF help; is Starling Marte a good return, or should I be aiming higher or lower?

10:30
Justin Mason: I think you should be able to get a little more than that

10:31
Guest: Got offered a 3$Matt Mervis for my $2 Gavin Stone in otto 4×4, I’m hurting at 1st with Tork, Dom smith and Drury?l, Is that decent?  I’m worried Stone will be amazing

10:31
Justin Mason: I think that is decent but Stone is super intriguing.

10:32
Carlos: 12-tm H2H ESPN pts league – have HS Kim at a UTIL spot (have O. Cruz, E. Tovar at SS, IN spots), but wanna get another hitter instead. Options include Yaz, Laureano, Wong, Stott, D. Hall, C. Taylor, O. Cabrera, Margot, Heim, A. Thomas, Marsh, Fraley, H. Ram…Hold, let opening results determine, or change now?

10:32
Justin Mason: I think I would hold for now.

10:32
Mario: What’s the word on Austin Meadows? Is he healthy? Was there a mental health thing last year? More to point… Is he back to hitting like old self?

10:32
Justin Mason: At this point, I am staying away until he proves he is back

10:32
B’ryce Hammer: Feels like I see Dylan Cease’s name on every bust list out there… seems kinda funny to ignore year over year improvements in a guy, no?

10:33
Justin Mason: He could definitely shove, but there are so many red flags that I wasn’t interested at his price.

10:33
Moose Skowron: In aa traditional 5×5 AL league, I can only freeze two of the folllowing three: Alejandro Kirk (toppers), Adolis Garcia (toppers), Manuel Margot ($6). Who’s the odd man out?

10:33
Justin Mason: Margot

10:33
Jimmy: Please rank these so-called AL closers: LeClerc, Lange, Esteves, May, Lopez, Gravenan

10:34
Justin Mason: LeClerc, Lopez, May, Estevez, Lange, Graveman

10:34
Caley: Anthony Volpe hit .251 in AA last year. .236 in a short stint at AAA. Do you think he hits about .235 in the majors?

10:34
Justin Mason: I think he could. I wasn’t in on the hype train for this year because I didn’t think he would make the team and now because his price is too high

10:35
Weekly moves: What order for these waiver claims to help early in the season: Kikuchi, Martinez, Irvin at SP? How about Walsh, Suwinski, E Rosario as a bench bat?

10:35
Justin Mason: Martinez, Kikuchi, Irvin.

10:35
Justin Mason: Walsh, Suwinski, Rosario

10:35
Guest: Do you see Ryan McMahon hitting 30 dongs with his new approach

10:35
Justin Mason: I definitely think it is in the range of outcomes.

10:35
Guest: Could Matt Moore be the saves leader for the halos?

10:35
Justin Mason: Anyone could with that bullpen

10:35
Guest: Twitter follower of you and Mrs Mason. You guys are awesome.  Honest and real.  Thanks

10:35
Justin Mason: Thank you!

10:35
Go giants!: best keeper league option for next 2-3 years??? Volpe, J Walker, or someone else???

10:36
Justin Mason: Walker

10:36
Bad Jimmy: Thoughts on Danny Jansen breaking out this year? I know he already sorta did at the end of last season, but can he do it for a full season? If already rostering Varsho, should I cut bait for someone like Dodd or Franmil?

10:36
Justin Mason: I think the only thing that stops him is if Belt takes away too many DH opportunities. In a one catcher league, I would try and trade him or varsho

10:37
Question: Do you know when the tyeam-by-team prospect lists on FanGraphs will be finished? Right now, there are only 6 AL teams completed, and 4 NL teams done.

10:37
Justin Mason: I do not

10:37
20MO God: How many PAs does Burleson get in that loaded STL lineup?

10:37
Justin Mason: 300

10:37
mzpejp: Hey Justin, 9 team league. Can keep up to 15. Already have 137 tied up in 8 players leaving just 123 for 15 slots. Freeman is one of those keepers at 38. Should I let him go to fee up more $? And should I keep Keibert Ruiz at 10 if I do let Freeman go? Thanks.

