Top 100 SP for a 60-Game Season
Here they are!
I’ll have a whole column of notes on different guys on Monday. I just wanted to get the ranks out and we can start discussing them in the comments. This 60-game season is going to be so wild!
Previous list for comparison, though comparing a full season list to a 60-game one is tough.
Top 100 SP for 60-gm Season
Great list! A couple questions:
1) Projections systems are generally pretty down on Civale, and he had a rough SIERA/xFIP last year, despite posting good numbers. Any reason why you have ranked him substantially higher than the projection systems?
2) I notice Brendan McKay’s not on the list — is this mostly because of the playing time risk, or do you just not see him performing well this year?
I find the projection systems generally worthless on players like Civale. They’re putting EVERYTHING 57.7 IP which just doesn’t make sense to me. A lot of it is his arsenal, CLE’s success with pitching, and me seeing him as more Bieber than Plutko/Tomlin. I think he’s going to be a really solid mid-rotation arm.
Totally agree on Civale. I reached for him in a Dynasty, and can sleep well at night. I see Bieber too. I’m liking Boyd more than you do. 40’s seem to be his neighborhood. If he cuts the HRs and continues with the K’s we could be looking breakout big time. He gets the chance to pitch v Central teams, ditto Civale, which doesn’t hurt.
How much (if any) did Hamels injury this spring hurt him here?
Paul, N o love at #38 for Bauer ? Pitching for contract? Every game is WS#7. Think he is Top 25 this year.
Right-handed Robbie Ray? I dunno, I’m just not a huge fan fantasy-wise. I need to see more than one season
Ouch, Ive always been partial to both Ray and Bauer.
I’m not real high on Bauer but he definitely doesn’t hand out walks like Robbie Ray. Josh James feels more like Ray (w/o track record, obviously).
He also doesn’t K like Ray, but it’s a reasonable comp especially in light of them both having one good year and little else to really write home about and near-equal ratios: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=c,3,13,4,6,42,-1,120,121,113,217,-1,39,41,43,44,48,40,51,112,105,-1,45&season=2019&month=0&season1=2012&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=12703,11486&startdate=&enddate=
I am constantly amazed by how perennially unpopular Zack Greinke is. And while he is not young, he has been reliably very good to excellent forever, and shows no real signs of slowing down, and misses like no time to injury. You really want Frankie Montas as much as Greinke, who has had one good half season that was not all that much better than Greinke’s full season rates? Or Charlie Morton, who is same age as Greinke but, more injury prone, and has NEVER matched Greinke’s actual production in any year?
Greinke is the Nelson Cruz of pitching.
Please don’t jinx it
Greinke is older, and fair or not, Montas doesn’t have the past mental health issues that may scare some folks off.
Most fantasy players have no idea what you are talking about, so no, that’s not it.
“Greinke is older, and fair or not, Montas doesn’t have the past mental health issues that may scare some folks off.”
Or how about, Montas has a minimal track record of success, and Greinke doesn’t have the PED questions that may scare some folks off.
In a league that counts W, L, era, whip, Ks….which two SP do you like? G Richards, Cease, J James, Heaney
If only there was a list to help us with questions like this.
I’m assuming these rankings are for 5×5. My league has both Wins and Losses as two separate categories. Just seeing who people prefer
Just bump down the dudes on bad teams a little bit and you’re good.
Jesus Luzardo at 43 in a shortened season? I don’t care about the quality of the AL West. He’ll be a top 15 SP
Would think that his health could be an issue, and in any event top-15 is too high to project for any rookie pitcher.
Paul: this is the best list, always!
Can we get a column which shows advance/decline?
My heart soared when I saw a couple headlines in my news feed this morning, like this one, that are “normal” fantasy baseball headlines for when there is an imminent baseball season.
Kluber at #25 jumped out at me. I would be interested to hear your thoughts about him since many fantasy baseballers have been writing him off or delegating him to sleeper in later rounds.
Seems to be gambling that Kluber has mostly if not fully recovered from his injuries and will be at least Sonny Gray-like after the layoff. 2019 wasn’t that long ago, maybe he can get most of that nastiness back.
It would be cool to see which of the guys in each tier has the best shot to jump up a tier or two. Just a thought.
Or down a tier? Sounds like a sleepers and busts article.
No Nate Pearson?
It wasn’t likely he was going to be on the team for the regular season, so I doubt the Jays have much reason to pitch him this year.
I think we will see, they have much more reason to pitch him now. He could help them make the difference in a tiny sample season.
It’s generally accepted that Pearson will play the whole season minus 7 days. At least, it is here in Toronto.
I remember when this site didn’t waver from calling the guy ‘Hyun Ryu’ many years back. Now you’ve added Korean characters. Props to you guys.
Korean characters for Josh Lindblom too.
Even though they’re not playing I would have still liked to see where you’d put Sale and Syndergaard after their disappointing last seasons.
ERod at #48?!? Where do sign-up for that in every league I’m in?
Paul’s talked about E-Rod before and why he isn’t real high on him; injury history & mediocre WHIP. Bump his wins down in a shortened season (fewer long outings likely) and with a diminished team, plus regression, and he falls into a “glob” with a bunch of arms around him.
That covers it perfectly. I’ve been a fan before, but I’m just not seeing a ton of growth
Luzardo below Joe Musgrove? Can’t figure that one out.
Is There Something You Know About Homer Bailey?
The Luke Weaver ranking seems very optimistic, based on really 64 really good innings. Is there some underlying data that points to there being a real breakout pre-injury?