10:37
Justin Mason: I would keep freeman

10:38
Guest: Hey Justin, can you rank the following in a h2h 5×5 categories league (obp):   MVargas, DHall, TMancini, WMyers

10:38
Justin Mason: Vargas, Myers, Hall, Mancini

10:38
Dan T.: Any chance Moncada finds his power swing or was 2019 his high mark?

10:38
Justin Mason: To be quite honest, I have no idea what he is. I just hope he can stay healthy so we can see.

10:39
Justin Mason: I did take a $1 gamble on him in my Vegas auction, so I am hoping for a bounce back

10:39
Colton: Hey Justin, hope things are well today! Need to pick up a reliever in my league, who would you take of Robertson, Aroldis, Alex Lange, Leclerc or Ottavino? This is H2H points, Saves are 2, Holds are 1

10:39
Justin Mason: LeClerc

10:39
Good Jimmy: Drop Colas for Franmil?

10:39
Justin Mason: I am ok with that. I drafted Franmil a bunch this weekend.

10:39
Craig: what’s your interst level in Jesse Winker? Bounce back?

10:39
Justin Mason: 0

10:39
Ryan: Hey Justin!  Can you rank these 1B options?  Myers, Mancini, Vargas, Hall, Tork

10:40
Justin Mason: Vargas, Myers, Tork, Hall, Mancini

10:40
Bench Rat: speculating on speed. Turang or E. Ruiz? both made their squads and could use some sb clout on my bench.

10:40
Justin Mason: Ruiz

10:40
Mustin Jason: Kelenic or Adell?

10:40
Justin Mason: Kelenic

10:40
Bobby pitch clock: Will Adolis Garcia finish as a top 50 fantasy contributeur?

10:40
Justin Mason: Borderline, but I say no

10:40
YankeesFan: Any favorite reserve pitchers to target 12 team mixed?

10:40
Justin Mason: Bradish, Jose Suarez, Matt Boyd, Keller, E-Rod

10:41
Guest: Rank Matz, David Peterson, or Mitch Keller?

10:41
Justin Mason: Peterson, Matz, Keller

10:41
Guest: How Hot Is This Take?…: Joey Wiemer does actually make the Brewers opening day roster (the spot appears down to him and Owen Miller), and proceeds to put up a 20/20 season.

10:41
Justin Mason: Too hot?

10:41
BigBird: 6 cat OBP league. Would you cut Josh Naylor for Fraley, Friedl or Taveras?

10:41
Justin Mason: I would but I am in love with Friedl

10:41
good general question: So no Bullpen Report till it’s no longer all that much needed?

10:42
Justin Mason: Well, I have never done the bullpen report, so I don’t know

10:42
Phil: For 12 team H2H, I have Woodruff, Musgrove, and Kirby as my top 3 starters. Should I be fine or will I need to upgrade? Thanks.

10:42
Justin Mason: You should be fine

10:42
BigBird: With Kolten Wong potential platoon and worse ball park. Would you rather have L. Urias, B. Donovan?

10:43
Justin Mason: I would rather have either, but prefer Donovan

10:43
YankeesFan: Dynasty league… Volpe or Oneil Cruz?

10:43
Justin Mason: Volpe

10:43
Guest: Clarke Schmidt winning a spot bumps him how much? Drop Heaney for him?

10:43
Justin Mason: I would be ok dropping Heaney for Schmidt.

10:43
Conor A: How sad are we about Grayson Rodriguez?

10:43
Justin Mason: I was pretty shocked. Hopefully he will be back soon.

10:44
B’ryce Hammer: Apparently my league is completely missing the memo about Seiya Suzuki, OF….13?!?! Geeze… do I ditch Adolis or Noot for this guy?

10:44
Justin Mason: I would drop Noot for him.

10:44
IGuy: With Clase as a foundation, are Duran or Munoz safe enough RP 2’s?  Which would you target?

10:44
Justin Mason: Prefer Munoz over Duran, but I worry neither has the job to themselves

10:44
Skinny: What is your concern level with these injured SPs: Triston, Severino, Rodon, Glasnow?

10:45
Justin Mason: Pretty concerned about all of them to be quite honest.

10:45
Justin Mason: Least concerned on Glasnow, but I am not really drafting any of them at this point unless I have unlimited IL spots

10:45
Keith Hernandez’ cat: Does anyone get 550 ABs in the Cardinals OF?

10:46
Justin Mason: I think O’Neill and Walker do

10:46
YankeesFan: Need a fill in for Hoskins. Can be at MI or CR. Luis Urias, Arreaz, or Nico Hoerner? (OBP and SLG league)

10:46
Justin Mason: Hoerner for me

10:46
goodfor: would people be as interested in Volpe if he didn’t drop 50 Sb last year in the minors?

10:46
Justin Mason: He is a top 10prospect in baseball

10:46
Guest: Mike Soroka. When do you see him coming back? What do you project for him? Seems like lots of people are sleeping on him.

10:47
Justin Mason: I think he is back in a month or so, but I have very little hope for 2023 relevance.

10:47
DJ: It appears Joey Wiemer could make the Brewers opening day roster (it’s between him and Owen Miller at the moment). Wiemer has the ingredients to be a fantasy darling, he put up a 20+ HR / 30+ SB season in the high minors last year despite missing a few weeks with a thumb/hand injury. Are you buying or selling Wiemer as a dark horse difference maker in deeper leagues?

10:49
Justin Mason: I don’t think he makes the team but I would be super excited if he does. Maybe he flames out like Josh Lowe did last year, but I think the upside is good enough it is worth the gamble

10:49
Yaki: Is Elehuris Montero getting completely overlooked right now? Can he hit .250 with 25-30 HR?

10:50
Justin Mason: If he plays full time, maybe, but I worry about the Moustakas signing.

10:50
Justin Mason: I have a ton of questions and only about ten minutes left, so I am going to try and speed round through a bunch of them!

10:50
Guest: Best place to see what 26-man jobs are still up for grabs?

10:50
Justin Mason: Roster Resource!

10:50
Roger: Moreno or Campusano? Yelich or Winker (OBP league)? Who is your favorite cheapest NL ace?

10:51
Justin Mason: Moreno, Yelich, Musgrove!

10:51
chris: does charlie blackmon have anything left in the tank? pretty catastrophic fall from grace the past few years

10:51
Justin Mason: He has very little

10:51
YankeesFan: Who is the real Jared Walsh?  2022 or 2021?

10:51
Justin Mason: A mix between the two

10:51
chris: Which version of Jose Berrios are you expecting to show up this year? are you buying any shares?

10:51
Justin Mason: I have completely stayed away

10:51
chris: are you avoiding dustin may given the threat of an innings limit?

10:51
Justin Mason: yes

10:51
Hector: OBP league (6×6)…..Brandon Marsh or Seth Brown this year?

10:51
Justin Mason: Brown

10:51
Last round: In the last round of my draft right now. Which stream should I draft, pepiot (col), Walker (tex, cin, cin), Ashcraft (with new slider, pit), martinez (col), wacha (col)

10:52
Justin Mason: Ashcraft

10:52
Guest: What does Kolton Wong’s season look like at the top of the M’s order?

10:52
Justin Mason: Not great

10:52
Ryan: 10-team mixed saves and holds league with starts limit, so relievers with SP eligibility are really valuable
Does either of Alex Reyes or Ben Joyce become relevant this year?

10:52
Justin Mason: Joyce could be

10:52
Tom: Will Brennan a good dart throw OF?  Need help until Bader comes back.

10:52
Justin Mason: Yeah, I think he is a nice gamble

10:52
Fire John Smoltz: Choose one in a keep forever – Carroll or Gunnar?

10:52
Justin Mason: Carroll

10:52
Tj: What are your thoughts on Morel? Do you see him having regular role with Cubs or overcoming some of his strikeout/contact woes?

10:52
Justin Mason: He really needs to improve the contact skills if he wants to stick in the Majors

10:52
Guest: Are you at all bullish on Galllo or Garver this year?

10:52
Justin Mason: No

10:52
Questions, Questions: Are B. De La Cruz or J. Sanchez worthwhile in regular 10 and 12 team H2H or roto leagues?

10:53
Justin Mason: Probably not

10:53
Questions, Questions: What to make of Carlson being out in a util role? Immediate drop in 10-player keeper leagues?

10:53
Justin Mason: Easy drop

10:53
CB: Got stuck without a 2B.  Who would you go for out of these? McMahon, Massey, B. Donovan, Luis Urias

10:53
Justin Mason: McMahon and Donovan

10:53
Questions, Questions: The Franmil seems back to his old self. Just sayin

10:53
Justin Mason: Drafted him in both my main and NFBC auction in vegas!

10:53
mike: do you buy the notion that Bohm will tap into his power?

10:53
Justin Mason: Not until he raises the launch angle

10:53
K2: Keep forever dynasty: would you trade away Nootbaar for PCA and Cowser? Have plenty of active OF depth.

10:54
Justin Mason: No

10:54
DJ: Are you taking the over or under on Aledmys Diaz getting 500 plate appearances this season?

10:54
Justin Mason: Under

10:54
Guest: after my draft I felt my pitching was light in my al only so just traded Waldichuck and Yoshida for gausman and pollock. good deal for both if he needed hitting? or will I regret that?

10:54
Justin Mason: Love the Gausman side

10:54
Guest: I didnt see either you or sporer rank fujinami. Was it there and I just missed it, or what do you think of him and in what range does he fall for you?

10:54
Justin Mason: I honestly don’t love guys coming over in their first year unless I see huge upside which I don’t here.

10:54
Mike: do I hold onto Grayson Rodriguez in a 10team points league or send him to the wire for someone who is active?

10:54
Justin Mason: I would hold for now.

10:54
Chaz: When we will see Grayson?  Not making opening day roster.

10:54
Justin Mason: End of April

10:55
Guest: Just want to say….I love my teams.  Play Ball!!!

10:55
Justin Mason: GOOD LUCK!

10:55
Mike: Is Seth Lugo worth rostering in a points league where he is eligible in RP slot?

10:55
Justin Mason: Yes

10:55
Question: How do I find out when the team-by-team prospecvt lists will be done? I’ve already emailed FanGraphs twice. (I’m a subscriber). Can you pass on my question to the unresponsive management?

10:55
Justin Mason: I will look into it for you.

10:55
Yinz: Are we all overlooking Paredes as a breakout this year?

10:55
Justin Mason: Absolutely.

10:55
Ralph: Are you a big fan of Brandon Marsh breaking out this year?

10:55
Justin Mason: I am a fan, but I haven’t gotten a ton of him this year

10:56
Carlos: Same ESPN pts league – hold Gray Rod., or drop for Bradish, Kikuchi, German, or Falter…

10:56
Justin Mason: I would hold for now. Bradish is tempting though

10:56
Guest: Need to add a pitcher. Jon gray or take a shot on bradish?

10:56
Justin Mason: Gray

10:56
Red Bird: Brendan Donovan is  DJ Lemahieu(Prime) in ’23? T or F?

10:56
Justin Mason: True

10:56
Jack: I see you are not very high on Mancini, but would you take him over Dominic Smith?

10:56
Justin Mason: Yes

10:56
JL Picard: Justin, thanks for the chats. Any concern on Gallen and the drop in velocity. Thanks

10:56
Justin Mason: A little, but I still drafted him a bunch

10:56
Team Altuve: I hate Daniel Bard – get that guy away from professional batters ASAP

10:56
Justin Mason: That is mean

10:57
Ari_Outfielder: Does McCarthy win the SB title or get relegated to 4th outfielder?

10:57
Justin Mason: 4th outfieder more likely

10:57
Jon: 12-team NL only with keepers. CES or Veen long-term?

10:57
Justin Mason: Veen

10:57
YankeesFan: Any explanation for Lourdes Gurriel’s drop in power? Is he a bounce back or washed up?

10:57
Justin Mason: He was never that good

10:57
RGM: How many starts do you need to see from a waiver wire pitcher before you think hes a breakout candidate? 12 TM mixed league

10:57
Justin Mason: two

10:57
20MO God: what kind of production do you think we can expect from old man AJ Pollock?

10:57
Justin Mason: I think he can be servicable in 15 team leagues.

10:57
BCubs: Is Blake Sabol worth a roster spot (20 team roto)? I have O’Hoppe as my backup and not sure if I should drop him if he doesn’t make the team

10:58
Justin Mason: Yes

10:58
Guest: Does Nolan Gorman at least start against RHP this season? Or are you worried he could be a part time player?

10:58
Justin Mason: I worry he is a part timer. I wish they would trade him.

10:58
Boring OFs: Yaz or Kepler?  Better in OBP 5×5?  Better at making people forget they still exist?

10:58
Justin Mason: Kepler for me

10:58
KD: %Chance Ohtani is an Angel at end of season?

10:58
Justin Mason: 25%

10:58
Milw OF: probability that Chouros is up this year?

10:58
Justin Mason: 10%

10:59
Phil: Any big upside deep sleeper picks or buy low trade candidates you recommended looking at for SS? Rolling with Tovar, Stott, and Turang as my SS options. Pretty much all top prospects are gobbled up and SS is my clear weak spot in the lineup

11:00
Justin Mason: Abrams, Maikel Garcia, Newman

11:00
Mickey Rivers Cuomo: Tyler Mahle was a surprise drop in my only league. Next best available on the waiver wire is probably Pivetta. How aggressively should I bid to fill an open SP slot?

11:01
Justin Mason: I wouldn’t be overly aggressive.

11:01
Backup Cs: I just want to thank my opponents for using roster spots for backup catchers.

11:01
Justin Mason: They are doing the Lord’s work

11:01
E: Would you drop either of evan phillips or brusdar for aj minter in 12 team, no holds? Have romano and holmes as well.

11:01
Justin Mason: I would drop Graterol

11:01
T-minus 3 days: Have Miranda, Bohm, JD Davis and W Flores as eligible 3B on my team (OBP/SLG league).  Drop any for Elehuris?

11:01
Justin Mason: Drop Davis

11:01
Gmoney: Is Trevor Rogers or Matt Boyd worth an add over Grayson Rodriguez now that he’s been sent down? 12 team H2H league.

11:01
Justin Mason: Both are, but go Rogers

11:02
Guest: Who closes in ARZ and Florida? Anyone worth dropping Trevor Rodgers or TJ Friedle over?

11:02
Justin Mason: I would not drop either

11:02
T-minus 3 days: Drop both/either of Grisham and B. de la Cruz for Franmil and/or Larnach in Ottoneu 4×4?

11:02
Justin Mason: Drop De La Cruz for Franmil

11:02
CK: 16 team league points league: Outman, FReyes, or Wiemer?

11:02
Justin Mason: Reyes

11:02
Chris: What is Wesneski’s ceiling?

11:02
Justin Mason: I think he could be like an SP3

11:02
Orioles2024: Did I screw up keeping BWJ and Gunnar over Wander in a keep forever league?

11:02
Justin Mason: No

11:03
Justin Mason: Well, maybe keeping Gunnar over Wander

11:03
Mickey Rivers Cuomo: Need a short term OF in only OBP league:  Connor Capel (assuming he makes the team) or Edward Olivares?

11:03
Justin Mason: Oliveras for me

11:03
Guest: would you rather have charlie blackmon or kerry carpenter? I will hang up and listen thx

11:03
Justin Mason: Carpenter

11:03
Colton: I think I’ve successfully convinced myself that Edouard Julien is the most overlooked offensive prospect in baseball and will have a huge impact on that team this year

11:03
Justin Mason: He drew three walks during this chat.

11:03
Arod, Jroad: Sam Haggerty or Will Brennan?

11:03
Justin Mason: Brennan

11:03
Tony G: Your outlook on Gonsolin?

11:03
Justin Mason: Staying away because of health

11:03
Deeter: Trade Whit for Cronenworth in an OPS league?

11:03
Justin Mason: Sure

11:03
Eric: In 6×6 with 1b+BB, OPS instead of BA, who you like better of Paredes and Marsh?

11:04
Justin Mason: Paredes

11:04
Chris: Don’t MLB teams know that we are waiting for them to IL guys so we can pick up free agents?  lol

11:04
Justin Mason: So annoying!

11:04
Phil C: Oswaldo Cabrera will get a lot of PT at different positions. Any value in 12 team H2H and how does he compare with Donovan?

11:04
Justin Mason: I want Donovan way more

11:04
Chris: How safe is Holmes as NY closer?  worried about King.

11:04
Justin Mason: I think he is safe as long as he is healthy

11:04
Fire John Smoltz: Thanks for the responses, Justin. Love these chats!

11:04
Justin Mason: Thanks for Chatting with me! Chat will begin at the top of the hour as long as we have enough questions. Please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!

11:05
Brad: Volpe or Peña?

11:05
Justin Mason: Volpe

11:05
Guest: When is a good starting point to stream pitchers? Beginning of May?

11:05
Justin Mason: ASAP

11:05
danke: Would you drop Kyle Bradish or Clarke Schmidt to pick up Pfaadt in a 12 team league without minor/NA spots?

11:05
Justin Mason: No





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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Richiemember
11 months ago

These fantasy chats are pretty much useless for the skilled fantasy player. 98% of the questions could be answered by “just check the projections, you moron!” Just mediocre fantasy players make up 98% of the audience for these chats, so it makes business sense the way the Fangraphs guys do them.

As to actual ‘actionable intelligence’, so to speak: Who’s announced they’re going to a 6-man rotation? Who looks like they’re ahead in the open competition closers jobs? Who’s announced they are going to start out with a committee? Nope.

dezremember
11 months ago
Reply to  Richie

I don’t think your characterization of “skilled” versus “mediocre” fantasy players is fair (it definitely isn’t nice). I also think you misunderstand (and mischaracterize) the purpose of these chats and what’s to be gained here. I count a number of pieces of actionable tidbits in this chat alone – namely, an esteemed fantasy writer doling out add/drop recommendations, trade valuations, process opinions and rankings. These are certainly actionable.

It’s a fantasy player’s best chance to get one-on-one feedback about their team(s) from an expert. That’s awesome. And specific to Justin’s thoughts and opinions. If you’d like to know about closer battles and 6-man rotations, you can find these facts in a number of different MLB newsfeeds, including but not limited to…MLB trade rumors, MLB.com, NBC Sports, Fantasy Pros, ESPN, Yahoo Sports, Google, etc.

These chats are designed for quick actionable hits. If the author were to go into detail about, say, an ongoing rotation battle…he’d be best served (and so would we) in doing so via a more detailed, longer Fangraphs post.

Also, if you pay attention, some of these questions yield value in the overall narrative they end up constructing. Ex: Justin likes Franmil! Now I can take action – research to see if I agree, check existing teams in light of this analysis, and boom – fantasy fun!

Pat Listachiomember
11 months ago
Reply to  dezre

Agreed. Even though I find the majority of questions don’t necessarily enhance my knowledge, I find them interesting and fun… and some questions do… and also I feel like I’ve picked up a ton from reading these chats over the years. Basically, even if say 90% of this chat was not enlightening to me, the reason for that (more than any other reason) is probably that I’ve been reading these chats at FG for so many years that I’ve soaked up a ton of knowledge.

LightenUpFGmember
11 months ago
Reply to  Richie

I also wonder who is actually in the chats, and I’d like to think that a casual fantasy player isn’t kicking around on Fangraphs and joining a chat. I figure the casual players are on some of the much more mainstream sites, or buying magazines, etc. Sure, some of the questions seem quite obvious in their response, but I imagine that Justin is putting them all out there to satisfy as many chat people as possible. I bet if he only stuck to the truly challenging questions these chat logs would be markedly shorter.

Also, we are all removed from whatever situation each person is going through for their team and league. I bet if I put a ‘who do I drop?’ question that I’ve been grappling with for one of my leagues in the chat, I bet I may be the only one who doesn’t ‘know’ the answer.